Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Grizzlies17%83109
4Rockets83%95111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.5
32.5
29.2
21
66%
6
1
1
0
0
1
1
5
7-9
78%
7-12
6-12
58%
48%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.2
23.7
16.1
3
38%
0
0
0
1
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.0
21.9
22.5
6
38%
5
0
1
1
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
3-8
2-6
38%
43%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.3
17.5
20.6
4
33%
1
7
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-4
40%
39%
0-1
0%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.9
14.8
17.1
4
50%
8
0
0
0
2
0
0
8
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.9
36.6
35.3
32
89%
4
2
1
1
0
3
1
3
1-2
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
47%
7-10
70%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.4
30.5
26.0
14
72%
6
8
1
1
0
2
0
6
3-4
75%
4-6
2-5
67%
41%
1-2
50%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.1
30.1
23.4
13
60%
9
1
0
1
0
1
5
4
3-4
75%
5-9
3-8
56%
44%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.5
14.7
21.3
8
59%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
45%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.4
13.8
21.7
4
40%
3
2
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
40%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.6
4.0
5.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.8
5.0
0
0-1
40%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.7
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.2
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.3
41.3
38.0
7
29%
2
5
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-6
2-4
17%
53%
1-5
20%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.9
38.6
29.8
22
70%
7
2
1
1
0
2
2
5
12-13
92%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.6
38.5
31.0
38
60%
9
3
1
1
0
4
2
7
3-4
75%
10-22
6-11
45%
48%
5-8
63%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.4
37.0
32.5
11
27%
3
6
2
1
0
2
1
2
2-6
33%
3-11
3-7
27%
45%
1-7
14%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.5
22.7
17.6
2
26%
11
0
0
0
4
0
7
4
0-2
0%
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
29.1
28.0
18
101%
4
2
2
1
1
1
1
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
5-6
83%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.6
21.6
25.3
4
50%
7
2
1
1
0
1
5
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
55%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.1
7.5
8.4
6
55%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.6
3.7
2.7
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
1-2
50%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.7
0.1
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
17.4
1
3-5
49%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.4
3.8
0
0-1
47%
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.8
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.6
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.