FinalWin Prob.pScore
2913%86
81
387%101
95
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
88.09293.3
SAS logo SAS
102.29391.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL81
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASVaughn 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)81
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ivey 2 AST)81
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0SASOberto 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)78
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASMISS Oberto 16' Jump Shot78
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16SASBonner REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)78
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17ATLMISS Stoudamire Free Throw 2 of 278
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17ATLStoudamire Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)78
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28SASParker 3' Layup (27 PTS)77
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34ATLWilliams 1' Layup (10 PTS)77
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40SASFinley 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)75
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45SASBonner REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)75
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47ATLMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot75
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57SASParker 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS)75
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)75
0.2%
85
99.8%
Q4 - 2:30SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)72
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 272
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38ATLChildress 1' Layup (19 PTS) (Claxton 8 AST)72
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46ATLMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot70
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)70
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 2:57SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)70
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 3:02ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Layup70
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 3:11ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 3:14SASMISS Finley 18' Jump Shot70
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 3:33ATLJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)70
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 3:59SASParker 3' Layup (20 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)67
0.1%
82
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03ATLParker STEAL (1 STL)67
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 4:15SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T18)67
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 4:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)67
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 4:19ATLMISS Shel. Williams 5' Jump Shot67
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 4:26ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)67
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 4:28SASMISS Parker 2' Layup67
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 4:35SASFinley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)67
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 4:38SASMISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot67
0.2%
80
99.8%
Q4 - 5:03ATLShel. Williams Traveling Turnover (P2.T20)67
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 5:18SASHorry Foul Turnover (P1.T17)67
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 5:18SASSPURS Rebound67
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 5:20SASMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot67
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 5:35ATLShel. Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T19)67
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 5:38ATLHawks Rebound67
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 5:38ATLDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)67
0.3%
80
99.7%
Q4 - 6:00SASBarry 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)67
0.4%
80
99.6%
Q4 - 6:08SASBonner REBOUND (Off:7 Def:2)67
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 6:09SASMISS Parker 5' Running Jump Shot67
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q4 - 6:38ATLClaxton 2' Layup (6 PTS)67
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 6:44ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 6:46SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 7:03SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 7:06ATLMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 7:14ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 7:16SASMISS Finley 1' Layup65
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 7:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 7:24ATLMISS Shel. Williams 5' Jump Shot65
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 7:38SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)65
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 7:38SASSPURS Rebound65
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 7:38SASMISS Barry 17' Jump Shot65
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 8:04ATLChildress 10' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Claxton 7 AST)65
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 8:18ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 8:20SASMISS Bonner 5' Hook Shot63
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 8:29SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q4 - 8:33ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 8:33ATLBonner BLOCK (1 BLK)63
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q4 - 8:36ATLOberto BLOCK (1 BLK)63
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q4 - 8:39SASUdrih Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T15)63
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 8:41SASBonner REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)63
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q4 - 8:43ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot63
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q4 - 8:54ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)63
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 8:57SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot63
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 9:15ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)63
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 9:15ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)62
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 9:37SASBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
0.6%
77
99.4%
Q4 - 9:37SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
0.6%
76
99.4%
Q4 - 9:41SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
0.7%
75
99.3%
Q4 - 9:43ATLMISS Claxton 16' Jump Shot61
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q4 - 9:53SASOberto 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST)61
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q4 - 10:03ATLJohnson Traveling Turnover (P8.T18)61
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q4 - 10:17ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)61
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q4 - 10:18SASMISS Barry 20' Jump Shot61
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q4 - 10:34SASBonner REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)61
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q4 - 10:35ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot61
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q4 - 10:47SASGinobili 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Bonner 3 AST)61
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q4 - 11:00SASSPURS Rebound61
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q4 - 11:01ATLMISS Stoudamire 22' Jump Shot61
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q4 - 11:21SASBarry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
2.9%
71
97.1%
Q4 - 11:21SASBarry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)61
3.0%
70
97.0%
Q4 - 11:23ATLBarry STEAL (2 STL)61
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q4 - 11:45SASUdrih 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Barry 1 AST)61
4.4%
69
95.6%
Q4 - 11:49ATLGinobili STEAL (1 STL)61
5.4%
67
94.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS61
6.6%
67
93.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound61
5.4%
67
94.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q3 - 0:10.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
5.6%
67
94.4%
Q3 - 0:12.0ATLMISS Stoudamire 17' Jump Shot61
5.9%
67
94.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:6 Def:0)61
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASBonner 1' Layup (8 PTS)61
6.8%
67
93.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0SASMISS Oberto Layup61
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 0:51.0ATLChildress Foul Turnover (P1.T15)61
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASOberto Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)61
9.9%
65
90.1%
Q3 - 1:08SASBonner REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)61
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 1:10SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
9.3%
65
90.7%
Q3 - 1:30ATLStoudamire 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)61
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 1:46SASGinobili 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)59
6.9%
65
93.1%
Q3 - 1:59ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)59
8.2%
63
91.8%
Q3 - 1:59ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
8.0%
63
92.0%
Q3 - 2:09SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)57
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q3 - 2:09SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 257
7.2%
62
92.8%
Q3 - 2:17ATLClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)57
6.9%
62
93.1%
Q3 - 2:17ATLClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)56
6.6%
62
93.4%
Q3 - 2:28ATLHawks Rebound55
5.9%
62
94.1%
Q3 - 2:29SASMISS Bonner Free Throw 1 of 155
5.7%
62
94.3%
Q3 - 2:29ATLBonner STEAL (1 STL)55
6.9%
60
93.1%
Q3 - 2:31ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
8.3%
60
91.7%
Q3 - 2:32SASMISS Parker 2' Layup55
7.8%
60
92.2%
Q3 - 2:55ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
6.9%
60
93.1%
Q3 - 2:55ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
6.6%
60
93.4%
Q3 - 3:01ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
6.1%
60
93.9%
Q3 - 3:03SASMISS Bowen 2' Layup53
5.8%
60
94.2%
Q3 - 3:08ATLBowen STEAL (1 STL)53
5.1%
60
94.9%
Q3 - 3:16ATLHawks Rebound53
6.1%
60
93.9%
Q3 - 3:17ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot53
5.4%
60
94.6%
Q3 - 3:33SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)53
6.1%
60
93.9%
Q3 - 3:49ATLShel. Williams 3' Layup (9 PTS) (Claxton 6 AST)53
8.4%
57
91.6%
Q3 - 4:10SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)51
7.2%
57
92.8%
Q3 - 4:26ATLJohnson 6' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Claxton 5 AST)51
6.0%
57
94.0%
Q3 - 4:42SASDuncan 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)49
5.2%
57
94.8%
Q3 - 5:00ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)49
6.0%
55
94.0%
Q3 - 5:12SASParker Foul Turnover (P3.T12)46
4.6%
55
95.4%
Q3 - 5:28ATLChildress 3' Layup (13 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)46
3.8%
55
96.2%
Q3 - 5:33SASBowen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)44
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q3 - 5:39ATLBarry STEAL (1 STL)44
2.8%
55
97.2%
Q3 - 5:56SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)44
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q3 - 6:00SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)44
2.8%
55
97.2%
Q3 - 6:01ATLMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot44
3.1%
55
96.9%
Q3 - 6:19SASParker 4' Jump Shot (15 PTS)44
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q3 - 6:35ATLChildress 2' Layup (11 PTS)44
3.9%
53
96.1%
Q3 - 6:37ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
3.4%
53
96.6%
Q3 - 6:40ATLMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
3.0%
53
97.0%
Q3 - 6:53SASGinobili 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)42
3.4%
53
96.6%
Q3 - 7:13SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
4.1%
51
95.9%
Q3 - 7:15ATLMISS Shel. Williams 19' Jump Shot42
4.3%
51
95.7%
Q3 - 7:38ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)42
4.8%
51
95.2%
Q3 - 7:39SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot42
4.6%
51
95.4%
Q3 - 7:59SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)42
4.1%
51
95.9%
Q3 - 8:00SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 142
4.7%
51
95.3%
Q3 - 8:12ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)42
5.5%
49
94.5%
Q3 - 8:32SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)42
6.5%
49
93.5%
Q3 - 8:32SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 242
6.7%
48
93.3%
Q3 - 8:36SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
6.4%
48
93.6%
Q3 - 8:38ATLMISS Pachulia 9' Jump Shot42
6.7%
48
93.3%
Q3 - 8:49SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)42
7.5%
48
92.5%
Q3 - 9:15ATLShel. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
6.3%
48
93.7%
Q3 - 9:45SASDuncan 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)39
4.8%
48
95.2%
Q3 - 9:59ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)39
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q3 - 10:08SASDuncan 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)39
6.3%
46
93.7%
Q3 - 10:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
7.0%
44
93.0%
Q3 - 10:19ATLMISS Shel. Williams 5' Jump Shot39
7.4%
44
92.6%
Q3 - 10:39SASParker 1' Layup (12 PTS)39
8.1%
44
91.9%
Q3 - 10:45SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
9.1%
42
90.9%
Q3 - 10:46ATLMISS Pachulia 1' Layup39
9.6%
42
90.4%
Q3 - 11:09ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
10.1%
42
89.9%
Q3 - 11:11SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot39
9.8%
42
90.2%
Q3 - 11:33SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
8.9%
42
91.1%
Q3 - 11:35ATLMISS Pachulia 3' Layup39
9.3%
42
90.7%
Q3 - 11:46SASParker Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)39
10.2%
42
89.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS39
8.9%
42
91.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)39
10.2%
42
89.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
9.5%
42
90.5%
Q2 - 0:05.0ATLHawks Rebound39
10.0%
42
90.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0ATLMISS Claxton 16' Jump Shot39
9.5%
42
90.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
10.0%
42
90.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0SASMISS Barry 1' Layup39
9.8%
42
90.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
9.2%
42
90.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0ATLBatista REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
10.0%
42
90.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0ATLDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)39
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 0:35.0ATLMISS Childress 20' Jump Bank Shot39
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)39
10.0%
42
90.0%
Q2 - 1:00SASMISS Parker 1' Layup39
9.8%
42
90.2%
Q2 - 1:14ATLJohnson 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Batista 1 AST)39
9.4%
42
90.6%
Q2 - 1:32ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
7.9%
42
92.1%
Q2 - 1:33SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 237
7.8%
42
92.2%
Q2 - 1:33SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
7.3%
42
92.7%
Q2 - 1:49ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)37
8.4%
41
91.6%
Q2 - 2:17SASGinobili 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)37
9.1%
41
90.9%
Q2 - 2:22SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
10.3%
39
89.7%
Q2 - 2:24ATLMISS Johnson 1' Layup37
10.7%
39
89.3%
Q2 - 2:30ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
11.4%
39
88.6%
Q2 - 2:32SASMISS Horry 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
11.1%
39
88.9%
Q2 - 2:40SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
10.3%
39
89.7%
Q2 - 2:41ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot37
10.7%
39
89.3%
Q2 - 2:52SASGinobili 9' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)37
11.4%
39
88.6%
Q2 - 2:56SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
12.9%
37
87.1%
Q2 - 2:57ATLMISS Johnson 2' Layup37
13.3%
37
86.7%
Q2 - 3:03SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)37
13.9%
37
86.1%
Q2 - 3:18ATLClaxton 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
12.4%
37
87.6%
Q2 - 3:47SASBarry 2' Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)35
11.3%
37
88.7%
Q2 - 4:02ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P3.T8)35
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q2 - 4:08ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw Technical35
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 4:16ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 4:17SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot35
13.0%
35
87.0%
Q2 - 4:36ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T7)35
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q2 - 4:51ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)35
13.5%
35
86.5%
Q2 - 4:53SASMISS Bowen 14' Jump Shot35
13.1%
35
86.9%
Q2 - 5:14ATLPachulia 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)35
11.9%
35
88.1%
Q2 - 5:37SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)33
10.9%
35
89.1%
Q2 - 5:58ATLWilliams 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
13.2%
32
86.8%
Q2 - 6:16SASParker 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)31
11.9%
32
88.1%
Q2 - 6:28ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P2.T6)31
12.9%
30
87.1%
Q2 - 6:43SASDuncan 2' Layup (8 PTS)31
14.4%
30
85.6%
Q2 - 6:50SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
15.6%
28
84.4%
Q2 - 6:51SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot31
16.8%
28
83.2%
Q2 - 7:04SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
15.4%
28
84.6%
Q2 - 7:05ATLMISS Childress 1' Layup31
15.8%
28
84.2%
Q2 - 7:10ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q2 - 7:12SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Bank Shot31
16.4%
28
83.6%
Q2 - 7:28SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
15.4%
28
84.6%
Q2 - 7:30ATLMISS Stoudamire 18' Jump Shot31
15.9%
28
84.1%
Q2 - 7:47SASDuncan 15' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)31
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q2 - 8:03ATLHorry STEAL (2 STL)31
18.1%
26
81.9%
Q2 - 8:24SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
19.9%
26
80.1%
Q2 - 8:24SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
20.4%
25
79.6%
Q2 - 8:37SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
21.4%
24
78.6%
Q2 - 8:38ATLMISS Stoudamire 20' Jump Shot31
22.0%
24
78.0%
Q2 - 8:51ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)31
23.4%
24
76.6%
Q2 - 8:53SASMISS Vaughn 18' Jump Shot31
22.8%
24
77.2%
Q2 - 9:15ATLShel. Williams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)31
20.7%
24
79.3%
Q2 - 9:19ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)29
19.3%
24
80.7%
Q2 - 9:22SASMISS Vaughn 11' Fadeaway Jumper29
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q2 - 9:38ATLStoudamire 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)29
17.6%
24
82.4%
Q2 - 9:59SASGinobili 2' Layup (7 PTS)27
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q2 - 10:17ATLChildress 2' Layup (9 PTS)27
17.6%
22
82.4%
Q2 - 10:31ATLHawks Rebound25
16.4%
22
83.6%
Q2 - 10:32SASMISS Bonner 9' Running Jump Shot25
15.9%
22
84.1%
Q2 - 10:48ATLStoudamire 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Shel. Williams 2 AST)25
14.9%
22
85.1%
Q2 - 11:06ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
13.3%
22
86.7%
Q2 - 11:09SASBonner REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)23
12.2%
22
87.8%
Q2 - 11:09SASMISS Bonner 6' Jump Shot23
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q2 - 11:12SASBonner REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)23
12.2%
22
87.8%
Q2 - 11:12SASMISS Bonner 5' Jump Shot23
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q2 - 11:14SASMISS Ginobili 22' Jump Shot23
13.0%
22
87.0%
Q2 - 11:20SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
12.3%
22
87.7%
Q2 - 11:22ATLMISS Stoudamire 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
12.6%
22
87.4%
Q2 - 11:45SASGinobili 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)23
13.4%
22
86.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL23
14.5%
20
85.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
15.8%
20
84.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Vaughn 1' Reverse Layup23
15.1%
20
84.9%
Q1 - 0:18.0ATLIvey Foul Turnover (P1.T4)23
14.5%
20
85.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0ATLHawks Rebound23
15.4%
20
84.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 223
15.2%
20
84.8%
Q1 - 0:32.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
14.4%
20
85.6%
Q1 - 0:42.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
15.7%
19
84.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0ATLMISS Williams 3' Driving Layup23
16.0%
19
84.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
16.7%
19
83.3%
Q1 - 0:58.0SASMISS Vaughn 1' Layup23
16.3%
19
83.7%
Q1 - 1:11SASVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
15.6%
19
84.4%
Q1 - 1:13ATLMISS Stoudamire 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 1:18SASFinley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)23
16.6%
19
83.4%
Q1 - 1:31SASSPURS Rebound23
15.6%
19
84.4%
Q1 - 1:31ATLMISS Childress 1' Layup23
15.9%
19
84.1%
Q1 - 1:35ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
16.6%
19
83.4%
Q1 - 1:38SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup23
16.3%
19
83.7%
Q1 - 1:53ATLJohnson 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)23
15.6%
19
84.4%
Q1 - 2:12SASBonner 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)21
14.1%
19
85.9%
Q1 - 2:27ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
15.4%
17
84.6%
Q1 - 2:27ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)20
15.2%
17
84.8%
Q1 - 2:27ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
14.1%
17
85.9%
Q1 - 2:29ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot19
13.4%
17
86.6%
Q1 - 2:47SASParker 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)19
14.1%
17
85.9%
Q1 - 2:58SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
15.4%
15
84.6%
Q1 - 3:00ATLMISS Ivey 16' Jump Shot19
15.7%
15
84.3%
Q1 - 3:25SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T5)19
16.2%
15
83.8%
Q1 - 3:42ATLChildress 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)19
14.9%
15
85.1%
Q1 - 3:51ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
12.9%
15
87.1%
Q1 - 3:53SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
11.8%
15
88.2%
Q1 - 3:53SASMISS Bonner 2' Tip Shot16
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 3:55SASMISS Bonner 1' Layup16
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 3:57SASFinley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
11.8%
15
88.2%
Q1 - 3:59SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot16
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 4:20ATLChildress 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)16
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 4:39SASBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)14
10.7%
15
89.3%
Q1 - 4:39SASMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 214
11.0%
14
89.0%
Q1 - 4:49ATLJohnson 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)14
10.5%
14
89.5%
Q1 - 5:03SASBonner 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)12
9.6%
14
90.4%
Q1 - 5:09SASOberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
10.3%
12
89.7%
Q1 - 5:10ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot12
10.5%
12
89.5%
Q1 - 5:28SASParker 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)12
11.2%
12
88.8%
Q1 - 5:32SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
11.9%
10
88.1%
Q1 - 5:36SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot12
12.6%
10
87.4%
Q1 - 5:55ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T3)12
11.9%
10
88.1%
Q1 - 6:11SASParker Foul Turnover (P1.T4)12
12.6%
10
87.4%
Q1 - 6:32ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
11.7%
10
88.3%
Q1 - 6:32ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
11.6%
10
88.4%
Q1 - 6:39SASFinley Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
11.0%
10
89.0%
Q1 - 6:39SASFinley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
11.1%
9
88.9%
Q1 - 6:50SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
11.7%
8
88.3%
Q1 - 6:51ATLMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot10
12.0%
8
88.0%
Q1 - 7:03ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
12.2%
8
87.8%
Q1 - 7:05SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot10
11.9%
8
88.1%
Q1 - 7:20ATLJohnson 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)10
11.4%
8
88.6%
Q1 - 7:27ATLHawks Rebound8
10.7%
8
89.3%
Q1 - 7:29ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
10.2%
8
89.8%
Q1 - 7:39SASDuncan Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)8
10.7%
8
89.3%
Q1 - 7:49ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
9.9%
8
90.1%
Q1 - 7:49ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
9.8%
8
90.2%
Q1 - 8:04ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
9.1%
8
90.9%
Q1 - 8:05ATLMISS Pachulia 19' Jump Shot6
8.7%
8
91.3%
Q1 - 8:16ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9.1%
8
90.9%
Q1 - 8:17SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup6
8.9%
8
91.1%
Q1 - 8:32ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P1.T2)6
8.5%
8
91.5%
Q1 - 8:44SASParker 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)6
9.1%
8
90.9%
Q1 - 8:57SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9.7%
6
90.3%
Q1 - 8:59ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot6
9.9%
6
90.1%
Q1 - 9:06SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)6
10.4%
6
89.6%
Q1 - 9:25ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)6
9.6%
6
90.4%
Q1 - 9:38SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
9.1%
6
90.9%
Q1 - 9:38SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
9.2%
5
90.8%
Q1 - 9:46ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
9.6%
4
90.4%
Q1 - 9:46ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
9.4%
4
90.6%
Q1 - 10:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
9.0%
4
91.0%
Q1 - 10:06SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
9.0%
4
91.0%
Q1 - 10:08SASMISS Duncan 1' Layup2
10.1%
2
89.9%
Q1 - 10:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
9.5%
2
90.5%
Q1 - 10:12SASMISS Bowen 19' Jump Shot2
10.1%
2
89.9%
Q1 - 10:31ATLHorry STEAL (1 STL)2
9.5%
2
90.5%
Q1 - 10:52SASGinobili 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
10.3%
2
89.7%
Q1 - 10:58SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.9%
0
89.1%
Q1 - 11:00ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
11.2%
0
88.8%
Q1 - 11:08ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
11.6%
0
88.4%
Q1 - 11:10ATLMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot2
11.1%
0
88.9%
Q1 - 11:28SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
11.6%
0
88.4%
Q1 - 11:34ATLShel. Williams 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)2
10.9%
0
89.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Pachulia: Tip to Shel. Williams0
10.2%
0
89.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.94 47.1%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
11
26
42%
SAS
26
45
58%
Midrange
ATL
12
34
35%
SAS
9
26
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
6
9.0
14
43%
64%
SAS
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
Free Throws
ATL
17
19
89%
SAS
19
27
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2350%11.5 / 23
J. Childress1979%9.5 / 12
M. Williams1346%6.5 / 14
S. Williams956%4.5 / 8
S. Stoudamire735%3.5 / 10
S. Claxton660%3.0 / 5
Z. Pachulia425%2.0 / 8
R. Ivey0-0.0 / 1
S. Jones0-0.0 / 1
E. Batista0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2759%13.5 / 23
M. Ginobili1875%9.0 / 12
T. Duncan1765%8.5 / 13
B. Barry1260%6.0 / 10
M. Bonner833%4.0 / 12
F. Oberto450%2.0 / 4
M. Finley450%2.0 / 4
B. Udrih250%1.0 / 2
J. Vaughn220%1.0 / 5
B. Bowen113%0.5 / 4
R. Horry0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
72
+12
-20
84
SAS
76
+17
-17
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.94 47.1%
SAS
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.9
109.2
ATL 88.0 +14.1
SAS 102.2
Pace
90.2
89.8
ATL 93.3 +1.6
SAS 91.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.5
ATL 15.4 +0.3
SAS 15.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
52.1%
ATL 43.2%
SAS 47.5% +4.3%
TO %
16.7%
14.7%
ATL 20.3%
SAS 16.4% +3.9%
ORB %
29.3%
24.5%
ATL 20.0%
SAS 34.1% +14.1%
FTrt
34.6
31.3
ATL 25.7
SAS 33.8 +8.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.6%
60.5%
ATL 65.5% +11.4%
SAS 54.1%
STL %
8.2%
8.0%
ATL 10.9% +2.3%
SAS 8.6%
BLK %
8.7%
7.8%
ATL 4.2%
SAS 6.7% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
54.7%
ATL 47.1%
SAS 50.0% +2.9%
Rim FG%
55.2%
62.1%
ATL 42.3%
SAS 57.8% +15.5%
Mid FG%
39.3%
40.4%
ATL 35.3% +0.7%
SAS 34.6%
3P %
32.9%
38.1%
ATL 42.9% +20.7%
SAS 22.2%
FT %
76.1%
75.1%
ATL 89.5% +19.1%
SAS 70.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.8%
34.9%
ATL 35.1%
SAS 56.3% +21.1%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
40.5%
ATL 45.9%
SAS 32.5% +13.4%
3P Att. %
16.3%
24.7%
ATL 18.9% +7.7%
SAS 11.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLSAS
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points8195
Rebounds3546
Assists1920
Steals108
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)20 (1)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (3)32 (2)
Field Goals29-7437-80
At-the-Rim FG11-2626-45
Midrange FG12-349-26
2-Point FG23-6035-71
3-Point FG6-142-9
Free Throws17-1919-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 26
45.0
23
50%
3
4
2
0
9
3
1
2
4-4
100%
5-14
36%
3-7
43%
F · 6'9" 237 · 21
37.0
13
46%
7
1
2
0
3
4
2
5
4-4
100%
3-9
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
33.6
9
56%
10
2
0
0
2
4
1
9
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-1
100%
G · 5'11" 170 · 29
30.1
6
60%
3
8
2
0
1
6
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 23
23.4
4
25%
0
0
1
0
2
4
0
0
2-3
67%
1-7
14%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24
39.5
19
79%
10
1
1
3
1
1
2
8
4-4
100%
6-9
67%
1-1
100%
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
16.0
7
35%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 200 · 25
10.9
0
0%
0
2
2
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 22
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23
1.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 207 · 24
F · 6'10" 253 · 28
#42 · F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#10 · G · 6'0" 175 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · · 6'9" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
47%
35
19
10
3
20
0
8
27
17-19
89%
23-60
38%
6-14
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.