Final Win Prob. pScore
2512%95
80
188%110
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
93.08674.8
PHX logo Suns
127.185100.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SunsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SunsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAPHX
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA80
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:01.0PHXBurke 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)80
0%
108
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot80
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:37.0PHXMISS Burke 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0PHXBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Hite 20' Jump Shot80
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 1:10PHXRose 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Banks 2 AST)80
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 1:23PHXBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Quinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34PHXMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:56PHXBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:03MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06PHXMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13MIABanks STEAL (4 STL)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:32PHXJones 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:47MIABanks STEAL (3 STL)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:04PHXSUB: Burke FOR Stoudemire80
100
Q4 - 3:04PHXSUB: Rose FOR Marion80
100
Q4 - 3:04PHXJones Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21MIAMISS Doleac 8' Hook Shot80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:34MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37PHXMISS Marion 17' Jump Shot80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:08MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:11PHXMISS Jones 14' Turnaround Jump Shot78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32MIASUB: Hite FOR Kapono78
100
Q4 - 4:32MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T18)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:43PHXMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIAHeat Rebound77
100
Q4 - 5:03MIAMISS Kapono Free Throw 1 of 277
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIASUB: Barron FOR Hite77
100
Q4 - 5:03PHXSUB: Jones FOR Nash77
100
Q4 - 5:03PHXJones S.FOUL (P2.T3)77
100
Q4 - 5:27PHXNash Layup (22 PTS) (Stoudemire 3 AST)77
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:40MIAWright Dunk (8 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)77
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:42MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44MIAMISS Hite 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56MIAHite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58PHXMISS Stoudemire 9' Jump Shot75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:13PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:15MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:28PHXBanks P.FOUL (P4.T2)75
98
Q4 - 6:35MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39PHXMISS Marion 11' Jump Bank Shot75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:42PHXMISS Banks 21' Jump Shot75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:48PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS Quinn Reverse Layup75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:59MIAHite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:01PHXMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:13PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:14MIAMISS Hite 13' Jump Shot75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:28PHXStoudemire P.FOUL (P4.T1)75
98
Q4 - 7:34MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:36PHXMISS Marion 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:44PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:07PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)75
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 8:07PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)75
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 8:07MIAKapono S.FOUL (P3.T4)75
96
Q4 - 8:24MIAWright 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS)75
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:47PHXBanks Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)73
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 8:58PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Quinn Layup73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:07PHXJones Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)73
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 9:07PHXJones Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)73
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 9:07MIASUB: Quinn FOR Payton73
92
Q4 - 9:07PHXSUB: Nash FOR Barbosa73
92
Q4 - 9:07PHXSUB: Marion FOR Diaw73
92
Q4 - 9:07MIASUB: Hite FOR Williams73
92
Q4 - 9:07MIAWilliams Ejection:Second Technical73
92
Q4 - 9:07MIAWilliams T.FOUL (P2.T3)73
92
Q4 - 9:07MIAWilliams T.FOUL (P2.T3)73
92
Q4 - 9:07MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)73
92
Q4 - 9:16PHXBanks Layup (11 PTS)73
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 9:20MIABanks STEAL (2 STL)73
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 9:45PHXBanks 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Diaw 7 AST)73
0.7%
90
99.3%
Q4 - 9:50PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)73
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 9:52MIAMISS Williams 11' Jump Shot73
0.9%
88
99.1%
Q4 - 10:14PHXBarbosa Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)73
1.2%
88
98.8%
Q4 - 10:30MIAWright 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)73
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q4 - 10:47MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)71
88
Q4 - 10:47PHXStoudemire Layup (18 PTS)71
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q4 - 10:53MIAStoudemire STEAL (1 STL)71
1.0%
86
99.0%
Q4 - 11:03PHXDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)71
1.4%
86
98.6%
Q4 - 11:03MIASUB: Wright FOR Haslem71
85
Q4 - 11:03PHXDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)71
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 11:03MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P5.T3)71
84
Q4 - 11:17MIASUB: Doleac FOR Mourning71
84
Q4 - 11:17MIAMourning P.FOUL (P5.T2)71
84
Q4 - 11:25MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)71
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 11:50PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)71
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 11:50PHXSUNS Rebound71
83
Q4 - 11:50PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 271
2.3%
83
97.7%
Q4 - 11:50MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P4.T1)71
83
Q4 - 12:0071
83
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
2.2%
83
97.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHX71
83
Q3 - 0:00.0PHXBanks 39' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)71
2.7%
83
97.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIABanks STEAL (1 STL)71
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q3 - 0:20.0PHXDiaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)71
5.3%
80
94.7%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIADoleac Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)71
4.4%
80
95.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
5.3%
80
94.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0PHXMISS Diaw Layup71
5.0%
80
95.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAPayton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
4.4%
80
95.6%
Q3 - 1:04PHXStoudemire 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS)68
3.1%
80
96.9%
Q3 - 1:23MIAPayton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)68
3.8%
78
96.2%
Q3 - 1:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)65
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q3 - 1:40PHXMISS Diaw 21' Jump Shot65
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q3 - 1:54PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
2.1%
78
97.9%
Q3 - 1:56MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot65
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q3 - 2:09PHXSUB: Stoudemire FOR Thomas65
78
Q3 - 2:09PHXSUB: Barbosa FOR Nash65
78
Q3 - 2:09PHXSUNS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)65
78
Q3 - 2:09PHXBanks P.FOUL (P3.T2)65
78
Q3 - 2:19MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q3 - 2:21PHXMISS Marion 10' Jump Shot65
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q3 - 2:23PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)65
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q3 - 2:25PHXMISS Banks 18' Jump Shot65
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q3 - 2:37PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
2.3%
78
97.7%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS Haslem 6' Jump Shot65
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q3 - 2:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)65
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q3 - 2:58PHXMISS Thomas 16' Turnaround Jump Shot65
2.6%
78
97.4%
Q3 - 3:19MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 7 AST)65
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q3 - 3:35PHXMarion 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)63
2.0%
78
98.0%
Q3 - 3:46MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)63
2.4%
76
97.6%
Q3 - 4:00MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 4:01PHXMISS Marion Layup60
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 4:03PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 4:05PHXMISS Banks 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
1.7%
76
98.3%
Q3 - 4:27MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)60
1.5%
76
98.5%
Q3 - 4:27PHXSUB: Thomas FOR Stoudemire59
76
Q3 - 4:27PHXStoudemire S.FOUL (P3.T1)59
76
Q3 - 4:27MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)59
76
Q3 - 4:45PHXNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Diaw 6 AST)57
1.1%
76
98.9%
Q3 - 4:55PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)57
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q3 - 4:58MIAMISS Williams Layup57
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q3 - 5:12PHXSUB: Banks FOR Barbosa57
73
Q3 - 5:12PHXBarbosa Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)57
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 5:23MIAPayton 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)57
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q3 - 5:51PHXBarbosa 13' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)55
1.4%
73
98.6%
Q3 - 6:11MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)55
71
Q3 - 6:11PHXNash Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)55
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q3 - 6:1155
70
Q3 - 6:18MIAWilliams Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T12)55
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 6:40PHXBarbosa 13' Jump Shot (16 PTS)55
2.4%
70
97.6%
Q3 - 7:00PHXMarion Violation:Defensive Goaltending55
68
Q3 - 7:00MIAWilliams Layup (14 PTS)55
2.7%
68
97.3%
Q3 - 7:25PHXNash 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)53
2.5%
68
97.5%
Q3 - 7:40MIASUB: Doleac FOR Mourning53
66
Q3 - 7:40MIAMourning L.B.FOUL (P4.T2)53
66
Q3 - 7:40PHXSUNS Rebound53
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 7:40MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
3.0%
66
97.0%
Q3 - 7:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)53
3.4%
66
96.6%
Q3 - 8:00PHXMISS Barbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q3 - 8:07PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 8:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)53
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 8:08MIAMISS Haslem Layup53
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 8:12MIAStoudemire BLOCK (1 BLK)53
3.1%
66
96.9%
Q3 - 8:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)53
3.5%
66
96.5%
Q3 - 8:32PHXMISS Stoudemire 18' Jump Shot53
3.3%
66
96.7%
Q3 - 8:48MIAHaslem 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)53
2.9%
66
97.1%
Q3 - 9:06PHXMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)51
2.6%
66
97.4%
Q3 - 9:06PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)51
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q3 - 9:06MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P3.T1)51
64
Q3 - 9:06PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 9:07PHXMISS Marion Layup51
3.3%
64
96.7%
Q3 - 9:12PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)51
3.0%
64
97.0%
Q3 - 9:16MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot51
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 9:34PHXStoudemire 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Barbosa 3 AST)51
3.5%
64
96.5%
Q3 - 9:46MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)51
4.0%
62
96.0%
Q3 - 10:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q3 - 10:05PHXMISS Nash 10' Jump Shot49
3.4%
62
96.6%
Q3 - 10:22MIAPayton Foul Turnover (P1.T11)49
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q3 - 10:22MIAPayton OFF.Foul (P1)49
62
Q3 - 10:35PHXDiaw Layup (6 PTS)49
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q3 - 10:48PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)49
4.1%
60
95.9%
Q3 - 10:49PHXMISS Nash Layup49
4.5%
60
95.5%
Q3 - 10:58MIAKapono 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)49
4.1%
60
95.9%
Q3 - 11:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
3.7%
60
96.3%
Q3 - 11:10PHXMISS Marion Alley Oop Layup47
3.5%
60
96.5%
Q3 - 11:27MIAPayton Driving Layup (6 PTS)47
3.2%
60
96.8%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)45
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q3 - 11:40MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q3 - 12:0045
60
Q2 - 0:00.0PHX45
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
2.4%
60
97.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wright 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
2.5%
60
97.5%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0PHXMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot45
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIABarron Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)45
2.6%
60
97.4%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAHeat Rebound45
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 245
2.6%
60
97.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0PHXSUB: Thomas FOR Stoudemire45
60
Q2 - 0:54.0MIASUB: Barron FOR Haslem45
60
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)45
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q2 - 0:54.0PHXStoudemire S.FOUL (P2.PN)44
60
Q2 - 1:19PHXJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)44
2.6%
60
97.4%
Q2 - 1:26MIAMarion STEAL (1 STL)44
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q2 - 1:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
3.8%
57
96.2%
Q2 - 1:48PHXMISS Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
3.7%
57
96.3%
Q2 - 1:58MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)44
3.5%
57
96.5%
Q2 - 1:58MIASUB: Hite FOR Williams43
57
Q2 - 1:58PHXSUB: Jones FOR Diaw43
57
Q2 - 1:58MIAWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
3.4%
57
96.6%
Q2 - 1:58PHXDiaw S.FOUL (P3.PN)42
57
Q2 - 2:13PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)42
3.0%
57
97.0%
Q2 - 2:13PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)42
3.1%
56
96.9%
Q2 - 2:13MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)42
55
Q2 - 2:13MIAWright P.FOUL (P1.PN)42
55
Q2 - 2:23PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)42
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q2 - 2:25PHXMISS Stoudemire 6' Jump Shot42
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q2 - 2:41MIAWright Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T8)42
3.4%
55
96.6%
Q2 - 2:57PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)42
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q2 - 2:57PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)42
4.0%
54
96.0%
Q2 - 2:57MIAKapono P.FOUL (P2.PN)42
53
Q2 - 3:07MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 6 AST)42
4.3%
53
95.7%
Q2 - 3:34PHXMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
3.5%
53
96.5%
Q2 - 3:34MIASUB: Wright FOR Mourning39
52
Q2 - 3:34PHXMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)39
3.5%
52
96.5%
Q2 - 3:34MIAMourning P.FOUL (P3.PN)39
51
Q2 - 3:34PHXSUNS Rebound39
3.9%
51
96.1%
Q2 - 3:34MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot39
4.0%
51
96.0%
Q2 - 3:47PHXStoudemire 10' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)39
4.4%
51
95.6%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMourning Dunk (15 PTS)39
4.9%
49
95.1%
Q2 - 4:02MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
4.4%
49
95.6%
Q2 - 4:04MIAMISS Haslem 9' Jump Shot37
4.1%
49
95.9%
Q2 - 4:20MIASUB: Haslem FOR Barron37
49
Q2 - 4:20MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)37
49
Q2 - 4:29PHXBarbosa 8' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)37
4.4%
49
95.6%
Q2 - 4:38PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
4.9%
47
95.1%
Q2 - 4:40MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot37
5.1%
47
94.9%
Q2 - 4:56MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)37
5.6%
47
94.4%
Q2 - 4:58PHXMISS Stoudemire Alley Oop Layup37
5.4%
47
94.6%
Q2 - 5:08MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)37
5.0%
47
95.0%
Q2 - 5:27PHXMarion Dunk (5 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)37
5.6%
47
94.4%
Q2 - 5:37MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)37
6.3%
45
93.7%
Q2 - 5:37MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)36
6.1%
45
93.9%
Q2 - 5:37MIASUB: Barron FOR Haslem35
45
Q2 - 5:37PHXSUNS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)35
45
Q2 - 5:37PHXMarion S.FOUL (P1.PN)35
45
Q2 - 5:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
5.6%
45
94.4%
Q2 - 5:40MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
5.2%
45
94.8%
Q2 - 6:03PHXNash 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Barbosa 2 AST)35
5.8%
45
94.2%
Q2 - 6:20MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)35
7.1%
42
92.9%
Q2 - 6:20PHXSUB: Marion FOR Jones34
42
Q2 - 6:20MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)34
7.0%
42
93.0%
Q2 - 6:20PHXDiaw S.FOUL (P2.T4)33
42
Q2 - 6:23PHXJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)33
6.5%
42
93.5%
Q2 - 6:35MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
5.7%
42
94.3%
Q2 - 6:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
5.2%
42
94.8%
Q2 - 6:54PHXMISS Stoudemire Reverse Layup31
5.0%
42
95.0%
Q2 - 7:01MIAMourning Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)31
4.6%
42
95.4%
Q2 - 7:18PHXStoudemire L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)29
42
Q2 - 7:18MIAHeat Rebound29
4.1%
42
95.9%
Q2 - 7:19PHXMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot29
4.0%
42
96.0%
Q2 - 7:30PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
3.7%
42
96.3%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot29
3.8%
42
96.2%
Q2 - 7:46PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)29
4.1%
42
95.9%
Q2 - 7:46PHXSUNS Rebound29
41
Q2 - 7:46PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 1 of 229
4.2%
41
95.8%
Q2 - 7:46MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P2.PN)29
41
Q2 - 7:54MIASUB: Kapono FOR Wright29
41
Q2 - 7:54MIAWright Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)29
4.1%
41
95.9%
Q2 - 8:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
4.7%
41
95.3%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
4.4%
41
95.6%
Q2 - 8:36PHXStoudemire Dunk (4 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)29
4.7%
41
95.3%
Q2 - 8:44MIAMourning P.FOUL (P2.T4)29
39
Q2 - 8:54PHXSUB: Nash FOR Thomas29
39
Q2 - 8:54PHXSUB: Stoudemire FOR Banks29
39
Q2 - 8:5429
39
Q2 - 8:54MIAHaslem Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)29
5.2%
39
94.8%
Q2 - 9:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
5.8%
39
94.2%
Q2 - 9:15PHXMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot29
5.6%
39
94.4%
Q2 - 9:25MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)29
5.3%
39
94.7%
Q2 - 9:25MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)28
5.1%
39
94.9%
Q2 - 9:25PHXThomas S.FOUL (P2.T2)27
39
Q2 - 9:32MIAHeat Rebound27
4.7%
39
95.3%
Q2 - 9:33MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot27
4.4%
39
95.6%
Q2 - 9:56PHXBanks Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)27
4.8%
39
95.2%
Q2 - 9:56PHXBanks Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
4.8%
38
95.2%
Q2 - 9:56MIAWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T3)27
37
Q2 - 10:04MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)27
5.4%
37
94.6%
Q2 - 10:04MIAHeat Rebound26
37
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 226
5.2%
37
94.8%
Q2 - 10:04PHXJones S.FOUL (P1.T1)26
37
Q2 - 10:22PHXJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barbosa 1 AST)26
5.4%
37
94.6%
Q2 - 10:34MIAMourning Dunk (6 PTS) (Haslem 5 AST)26
6.5%
34
93.5%
Q2 - 10:50PHXBarbosa Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)24
5.9%
34
94.1%
Q2 - 10:50MIASUB: Williams FOR Quinn24
33
Q2 - 10:50MIASUB: Payton FOR Kapono24
33
Q2 - 10:50PHXBarbosa Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)24
6.0%
33
94.0%
Q2 - 10:50MIAQuinn S.FOUL (P2.T2)24
32
Q2 - 10:54PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
6.5%
32
93.5%
Q2 - 10:55MIAMISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot24
6.7%
32
93.3%
Q2 - 11:02PHXBarbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)24
7.4%
32
92.6%
Q2 - 11:13MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P1.T1)24
29
Q2 - 11:30PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
8.9%
29
91.1%
Q2 - 11:34MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot24
9.2%
29
90.8%
Q2 - 12:0024
29
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
9.8%
29
90.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
9.8%
29
90.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Haslem 40' 3PT Jump Shot24
9.2%
29
90.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0PHXBarbosa Driving Layup (7 PTS)24
9.6%
29
90.4%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)24
10.7%
27
89.3%
Q1 - 0:19.0PHXBanks S.FOUL (P2.PN)23
27
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAQuinn Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
27
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
8.8%
27
91.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0PHXMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot21
8.6%
27
91.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
8.2%
27
91.8%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
8.0%
27
92.0%
Q1 - 0:53.0PHXBanks P.FOUL (P1.PN)19
27
Q1 - 1:04PHXBarbosa Reverse Layup (5 PTS)19
7.4%
27
92.6%
Q1 - 1:07MIABarbosa STEAL (2 STL)19
8.3%
25
91.7%
Q1 - 1:19PHXBanks 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
8.8%
25
91.2%
Q1 - 1:34PHXMarion Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)19
9.8%
23
90.2%
Q1 - 1:34MIASUB: Mourning FOR Doleac19
22
Q1 - 1:34MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Doleac )19
22
Q1 - 1:45MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)19
10.7%
22
89.3%
Q1 - 1:45MIASUB: Quinn FOR Williams18
22
Q1 - 1:45PHXSUB: Diaw FOR Stoudemire18
22
Q1 - 1:45PHXThomas S.FOUL (P1.T3)18
22
Q1 - 1:45MIADoleac Layup (2 PTS) (Haslem 4 AST)18
22
Q1 - 2:00PHXStoudemire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)16
8.8%
22
91.2%
Q1 - 2:23MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)16
8.3%
22
91.7%
Q1 - 2:44MIAHeat Rebound14
7.5%
22
92.5%
Q1 - 2:45PHXMISS Marion 19' Jump Shot14
7.4%
22
92.6%
Q1 - 2:56PHXSUB: Barbosa FOR Nash14
22
Q1 - 2:56PHXSUNS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
22
Q1 - 2:56MIASUB: Wright FOR Payton14
22
Q1 - 2:56MIAKapono Foul Turnover (P1.T3)14
7.0%
22
93.0%
Q1 - 2:56MIAKapono OFF.Foul (P1)14
22
Q1 - 3:16PHXNash Layup (11 PTS) (Stoudemire 2 AST)14
7.5%
22
92.5%
Q1 - 3:33PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
8.2%
20
91.8%
Q1 - 3:35MIAMISS Williams 29' 3PT Jump Shot14
8.4%
20
91.6%
Q1 - 3:54MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
8.9%
20
91.1%
Q1 - 3:56PHXMISS Marion 16' Jump Shot14
8.6%
20
91.4%
Q1 - 4:11PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
8.4%
20
91.6%
Q1 - 4:13MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot14
8.6%
20
91.4%
Q1 - 4:36PHXNash 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)14
9.1%
20
90.9%
Q1 - 4:41PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
9.7%
18
90.3%
Q1 - 4:42MIAMISS Payton 16' Jump Shot14
9.9%
18
90.1%
Q1 - 5:00PHXSUB: Thomas FOR Barbosa14
18
Q1 - 5:00PHXSUB: Banks FOR Diaw14
18
Q1 - 5:00MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)14
18
Q1 - 5:08PHXDiaw Layup (4 PTS) (Stoudemire 1 AST)14
10.7%
18
89.3%
Q1 - 5:14PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
11.4%
16
88.6%
Q1 - 5:18MIAMISS Payton 8' Hook Shot14
11.6%
16
88.4%
Q1 - 5:44PHXBarbosa 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)14
12.2%
16
87.8%
Q1 - 6:00MIASUB: Doleac FOR Mourning14
13
Q1 - 6:00MIAMourning Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)14
13.8%
13
86.2%
Q1 - 6:26PHXDiaw Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)14
14.4%
13
85.6%
Q1 - 6:32MIABarbosa STEAL (1 STL)14
15.3%
11
84.7%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
16.3%
11
83.7%
Q1 - 6:52PHXMISS Nash 21' Jump Shot14
15.9%
11
84.1%
Q1 - 6:57PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
15.2%
11
84.8%
Q1 - 6:59MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot14
15.5%
11
84.5%
Q1 - 7:12PHXDiaw P.FOUL (P1.T2)14
11
Q1 - 7:32PHXNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)14
15.8%
11
84.2%
Q1 - 7:43PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
17.5%
8
82.5%
Q1 - 7:45MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot14
17.8%
8
82.2%
Q1 - 8:04MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
18.0%
8
82.0%
Q1 - 8:05PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 2 of 214
17.8%
8
82.2%
Q1 - 8:05PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)14
17.2%
8
82.8%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMourning S.FOUL (P1.T3)14
7
Q1 - 8:16MIAKapono 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)14
17.9%
7
82.1%
Q1 - 8:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
16.8%
7
83.2%
Q1 - 8:33PHXMISS Nash Layup12
16.5%
7
83.5%
Q1 - 8:42MIAWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)12
15.8%
7
84.2%
Q1 - 9:00MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
14.2%
7
85.8%
Q1 - 9:01PHXMISS Diaw 16' Jump Shot9
13.7%
7
86.3%
Q1 - 9:10PHXNash Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)9
13.3%
7
86.7%
Q1 - 9:10MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Kapono )9
6
Q1 - 9:19MIAMourning Layup (4 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)9
13.9%
6
86.1%
Q1 - 9:38PHXMarion 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)7
13.2%
6
86.8%
Q1 - 9:58MIAMourning 14' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)7
13.6%
4
86.4%
Q1 - 10:21PHXNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)5
12.9%
4
87.1%
Q1 - 10:36MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T2)5
1
Q1 - 10:47MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)5
13.4%
1
86.6%
Q1 - 11:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
12.7%
1
87.3%
Q1 - 11:06PHXMISS Stoudemire 12' Jump Shot3
12.6%
1
87.4%
Q1 - 11:22MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
12.5%
1
87.5%
Q1 - 11:22PHXNash S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
1
Q1 - 11:22MIAWilliams 14' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)2
1
Q1 - 11:36MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
12.2%
1
87.8%
Q1 - 11:38PHXMISS Stoudemire Free Throw 2 of 20
12.2%
1
87.8%
Q1 - 11:38PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
12.2%
1
87.8%
Q1 - 11:38MIAHaslem S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:38PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
12.2%
0
87.8%
Q1 - 11:38PHXMISS Stoudemire 6' Jump Bank Shot0
12.3%
0
87.7%
Q1 - 11:40PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
12.2%
0
87.8%
Q1 - 11:42PHXMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
12.3%
0
87.7%
Q1 - 12:00PHXJump Ball Stoudemire vs. Mourning: Tip to Barbosa0
12.3%
0
87.7%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAPHX
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.3%
PHX
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
14
71%
PHX
12
20
60%
Midrange
MIA
14
38
37%
PHX
13
36
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
PHX
11
16.5
20
55%
83%
Free Throws
MIA
17
20
85%
PHX
25
29
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Mourning1563%7.5 / 12
G. Payton1478%7.0 / 9
J. Williams1464%7.0 / 11
J. Kapono1045%5.0 / 11
D. Wright1056%5.0 / 9
U. Haslem739%3.5 / 9
M. Doleac550%2.5 / 5
C. Quinn550%2.5 / 5
R. Hite0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Nash2279%11.0 / 14
A. Stoudemire2053%10.0 / 19
L. Barbosa18100%9.0 / 9
M. Banks1372%6.5 / 9
S. Marion1139%5.5 / 14
J. Jones1083%5.0 / 6
B. Diaw857%4.0 / 7
J. Rose3150%1.5 / 1
P. Burke375%1.5 / 2
K. Thomas0-0.0 / 4
J. Jones0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
67
+9
-19
76
PHX
79
+8
-6
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.03 51.3%
PHX
1.21 60.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
114.1
MIA 93.0
PHX 127.1 +34.0
Pace
90.1
95.5
MIA 74.8
PHX 100.6 +25.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.3
MIA 19.3
PHX 14.3 −4.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
55.1%
MIA 47.7%
PHX 54.6% +6.9%
TO %
15.3%
14.5%
MIA 21.1%
PHX 6.3% −14.8%
ORB %
24.9%
22.8%
MIA 18.2%
PHX 20.0% +1.8%
FTrt
32.1
26.7
MIA 30.3
PHX 38.2 +7.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
62.6%
MIA 58.6% +3.0%
PHX 55.6%
STL %
7.6%
7.0%
MIA 3.5%
PHX 9.4% +5.9%
BLK %
8.8%
6.9%
MIA 1.8%
PHX 1.9% +0.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.4 and 3.4.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
57.8%
MIA 51.3%
PHX 60.7% +9.4%
Rim FG%
61.8%
63.5%
MIA 71.4% +11.4%
PHX 60.0%
Mid FG%
40.5%
45.1%
MIA 36.8% +0.7%
PHX 36.1%
3P %
34.3%
39.9%
MIA 35.7%
PHX 55.0% +19.3%
FT %
69.0%
80.8%
MIA 85.0%
PHX 86.2% +1.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
31.5%
MIA 21.2%
PHX 26.3% +5.1%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
39.8%
MIA 57.6%
PHX 47.4% −10.2%
3P Att. %
24.5%
28.7%
MIA 21.2%
PHX 26.3% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.45 and 3.45.
Game TotalsMIAPHX
Possessions8685
Possession Minutes27.620.3
Points80108
Rebounds3835
Assists1720
Steals38
Blocks11
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)8 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (2)27 (2)
Field Goals29-6636-76
At-the-Rim FG10-1412-20
Midrange FG14-3813-36
2-Point FG24-5225-56
3-Point FG5-1411-20
Free Throws17-2025-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
40.5
10
45%
2
1
0
0
1
3
0
2
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
34.8
14
78%
1
3
1
0
3
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
3-4
75%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
34.8
7
39%
13
7
0
0
2
5
2
11
1-1
100%
3-8
38%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
34.0
14
64%
2
5
2
0
3
2
0
2
3-3
100%
4-6
67%
1-4
25%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
21.1
15
63%
6
0
0
1
2
5
3
3
5-6
83%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
23.4
5
50%
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
5
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
21.6
10
56%
4
0
0
0
4
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
12.0
5
50%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 184 · 23
10.6
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
7.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
#42 · F · 6'8" 217 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'9" 245 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
80
51%
38
17
3
1
19
0
6
32
17-20
85%
24-52
46%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.