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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 5, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Hawks31%9492
19Raptors69%100105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
42.6
39.9
15
46%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
6-12
7-14
50%
49%
1-4
25%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.5
38.3
32.0
24
66%
5
1
0
1
1
2
1
4
6-7
86%
9-12
4-9
75%
46%
0-3
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.9
35.3
25.9
12
92%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
8-8
100%
2-3
4-8
67%
46%
0-0
-
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.7
32.4
28.4
18
65%
2
5
2
2
0
2
1
1
4-4
100%
4-9
3-7
44%
43%
2-3
67%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
27.8
29.2
10
85%
7
1
3
1
0
0
3
4
2-2
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.5
35.4
35.6
11
46%
3
0
2
1
1
3
1
2
7-9
78%
2-8
4-8
25%
54%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.0
9.8
9.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
9.4
17.7
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
48%
0-0
-
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
9.1
5.3
2
100%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
21.2
0
3-5
47%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.2
19.0
0
2-4
43%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.3
5.6
0
0-1
46%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.8
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
35.5
21.6
12
69%
2
12
4
1
0
3
0
2
4-6
67%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.8
33.1
37.6
21
66%
5
2
1
1
1
3
0
5
5-11
45%
8-10
8-15
80%
51%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21.2
32.7
30.5
12
52%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
50%
1-5
20%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.6
31.6
25.3
7
47%
9
1
0
1
1
3
6
3
1-1
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.5
31.0
34.1
9
56%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-5
4-7
0%
50%
3-3
100%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
30.7
13.4
19
62%
8
0
1
0
0
0
4
4
3-3
100%
8-13
2-4
62%
50%
0-1
0%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
21.8
26.7
16
90%
6
2
0
1
0
0
2
4
2-2
100%
4-4
2-5
100%
49%
2-4
50%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.8
12.6
17.3
7
48%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-3
67%
1-4
1-3
25%
41%
1-2
50%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.9
8.6
4.6
2
50%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 27.8
2.0
15.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Uros Slokar
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.6
0.5
0.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.0
30.7
1
4-7
52%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.1
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.8
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.