FinalWin Prob.pScore
2818%84
68
482%96
94
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
79.18686.1
HOU logo HOU
108.08786.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU68
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLIvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLMISS Ivey Free Throw 1 of 267
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0HOUMISS Novak 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0ATLMedvedenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)67
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0ATLMedvedenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)66
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:56.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Ivey Free Throw 2 of 265
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:57.0ATLIvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)65
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 1:19HOUHayes Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)64
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 1:41ATLIvey 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)64
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 1:54HOULucas III Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)62
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 1:54HOULucas III Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)62
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 2:01HOUNovak REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03ATLMISS Medvedenko 20' Jump Shot62
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:09HOUSpanoulis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)62
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)62
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43HOUHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)59
0%
89
100%
Q4 - 2:43HOUMISS Hayes Free Throw 1 of 259
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 2:43HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)59
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 2:44ATLMISS Williams 23' Jump Shot59
0%
88
100%
Q4 - 3:10HOUHayes Layup (4 PTS) (Lucas III 3 AST)59
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)59
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30ATLMISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48HOULucas III 9' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)59
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06ATLStoudamire 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)59
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:18HOUHoward 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS)57
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:33HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35HOUMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot57
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52ATLMISS Batista 14' Jump Shot57
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06HOUHead Layup (11 PTS) (Howard 5 AST)57
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 5:21ATLChildress 5' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35HOUHoward 9' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)55
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52ATLMISS Williams Layup55
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 6:11ATLHawks Rebound55
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 6:11HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 6:32ATLMISS Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39HOUHayes Foul Turnover (P1.T10)55
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56ATLMISS Batista Free Throw 2 of 255
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 6:56ATLMISS Batista Free Throw 1 of 255
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 7:01ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)55
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 7:03ATLMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 7:19ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 7:20HOUMISS Lucas III Layup55
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 7:43ATLBatista Layup (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)55
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 7:51ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 7:52HOUMISS Head 17' Jump Shot53
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 8:09HOULucas III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 8:11ATLMISS Childress 3PT Jump Shot53
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 8:27ATLHawks Rebound53
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 8:28HOUMISS Lucas III Layup53
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 8:41ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 8:41ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)52
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 8:56HOULucas III Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)51
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 8:56HOUMISS Lucas III Free Throw 1 of 251
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 9:06ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T15)51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 9:17ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 9:19HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 9:25HOULucas III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 9:27ATLMISS Childress Driving Layup51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 9:37ATLHawks Rebound51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 9:37HOUMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 10:00ATLStoudamire 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 10:18HOUHead Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)49
0.1%
77
99.9%
Q4 - 10:33ATLShel. Williams Layup (11 PTS) (Batista 1 AST)49
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 10:38ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 10:42ATLMISS Shel. Williams 19' Jump Shot47
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 10:48ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 10:50ATLMISS Stoudamire 22' Jump Shot47
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 11:01ATLWilliams Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)47
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 11:09ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)46
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 11:10HOUMISS Head 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 11:26HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)46
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 11:28ATLMISS Childress 22' Jump Shot46
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 11:50ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 11:50HOUMISS Hayes Free Throw 2 of 246
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q4 - 11:50HOUMISS Hayes Free Throw 1 of 246
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL46
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound46
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 29' 3PT Running Jump Shot46
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUAlston Layup (12 PTS)46
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0ATLBattier STEAL (1 STL)46
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0HOUHayes 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0HOUMISS Howard Layup46
0.2%
71
99.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 245
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 1:09HOUHoward 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS)45
0.2%
71
99.8%
Q3 - 1:30ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)45
0.2%
69
99.8%
Q3 - 1:30ATLHawks Rebound45
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q3 - 1:31ATLMISS Childress 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
0.2%
69
99.8%
Q3 - 1:57HOUHoward Layup (11 PTS)45
0.3%
69
99.7%
Q3 - 2:29ATLJohnson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)45
0.4%
67
99.6%
Q3 - 2:39ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 2:41HOUMISS Alston Layup43
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 2:48HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)43
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 2:49ATLMISS Stoudamire Layup43
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 2:56ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 2:58HOUMISS Battier 10' Hook Shot43
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 3:14HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)43
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 3:15HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
0.4%
67
99.6%
Q3 - 3:21HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)43
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 3:23HOUMISS Head 16' Jump Shot43
0.4%
67
99.6%
Q3 - 3:33HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)43
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 3:35ATLMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot43
0.3%
67
99.7%
Q3 - 3:52HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)43
0.4%
67
99.6%
Q3 - 3:52HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)43
0.4%
66
99.6%
Q3 - 4:03HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)43
0.5%
65
99.5%
Q3 - 4:04ATLMISS Stoudamire 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
0.5%
65
99.5%
Q3 - 4:15ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
0.6%
65
99.4%
Q3 - 4:15HOUMISS Mutombo Free Throw 2 of 243
0.6%
65
99.4%
Q3 - 4:15HOUMISS Mutombo Free Throw 1 of 243
0.5%
65
99.5%
Q3 - 4:15HOUROCKETS Rebound43
0.5%
65
99.5%
Q3 - 4:16HOUMISS Alston Layup43
0.6%
65
99.4%
Q3 - 4:24HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)43
0.5%
65
99.5%
Q3 - 4:26ATLMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot43
0.5%
65
99.5%
Q3 - 4:45HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)43
0.6%
65
99.4%
Q3 - 4:55ATLShel. Williams 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)43
0.8%
62
99.2%
Q3 - 5:15HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
0.8%
62
99.2%
Q3 - 5:15HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)41
0.8%
61
99.2%
Q3 - 5:23ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)41
0.9%
60
99.1%
Q3 - 5:35ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
0.7%
60
99.3%
Q3 - 5:35HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 238
0.7%
60
99.3%
Q3 - 5:35HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 238
0.6%
60
99.4%
Q3 - 5:46HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)38
0.6%
60
99.4%
Q3 - 5:48ATLMISS Claxton 18' Jump Shot38
0.6%
60
99.4%
Q3 - 5:57ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)38
0.7%
60
99.3%
Q3 - 5:59HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot38
0.6%
60
99.4%
Q3 - 6:10ATLShel. Williams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)38
0.6%
60
99.4%
Q3 - 6:23HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)38
0.8%
60
99.2%
Q3 - 6:23HOUMutombo Tip Shot (4 PTS)38
0.8%
60
99.2%
Q3 - 6:24HOUMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot38
1.0%
58
99.0%
Q3 - 6:37ATLShel. Williams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Claxton 5 AST)38
0.9%
58
99.1%
Q3 - 6:59HOUHoward 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
0.8%
58
99.2%
Q3 - 7:03HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)36
1.0%
56
99.0%
Q3 - 7:04HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)36
1.0%
56
99.0%
Q3 - 7:04HOUMISS Mutombo Tip Shot36
1.1%
56
98.9%
Q3 - 7:06HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
1.1%
56
98.9%
Q3 - 7:16HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)36
1.0%
56
99.0%
Q3 - 7:18ATLMISS Williams Layup36
1.0%
56
99.0%
Q3 - 7:24HOUHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)36
1.1%
56
98.9%
Q3 - 7:37ATLPachulia 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)36
1.0%
56
99.0%
Q3 - 7:46ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)34
0.8%
56
99.2%
Q3 - 7:48HOUMISS Alston 17' Jump Shot34
0.8%
56
99.2%
Q3 - 8:00HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)34
0.7%
56
99.3%
Q3 - 8:02ATLMISS Pachulia 11' Jump Shot34
0.8%
56
99.2%
Q3 - 8:23HOUMutombo Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)34
0.9%
56
99.1%
Q3 - 8:34ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
1.0%
54
99.0%
Q3 - 8:34ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)33
1.0%
54
99.0%
Q3 - 8:56HOUBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)32
0.9%
54
99.1%
Q3 - 9:10HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)32
1.2%
51
98.8%
Q3 - 9:11ATLMutombo BLOCK (2 BLK)32
1.3%
51
98.7%
Q3 - 9:27HOUMcGrady 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)32
1.4%
51
98.6%
Q3 - 9:41HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)32
1.7%
49
98.3%
Q3 - 9:42ATLMISS Claxton Free Throw 2 of 232
1.7%
49
98.3%
Q3 - 9:42ATLMISS Claxton Free Throw 1 of 232
1.9%
49
98.1%
Q3 - 9:59ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)32
1.9%
49
98.1%
Q3 - 10:01HOUMISS Alston 5' Running Jump Shot32
1.9%
49
98.1%
Q3 - 10:08HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
1.7%
49
98.3%
Q3 - 10:10ATLMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot32
1.8%
49
98.2%
Q3 - 10:15ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)32
2.0%
49
98.0%
Q3 - 10:17HOUMISS Alston 21' Jump Shot32
1.9%
49
98.1%
Q3 - 10:42HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)32
1.7%
49
98.3%
Q3 - 10:43ATLMISS Pachulia 10' Jump Shot32
1.8%
49
98.2%
Q3 - 11:01HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Mutombo 1 AST)32
2.0%
49
98.0%
Q3 - 11:16HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
2.7%
46
97.3%
Q3 - 11:18ATLMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot32
2.8%
46
97.2%
Q3 - 11:27ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
3.1%
46
96.9%
Q3 - 11:27HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 232
3.0%
46
97.0%
Q3 - 11:27HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 232
2.8%
46
97.2%
Q3 - 11:32HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
2.7%
46
97.3%
Q3 - 11:34ATLMISS Claxton 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
2.8%
46
97.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL32
3.1%
46
96.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
3.1%
46
96.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Alston 22' Jump Shot32
2.9%
46
97.1%
Q2 - 0:06.0ATLShel. Williams Layup (2 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)32
2.9%
46
97.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Head 3 AST)30
2.5%
46
97.5%
Q2 - 0:39.0ATLAlston STEAL (2 STL)30
3.3%
43
96.7%
Q2 - 0:56.0HOUAlston Backcourt Turnover (P2.T8)30
3.6%
43
96.4%
Q2 - 1:09ATLJohnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)30
3.5%
43
96.5%
Q2 - 1:27HOUHead Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)28
2.9%
43
97.1%
Q2 - 1:27HOUHead Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
3.0%
42
97.0%
Q2 - 1:47ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)28
3.5%
41
96.5%
Q2 - 1:58ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
2.6%
41
97.4%
Q2 - 2:00HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot25
2.5%
41
97.5%
Q2 - 2:16ATLChildress Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)25
2.5%
41
97.5%
Q2 - 2:21HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)25
2.8%
41
97.2%
Q2 - 2:36HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
2.5%
41
97.5%
Q2 - 2:38ATLMISS Williams Driving Layup25
2.6%
41
97.4%
Q2 - 2:51ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
2.8%
41
97.2%
Q2 - 2:53HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
2.7%
41
97.3%
Q2 - 3:13ATLStoudamire 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
2.6%
41
97.4%
Q2 - 3:20ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
2.4%
41
97.6%
Q2 - 3:22HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
2.3%
41
97.7%
Q2 - 3:25HOULucas III Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)23
2.1%
41
97.9%
Q2 - 3:38ATLStoudamire 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)23
2.3%
40
97.7%
Q2 - 4:03HOUMcGrady 28' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Lucas III 2 AST)21
2.2%
40
97.8%
Q2 - 4:09HOULucas III REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
2.8%
37
97.2%
Q2 - 4:09HOUMISS Hayes Free Throw 2 of 221
3.0%
37
97.0%
Q2 - 4:09HOUMISS Hayes Free Throw 1 of 221
2.8%
37
97.2%
Q2 - 4:28ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)21
2.8%
37
97.2%
Q2 - 4:34ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
3.1%
37
96.9%
Q2 - 4:34HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 221
3.0%
37
97.0%
Q2 - 4:34HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)21
2.8%
37
97.2%
Q2 - 4:40HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
3.1%
36
96.9%
Q2 - 4:42ATLMISS Pachulia 6' Jump Shot21
3.2%
36
96.8%
Q2 - 4:59ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
3.4%
36
96.6%
Q2 - 5:01HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
3.4%
36
96.6%
Q2 - 5:24ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)21
3.1%
36
96.9%
Q2 - 5:24ATLChildress Tip Shot (8 PTS)21
3.1%
36
96.9%
Q2 - 5:25ATLMISS Johnson Layup19
2.6%
36
97.4%
Q2 - 5:44HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (19 PTS) (Head 2 AST)19
2.8%
36
97.2%
Q2 - 5:54HOULucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
3.1%
34
96.9%
Q2 - 5:56ATLMISS Johnson Layup19
3.2%
34
96.8%
Q2 - 6:16HOUMcGrady 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Lucas III 1 AST)19
3.6%
34
96.4%
Q2 - 6:35ATLJohnson Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)19
4.0%
32
96.0%
Q2 - 6:50HOUMcGrady 28' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Head 1 AST)17
3.6%
32
96.4%
Q2 - 7:08HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
4.7%
29
95.3%
Q2 - 7:08ATLMISS Claxton Free Throw 2 of 217
4.7%
29
95.3%
Q2 - 7:08ATLClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
5.0%
29
95.0%
Q2 - 7:16ATLHawks Rebound16
4.7%
29
95.3%
Q2 - 7:17ATLMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot16
4.4%
29
95.6%
Q2 - 7:29HOUMcGrady Reverse Layup (12 PTS)16
4.7%
29
95.3%
Q2 - 7:47HOULucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
5.1%
27
94.9%
Q2 - 7:49ATLMISS Stoudamire 21' Jump Shot16
5.3%
27
94.7%
Q2 - 8:05ATLHawks Rebound16
5.8%
27
94.2%
Q2 - 8:05HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
5.6%
27
94.4%
Q2 - 8:11ATLLucas III STEAL (1 STL)16
5.2%
27
94.8%
Q2 - 8:17ATLHawks Rebound16
5.8%
27
94.2%
Q2 - 8:19ATLMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
5.4%
27
94.6%
Q2 - 8:36HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)16
5.8%
27
94.2%
Q2 - 9:01HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)16
5.3%
27
94.7%
Q2 - 9:01ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 216
5.3%
27
94.7%
Q2 - 9:01ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 216
5.7%
27
94.3%
Q2 - 9:22HOUHead 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)16
5.9%
27
94.1%
Q2 - 9:38ATLHead STEAL (1 STL)16
6.4%
25
93.6%
Q2 - 9:51HOUMcGrady Layup (10 PTS)16
7.1%
25
92.9%
Q2 - 10:27ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)16
7.8%
23
92.2%
Q2 - 10:49HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)16
8.6%
23
91.4%
Q2 - 10:57ATLHayes STEAL (1 STL)16
10.2%
20
89.8%
Q2 - 11:13ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
11.0%
20
89.0%
Q2 - 11:15HOUMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot16
10.7%
20
89.3%
Q2 - 11:42ATLChildress 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)16
10.1%
20
89.9%
Q2 - 11:45ATLHawks Rebound14
9.3%
20
90.7%
Q2 - 11:45ATLMISS Claxton 9' Jump Shot14
8.7%
20
91.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU14
9.3%
20
90.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0ATLJones Foul Turnover (P1.T4)14
8.6%
20
91.4%
Q1 - 0:11.0ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
9.2%
20
90.8%
Q1 - 0:13.0HOUMISS Alston 7' Jump Shot14
9.0%
20
91.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0HOUROCKETS Rebound14
8.6%
20
91.4%
Q1 - 0:38.0ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 214
8.7%
20
91.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
9.2%
20
90.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0HOUHoward 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
8.4%
20
91.6%
Q1 - 1:07HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
9.4%
18
90.6%
Q1 - 1:08ATLMISS Childress Layup13
9.6%
18
90.4%
Q1 - 1:21HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)13
10.0%
18
90.0%
Q1 - 1:21HOUMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 213
10.2%
17
89.8%
Q1 - 1:26ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
10.2%
17
89.8%
Q1 - 1:26ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
10.1%
17
89.9%
Q1 - 1:38HOUAlston 7' Jump Shot (7 PTS)11
9.2%
17
90.8%
Q1 - 2:04HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)11
10.1%
15
89.9%
Q1 - 2:06ATLMISS Ivey 18' Jump Shot11
10.4%
15
89.6%
Q1 - 2:24HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)11
11.0%
15
89.0%
Q1 - 2:37ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
13.0%
12
87.0%
Q1 - 2:37ATLChildress Layup (2 PTS)11
13.0%
12
87.0%
Q1 - 2:38ATLMISS Pachulia 8' Jump Shot9
11.3%
12
88.7%
Q1 - 3:00HOUJump Ball Mutombo vs. Ivey: Tip to Shel. Williams9
11.9%
12
88.1%
Q1 - 3:15HOUROCKETS Rebound9
10.9%
12
89.1%
Q1 - 3:16ATLMutombo BLOCK (1 BLK)9
11.2%
12
88.8%
Q1 - 3:28ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
11.9%
12
88.1%
Q1 - 3:31ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
11.2%
12
88.8%
Q1 - 3:52HOUMcGrady 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS)9
11.9%
12
88.1%
Q1 - 4:02ATLShel. Williams Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)9
12.5%
10
87.5%
Q1 - 4:22HOUMcGrady Driving Layup (6 PTS)9
13.7%
10
86.3%
Q1 - 4:32HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)9
14.5%
8
85.5%
Q1 - 4:34ATLMISS Ivey 19' Jump Shot9
15.0%
8
85.0%
Q1 - 4:56HOUAlston 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
15.9%
8
84.1%
Q1 - 5:17HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
16.4%
6
83.6%
Q1 - 5:18ATLMISS Pachulia Layup9
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 5:25ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)9
17.7%
6
82.3%
Q1 - 5:25ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 29
16.5%
6
83.5%
Q1 - 5:25ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
17.3%
6
82.7%
Q1 - 5:41HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)8
16.5%
6
83.5%
Q1 - 6:06HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
15.0%
6
85.0%
Q1 - 6:07ATLMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot8
15.4%
6
84.6%
Q1 - 6:28ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
16.1%
6
83.9%
Q1 - 6:30ATLMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot8
15.4%
6
84.6%
Q1 - 6:46HOUMcGrady Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)8
16.1%
6
83.9%
Q1 - 6:53HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
15.0%
6
85.0%
Q1 - 6:55ATLMISS Claxton 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
15.4%
6
84.6%
Q1 - 7:21HOUMcGrady Reverse Dunk (4 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)8
15.7%
6
84.3%
Q1 - 7:26ATLAlston STEAL (1 STL)8
16.6%
4
83.4%
Q1 - 7:31ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
17.8%
4
82.2%
Q1 - 7:33HOUMISS Howard Layup8
17.5%
4
82.5%
Q1 - 7:35HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
16.6%
4
83.4%
Q1 - 7:36HOUMISS Howard Layup8
17.5%
4
82.5%
Q1 - 8:00ATLJohnson Layup (2 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)8
16.7%
4
83.3%
Q1 - 8:22HOUMcGrady 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)6
15.4%
4
84.6%
Q1 - 8:44ATLClaxton Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)6
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 8:49HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
15.4%
2
84.6%
Q1 - 9:00HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
14.4%
2
85.6%
Q1 - 9:02ATLMISS Shel. Williams 14' Jump Shot4
14.5%
2
85.5%
Q1 - 9:11ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.4%
2
84.6%
Q1 - 9:13HOUMISS McGrady 5' Hook Shot4
15.0%
2
85.0%
Q1 - 9:31ATLPachulia 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)4
14.2%
2
85.8%
Q1 - 9:56HOUBattier Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
13.5%
2
86.5%
Q1 - 10:17ATLClaxton 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
14.1%
0
85.9%
Q1 - 10:31HOUAlston Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
13.4%
0
86.6%
Q1 - 10:44HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.4%
0
87.6%
Q1 - 10:46ATLMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot0
12.7%
0
87.3%
Q1 - 11:04ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
13.2%
0
86.8%
Q1 - 11:06HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 11:29HOUJump Ball McGrady vs. Shel. Williams: Tip to Howard0
12.4%
0
87.6%
Q1 - 11:30ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
13.2%
0
86.8%
Q1 - 11:31ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot0
12.7%
0
87.3%
Q1 - 11:47ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
13.2%
0
86.8%
Q1 - 11:49HOUMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot0
13.0%
0
87.0%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Mutombo vs. Pachulia: Tip to Howard0
12.4%
0
87.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.77 38.6%
HOU
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
12
24
50%
HOU
16
26
62%
Midrange
ATL
13
37
35%
HOU
13
27
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
11
0%
HOU
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
Free Throws
ATL
18
30
60%
HOU
15
29
52%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Childress1563%7.5 / 12
J. Johnson1139%5.5 / 14
S. Williams1179%5.5 / 7
S. Stoudamire831%4.0 / 13
Z. Pachulia623%3.0 / 13
S. Claxton531%2.5 / 8
M. Williams429%2.0 / 7
R. Ivey440%2.0 / 5
E. Batista233%1.0 / 3
S. Medvedenko250%1.0 / 2
S. Jones0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady3174%15.5 / 20
J. Howard1757%8.5 / 15
R. Alston1235%6.0 / 17
L. Head1155%5.5 / 10
C. Hayes867%4.0 / 6
J. Lucas III660%3.0 / 5
S. Battier550%2.5 / 5
D. Mutombo450%2.0 / 4
S. Novak0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
72
+15
-14
87
HOU
78
+10
-9
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.77 38.6%
HOU
1.07 53.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.9
105.6
ATL 79.1 +29.0
HOU 108.0
Pace
90.2
91.1
ATL 86.1
HOU 86.9 +0.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.8
ATL 16.7
HOU 16.6 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
49.9%
ATL 34.7%
HOU 55.6% +20.9%
TO %
16.7%
14.8%
ATL 15.0%
HOU 11.6% +3.4%
ORB %
29.3%
25.7%
ATL 21.3%
HOU 25.0% +3.7%
FTrt
34.6
29.2
ATL 41.7 +0.9
HOU 40.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.6%
58.6%
ATL 52.0% +2.0%
HOU 50.0%
STL %
8.2%
7.8%
ATL 5.8%
HOU 8.0% +2.2%
BLK %
8.7%
6.5%
ATL 1.9%
HOU 3.3% +1.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
52.3%
ATL 38.6%
HOU 53.4% +14.8%
Rim FG%
55.2%
56.2%
ATL 50.0%
HOU 61.5% +11.5%
Mid FG%
39.3%
41.0%
ATL 35.1%
HOU 48.1% +13.0%
3P %
32.9%
37.2%
ATL 0.0%
HOU 38.9% +38.9%
FT %
76.1%
75.3%
ATL 60.0% +8.3%
HOU 51.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.8%
30.3%
ATL 33.3%
HOU 36.6% +3.3%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
40.7%
ATL 51.4%
HOU 38.0% +13.4%
3P Att. %
16.3%
29.0%
ATL 15.3%
HOU 25.4% +10.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLHOU
Possessions8687
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points6894
Rebounds3746
Assists1318
Steals57
Blocks12
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)37 (2)
Field Goals25-7236-71
At-the-Rim FG12-2416-26
Midrange FG13-3713-27
2-Point FG25-6129-53
3-Point FG0-117-18
Free Throws18-3015-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 26
33.6
11
39%
1
2
1
0
3
0
0
1
1-3
33%
5-12
42%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 237 · 21
32.7
4
29%
4
2
1
0
2
4
1
3
4-5
80%
0-5
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
30.9
11
79%
11
0
0
0
3
4
4
7
1-1
100%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 23
28.3
6
23%
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
3
2-4
50%
2-11
18%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 170 · 29
24.0
5
31%
3
5
0
0
2
2
0
3
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
0-2
0%
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24
32.8
15
63%
3
1
0
1
1
2
2
1
5-5
100%
5-8
63%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
23.9
8
31%
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-6
0%
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23
16.3
2
33%
8
1
0
0
0
2
2
6
0-2
0%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 22
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
5
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 25
6.0
4
40%
2
0
2
0
0
3
1
1
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 253 · 28
4.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 207 · 24
#42 · F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · · 6'9" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 6'0" 175 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
68
39%
37
13
5
1
14
0
10
27
18-30
60%
25-61
41%
0-11
0%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.