FinalWin Prob.pScore
2931%94
92
1969%100
105
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
110.88387.0
TOR logo TOR
126.58379.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLTOR
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL92
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)92
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0TORRAPTORS Rebound92
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0TORMISS Parker Reverse Layup92
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)92
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)91
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0TORCalderon Driving Layup (12 PTS)90
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03ATLMISS Ivey 9' Running Jump Shot90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Calderon 12 AST)90
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)90
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:31ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)89
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:44ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 1:46TORMISS Bargnani 27' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 2:10TORRAPTORS Rebound88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11TORMISS Bargnani 21' Jump Shot88
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 2:29ATLCalderon STEAL (4 STL)88
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 2:39TORMISS Peterson 3PT Jump Shot88
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 2:52ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)88
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 2:52ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)87
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 3:02TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)86
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 3:02TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)86
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 3:19TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)86
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:21ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot86
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 3:38TORPeterson 6' Running Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bargnani 1 AST)86
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 3:57ATLClaxton Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)86
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 4:33TORParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST)82
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 4:46ATLClaxton 11' Jump Shot (14 PTS)82
0.7%
93
99.3%
Q4 - 4:52ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 4:54TORMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot80
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 5:15ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)80
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 5:15ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 279
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 5:21ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 5:23TORMISS Calderon 18' Jump Shot79
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 5:43ATLClaxton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 5:43ATLClaxton Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)78
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 5:44ATLClaxton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 5:46ATLMISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot77
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 5:54ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 5:56TORMISS Calderon 16' Jump Shot77
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 6:16ATLJohnson 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)77
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 6:38TORGraham 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Calderon 11 AST)75
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 6:55TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)75
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 6:56ATLMISS Claxton Driving Layup75
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 7:07TORGraham Driving Layup (17 PTS)75
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 7:27ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)75
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 7:27ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)74
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 7:43TORPeterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)73
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 7:51TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 7:53TORMISS Bargnani 18' Jump Shot73
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 8:10TORRAPTORS Rebound73
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 8:11ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot73
1.7%
86
98.3%
Q4 - 8:33ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 8:35TORMISS Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 8:52ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)73
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 8:52ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)72
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 8:57ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 8:59TORMISS Martin Driving Layup71
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 9:07TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)71
1.1%
86
98.9%
Q4 - 9:08ATLMISS Johnson 5' Running Jump Shot71
1.2%
86
98.8%
Q4 - 9:27TORPeterson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)71
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 9:49ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)71
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 9:49ATLMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 270
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q4 - 9:54TORMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14)70
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 10:09TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q4 - 10:11ATLMISS Williams 8' Running Jump Shot70
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 10:35ATLIvey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q4 - 10:37TORMISS Martin 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 10:51TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)70
2.1%
83
97.9%
Q4 - 10:53TORMISS Graham 10' Running Jump Shot70
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 11:20ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (21 PTS)70
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 11:44TORPeterson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Martin 3 AST)68
2.0%
83
98.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR68
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound68
2.5%
81
97.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Graham Tip Shot68
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORGraham REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)68
2.9%
81
97.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0TORMISS Humphries Running Layup68
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q3 - 0:18.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)68
2.8%
81
97.2%
Q3 - 0:18.0ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)67
2.7%
81
97.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)66
2.3%
81
97.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)66
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0TORGraham REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)66
2.8%
79
97.2%
Q3 - 0:52.0ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q3 - 1:12TORBosh Slam Dunk (19 PTS)66
3.9%
79
96.1%
Q3 - 1:36ATLShel. Williams Finger Roll (10 PTS)66
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q3 - 1:54TORBosh Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)64
3.8%
77
96.2%
Q3 - 2:13TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q3 - 2:14ATLMISS Childress 4' Turnaround Jump Shot64
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q3 - 2:27TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)64
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q3 - 2:49ATLWilliams 7' Driving Hook Shot (17 PTS)64
5.9%
74
94.1%
Q3 - 3:10TORCalderon Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
5.4%
74
94.6%
Q3 - 3:10TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)62
5.5%
73
94.5%
Q3 - 3:21ATLJohnson 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)62
6.3%
72
93.7%
Q3 - 3:37TORGraham Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)60
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 3:37TORGraham Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)60
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 3:37TORGraham REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
6.3%
70
93.7%
Q3 - 3:38TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
7.1%
70
92.9%
Q3 - 3:53TORGraham REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
6.3%
70
93.7%
Q3 - 3:55ATLMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot60
6.6%
70
93.4%
Q3 - 4:30ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 4:31TORMISS Calderon Free Throw 2 of 260
7.7%
70
92.3%
Q3 - 4:31TORMISS Calderon Free Throw 1 of 260
6.8%
70
93.2%
Q3 - 4:44ATLChildress Foul Turnover (P3.T12)60
6.5%
70
93.5%
Q3 - 4:52ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 4:54TORMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot60
7.4%
70
92.6%
Q3 - 5:16ATLJones Foul Turnover (P1.T11)60
7.0%
70
93.0%
Q3 - 5:32TORBosh Foul Turnover (P2.T12)60
8.2%
70
91.8%
Q3 - 5:42ATLWilliams Palming Turnover (P2.T10)60
6.9%
70
93.1%
Q3 - 5:53ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
8.2%
70
91.8%
Q3 - 5:55TORMISS Parker Driving Layup60
7.8%
70
92.2%
Q3 - 6:13ATLBosh STEAL (1 STL)60
7.3%
70
92.7%
Q3 - 6:27ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)60
8.5%
70
91.5%
Q3 - 6:30ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot60
7.7%
70
92.3%
Q3 - 6:42ATLJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
8.5%
70
91.5%
Q3 - 6:43TORMISS Nesterovic 10' Hook Shot60
8.1%
70
91.9%
Q3 - 6:46TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)60
7.3%
70
92.7%
Q3 - 6:48TORMISS Graham 16' Jump Shot60
8.1%
70
91.9%
Q3 - 7:13ATLJones Dunk (2 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)60
7.5%
70
92.5%
Q3 - 7:37TORNesterovic Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)58
6.6%
70
93.4%
Q3 - 7:50TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)58
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 7:51TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 258
10.0%
67
90.0%
Q3 - 7:51TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 258
9.1%
67
90.9%
Q3 - 7:56TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 7:58ATLNesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)58
9.1%
67
90.9%
Q3 - 8:00ATLWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 8:01ATLMISS Wright Tip Shot58
9.4%
67
90.6%
Q3 - 8:13ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
10.4%
67
89.6%
Q3 - 8:14TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 258
10.2%
67
89.8%
Q3 - 8:14TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)58
9.3%
67
90.7%
Q3 - 8:30ATLClaxton Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)58
10.2%
66
89.8%
Q3 - 8:44TORNesterovic 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)55
7.9%
66
92.1%
Q3 - 9:03ATLClaxton 5' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)55
9.1%
64
90.9%
Q3 - 9:24TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)53
8.0%
64
92.0%
Q3 - 9:48ATLClaxton 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)53
10.4%
61
89.6%
Q3 - 9:58TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)50
8.0%
61
92.0%
Q3 - 9:58TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 250
8.2%
60
91.8%
Q3 - 10:11ATLJohnson Driving Layup (11 PTS)50
8.1%
60
91.9%
Q3 - 10:18ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
7.2%
60
92.8%
Q3 - 10:20TORMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot48
6.9%
60
93.1%
Q3 - 10:41ATLWilliams 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Claxton 5 AST)48
6.2%
60
93.8%
Q3 - 11:08TORBargnani Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)46
5.7%
60
94.3%
Q3 - 11:17TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
6.5%
58
93.5%
Q3 - 11:19ATLMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot46
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q3 - 11:34TORParker Foul Turnover (P1.T11)46
7.4%
58
92.6%
Q3 - 11:43TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q3 - 11:45ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot46
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR46
7.4%
58
92.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound46
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Parker 5' Jump Shot46
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
6.4%
58
93.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 146
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0TORJump Ball Calderon vs. Childress: Tip to Bosh46
9.0%
56
91.0%
Q2 - 0:13.0TORNesterovic Foul Turnover (P3.T10)46
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)46
9.0%
56
91.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
7.6%
56
92.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0TORMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 144
7.5%
56
92.5%
Q2 - 1:06ATLChildress Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Claxton 4 AST)44
9.4%
54
90.6%
Q2 - 1:24TORCalderon Driving Layup (6 PTS)42
7.9%
54
92.1%
Q2 - 1:44ATLWilliams 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)42
9.4%
52
90.6%
Q2 - 2:02TORCalderon Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)40
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q2 - 2:07ATLCalderon STEAL (2 STL)40
7.5%
52
92.5%
Q2 - 2:30TORBosh Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)40
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q2 - 2:41ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)40
9.5%
50
90.5%
Q2 - 2:41ATLHawks Rebound40
10.5%
50
89.5%
Q2 - 2:41ATLMISS Johnson 33' 3PT Jump Shot40
9.8%
50
90.2%
Q2 - 3:08TORCalderon Driving Layup (4 PTS)40
11.0%
50
89.0%
Q2 - 3:22TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
12.0%
48
88.0%
Q2 - 3:24ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot40
12.5%
48
87.5%
Q2 - 3:43TORGraham Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)40
13.5%
48
86.5%
Q2 - 3:48ATLCalderon STEAL (1 STL)40
14.8%
46
85.2%
Q2 - 4:00TORGraham Slam Dunk (11 PTS)40
16.6%
46
83.4%
Q2 - 4:02TORGraham REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
18.2%
44
81.8%
Q2 - 4:03TORMISS Bargnani 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
19.4%
44
80.6%
Q2 - 4:20ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)40
18.2%
44
81.8%
Q2 - 4:30ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
15.0%
44
85.0%
Q2 - 4:30TORMISS Nesterovic Tip Shot37
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 4:32TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)37
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 4:33TORMISS Nesterovic Layup37
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 4:35TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 4:36TORMISS Graham 17' Jump Shot37
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 4:55ATLShel. Williams 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)37
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q2 - 5:12TORPeterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)35
12.5%
44
87.5%
Q2 - 5:12TORPeterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
12.7%
43
87.3%
Q2 - 5:31TORGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
13.6%
42
86.4%
Q2 - 5:33ATLMISS Childress 11' Turnaround Hook Shot35
14.1%
42
85.9%
Q2 - 5:59TORBargnani Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)35
15.1%
42
84.9%
Q2 - 6:23ATLJohnson 14' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
16.6%
40
83.4%
Q2 - 6:40TORBargnani Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)33
15.4%
40
84.6%
Q2 - 7:05ATLWilliams Running Layup (11 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)33
14.3%
40
85.7%
Q2 - 7:34ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
13.1%
40
86.9%
Q2 - 7:36TORMISS Graham 9' Driving Hook Shot31
12.7%
40
87.3%
Q2 - 7:41TORGraham REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
11.8%
40
88.2%
Q2 - 7:43TORMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
12.7%
40
87.3%
Q2 - 8:03ATLJohnson 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
11.9%
40
88.1%
Q2 - 8:11ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 8:13TORMISS Martin Running Layup29
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 8:22TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
9.9%
40
90.1%
Q2 - 8:24ATLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)29
10.2%
40
89.8%
Q2 - 8:34TORMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)29
11.0%
40
89.0%
Q2 - 8:50TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
9.9%
40
90.1%
Q2 - 8:52ATLMISS Claxton 19' Jump Shot29
10.2%
40
89.8%
Q2 - 9:12TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)29
11.2%
40
88.8%
Q2 - 9:25ATLClaxton 11' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)29
13.2%
37
86.8%
Q2 - 9:47TORGraham 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS)27
12.2%
37
87.8%
Q2 - 9:56TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
13.2%
35
86.8%
Q2 - 9:58ATLMISS Childress 22' Jump Shot27
13.6%
35
86.4%
Q2 - 10:17TORPeterson 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Martin 2 AST)27
14.7%
35
85.3%
Q2 - 10:34ATLShel. Williams Layup (6 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)27
15.8%
33
84.2%
Q2 - 10:50TORPeterson 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Martin 1 AST)25
14.7%
33
85.3%
Q2 - 11:00TORPeterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
15.8%
31
84.2%
Q2 - 11:02TORMISS Graham 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
16.7%
31
83.3%
Q2 - 11:27ATLGraham STEAL (1 STL)25
15.8%
31
84.2%
Q2 - 11:43ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q2 - 11:44ATLMISS Claxton 11' Jump Shot25
16.2%
31
83.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL25
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound25
17.2%
31
82.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Claxton 33' 3PT Jump Shot25
16.3%
31
83.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
17.1%
31
82.9%
Q1 - 0:04.0TORMISS Martin Free Throw 3 of 325
16.9%
31
83.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0TORMartin Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)25
16.0%
31
84.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0TORMartin Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)25
16.2%
30
83.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
18.8%
29
81.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 2 of 225
18.9%
29
81.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)25
20.0%
29
80.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0TORBosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)24
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q1 - 0:43.0ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Claxton 3 AST)24
17.4%
29
82.6%
Q1 - 0:53.0ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
15.8%
29
84.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0TORMISS Martin 16' Jump Shot22
15.5%
29
84.5%
Q1 - 1:10ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)22
14.9%
29
85.1%
Q1 - 1:22TORMartin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
12.4%
29
87.6%
Q1 - 1:32ATLWright Foul Turnover (P1.T3)19
14.9%
26
85.1%
Q1 - 1:34ATLWilliams Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)19
15.8%
26
84.2%
Q1 - 1:48TORMartin 7' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)18
14.6%
26
85.4%
Q1 - 2:02ATLWilliams Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)18
16.1%
24
83.9%
Q1 - 2:04ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
14.8%
24
85.2%
Q1 - 2:06ATLMISS Wright 14' Jump Shot16
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q1 - 2:28TORNesterovic Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)16
14.8%
24
85.2%
Q1 - 2:39TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13.7%
24
86.3%
Q1 - 2:40ATLMISS Childress Layup16
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q1 - 2:42ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
14.8%
24
85.2%
Q1 - 2:44ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
14.0%
24
86.0%
Q1 - 3:12TORGraham Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)16
15.1%
24
84.9%
Q1 - 3:16ATLParker STEAL (1 STL)16
17.4%
21
82.6%
Q1 - 3:34TORHumphries 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
18.9%
21
81.1%
Q1 - 3:53ATLWilliams 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)16
20.1%
19
79.9%
Q1 - 4:05TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)14
18.8%
19
81.2%
Q1 - 4:21ATLPachulia Slam Dunk (6 PTS)14
17.2%
19
82.8%
Q1 - 4:26TORNesterovic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)12
16.3%
19
83.7%
Q1 - 4:36ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
14.9%
19
85.1%
Q1 - 4:36ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
14.6%
19
85.4%
Q1 - 4:58TORGraham 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
14.0%
19
86.0%
Q1 - 5:13TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
15.1%
17
84.9%
Q1 - 5:15ATLHumphries BLOCK (1 BLK)10
15.4%
17
84.6%
Q1 - 5:35TORGraham 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Humphries 1 AST)10
16.3%
17
83.7%
Q1 - 5:53ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
17.3%
15
82.7%
Q1 - 5:53ATLChildress Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
17.1%
15
82.9%
Q1 - 5:59TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
16.3%
15
83.7%
Q1 - 6:10ATLShel. Williams Tip Shot (4 PTS)8
15.3%
15
84.7%
Q1 - 6:11ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 6:13ATLMISS Claxton 19' Jump Shot6
13.6%
15
86.4%
Q1 - 6:32TORBargnani Running Dunk (5 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)6
14.3%
15
85.7%
Q1 - 6:38TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
15.3%
13
84.7%
Q1 - 6:39ATLMISS Childress 21' Jump Shot6
15.6%
13
84.4%
Q1 - 6:51TORBargnani Foul Turnover (P1.T1)6
16.4%
13
83.6%
Q1 - 7:06ATLClaxton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
15.5%
13
84.5%
Q1 - 7:25TORBargnani 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)6
16.7%
13
83.3%
Q1 - 7:50ATLPachulia 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Claxton 2 AST)6
18.8%
10
81.2%
Q1 - 7:56ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw Technical4
17.7%
10
82.3%
Q1 - 8:13TORCalderon 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
17.7%
10
82.3%
Q1 - 8:32TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
18.7%
8
81.3%
Q1 - 8:34ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot4
19.1%
8
80.9%
Q1 - 8:50TORBosh Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)4
20.0%
8
80.0%
Q1 - 8:57TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
21.1%
6
78.9%
Q1 - 8:58TORMISS Bargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
22.1%
6
77.9%
Q1 - 9:12ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
20.8%
6
79.2%
Q1 - 9:12ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
20.6%
6
79.4%
Q1 - 9:33TORBosh 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)2
20.0%
6
80.0%
Q1 - 9:42TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.9%
4
79.1%
Q1 - 9:43ATLMISS Claxton 21' Jump Shot2
21.3%
4
78.7%
Q1 - 9:56ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.5%
4
77.5%
Q1 - 9:58TORMISS Nesterovic 6' Driving Hook Shot2
22.0%
4
78.0%
Q1 - 10:16TORRAPTORS Rebound2
20.9%
4
79.1%
Q1 - 10:17ATLMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
21.3%
4
78.7%
Q1 - 10:29TORBosh 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)2
22.3%
4
77.7%
Q1 - 10:50ATLWilliams 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Claxton 1 AST)2
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 11:07TORNesterovic Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)0
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 11:22TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 11:24ATLMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot0
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 11:39ATLHawks Rebound0
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 11:40TORMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot0
24.4%
0
75.6%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. Pachulia: Tip to Calderon0
23.6%
0
76.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.15 57.5%
TOR
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
10
17
59%
TOR
18
27
67%
Midrange
ATL
18
37
49%
TOR
15
30
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
TOR
7
10.5
16
44%
66%
Free Throws
ATL
27
31
87%
TOR
18
27
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Williams2467%12.0 / 18
S. Claxton1869%9.0 / 13
J. Johnson1547%7.5 / 16
Z. Pachulia1286%6.0 / 7
J. Childress1146%5.5 / 12
S. Williams1083%5.0 / 6
S. Jones2100%1.0 / 1
R. Ivey0-0.0 / 1
L. Wright0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh2170%10.5 / 15
J. Graham1963%9.5 / 15
M. Peterson1689%8.0 / 9
J. Calderon1267%6.0 / 9
A. Bargnani1255%6.0 / 11
A. Parker956%4.5 / 8
R. Nesterovic750%3.5 / 7
D. Martin750%3.5 / 7
K. Humphries250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
71
+9
-12
80
TOR
69
+17
-14
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.15 57.5%
TOR
1.22 61.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.9
106.3
ATL 110.8
TOR 126.5 +15.7
Pace
90.2
93.3
ATL 87.0 +7.6
TOR 79.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
15.3
ATL 16.6 +1.6
TOR 18.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
50.4%
ATL 50.8%
TOR 59.6% +8.8%
TO %
16.7%
13.8%
ATL 14.3% +0.7%
TOR 15.0%
ORB %
29.3%
22.3%
ATL 23.3%
TOR 38.2% +14.9%
FTrt
34.6
30.3
ATL 48.4 +11.4
TOR 37.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
55.6%
60.1%
ATL 38.7%
TOR 57.5% +18.8%
STL %
8.2%
7.6%
ATL 9.6% +1.2%
TOR 8.4%
BLK %
8.7%
6.3%
ATL 3.5%
TOR 5.6% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.09 and 2.09.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.8%
53.6%
ATL 57.5%
TOR 61.0% +3.5%
Rim FG%
55.2%
59.5%
ATL 58.8%
TOR 66.7% +7.9%
Mid FG%
39.3%
42.7%
ATL 48.6%
TOR 50.0% +1.4%
3P %
32.9%
36.3%
ATL 30.0%
TOR 43.8% +13.8%
FT %
76.1%
78.8%
ATL 87.1% +20.4%
TOR 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.8%
30.1%
ATL 26.6%
TOR 37.0% +10.4%
Mid Att. %
44.9%
47.6%
ATL 57.8%
TOR 41.1% +16.7%
3P Att. %
16.3%
22.4%
ATL 15.6%
TOR 21.9% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLTOR
Possessions8383
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points92105
Rebounds2836
Assists1223
Steals87
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (1)23 (2)
Field Goals31-6440-73
At-the-Rim FG10-1718-27
Midrange FG18-3715-30
2-Point FG28-5433-57
3-Point FG3-107-16
Free Throws27-3118-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 240 · 26
42.6
15
47%
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-1
0%
6-12
50%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 237 · 21
38.3
24
67%
5
1
0
1
2
1
1
4
6-7
86%
9-12
75%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 270 · 23
35.3
12
86%
4
2
1
0
1
5
0
4
8-8
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 170 · 29
32.4
18
69%
2
5
2
0
2
4
1
1
4-4
100%
4-9
44%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
27.8
10
83%
7
1
3
0
0
4
3
4
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24
35.4
11
46%
3
0
2
1
3
4
1
2
7-9
78%
2-8
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 25
9.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31
9.4
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 22
9.1
2
100%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 30
G · 6'1" 175 · 24
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23
#3 · F · 6'10" 253 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · · 6'9" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
57%
28
12
8
2
12
0
7
21
27-31
87%
28-54
52%
3-10
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.