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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
December 31, 2006
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Mavericks57%10289
14Nuggets43%10085
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 26.7
43.3
34.1
28
75%
17
5
0
1
3
3
4
13
5-6
83%
7-9
6-12
78%
48%
3-7
43%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.3
37.9
35.4
21
52%
5
6
1
1
0
3
1
4
2-3
67%
8-14
4-9
57%
49%
1-5
20%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.8
35.6
29.3
16
58%
1
5
2
1
1
6
1
0
2-2
100%
7-12
4-9
58%
49%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 31.5
30.5
25.2
5
37%
5
0
0
0
4
1
0
5
3-4
75%
1-5
3-5
20%
55%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.7
17.4
4.2
0
0%
8
1
0
0
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
0-4
0%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 29.3
24.6
23.9
4
23%
6
0
0
1
0
3
1
5
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
41%
0-4
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.3
23.9
18.3
11
51%
2
2
3
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
50%
1-3
33%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.9
17.5
17.3
4
67%
5
0
1
1
0
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 32.2
6.7
12.7
0
0%
0
3
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.5
2.6
1.8
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 28.5
33.9
1
7-14
49%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 26.0
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 32.2
Pops Mensah-Bonsu
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.3
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 31.6
42.0
41.2
28
68%
2
8
7
2
1
5
0
2
8-8
100%
10-17
9-19
59%
45%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24.3
40.0
31.5
1
4%
5
1
0
1
1
2
1
4
1-2
50%
0-7
2-4
0%
48%
0-4
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.5
33.7
31.3
14
57%
7
4
0
1
1
1
2
5
4-5
80%
5-10
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
31.3
9.5
13
38%
13
3
0
0
3
2
3
10
3-5
60%
5-15
1-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26.7
14.0
25.0
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.6
37.5
32.3
20
55%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-3
100%
7-14
5-10
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.0
25.8
19.9
6
38%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26.6
15.6
27.3
3
47%
3
0
3
1
0
0
1
2
3-5
60%
0-1
3-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 22.6
11.7
0
3-7
50%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.6
10.9
0
1-2
49%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24.3
10.7
0
2-3
50%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21.3
8.3
0
1-1
48%
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.1
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.