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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 2, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Spurs56%9478
6Cavaliers44%9282
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 30.7
37.2
30.4
18
49%
15
2
0
1
2
4
2
13
6-8
75%
6-15
6-12
40%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
36.0
32.2
26
66%
3
3
2
1
1
6
1
2
4-4
100%
11-17
7-14
65%
52%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 35.6
33.4
27.0
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
1-2
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 29.4
28.6
23.7
6
29%
6
3
0
1
1
3
0
6
4-5
80%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
0-5
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 36.4
24.4
20.1
5
50%
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 35.0
24.4
23.8
4
45%
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
1-3
33%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 26.7
23.6
19.1
8
82%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
2-3
67%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.5
13.5
9.4
2
33%
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 31.8
10.8
17.8
4
29%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
51%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 33.8
8.1
20.5
5
83%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 31.9
9.8
0
1-2
42%
Eric Williams
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34.5
5.7
0
0-1
42%
Jackie Butler
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.8
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 30.8
James White
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.0
40.2
40.1
19
44%
5
5
2
1
0
3
0
5
5-11
45%
7-16
8-17
44%
50%
0-1
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.9
36.5
35.9
18
65%
5
5
3
2
0
4
1
4
2-4
50%
2-6
5-10
33%
43%
4-6
67%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.7
32.7
27.8
1
13%
4
3
4
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
41%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.6
28.8
28.8
8
31%
13
0
0
1
3
2
5
8
0-0
-
4-13
5-11
31%
47%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
23.1
29.1
10
56%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
49%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
26.4
14.8
8
59%
7
1
2
1
0
0
4
3
4-4
100%
2-5
2-3
40%
50%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.4
21.4
15.6
11
61%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
6-9
67%
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
17.3
24.5
3
19%
5
0
0
1
3
2
0
5
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
47%
1-6
17%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.1
8.3
4.7
1
13%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.8
5.3
17.1
3
150%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
1-1
100%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.1
1.0
0
0-0
36%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.9
1.0
0
0-0
44%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.1
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.0
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.