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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 31, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Hawks13%8681
3Spurs87%10195
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
45.0
37.1
23
51%
3
4
2
1
0
9
1
2
4-4
100%
5-14
6-13
36%
48%
3-7
43%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.5
37.0
29.0
13
47%
7
1
2
1
0
3
2
5
4-4
100%
3-9
3-8
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
33.6
27.0
9
56%
10
2
0
1
0
2
1
9
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
43%
1-1
100%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.6
30.1
27.9
6
61%
3
8
2
2
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
41%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.9
23.4
28.1
4
24%
0
0
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-3
67%
1-7
4-8
14%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.5
39.5
33.3
19
81%
10
1
1
1
3
1
2
8
4-4
100%
6-9
4-7
67%
52%
1-1
100%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.2
16.0
21.5
7
35%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
3-7
2-5
43%
41%
0-2
0%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.0
10.9
8.0
0
0%
0
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
3.0
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.3
1.6
9.4
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Cedric Bozeman
G · 6'6" 207 · 23.8
3.2
0
0-0
40%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.7
2.5
0
0-1
41%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
34.1
30.8
27
59%
2
5
1
1
0
3
0
2
7-9
78%
10-19
7-13
53%
55%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.7
30.2
30.9
17
60%
11
0
0
1
2
6
2
9
3-5
60%
7-12
6-12
58%
54%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.4
24.7
22.7
18
77%
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-4
50%
8-9
3-6
89%
52%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.5
24.5
29.7
1
13%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.4
23.8
17.3
0
0%
6
3
2
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.0
28.3
20.0
12
61%
5
1
2
1
0
0
0
5
4-4
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
57%
2-4
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.7
24.2
15.3
8
32%
11
3
1
0
1
0
7
4
0-1
0%
4-10
1-3
40%
52%
0-2
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.8
17.8
18.3
4
50%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.8
17.0
24.3
4
41%
2
3
0
0
0
1
2
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.5
7.8
10.6
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.9
7.5
12.6
2
20%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
45%
0-0
-
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.5
10.3
0
1-2
45%
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.8
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.8
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.