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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
December 29, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Hawks18%8468
4Rockets82%9694
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
33.6
41.5
11
38%
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-3
33%
5-12
7-14
42%
47%
0-1
0%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.5
32.7
26.2
4
28%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
4-5
80%
0-5
3-7
0%
44%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
30.9
24.9
11
74%
11
0
0
1
0
3
4
7
1-1
100%
5-7
3-6
71%
42%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.9
28.3
28.4
6
24%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
2-11
4-8
18%
44%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.6
24.0
31.0
5
32%
3
5
0
2
0
2
0
3
1-4
25%
2-4
3-8
50%
40%
0-2
0%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.5
32.8
34.6
15
61%
3
1
0
1
1
1
2
1
5-5
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
51%
0-2
0%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.2
23.9
19.8
8
31%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
40%
0-6
0%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.3
16.3
0.7
2
35%
8
1
0
0
0
0
2
6
0-2
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
36%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
7.1
6.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.0
6.0
9.0
4
42%
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
2-4
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
40%
0-0
-
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.7
4.5
2.9
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Cedric Bozeman
G · 6'6" 207 · 23.8
4.9
0
0-1
39%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.1
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.3
39.9
37.9
5
50%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.9
35.8
26.8
17
55%
13
5
0
1
0
1
3
10
3-3
100%
7-14
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.4
32.9
33.1
12
36%
1
4
2
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
3-11
3-6
27%
45%
1-4
25%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.6
27.6
33.7
31
75%
1
1
1
1
0
4
0
1
1-6
17%
9-12
6-12
75%
48%
4-6
67%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.5
21.6
15.9
4
52%
14
1
0
0
2
0
3
11
0-2
0%
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
28.5
28.0
11
56%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
1-4
25%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.6
26.4
25.3
8
66%
9
0
1
1
0
1
2
7
2-7
29%
3-3
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.1
15.2
4.2
6
58%
5
3
1
0
0
0
1
4
4-5
80%
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.5
4.4
1.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-1
0%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.4
3.9
3.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.7
3.9
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
26.0
1
4-8
49%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.6
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.8
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.