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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 5, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Cavaliers46%9995
12Bucks54%10086
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.0
42.8
41.0
8
29%
5
9
1
2
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
3-9
9-17
33%
52%
0-4
0%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.7
38.5
29.1
4
41%
8
6
1
1
0
2
2
6
0-2
0%
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
35.8
28.5
31
68%
16
2
1
1
0
2
6
10
5-6
83%
13-20
5-10
65%
50%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.0
35.7
38.4
22
55%
4
5
1
2
1
1
3
1
4-7
57%
3-11
5-11
27%
45%
4-6
67%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.6
33.2
33.3
11
36%
8
2
0
1
5
1
2
6
1-1
100%
5-15
6-13
33%
49%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.4
18.3
20.7
8
40%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
2-5
40%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
17.5
19.4
4
43%
4
0
0
1
1
1
4
0
4-6
67%
0-2
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
9.6
20.8
4
50%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
0-2
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.9
8.7
8.7
3
75%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.1
4.9
0
0-1
44%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.0
1.7
0
0-0
42%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.1
1.0
0
0-0
45%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.1
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.6
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.4
41.4
38.4
26
47%
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
5
7-11
64%
5-12
6-13
42%
49%
3-11
27%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.0
39.9
39.3
11
31%
3
4
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-15
6-12
27%
49%
1-3
33%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.8
37.0
37.1
3
25%
2
5
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-7
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.6
34.6
22.8
8
65%
10
2
0
1
4
3
3
7
2-5
40%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.1
33.1
31.8
16
89%
10
2
4
1
0
4
2
8
6-9
67%
5-5
5-9
100%
54%
0-0
-
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.4
22.8
24.9
13
51%
0
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
3-4
75%
5-11
4-8
45%
54%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
15.8
11.8
4
50%
8
0
0
0
2
0
3
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 26.9
15.4
18.1
5
63%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.2
3.5
0
0-1
43%
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.9
2.8
0
0-0
46%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.6
1.9
0
0-0
46%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.0
0.9
0
0-0
48%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.4
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.