| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 79.1 | 86 | 80.0 |
 ORL | 114.1 | 85 | 92.8 |
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
71
+8
-15
79
ORL
77
+13
-8
90
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.86 43.0%
ORL
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | ORL |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | ORL | 68 0% | 97 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:05.0 | ORL | Ariza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 68 0% | 97 100% |
| Q4 - 0:06.0 | MIA | MISS Wright 16' Jump Shot | 68 0% | 97 100% |
| Q4 - 0:26.0 | ORL | Garrity Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 68 0% | 97 100% |
| Q4 - 0:26.0 | ORL | Garrity Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 68 0% | 96 100% |
| Q4 - 0:26.0 | ORL | Garrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 68 0% | 95 100% |
| Q4 - 0:27.0 | ORL | MISS Garrity Layup | 68 0% | 95 100% |
| Q4 - 0:39.0 | ORL | Redick Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 68 0% | 95 100% |
| Q4 - 0:39.0 | ORL | Redick Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 68 0% | 94 100% |
| Q4 - 0:39.0 | MIA | Redick STEAL (2 STL) | 68 0% | 93 100% |
| Q4 - 0:50.0 | ORL | Outlaw Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST) | 68 0% | 93 100% |
| Q4 - 0:54.0 | MIA | Outlaw STEAL (1 STL) | 68 0% | 91 100% |
| Q4 - 1:09 | ORL | Diener Foul Turnover (P1.T10) | 68 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:27 | MIA | Wright Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 68 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:27 | MIA | Wright Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 67 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:45 | ORL | Garrity 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diener 2 AST) | 66 0.1% | 91 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:00 | MIA | Hite Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 66 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:23 | ORL | Redick 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Diener 1 AST) | 64 0.1% | 89 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:58 | MIA | Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hite 2 AST) | 64 0.1% | 87 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:21 | ORL | Redick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST) | 61 0.1% | 87 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:41 | MIA | Wright 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hite 1 AST) | 61 0.1% | 84 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:53 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 59 0.1% | 84 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:55 | ORL | MISS Diener 22' Jump Shot | 59 0.1% | 84 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:58 | ORL | Garrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 59 0.1% | 84 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:01 | MIA | MISS Barron 19' Jump Shot | 59 0.1% | 84 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:22 | ORL | Ariza Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Redick 1 AST) | 59 0.1% | 84 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:28 | ORL | Ariza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 59 0.1% | 82 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:30 | MIA | MISS Quinn 19' Jump Shot | 59 0.1% | 82 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:44 | ORL | Redick Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 59 0.1% | 82 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:44 | ORL | Redick Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 59 0.1% | 81 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:52 | ORL | Ariza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 59 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 4:54 | MIA | MISS Barron 7' Jump Shot | 59 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:11 | ORL | MAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9) | 59 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:35 | ORL | Garrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 59 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:37 | MIA | MISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot | 59 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:52 | MIA | Barron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 59 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 5:53 | ORL | MISS Arroyo Finger Roll | 59 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:12 | ORL | Outlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 59 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:14 | MIA | MISS Hite 18' Jump Shot | 59 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:33 | MIA | Hite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 59 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:35 | ORL | MISS Garrity 18' Jump Shot | 59 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 6:55 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15) | 59 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 7:17 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 59 0.2% | 80 99.8% |
| Q4 - 7:20 | ORL | MISS Ariza 6' Jump Shot | 59 0.2% | 80 99.8% |
| Q4 - 7:25 | MIA | Redick STEAL (1 STL) | 59 0.1% | 80 99.9% |
| Q4 - 7:45 | ORL | Battie 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST) | 59 0.2% | 80 99.8% |
| Q4 - 8:02 | ORL | Ariza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 59 0.3% | 78 99.7% |
| Q4 - 8:03 | ORL | MISS Redick 10' Fadeaway Jumper | 59 0.4% | 78 99.6% |
| Q4 - 8:22 | ORL | Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 59 0.3% | 78 99.7% |
| Q4 - 8:23 | MIA | MISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot | 59 0.4% | 78 99.6% |
| Q4 - 8:35 | ORL | Garrity Foul Turnover (P1.T8) | 59 0.4% | 78 99.6% |
| Q4 - 8:58 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 59 0.3% | 78 99.7% |
| Q4 - 8:58 | MIA | Posey Follow Up Dunk (7 PTS) | 59 0.3% | 78 99.7% |
| Q4 - 9:00 | MIA | MISS Doleac Layup | 57 0.2% | 78 99.8% |
| Q4 - 9:04 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 57 0.3% | 78 99.7% |
| Q4 - 9:05 | MIA | MISS Posey Layup | 57 0.3% | 78 99.7% |
| Q4 - 9:25 | ORL | Arroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 57 0.3% | 78 99.7% |
| Q4 - 9:25 | ORL | Arroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 57 0.4% | 77 99.6% |
| Q4 - 9:34 | ORL | Redick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 57 0.4% | 76 99.6% |
| Q4 - 9:35 | MIA | Ariza BLOCK (1 BLK) | 57 0.5% | 76 99.5% |
| Q4 - 9:49 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 57 0.5% | 76 99.5% |
| Q4 - 9:51 | ORL | MISS Milicic 9' Hook Shot | 57 0.5% | 76 99.5% |
| Q4 - 10:04 | ORL | Garrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 57 0.5% | 76 99.5% |
| Q4 - 10:06 | MIA | MISS Quinn 12' Running Jump Shot | 57 0.6% | 76 99.4% |
| Q4 - 10:21 | ORL | Ariza Driving Layup (14 PTS) | 57 0.7% | 76 99.3% |
| Q4 - 10:39 | MIA | Wright Foul Turnover (P2.T13) | 57 0.8% | 74 99.2% |
| Q4 - 10:45 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 57 1.1% | 74 98.9% |
| Q4 - 10:46 | ORL | MISS Milicic 7' Hook Shot | 57 1.0% | 74 99.0% |
| Q4 - 10:47 | ORL | Milicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 57 0.8% | 74 99.2% |
| Q4 - 10:50 | ORL | MISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot | 57 1.0% | 74 99.0% |
| Q4 - 10:56 | ORL | Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 57 0.8% | 74 99.2% |
| Q4 - 10:57 | MIA | MISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 0.9% | 74 99.1% |
| Q4 - 11:00 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 57 1.1% | 74 98.9% |
| Q4 - 11:02 | MIA | MISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 57 1.1% | 74 98.9% |
| Q4 - 11:14 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 57 1.3% | 74 98.7% |
| Q4 - 11:16 | ORL | MISS Milicic 8' Hook Shot | 57 1.2% | 74 98.8% |
| Q4 - 11:33 | ORL | Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 57 1.0% | 74 99.0% |
| Q4 - 11:35 | MIA | MISS Doleac 13' Jump Shot | 57 1.1% | 74 98.9% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 57 1.3% | 74 98.7% | |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | ORL | Arroyo Foul Turnover (P1.T7) | 57 1.5% | 74 98.5% |
| Q3 - 0:13.0 | MIA | Walker Traveling Turnover (P1.T12) | 57 1.2% | 74 98.8% |
| Q3 - 0:13.0 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 57 1.5% | 74 98.5% |
| Q3 - 0:15.0 | MIA | MISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot | 57 1.3% | 74 98.7% |
| Q3 - 0:32.0 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 57 1.5% | 74 98.5% |
| Q3 - 0:34.0 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot | 57 1.4% | 74 98.6% |
| Q3 - 0:44.0 | ORL | Garrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 57 1.2% | 74 98.8% |
| Q3 - 0:46.0 | MIA | MISS Wright Reverse Layup | 57 1.3% | 74 98.7% |
| Q3 - 1:03 | ORL | Milicic 7' Hook Shot (5 PTS) | 57 1.8% | 74 98.2% |
| Q3 - 1:22 | MIA | Quinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 57 2.1% | 72 97.9% |
| Q3 - 1:22 | MIA | Quinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 56 2.0% | 72 98.0% |
| Q3 - 1:28 | ORL | Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 55 1.8% | 72 98.2% |
| Q3 - 1:28 | ORL | Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 55 1.8% | 71 98.2% |
| Q3 - 1:32 | ORL | Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 55 2.1% | 70 97.9% |
| Q3 - 1:33 | MIA | MISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 55 2.2% | 70 97.8% |
| Q3 - 1:49 | ORL | Howard 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6) | 55 2.6% | 70 97.4% |
| Q3 - 2:06 | MIA | Wright 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST) | 55 2.4% | 70 97.6% |
| Q3 - 2:30 | ORL | Ariza 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST) | 53 2.0% | 70 98.0% |
| Q3 - 2:45 | MIA | Quinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 53 2.3% | 68 97.7% |
| Q3 - 2:45 | MIA | MISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 2 | 52 2.2% | 68 97.8% |
| Q3 - 2:56 | ORL | MAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5) | 52 2.4% | 68 97.6% |
| Q3 - 2:56 | ORL | MAGIC Rebound | 52 1.9% | 68 98.1% |
| Q3 - 2:56 | ORL | MISS Ariza 18' Jump Shot | 52 2.2% | 68 97.8% |
| Q3 - 3:21 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 52 2.2% | 68 97.8% |
| Q3 - 3:21 | MIA | Haslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 51 2.1% | 68 97.9% |
| Q3 - 3:30 | ORL | Nelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4) | 50 1.9% | 68 98.1% |
| Q3 - 3:37 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 50 1.5% | 68 98.5% |
| Q3 - 3:39 | MIA | MISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot | 50 1.6% | 68 98.4% |
| Q3 - 3:54 | ORL | Battie Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST) | 50 1.9% | 68 98.1% |
| Q3 - 4:12 | ORL | MAGIC Rebound | 50 2.4% | 66 97.6% |
| Q3 - 4:12 | ORL | MISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 2.7% | 66 97.3% |
| Q3 - 4:34 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 50 2.4% | 66 97.6% |
| Q3 - 4:35 | MIA | MISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot | 50 2.5% | 66 97.5% |
| Q3 - 4:53 | MIA | Payton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 50 2.9% | 66 97.1% |
| Q3 - 4:56 | ORL | MISS Ariza Layup | 50 2.7% | 66 97.3% |
| Q3 - 5:01 | MIA | Ariza STEAL (2 STL) | 50 2.6% | 66 97.4% |
| Q3 - 5:12 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 50 3.1% | 66 96.9% |
| Q3 - 5:13 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 3.0% | 66 97.0% |
| Q3 - 5:19 | ORL | Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 50 2.6% | 66 97.4% |
| Q3 - 5:21 | MIA | MISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 2.8% | 66 97.2% |
| Q3 - 5:25 | MIA | Payton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 50 3.1% | 66 96.9% |
| Q3 - 5:27 | ORL | MISS Nelson Layup | 50 3.0% | 66 97.0% |
| Q3 - 5:31 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 50 2.6% | 66 97.4% |
| Q3 - 5:33 | MIA | MISS Payton 6' Jump Shot | 50 2.8% | 66 97.2% |
| Q3 - 5:35 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 50 3.1% | 66 96.9% |
| Q3 - 5:38 | MIA | MISS Wright 21' Jump Shot | 50 2.8% | 66 97.2% |
| Q3 - 5:58 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 50 3.1% | 66 96.9% |
| Q3 - 5:58 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 50 3.3% | 65 96.7% |
| Q3 - 6:16 | MIA | Mourning 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS) | 50 3.9% | 64 96.1% |
| Q3 - 6:39 | ORL | Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST) | 48 3.4% | 64 96.6% |
| Q3 - 7:02 | MIA | Payton 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kapono 3 AST) | 48 4.8% | 61 95.2% |
| Q3 - 7:21 | ORL | Ariza Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST) | 45 3.6% | 61 96.4% |
| Q3 - 7:38 | MIA | Mourning Foul Turnover (P2.T10) | 45 4.1% | 59 95.9% |
| Q3 - 7:46 | ORL | Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST) | 45 4.8% | 59 95.2% |
| Q3 - 8:04 | MIA | Payton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9) | 45 6.6% | 56 93.4% |
| Q3 - 8:05 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 45 7.8% | 56 92.2% |
| Q3 - 8:07 | ORL | MISS Battie Layup | 45 7.4% | 56 92.6% |
| Q3 - 8:23 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 45 6.6% | 56 93.4% |
| Q3 - 8:25 | ORL | MISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 45 7.4% | 56 92.6% |
| Q3 - 8:40 | MIA | Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wright 2 AST) | 45 6.6% | 56 93.4% |
| Q3 - 8:44 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 42 5.1% | 56 94.9% |
| Q3 - 8:48 | MIA | Howard BLOCK (2 BLK) | 42 4.5% | 56 95.5% |
| Q3 - 9:07 | ORL | Nelson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3) | 42 5.2% | 56 94.8% |
| Q3 - 9:19 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 42 4.5% | 56 95.5% |
| Q3 - 9:21 | MIA | MISS Payton 19' Jump Shot | 42 4.7% | 56 95.3% |
| Q3 - 9:45 | ORL | Nelson 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 42 5.2% | 56 94.8% |
| Q3 - 9:51 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 42 5.9% | 54 94.1% |
| Q3 - 9:53 | MIA | MISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot | 42 6.2% | 54 93.8% |
| Q3 - 10:16 | ORL | Battie 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST) | 42 7.1% | 54 92.9% |
| Q3 - 10:37 | MIA | Wright 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST) | 42 7.9% | 52 92.1% |
| Q3 - 11:01 | ORL | Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 40 7.2% | 52 92.8% |
| Q3 - 11:01 | ORL | Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 40 7.3% | 51 92.7% |
| Q3 - 11:23 | MIA | Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 3 AST) | 40 8.1% | 50 91.9% |
| Q3 - 11:44 | ORL | Battie 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 37 6.3% | 50 93.7% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 37 7.1% | 48 92.9% | |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | ORL | Ariza Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 37 8.5% | 48 91.5% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | ORL | Ariza Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 37 8.8% | 47 91.2% |
| Q2 - 0:04.0 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 37 9.9% | 46 90.1% |
| Q2 - 0:06.0 | MIA | MISS Barron Layup | 37 10.1% | 46 89.9% |
| Q2 - 0:24.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 37 10.7% | 46 89.3% |
| Q2 - 0:24.0 | ORL | MISS Howard Layup | 37 10.4% | 46 89.6% |
| Q2 - 0:37.0 | ORL | Arroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 37 9.8% | 46 90.2% |
| Q2 - 0:40.0 | MIA | MISS Barron 18' Jump Shot | 37 10.1% | 46 89.9% |
| Q2 - 1:00 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 37 10.7% | 46 89.3% |
| Q2 - 1:03 | ORL | MISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 37 10.7% | 46 89.3% |
| Q2 - 1:24 | MIA | Mourning Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Barron 1 AST) | 37 10.3% | 46 89.7% |
| Q2 - 1:47 | ORL | Howard Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST) | 35 8.7% | 46 91.3% |
| Q2 - 2:03 | MIA | Posey Layup (5 PTS) (Payton 2 AST) | 35 10.3% | 44 89.7% |
| Q2 - 2:23 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 33 9.2% | 44 90.8% |
| Q2 - 2:26 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 11' Jump Shot | 33 8.9% | 44 91.1% |
| Q2 - 2:49 | MIA | Barron Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 33 8.2% | 44 91.8% |
| Q2 - 2:49 | MIA | Barron Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 32 8.0% | 44 92.0% |
| Q2 - 3:03 | ORL | Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 31 7.7% | 44 92.3% |
| Q2 - 3:03 | ORL | Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 31 7.9% | 43 92.1% |
| Q2 - 3:08 | MIA | Nelson STEAL (1 STL) | 31 8.5% | 42 91.5% |
| Q2 - 3:16 | MIA | Payton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 9.6% | 42 90.4% |
| Q2 - 3:18 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot | 31 9.3% | 42 90.7% |
| Q2 - 3:22 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 31 8.5% | 42 91.5% |
| Q2 - 3:24 | MIA | MISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 31 8.8% | 42 91.2% |
| Q2 - 3:47 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 31 9.6% | 42 90.4% |
| Q2 - 3:49 | ORL | MISS Howard Layup | 31 9.2% | 42 90.8% |
| Q2 - 4:03 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 31 8.8% | 42 91.2% |
| Q2 - 4:05 | MIA | MISS Barron 18' Jump Shot | 31 9.1% | 42 90.9% |
| Q2 - 4:22 | ORL | Howard 7' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST) | 31 9.8% | 42 90.2% |
| Q2 - 4:29 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 31 10.8% | 40 89.2% |
| Q2 - 4:32 | MIA | Howard BLOCK (1 BLK) | 31 11.2% | 40 88.8% |
| Q2 - 4:59 | ORL | Howard 7' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST) | 31 12.0% | 40 88.0% |
| Q2 - 5:20 | ORL | Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 13.3% | 38 86.7% |
| Q2 - 5:22 | MIA | MISS Kapono 19' Fadeaway Jumper | 31 13.7% | 38 86.3% |
| Q2 - 5:25 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 31 14.8% | 38 85.2% |
| Q2 - 5:25 | MIA | Milicic BLOCK (1 BLK) | 31 13.7% | 38 86.3% |
| Q2 - 5:43 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 31 14.8% | 38 85.2% |
| Q2 - 5:44 | ORL | MISS Milicic 14' Jump Shot | 31 14.3% | 38 85.7% |
| Q2 - 6:01 | ORL | MAGIC Rebound | 31 13.4% | 38 86.6% |
| Q2 - 6:02 | MIA | MISS Posey 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 31 13.9% | 38 86.1% |
| Q2 - 6:25 | MIA | Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 15.0% | 38 85.0% |
| Q2 - 6:27 | ORL | MISS Battie 13' Jump Shot | 31 14.5% | 38 85.5% |
| Q2 - 6:43 | ORL | Milicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 31 13.4% | 38 86.6% |
| Q2 - 6:45 | MIA | MISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 31 13.9% | 38 86.1% |
| Q2 - 6:57 | ORL | Ariza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 31 15.0% | 38 85.0% |
| Q2 - 7:12 | MIA | Wright Traveling Turnover (P1.T7) | 31 13.9% | 38 86.1% |
| Q2 - 7:19 | ORL | Bogans Free Throw Technical (6 PTS) | 31 15.3% | 38 84.7% |
| Q2 - 7:29 | ORL | Ariza Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST) | 31 16.7% | 37 83.3% |
| Q2 - 7:52 | MIA | Mourning Foul Turnover (P1.T6) | 31 18.1% | 35 81.9% |
| Q2 - 8:07 | MIA | Mourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 19.9% | 35 80.1% |
| Q2 - 8:09 | ORL | MISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot | 31 19.3% | 35 80.7% |
| Q2 - 8:23 | MIA | Kapono Traveling Turnover (P1.T5) | 31 18.1% | 35 81.9% |
| Q2 - 8:40 | MIA | Kapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 19.9% | 35 80.1% |
| Q2 - 8:42 | ORL | MISS Arroyo Driving Layup | 31 19.3% | 35 80.7% |
| Q2 - 8:49 | ORL | Milicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 31 18.1% | 35 81.9% |
| Q2 - 8:51 | MIA | MISS Wright 13' Jump Shot | 31 18.6% | 35 81.4% |
| Q2 - 9:16 | ORL | Bogans Driving Layup (5 PTS) | 31 19.8% | 35 80.2% |
| Q2 - 9:23 | ORL | Bogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 31 21.3% | 33 78.7% |
| Q2 - 9:25 | MIA | MISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 31 21.9% | 33 78.1% |
| Q2 - 9:37 | ORL | Milicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 31 23.2% | 33 76.8% |
| Q2 - 9:37 | ORL | MISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 2 | 31 23.9% | 32 76.1% |
| Q2 - 9:46 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 31 23.0% | 32 77.0% |
| Q2 - 9:48 | MIA | MISS Walker Running Hook Shot | 31 23.7% | 32 76.3% |
| Q2 - 9:58 | MIA | Walker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 25.1% | 32 74.9% |
| Q2 - 10:00 | ORL | MISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot | 31 24.5% | 32 75.5% |
| Q2 - 10:21 | MIA | Wright 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST) | 31 23.1% | 32 76.9% |
| Q2 - 10:42 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 29 21.6% | 32 78.4% |
| Q2 - 10:42 | ORL | Milicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 29 19.8% | 32 80.2% |
| Q2 - 10:42 | ORL | MISS Milicic Layup | 29 21.0% | 32 79.0% |
| Q2 - 10:43 | ORL | MISS Bogans 14' Jump Shot | 29 21.0% | 32 79.0% |
| Q2 - 10:58 | MIA | Doleac Traveling Turnover (P1.T4) | 29 19.8% | 32 80.2% |
| Q2 - 11:08 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS) | 29 21.2% | 32 78.8% |
| Q2 - 11:28 | MIA | Quinn 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST) | 29 24.7% | 29 75.3% |
| Q2 - 11:46 | ORL | Arroyo Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 2 AST) | 27 22.9% | 29 77.1% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | ORL | 27 24.7% | 27 75.3% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | ORL | MAGIC Rebound | 27 24.7% | 27 75.3% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | ORL | MISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 25.7% | 27 74.3% |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | MIA | Ariza STEAL (1 STL) | 27 24.8% | 27 75.2% |
| Q1 - 0:06.0 | MIA | Quinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 26.1% | 27 73.9% |
| Q1 - 0:09.0 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 25.7% | 27 74.3% |
| Q1 - 0:30.0 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 27 24.7% | 27 75.3% |
| Q1 - 0:33.0 | MIA | MISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot | 27 25.2% | 27 74.8% |
| Q1 - 0:42.0 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 27 26.1% | 27 73.9% |
| Q1 - 0:45.0 | ORL | MISS Milicic 6' Jump Shot | 27 25.7% | 27 74.3% |
| Q1 - 1:01 | MIA | Wright 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 27 24.7% | 27 75.3% |
| Q1 - 1:03 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 25 22.7% | 27 77.3% |
| Q1 - 1:04 | MIA | MISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot | 25 21.8% | 27 78.2% |
| Q1 - 1:29 | ORL | Milicic Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST) | 25 22.6% | 27 77.4% |
| Q1 - 1:36 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu Free Throw Technical | 25 24.7% | 25 75.3% |
| Q1 - 1:49 | MIA | Quinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST) | 25 24.7% | 25 75.3% |
| Q1 - 2:07 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 22 21.2% | 25 78.8% |
| Q1 - 2:07 | ORL | MISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 | 22 21.7% | 24 78.3% |
| Q1 - 2:07 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3) | 22 21.3% | 24 78.7% |
| Q1 - 2:09 | ORL | MISS Battie Free Throw 1 of 1 | 22 22.6% | 24 77.4% |
| Q1 - 2:23 | MIA | Doleac 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST) | 22 24.6% | 22 75.4% |
| Q1 - 2:44 | ORL | Ariza Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST) | 20 22.8% | 22 77.2% |
| Q1 - 2:49 | MIA | Turkoglu STEAL (1 STL) | 20 24.6% | 20 75.4% |
| Q1 - 3:01 | ORL | Nelson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 20 26.1% | 20 73.9% |
| Q1 - 3:18 | MIA | Doleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 20 24.3% | 20 75.7% |
| Q1 - 3:18 | MIA | Doleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 19 23.9% | 20 76.1% |
| Q1 - 3:32 | MIA | Doleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 22.8% | 20 77.2% |
| Q1 - 3:35 | ORL | MISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 2 | 18 22.6% | 20 77.4% |
| Q1 - 3:35 | ORL | MISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 2 | 18 21.8% | 20 78.2% |
| Q1 - 3:54 | MIA | Posey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST) | 18 21.1% | 20 78.9% |
| Q1 - 4:07 | MIA | Kapono Free Throw Technical (6 PTS) | 15 18.3% | 20 81.7% |
| Q1 - 4:18 | ORL | Turkoglu Reverse Layup (2 PTS) | 14 17.1% | 20 82.9% |
| Q1 - 4:34 | MIA | Heat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1) | 14 18.1% | 18 81.9% |
| Q1 - 4:59 | ORL | Nelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 14 19.7% | 18 80.3% |
| Q1 - 5:04 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 14 22.2% | 15 77.8% |
| Q1 - 5:05 | MIA | MISS Payton Layup | 14 22.7% | 15 77.3% |
| Q1 - 5:19 | ORL | Battie Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST) | 14 23.8% | 15 76.2% |
| Q1 - 5:22 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 14 25.2% | 13 74.8% |
| Q1 - 5:24 | ORL | MISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot | 14 26.5% | 13 73.5% |
| Q1 - 5:45 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 14 25.2% | 13 74.8% |
| Q1 - 5:46 | MIA | MISS Kapono 15' Jump Shot | 14 25.8% | 13 74.2% |
| Q1 - 6:05 | ORL | Nelson Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 14 26.6% | 13 73.4% |
| Q1 - 6:10 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 14 28.2% | 11 71.8% |
| Q1 - 6:12 | MIA | MISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot | 14 28.7% | 11 71.3% |
| Q1 - 6:34 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 14 29.9% | 11 70.1% |
| Q1 - 6:34 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 14 30.5% | 10 69.5% |
| Q1 - 6:34 | ORL | Nelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 14 31.6% | 9 68.4% |
| Q1 - 6:36 | ORL | MISS Nelson Driving Layup | 14 32.9% | 9 67.1% |
| Q1 - 6:45 | MIA | Payton 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 14 31.6% | 9 68.4% |
| Q1 - 7:07 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 12 29.3% | 9 70.7% |
| Q1 - 7:07 | ORL | Howard Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 12 29.8% | 8 70.2% |
| Q1 - 7:21 | MIA | Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Posey 1 AST) | 12 30.8% | 7 69.2% |
| Q1 - 7:27 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 9 27.8% | 7 72.2% |
| Q1 - 7:29 | ORL | MISS Howard Layup | 9 27.3% | 7 72.7% |
| Q1 - 7:49 | MIA | Mourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 9 26.1% | 7 73.9% |
| Q1 - 7:49 | MIA | Mourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 8 25.7% | 7 74.3% |
| Q1 - 8:06 | ORL | Howard Reverse Layup (2 PTS) | 7 24.7% | 7 75.3% |
| Q1 - 8:07 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 7 26.0% | 5 74.0% |
| Q1 - 8:09 | ORL | MISS Turkoglu 11' Jump Shot | 7 27.1% | 5 72.9% |
| Q1 - 8:18 | ORL | Turkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 7 26.0% | 5 74.0% |
| Q1 - 8:20 | MIA | MISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot | 7 26.5% | 5 73.5% |
| Q1 - 8:41 | ORL | Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST) | 7 27.6% | 5 72.4% |
| Q1 - 9:00 | MIA | Payton 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 7 30.6% | 2 69.4% |
| Q1 - 9:25 | ORL | Battie 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST) | 5 29.1% | 2 70.9% |
| Q1 - 9:50 | MIA | Kapono 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST) | 5 30.3% | 0 69.7% |
| Q1 - 10:07 | MIA | Haslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 3 28.8% | 0 71.2% |
| Q1 - 10:09 | ORL | MISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 3 28.3% | 0 71.7% |
| Q1 - 10:25 | ORL | Bogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 3 27.1% | 0 72.9% |
| Q1 - 10:27 | MIA | MISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot | 3 27.6% | 0 72.4% |
| Q1 - 10:37 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 3 28.8% | 0 71.2% |
| Q1 - 10:39 | ORL | MISS Battie 9' Fadeaway Jumper | 3 28.3% | 0 71.7% |
| Q1 - 10:54 | MIA | Mourning 8' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST) | 3 27.1% | 0 72.9% |
| Q1 - 11:15 | MIA | Posey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 1 25.6% | 0 74.4% |
| Q1 - 11:17 | ORL | MISS Battie 11' Turnaround Jump Shot | 1 25.2% | 0 74.8% |
| Q1 - 11:18 | ORL | Battie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 1 24.3% | 0 75.7% |
| Q1 - 11:21 | ORL | MISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 1 25.2% | 0 74.8% |
| Q1 - 11:39 | ORL | Howard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 1 24.3% | 0 75.7% |
| Q1 - 11:40 | MIA | MISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 2 | 1 24.5% | 0 75.5% |
| Q1 - 11:40 | MIA | Mourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 1 25.2% | 0 74.8% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | ORL | Jump Ball Howard vs. Mourning: Tip to Payton | 0 24.2% | 0 75.8% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.86 43.0%
ORL
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
4
12
33%
ORL
19
30
63%
Midrange
MIA
12
39
31%
ORL
10
31
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
ORL
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
MIA
15
17
88%
ORL
27
33
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kapono | 15 | 83% | 7.5 / 9 | |
| D. Wright | 12 | 60% | 6.0 / 10 | |
| A. Mourning | 9 | 64% | 4.5 / 7 | |
| C. Quinn | 8 | 50% | 4.0 / 8 | |
| J. Posey | 7 | 50% | 3.5 / 7 | |
| G. Payton | 7 | 44% | 3.5 / 8 | |
| M. Doleac | 4 | 29% | 2.0 / 7 | |
| U. Haslem | 2 | 20% | 1.0 / 5 | |
| E. Barron | 2 | 17% | 1.0 / 6 | |
| R. Hite | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| A. Walker | 0 | - | 0.0 / 6 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Magic| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Howard | 18 | 75% | 9.0 / 12 | |
| T. Ariza | 16 | 73% | 8.0 / 11 | |
| T. Battie | 12 | 55% | 6.0 / 11 | |
| H. Turkoglu | 11 | 50% | 5.5 / 11 | |
| K. Bogans | 9 | 75% | 4.5 / 6 | |
| J. Redick | 9 | 113% | 4.5 / 4 | |
| J. Nelson | 7 | 39% | 3.5 / 9 | |
| D. Milicic | 5 | 28% | 2.5 / 9 | |
| C. Arroyo | 4 | 29% | 2.0 / 7 | |
| P. Garrity | 4 | 50% | 2.0 / 4 | |
| B. Outlaw | 2 | 100% | 1.0 / 1 | |
| T. Diener | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
71
+8
-15
79
ORL
77
+13
-8
90
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
0.86 43.0%
ORL
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 104.2 105.1 | MIA 79.1 +35.0 ORL 114.1 |
| Pace | 90.1 89.8 | MIA 80.0 ORL 92.8 +12.8 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.5 16.2 | MIA 18.0 ORL 15.5 +2.5 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 50.6% 50.0% | MIA 39.6% ORL 47.3% +7.7% |
| TO % | 15.3% 18.0% | MIA 18.6% ORL 10.2% +8.4% |
| ORB % | 24.9% 29.3% | MIA 16.3% ORL 27.8% +11.5% |
| FTrt | 32.1 39.3 | MIA 25.4 ORL 44.6 +19.2 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 57.6% 53.0% | MIA 73.9% +4.2% ORL 69.7% |
| STL % | 7.6% 7.6% | MIA 4.7% ORL 8.2% +3.5% |
| BLK % | 8.8% 8.5% | MIA 11.5% +3.7% ORL 7.8% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 52.4% 53.0% | MIA 43.0% ORL 53.3% +10.3% |
| Rim FG% | 61.8% 61.6% | MIA 33.3% ORL 63.3% +30.0% |
| Mid FG% | 40.5% 38.3% | MIA 30.8% ORL 32.3% +1.5% |
| 3P % | 34.3% 35.6% | MIA 43.8% +13.0% ORL 30.8% |
| FT % | 69.0% 70.2% | MIA 88.2% +6.4% ORL 81.8% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 34.9% 40.1% | MIA 17.9% ORL 40.5% +22.6% |
| Mid Att. % | 40.7% 44.1% | MIA 58.2% ORL 41.9% +16.3% |
| 3P Att. % | 24.5% 15.8% | MIA 23.9% +6.3% ORL 17.6% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
| Game Totals | MIA | ORL |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 86 | 85 |
| Possession Minutes | 25.8 | 22.0 |
| Points | 68 | 97 |
| Rebounds | 33 | 46 |
| Assists | 17 | 23 |
| Steals | 4 | 7 |
| Blocks | 7 | 4 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 15 (2) | 8 (2) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 7 (1) | 10 (3) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 26 (4) | 36 (1) |
| Field Goals | 23-67 | 33-74 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 4-12 | 19-30 |
| Midrange FG | 12-39 | 10-31 |
| 2-Point FG | 16-51 | 29-61 |
| 3-Point FG | 7-16 | 4-13 |
| Free Throws | 15-17 | 27-33 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.