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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 30, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Cavaliers39%9196
8Bulls61%94103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.0
40.3
41.0
33
60%
9
3
1
1
0
5
2
7
0-3
0%
12-22
8-17
55%
50%
3-4
75%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.9
38.9
35.1
15
46%
3
1
1
2
0
1
0
3
4-5
80%
4-12
5-11
33%
43%
1-2
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.6
30.7
28.1
14
50%
9
2
0
1
2
5
4
5
2-2
100%
6-13
5-11
46%
47%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
30.2
29.1
8
42%
12
0
0
1
2
3
6
6
0-1
0%
4-9
5-11
44%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.7
20.4
33.1
2
35%
1
3
0
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
2-6
0%
41%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
24.3
25.5
12
50%
7
3
1
1
0
0
5
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
47%
2-5
40%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.8
23.1
13.9
5
63%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
1-2
50%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.3
13.6
17.0
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
10.8
18.2
2
35%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.1
7.8
2.5
3
75%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
1-1
100%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 31.9
2.4
0
0-0
42%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.1
1.3
0
0-0
43%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.1
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.6
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
42.4
37.5
32
80%
6
1
1
1
0
1
3
3
2-2
100%
15-19
7-14
79%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.3
41.4
25.7
8
36%
2
11
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
0-4
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.3
22.1
33.8
2
17%
2
1
1
2
0
1
2
0
0-4
0%
1-4
3-6
25%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.1
16.7
24.9
6
33%
8
0
0
0
1
1
5
3
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
50%
0-2
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
12.5
12.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.7
34.9
30.9
21
52%
4
7
2
1
0
4
1
3
5-5
100%
8-17
5-11
47%
45%
0-1
0%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.2
31.6
17.8
13
53%
10
1
1
0
0
1
4
6
3-3
100%
5-11
2-5
45%
45%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
15.2
3.5
10
56%
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
6
0-0
-
5-9
1-1
56%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.2
10.2
6.9
6
77%
5
1
0
0
2
0
2
3
0-2
0%
3-3
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.5
7.6
3.1
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.4
5.6
11.5
3
52%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.9
5.2
0
1-1
42%
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.4
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.8
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.