Final Win Prob. pScore
2430%88
68
1370%95
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
79.18680.0
ORL logo Magic
114.18592.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL68
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)68
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot68
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLGarrity Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLGarrity Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIABarron S.FOUL (P2.PN)68
95
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0ORLMISS Garrity Layup68
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLRedick Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (9 PTS)68
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLRedick Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (8 PTS)68
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAWright C.P.FOUL (P4.PN)68
93
Q4 - 0:39.0MIARedick STEAL (2 STL)68
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0ORLOutlaw Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)68
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAOutlaw STEAL (1 STL)68
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 1:09ORLDiener Foul Turnover (P1.T10)68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:09ORLDiener OFF.Foul (P1)68
91
Q4 - 1:27MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)67
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27ORLGarrity S.FOUL (P2.T3)66
91
Q4 - 1:45ORLGarrity 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diener 2 AST)66
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00MIAHite Driving Layup (2 PTS)66
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23ORLRedick 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Diener 1 AST)64
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)64
87
Q4 - 2:37MIAWright P.FOUL (P3.T4)64
87
Q4 - 2:58MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hite 2 AST)64
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21ORLRedick 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)61
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hite 1 AST)61
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55ORLMISS Diener 22' Jump Shot59
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot59
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:10ORLAriza P.FOUL (P2.T2)59
84
Q4 - 4:22ORLAriza Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)59
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Quinn 19' Jump Shot59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44ORLRedick Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44ORLRedick Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
0.1%
81
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44MIASUB: Wright FOR Walker59
80
Q4 - 4:44MIAKapono S.FOUL (P2.T3)59
80
Q4 - 4:52ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Barron 7' Jump Shot59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11ORLSUB: Diener FOR Arroyo59
80
Q4 - 5:11ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:35ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:37MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:52MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 5:53ORLMISS Arroyo Finger Roll59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:12ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:14MIAMISS Hite 18' Jump Shot59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:29ORLSUB: Outlaw FOR Battie59
80
Q4 - 6:29MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 2)59
80
Q4 - 6:33MIAHite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:35ORLMISS Garrity 18' Jump Shot59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 6:55MIASUB: Barron FOR Doleac59
80
Q4 - 6:55MIASUB: Hite FOR Posey59
80
Q4 - 6:55MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)59
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 7:17MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 7:20ORLMISS Ariza 6' Jump Shot59
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 7:25MIARedick STEAL (1 STL)59
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 7:45ORLBattie 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)59
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 8:02ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 8:03ORLMISS Redick 10' Fadeaway Jumper59
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 8:22ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot59
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 8:35ORLGarrity Foul Turnover (P1.T8)59
0.5%
78
99.5%
Q4 - 8:35ORLGarrity OFF.Foul (P1)59
78
Q4 - 8:4359
78
Q4 - 8:43MIAPosey P.FOUL (P5.T2)59
78
Q4 - 8:58MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)59
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 8:58MIAPosey Follow Up Dunk (7 PTS)59
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMISS Doleac Layup57
0.3%
78
99.7%
Q4 - 9:04MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 9:05MIAMISS Posey Layup57
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 9:25ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)57
0.4%
78
99.6%
Q4 - 9:25ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)57
0.5%
77
99.5%
Q4 - 9:25ORLSUB: Battie FOR Milicic57
76
Q4 - 9:25MIASUB: Kapono FOR Wright57
76
Q4 - 9:25MIAQuinn S.FOUL (P1.T1)57
76
Q4 - 9:34ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q4 - 9:35MIAAriza BLOCK (1 BLK)57
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q4 - 9:49MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q4 - 9:51ORLMISS Milicic 9' Hook Shot57
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q4 - 10:04ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
0.7%
76
99.3%
Q4 - 10:06MIAMISS Quinn 12' Running Jump Shot57
0.8%
76
99.2%
Q4 - 10:21ORLAriza Driving Layup (14 PTS)57
0.9%
76
99.1%
Q4 - 10:39MIAWright Foul Turnover (P2.T13)57
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q4 - 10:39MIAWright OFF.Foul (P2)57
74
Q4 - 10:45MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q4 - 10:46ORLMISS Milicic 7' Hook Shot57
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q4 - 10:47ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q4 - 10:50ORLMISS Arroyo 20' Jump Shot57
1.3%
74
98.7%
Q4 - 10:56ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
1.1%
74
98.9%
Q4 - 10:57MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.2%
74
98.8%
Q4 - 11:00MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q4 - 11:02MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q4 - 11:14MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)57
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q4 - 11:16ORLMISS Milicic 8' Hook Shot57
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q4 - 11:33ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
1.4%
74
98.6%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMISS Doleac 13' Jump Shot57
1.5%
74
98.5%
Q4 - 11:47ORLRedick P.FOUL (P1.T1)57
74
Q4 - 12:0057
74
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA57
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLArroyo Foul Turnover (P1.T7)57
2.0%
74
98.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLArroyo OFF.Foul (P3)57
74
Q3 - 0:13.0ORLSUB: Redick FOR Ariza57
74
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)57
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot57
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
1.9%
74
98.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot57
1.8%
74
98.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
1.6%
74
98.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Wright Reverse Layup57
1.7%
74
98.3%
Q3 - 1:03ORLMilicic 7' Hook Shot (5 PTS)57
2.1%
74
97.9%
Q3 - 1:22MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
2.6%
72
97.4%
Q3 - 1:22MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)56
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 1:22ORLArroyo P.FOUL (P2.PN)55
72
Q3 - 1:28ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 1:28ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)55
2.2%
71
97.8%
Q3 - 1:28ORLSUB: Garrity FOR Howard55
70
Q3 - 1:28MIAWalker S.FOUL (P1.PN)55
70
Q3 - 1:32ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
2.6%
70
97.4%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q3 - 1:49ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)55
3.1%
70
96.9%
Q3 - 2:06MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)55
2.9%
70
97.1%
Q3 - 2:30ORLAriza 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)53
2.4%
70
97.6%
Q3 - 2:45MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q3 - 2:45MIAHeat Rebound52
68
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 252
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 2:45ORLArroyo S.FOUL (P1.PN)52
68
Q3 - 2:56MIASUB: Doleac FOR Haslem52
68
Q3 - 2:56MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 2)52
68
Q3 - 2:56ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)52
2.9%
68
97.1%
Q3 - 2:56ORLMAGIC Rebound52
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 2:56ORLMISS Ariza 18' Jump Shot52
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 3:03MIASUB: Walker FOR Kapono52
68
Q3 - 3:21MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)52
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 3:21ORLSUB: Milicic FOR Battie51
68
Q3 - 3:21ORLSUB: Arroyo FOR Nelson51
68
Q3 - 3:21MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)51
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 3:21ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P1.T4)50
68
Q3 - 3:30ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)50
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q3 - 3:37ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
1.9%
68
98.1%
Q3 - 3:39MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot50
2.0%
68
98.0%
Q3 - 3:54ORLBattie Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)50
2.2%
68
97.8%
Q3 - 4:12MIASUB: Quinn FOR Payton50
66
Q3 - 4:12MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)50
66
Q3 - 4:12ORLMAGIC Rebound50
2.8%
66
97.2%
Q3 - 4:12ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 4:34ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
2.8%
66
97.2%
Q3 - 4:35MIAMISS Haslem 12' Jump Shot50
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 4:53MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
3.4%
66
96.6%
Q3 - 4:56ORLMISS Ariza Layup50
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q3 - 5:01MIAAriza STEAL (2 STL)50
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 5:12MIAHeat Rebound50
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q3 - 5:13ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 5:19ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 5:21MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 5:25MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q3 - 5:27ORLMISS Nelson Layup50
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 5:31ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS Payton 6' Jump Shot50
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 5:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q3 - 5:38MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot50
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 5:58ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)50
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q3 - 5:58ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)50
3.9%
65
96.1%
Q3 - 5:58MIAPosey S.FOUL (P4.T3)50
64
Q3 - 6:08ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)50
64
Q3 - 6:08MIASUB: Posey FOR Mourning50
64
Q3 - 6:08MIAMourning P.FOUL (P4.T2)50
64
Q3 - 6:16MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS)50
4.6%
64
95.4%
Q3 - 6:39ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)48
4.0%
64
96.0%
Q3 - 7:02MIAPayton 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Kapono 3 AST)48
5.7%
61
94.3%
Q3 - 7:21ORLAriza Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)45
4.3%
61
95.7%
Q3 - 7:38ORLSUB: Ariza FOR Bogans45
59
Q3 - 7:38MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T10)45
4.9%
59
95.1%
Q3 - 7:38MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P3)45
59
Q3 - 7:46ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)45
5.7%
59
94.3%
Q3 - 8:04MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)45
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q3 - 8:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
9.0%
56
91.0%
Q3 - 8:07ORLMISS Battie Layup45
8.6%
56
91.4%
Q3 - 8:23ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q3 - 8:25ORLMISS Bogans 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
8.6%
56
91.4%
Q3 - 8:40MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)45
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q3 - 8:44MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
5.9%
56
94.1%
Q3 - 8:48MIAHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)42
5.3%
56
94.7%
Q3 - 8:53ORLBogans P.FOUL (P2.T3)42
56
Q3 - 9:07MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 2)42
56
Q3 - 9:07ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)42
6.1%
56
93.9%
Q3 - 9:19ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
5.3%
56
94.7%
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS Payton 19' Jump Shot42
5.5%
56
94.5%
Q3 - 9:45ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
6.1%
56
93.9%
Q3 - 9:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)42
7.0%
54
93.0%
Q3 - 9:53MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot42
7.3%
54
92.7%
Q3 - 10:05ORLBogans P.FOUL (P1.T2)42
54
Q3 - 10:16ORLBattie 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)42
8.3%
54
91.7%
Q3 - 10:37MIAWright 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)42
9.4%
52
90.6%
Q3 - 10:51ORLHoward P.FOUL (P2.T1)40
52
Q3 - 11:01ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)40
8.6%
52
91.4%
Q3 - 11:01ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)40
8.8%
51
91.2%
Q3 - 11:01MIAPayton S.FOUL (P2.T1)40
50
Q3 - 11:23MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)40
9.7%
50
90.3%
Q3 - 11:44ORLBattie 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS)37
7.6%
50
92.4%
Q3 - 12:0037
48
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA37
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)37
9.9%
48
90.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)37
10.3%
47
89.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAPosey S.FOUL (P3.PN)37
46
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
11.5%
46
88.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Barron Layup37
11.8%
46
88.2%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAHeat Rebound37
12.6%
46
87.4%
Q2 - 0:24.0ORLMISS Howard Layup37
12.2%
46
87.8%
Q2 - 0:37.0ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
11.5%
46
88.5%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot37
11.8%
46
88.2%
Q2 - 1:00ORLSUB: Arroyo FOR Nelson37
46
Q2 - 1:00MIASUB: Doleac FOR Mourning37
46
Q2 - 1:00MIAHeat Rebound37
12.6%
46
87.4%
Q2 - 1:03ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMourning Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Barron 1 AST)37
11.7%
46
88.3%
Q2 - 1:34ORLNelson P.FOUL (P2.T2)35
46
Q2 - 1:47ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)35
10.1%
46
89.9%
Q2 - 2:03MIAPosey Layup (5 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)35
11.6%
44
88.4%
Q2 - 2:23MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)33
10.4%
44
89.6%
Q2 - 2:26ORLMISS Turkoglu 11' Jump Shot33
10.1%
44
89.9%
Q2 - 2:49MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
9.3%
44
90.7%
Q2 - 2:49MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
9.0%
44
91.0%
Q2 - 2:49ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)31
44
Q2 - 2:49ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.T1)31
44
Q2 - 3:03ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
8.5%
44
91.5%
Q2 - 3:03ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
8.6%
43
91.4%
Q2 - 3:03MIASUB: Wright FOR Kapono31
42
Q2 - 3:03MIABarron S.FOUL (P1.PN)31
42
Q2 - 3:08MIANelson STEAL (1 STL)31
9.3%
42
90.7%
Q2 - 3:16MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
10.6%
42
89.4%
Q2 - 3:18ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot31
10.2%
42
89.8%
Q2 - 3:22ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
9.3%
42
90.7%
Q2 - 3:24MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
9.7%
42
90.3%
Q2 - 3:47MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
10.6%
42
89.4%
Q2 - 3:49ORLMISS Howard Layup31
10.2%
42
89.8%
Q2 - 4:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)31
9.5%
42
90.5%
Q2 - 4:05MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot31
9.9%
42
90.1%
Q2 - 4:14MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)31
42
Q2 - 4:22ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)31
10.7%
42
89.3%
Q2 - 4:29ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
11.8%
40
88.2%
Q2 - 4:32MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)31
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 4:59ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)31
13.3%
40
86.7%
Q2 - 5:11ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Arroyo31
38
Q2 - 5:11ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Milicic31
38
Q2 - 5:11ORLSUB: Howard FOR Bogans31
38
Q2 - 5:11MIASUB: Payton FOR Quinn31
38
Q2 - 5:11MIASUB: Barron FOR Walker31
38
Q2 - 5:11MIAMourning P.FOUL (P2.T4)31
38
Q2 - 5:20ORLAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
15.0%
38
85.0%
Q2 - 5:22MIAMISS Kapono 19' Fadeaway Jumper31
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 5:25MIAHeat Rebound31
16.5%
38
83.5%
Q2 - 5:25MIAMilicic BLOCK (1 BLK)31
15.4%
38
84.6%
Q2 - 5:43MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
16.5%
38
83.5%
Q2 - 5:44ORLMISS Milicic 14' Jump Shot31
16.0%
38
84.0%
Q2 - 6:01ORLMAGIC Rebound31
15.1%
38
84.9%
Q2 - 6:02MIAMISS Posey 27' 3PT Jump Shot31
15.6%
38
84.4%
Q2 - 6:10MIASUB: Posey FOR Wright31
38
Q2 - 6:25MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
16.9%
38
83.1%
Q2 - 6:27ORLMISS Battie 13' Jump Shot31
16.3%
38
83.7%
Q2 - 6:43ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
15.1%
38
84.9%
Q2 - 6:45MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
15.6%
38
84.4%
Q2 - 6:57ORLAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)31
16.9%
38
83.1%
Q2 - 7:12MIAWright Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)31
15.2%
38
84.8%
Q2 - 7:19ORLBogans Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)31
16.7%
38
83.3%
Q2 - 7:19MIAHaslem T.FOUL (P3.T3)31
37
Q2 - 7:19MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem31
37
Q2 - 7:19MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)31
37
Q2 - 7:29ORLAriza Reverse Dunk (6 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)31
18.4%
37
81.6%
Q2 - 7:32MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P3.T3)31
35
Q2 - 7:52MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T6)31
20.1%
35
79.9%
Q2 - 7:52MIAMourning OFF.Foul (P1)31
35
Q2 - 8:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
22.1%
35
77.9%
Q2 - 8:09ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot31
21.5%
35
78.5%
Q2 - 8:23MIAKapono Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)31
20.3%
35
79.7%
Q2 - 8:27MIASUB: Haslem FOR Walker31
35
Q2 - 8:2731
35
Q2 - 8:40MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
22.0%
35
78.0%
Q2 - 8:42ORLMISS Arroyo Driving Layup31
21.5%
35
78.5%
Q2 - 8:49ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
20.3%
35
79.7%
Q2 - 8:51MIAMISS Wright 13' Jump Shot31
20.8%
35
79.2%
Q2 - 9:16ORLBogans Driving Layup (5 PTS)31
21.9%
35
78.1%
Q2 - 9:23ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
23.8%
33
76.2%
Q2 - 9:25MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
24.4%
33
75.6%
Q2 - 9:37ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)31
25.9%
33
74.1%
Q2 - 9:37ORLMAGIC Rebound31
32
Q2 - 9:37ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 231
26.6%
32
73.4%
Q2 - 9:37MIASUB: Mourning FOR Doleac31
32
Q2 - 9:37ORLSUB: Battie FOR Howard31
32
Q2 - 9:37MIAWright S.FOUL (P1.T2)31
32
Q2 - 9:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)31
25.8%
32
74.2%
Q2 - 9:48MIAMISS Walker Running Hook Shot31
26.5%
32
73.5%
Q2 - 9:58MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
28.0%
32
72.0%
Q2 - 10:00ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot31
27.3%
32
72.7%
Q2 - 10:21MIAWright 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)31
25.9%
32
74.1%
Q2 - 10:42MIAHeat Rebound29
23.9%
32
76.1%
Q2 - 10:42ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
22.0%
32
78.0%
Q2 - 10:42ORLMISS Milicic Layup29
23.4%
32
76.6%
Q2 - 10:43ORLMISS Bogans 14' Jump Shot29
23.4%
32
76.6%
Q2 - 10:58MIADoleac Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)29
22.0%
32
78.0%
Q2 - 11:08ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)29
24.1%
32
75.9%
Q2 - 11:08MIADoleac S.FOUL (P2.T1)29
31
Q2 - 11:08ORLHoward Layup (9 PTS)29
31
Q2 - 11:28MIAQuinn 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)29
28.0%
29
72.0%
Q2 - 11:46ORLArroyo Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)27
26.0%
29
74.0%
Q2 - 12:0027
27
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL27
28.0%
27
72.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound27
28.0%
27
72.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
28.9%
27
71.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAAriza STEAL (1 STL)27
27.9%
27
72.1%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
29.4%
27
70.6%
Q1 - 0:09.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
28.9%
27
71.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)27
27.9%
27
72.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Doleac 15' Jump Shot27
28.4%
27
71.6%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
29.5%
27
70.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0ORLMISS Milicic 6' Jump Shot27
29.0%
27
71.0%
Q1 - 1:01MIAWright 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
27.9%
27
72.1%
Q1 - 1:03MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
25.5%
27
74.5%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Walker 3PT Jump Shot25
24.6%
27
75.4%
Q1 - 1:29ORLMilicic Layup (2 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)25
25.4%
27
74.6%
Q1 - 1:36ORLMAGIC Rebound25
25
Q1 - 1:36ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw Technical25
27.9%
25
72.1%
Q1 - 1:36MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Doleac )25
25
Q1 - 1:49MIAQuinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)25
27.9%
25
72.1%
Q1 - 2:07MIAPosey S.FOUL (P2.PN)22
25
Q1 - 2:07ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
23.9%
25
76.1%
Q1 - 2:07MIASUB: Kapono FOR Posey22
24
Q1 - 2:07ORLMAGIC Rebound22
24
Q1 - 2:07ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 222
24.4%
24
75.6%
Q1 - 2:07ORLSUB: Arroyo FOR Nelson22
24
Q1 - 2:07ORLSUB: Milicic FOR Battie22
24
Q1 - 2:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)22
24.2%
24
75.8%
Q1 - 2:09ORLMISS Battie Free Throw 1 of 122
25.4%
24
74.6%
Q1 - 2:09MIASUB: Quinn FOR Payton22
24
Q1 - 2:09MIADoleac AWAY.FROM.PLAY.FOUL (P1.PN)22
24
Q1 - 2:09ORLAriza Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)22
24
Q1 - 2:23MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)22
27.7%
22
72.3%
Q1 - 2:44ORLAriza Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)20
25.6%
22
74.4%
Q1 - 2:49MIATurkoglu STEAL (1 STL)20
27.8%
20
72.2%
Q1 - 3:01ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)20
29.2%
20
70.8%
Q1 - 3:18MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
27.4%
20
72.6%
Q1 - 3:18MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
27.0%
20
73.0%
Q1 - 3:18MIASUB: Walker FOR Haslem18
20
Q1 - 3:18ORLAriza S.FOUL (P1.T3)18
20
Q1 - 3:32MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
25.6%
20
74.4%
Q1 - 3:35ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 218
25.4%
20
74.6%
Q1 - 3:35ORLMAGIC Rebound18
20
Q1 - 3:35ORLMISS Ariza Free Throw 1 of 218
24.5%
20
75.5%
Q1 - 3:35MIASUB: Wright FOR Kapono18
20
Q1 - 3:35MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P2.PN)18
20
Q1 - 3:54MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)18
23.9%
20
76.1%
Q1 - 4:07MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)15
21.4%
20
78.6%
Q1 - 4:07ORLMAGIC T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Battie )14
20
Q1 - 4:13ORLSUB: Ariza FOR Bogans14
20
Q1 - 4:13MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)14
20
Q1 - 4:18ORLTurkoglu Reverse Layup (2 PTS)14
20.1%
20
79.9%
Q1 - 4:34MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)14
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 4:59ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)14
23.0%
18
77.0%
Q1 - 4:59MIASUB: Doleac FOR Mourning14
17
Q1 - 4:59MIAPayton S.FOUL (P1.T4)14
17
Q1 - 4:59ORLNelson Driving Layup (4 PTS)14
17
Q1 - 5:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
25.8%
15
74.2%
Q1 - 5:05MIAMISS Payton Layup14
26.4%
15
73.6%
Q1 - 5:19ORLBattie Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)14
27.6%
15
72.4%
Q1 - 5:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
28.9%
13
71.1%
Q1 - 5:24ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot14
30.2%
13
69.8%
Q1 - 5:38ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
13
Q1 - 5:38MIAKapono P.FOUL (P1.T3)14
13
Q1 - 5:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)14
28.9%
13
71.1%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Kapono 15' Jump Shot14
29.5%
13
70.5%
Q1 - 6:05ORLNelson Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
30.2%
13
69.8%
Q1 - 6:10ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
31.8%
11
68.2%
Q1 - 6:12MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot14
32.3%
11
67.7%
Q1 - 6:34ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)14
33.4%
11
66.6%
Q1 - 6:34ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
33.9%
10
66.1%
Q1 - 6:34MIAPosey S.FOUL (P1.T2)14
9
Q1 - 6:34ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
34.9%
9
65.1%
Q1 - 6:36ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup14
36.1%
9
63.9%
Q1 - 6:45MIAPayton 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
34.9%
9
65.1%
Q1 - 7:07ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
33.0%
9
67.0%
Q1 - 7:07ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
33.5%
8
66.5%
Q1 - 7:07MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T1)12
7
Q1 - 7:21MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)12
34.3%
7
65.7%
Q1 - 7:27MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
31.5%
7
68.5%
Q1 - 7:29ORLMISS Howard Layup9
31.0%
7
69.0%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
29.9%
7
70.1%
Q1 - 7:49MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
29.5%
7
70.5%
Q1 - 7:49ORLBattie S.FOUL (P1.T2)7
7
Q1 - 8:06ORLHoward Reverse Layup (2 PTS)7
28.5%
7
71.5%
Q1 - 8:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
29.8%
5
70.2%
Q1 - 8:09ORLMISS Turkoglu 11' Jump Shot7
30.7%
5
69.3%
Q1 - 8:18ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
29.8%
5
70.2%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot7
30.2%
5
69.8%
Q1 - 8:41ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)7
31.1%
5
68.9%
Q1 - 9:00MIAPayton 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
33.4%
2
66.6%
Q1 - 9:25ORLBattie 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)5
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 9:50MIAKapono 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)5
32.6%
0
67.4%
Q1 - 10:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
31.2%
0
68.8%
Q1 - 10:09ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
30.9%
0
69.1%
Q1 - 10:25ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
30.4%
0
69.6%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMISS Mourning 16' Jump Shot3
30.6%
0
69.4%
Q1 - 10:37MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 10:39ORLMISS Battie 9' Fadeaway Jumper3
30.8%
0
69.2%
Q1 - 10:54MIAMourning 8' Hook Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)3
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 11:15MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 11:17ORLMISS Battie 11' Turnaround Jump Shot1
29.7%
0
70.3%
Q1 - 11:18ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)1
29.5%
0
70.5%
Q1 - 11:21ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot1
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 11:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 21
29.9%
0
70.1%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
30.0%
0
70.0%
Q1 - 11:40ORLNelson S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Mourning: Tip to Payton0
30.2%
0
69.8%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.0%
ORL
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
4
12
33%
ORL
19
30
63%
Midrange
MIA
12
39
31%
ORL
10
31
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
ORL
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
MIA
15
17
88%
ORL
27
33
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Kapono1583%7.5 / 9
D. Wright1260%6.0 / 10
A. Mourning964%4.5 / 7
C. Quinn850%4.0 / 8
J. Posey750%3.5 / 7
G. Payton744%3.5 / 8
M. Doleac429%2.0 / 7
U. Haslem220%1.0 / 5
E. Barron217%1.0 / 6
R. Hite250%1.0 / 2
A. Walker0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard1875%9.0 / 12
T. Ariza1673%8.0 / 11
T. Battie1255%6.0 / 11
H. Turkoglu1150%5.5 / 11
K. Bogans975%4.5 / 6
J. Redick9113%4.5 / 4
J. Nelson739%3.5 / 9
D. Milicic528%2.5 / 9
C. Arroyo429%2.0 / 7
P. Garrity450%2.0 / 4
B. Outlaw2100%1.0 / 1
T. Diener0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+8
-15
79
ORL
77
+13
-8
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.86 43.0%
ORL
1.07 53.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
105.1
MIA 79.1
ORL 114.1 +35.0
Pace
90.1
89.8
MIA 80.0
ORL 92.8 +12.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.2
MIA 18.0
ORL 15.5 −2.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
50.0%
MIA 39.6%
ORL 47.3% +7.7%
TO %
15.3%
18.0%
MIA 18.6%
ORL 10.2% −8.4%
ORB %
24.9%
29.3%
MIA 16.3%
ORL 27.8% +11.5%
FTrt
32.1
39.3
MIA 25.4
ORL 44.6 +19.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
53.0%
MIA 73.9% +4.2%
ORL 69.7%
STL %
7.6%
7.6%
MIA 4.7%
ORL 8.2% +3.5%
BLK %
8.8%
8.5%
MIA 11.5% +3.7%
ORL 7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
53.0%
MIA 43.0%
ORL 53.3% +10.3%
Rim FG%
61.8%
61.6%
MIA 33.3%
ORL 63.3% +30.0%
Mid FG%
40.5%
38.3%
MIA 30.8%
ORL 32.3% +1.5%
3P %
34.3%
35.6%
MIA 43.8% +13.0%
ORL 30.8%
FT %
69.0%
70.2%
MIA 88.2% +6.4%
ORL 81.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
40.1%
MIA 17.9%
ORL 40.5% +22.6%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
44.1%
MIA 58.2%
ORL 41.9% −16.3%
3P Att. %
24.5%
15.8%
MIA 23.9% +6.3%
ORL 17.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions8685
Possession Minutes25.822.0
Points6897
Rebounds3346
Assists1723
Steals47
Blocks74
Turnovers (Team)15 (2)8 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (1)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (4)36 (1)
Field Goals23-6733-74
At-the-Rim FG4-1219-30
Midrange FG12-3910-31
2-Point FG16-5129-61
3-Point FG7-164-13
Free Throws15-1727-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 215 · 26
37.9
15
83%
2
3
0
0
3
2
0
2
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
4-4
100%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
27.3
7
50%
8
1
1
0
1
5
1
7
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
22.8
7
44%
3
3
0
0
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
33%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
21.5
9
64%
1
0
0
2
2
4
0
1
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
18.9
2
20%
3
2
0
0
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
31.8
12
60%
5
2
2
2
2
4
1
4
2-2
100%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
25.2
8
50%
1
2
0
0
2
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
19.3
0
0%
3
1
1
0
1
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-4
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
16.4
4
29%
5
0
0
2
1
2
2
3
2-2
100%
1-6
17%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
12.1
2
17%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-5
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 184 · 23
6.9
2
50%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
68
43%
33
17
4
7
15
0
7
26
15-17
88%
16-51
31%
7-16
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.