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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 30, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Warriors36%10196
5Kings64%106119
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 26.8
37.4
36.0
17
51%
6
0
2
1
0
1
0
6
6-8
75%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
3-10
30%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.7
33.4
37.7
8
30%
6
4
1
2
0
2
3
3
1-1
100%
2-8
6-13
25%
45%
1-5
20%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.9
24.7
34.3
8
34%
1
1
0
1
0
4
0
1
2-4
50%
3-7
4-7
43%
51%
0-3
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.7
20.5
30.8
5
43%
5
0
0
1
0
2
2
3
1-4
25%
2-4
5-8
50%
60%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 25.9
14.6
28.3
5
28%
3
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
1-2
50%
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.3
28.6
28.4
13
33%
8
4
1
1
0
2
5
3
2-2
100%
4-13
3-7
31%
48%
1-6
17%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.2
26.1
15.9
17
94%
3
3
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
38%
3-3
100%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.7
20.9
9.5
4
34%
8
4
0
0
0
0
1
7
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
17.9
8.9
16
82%
5
1
0
0
1
5
2
3
4-4
100%
6-8
2-3
75%
49%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.8
12.3
8.1
2
35%
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
1
0-2
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.5
3.5
3.0
1
27%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.2
12.5
0
2-4
49%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.6
Anthony Roberson
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.6
31.4
35.1
21
67%
3
6
1
1
0
3
0
3
5-6
83%
5-7
5-10
71%
47%
2-6
33%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.9
30.2
32.5
25
81%
6
1
2
1
0
1
1
5
10-10
100%
3-8
5-8
38%
53%
3-3
100%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.7
21.7
32.3
10
105%
0
4
0
1
0
3
0
0
4-4
100%
3-3
5-10
100%
51%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.1
18.1
29.5
2
20%
3
2
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
48%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.1
12.4
29.2
0
0%
6
2
1
2
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
0-3
4-8
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
34.3
11.0
13
39%
7
0
2
0
4
1
1
6
2-4
50%
1-7
1-2
14%
49%
3-8
38%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.6
29.9
7.3
21
78%
5
1
3
0
1
1
1
4
1-1
100%
7-9
1-2
78%
47%
2-4
50%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.1
26.3
22.6
12
61%
8
3
1
1
1
1
2
6
2-2
100%
5-8
4-7
63%
52%
0-1
0%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.1
23.1
19.5
13
53%
7
3
4
0
0
2
3
4
9-12
75%
2-7
3-7
29%
49%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.5
12.6
2.9
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-2
0%
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 30.2
4.4
0
1-1
46%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.7
4.1
0
0-1
45%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.4
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.