FinalWin Prob.pScore
1570%93
100
3030%86
93
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
114.98791.2
NOK
104.58985.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDNOK
Q4 - 0:00.0IND100
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)100
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)99
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0NOKPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)98
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)98
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)97
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0NOKMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)96
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 0:21.0INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)95
99.4%
90
0.6%
Q4 - 0:22.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)94
99.0%
90
1.0%
Q4 - 0:25.0NOKMISS Pargo Free Throw 1 of 194
98.7%
90
1.3%
Q4 - 0:32.0INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)94
99.3%
88
0.7%
Q4 - 0:32.0INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 293
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0NOKChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)93
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 0:36.0NOKChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)93
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 0:38.0INDTinsley 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS)93
99.4%
86
0.6%
Q4 - 0:52.0NOKMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 291
98.2%
86
1.8%
Q4 - 0:52.0NOKBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)91
97.3%
86
2.7%
Q4 - 0:58.0NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)91
99.0%
85
1.0%
Q4 - 1:00NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
98.7%
85
1.3%
Q4 - 1:33INDPacers Rebound89
95.2%
85
4.8%
Q4 - 1:34NOKMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
94.3%
85
5.7%
Q4 - 1:46INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)89
91.2%
85
8.8%
Q4 - 1:46INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)88
89.9%
85
10.1%
Q4 - 1:46INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)87
86.8%
85
13.2%
Q4 - 1:46INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
82.0%
85
18.0%
Q4 - 2:01NOKButler Slam Dunk (10 PTS)87
87.7%
85
12.3%
Q4 - 2:04INDButler STEAL (1 STL)87
90.7%
83
9.3%
Q4 - 2:06INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)87
94.9%
83
5.1%
Q4 - 2:07INDMISS O'Neal 11' Jump Shot87
92.3%
83
7.7%
Q4 - 2:26NOKMason Foul Turnover (P6.T16)87
95.0%
83
5.0%
Q4 - 2:53INDO'Neal Layup (22 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)87
89.0%
83
11.0%
Q4 - 3:08NOKChandler Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T15)85
86.1%
83
13.9%
Q4 - 3:34INDO'Neal 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jasikevicius 2 AST)85
77.4%
83
22.6%
Q4 - 3:47INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
70.6%
83
29.4%
Q4 - 3:48NOKMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
68.1%
83
31.9%
Q4 - 4:01NOKHORNETS Rebound83
61.7%
83
38.3%
Q4 - 4:01INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
64.5%
83
35.5%
Q4 - 4:24NOKMason 8' Jump Hook Shot (28 PTS) (Pargo 6 AST)83
70.5%
83
29.5%
Q4 - 4:40NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
77.3%
81
22.7%
Q4 - 4:42INDChandler BLOCK (2 BLK)83
79.4%
81
20.6%
Q4 - 4:58NOKJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)83
83.7%
81
16.3%
Q4 - 5:14NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
77.2%
81
22.8%
Q4 - 5:15INDMISS Tinsley 18' Jump Shot83
79.0%
81
21.0%
Q4 - 5:25NOKMason Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T13)83
82.7%
81
17.3%
Q4 - 5:32INDMason STEAL (2 STL)83
77.2%
81
22.8%
Q4 - 5:43INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)83
82.8%
81
17.2%
Q4 - 5:45INDMISS Jasikevicius 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
79.0%
81
21.0%
Q4 - 6:03NOKJackson 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Pargo 5 AST)83
82.5%
81
17.5%
Q4 - 6:16INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)83
85.9%
79
14.1%
Q4 - 6:28INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
77.7%
79
22.3%
Q4 - 6:31NOKMISS Mason 7' Jump Bank Shot80
75.8%
79
24.2%
Q4 - 6:49NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)80
71.1%
79
28.9%
Q4 - 6:51NOKMISS Pargo 19' Jump Shot80
75.8%
79
24.2%
Q4 - 7:06INDArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)80
72.0%
79
28.0%
Q4 - 7:19NOKBrown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pargo 4 AST)80
77.8%
79
22.2%
Q4 - 7:34NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
85.5%
76
14.5%
Q4 - 7:35INDMISS Armstrong Layup80
86.6%
76
13.4%
Q4 - 7:37INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
89.0%
76
11.0%
Q4 - 7:39INDMISS Jasikevicius 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
86.6%
76
13.4%
Q4 - 7:50NOKBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)80
89.0%
76
11.0%
Q4 - 7:50NOKBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)80
89.5%
75
10.5%
Q4 - 8:10INDJasikevicius 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)80
90.2%
74
9.8%
Q4 - 8:21INDPacers Rebound78
87.7%
74
12.3%
Q4 - 8:21NOKMISS Jackson 10' Jump Shot78
86.9%
74
13.1%
Q4 - 8:32NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
84.7%
74
15.3%
Q4 - 8:33INDMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot78
85.7%
74
14.3%
Q4 - 8:53NOKMason 5' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)78
87.8%
74
12.2%
Q4 - 9:20INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)78
89.7%
72
10.3%
Q4 - 9:20INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)77
89.3%
72
10.7%
Q4 - 9:36NOKJohnson Tip Shot (7 PTS)76
87.4%
72
12.6%
Q4 - 9:39NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
89.7%
70
10.3%
Q4 - 9:40NOKMISS Pargo Layup76
91.2%
70
8.8%
Q4 - 9:58INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P4.T13)76
89.7%
70
10.3%
Q4 - 10:08NOKPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)76
91.1%
70
8.9%
Q4 - 10:17INDO'Neal Layup (15 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)76
88.9%
70
11.1%
Q4 - 10:25INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
86.7%
70
13.3%
Q4 - 10:27NOKMISS Butler 10' Jump Shot74
85.8%
70
14.2%
Q4 - 10:48INDO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)74
83.7%
70
16.3%
Q4 - 11:05INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
85.7%
70
14.3%
Q4 - 11:07NOKMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot74
84.8%
70
15.2%
Q4 - 11:36INDArmstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jasikevicius 1 AST)74
82.8%
70
17.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND71
75.9%
70
24.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOKJohnson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Butler 5 AST)71
75.9%
70
24.1%
Q3 - 0:11.0INDHarrington 16' Jump Shot (27 PTS)71
82.8%
67
17.2%
Q3 - 0:31.0NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)69
79.6%
67
20.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0INDJackson 3' Finger Roll (19 PTS)69
85.5%
64
14.5%
Q3 - 1:03INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
82.7%
64
17.3%
Q3 - 1:04NOKMISS Pargo 21' Jump Shot67
81.8%
64
18.2%
Q3 - 1:15NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
79.6%
64
20.4%
Q3 - 1:16INDMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot67
80.6%
64
19.4%
Q3 - 1:37NOKPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
82.7%
64
17.3%
Q3 - 1:37NOKPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)67
83.1%
63
16.9%
Q3 - 1:44INDGranger Foul Turnover (P2.T11)67
85.2%
62
14.8%
Q3 - 2:00NOKPargo 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)67
87.6%
62
12.4%
Q3 - 2:07NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
88.8%
60
11.2%
Q3 - 2:32NOKMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot67
90.2%
60
9.8%
Q3 - 2:48INDTinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harrington 3 AST)67
88.9%
60
11.1%
Q3 - 2:57INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
84.8%
60
15.2%
Q3 - 2:59NOKMISS Chandler Layup64
84.0%
60
16.0%
Q3 - 3:01NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)64
81.9%
60
18.1%
Q3 - 3:03NOKMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot64
83.7%
60
16.3%
Q3 - 3:26NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
81.9%
60
18.1%
Q3 - 3:26INDMISS Harrington Free Throw 1 of 164
82.2%
60
17.8%
Q3 - 3:29NOKMason Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)62
79.2%
60
20.8%
Q3 - 3:42NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
75.9%
60
24.1%
Q3 - 3:43INDMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot62
76.9%
60
23.1%
Q3 - 3:53INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
79.2%
60
20.8%
Q3 - 3:54NOKMISS Johnson Layup62
78.2%
60
21.8%
Q3 - 4:10INDTinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)62
75.9%
60
24.1%
Q3 - 4:25NOKHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)59
69.5%
60
30.5%
Q3 - 4:25NOKHORNETS Rebound59
65.2%
60
34.8%
Q3 - 4:25NOKMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
68.2%
60
31.8%
Q3 - 4:52INDHarrington 7' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)59
65.2%
60
34.8%
Q3 - 5:00INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
61.7%
60
38.3%
Q3 - 5:01NOKMISS Mason 12' Fadeaway Jumper57
60.9%
60
39.1%
Q3 - 5:14NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
57.9%
60
42.1%
Q3 - 5:16INDChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)57
59.2%
60
40.8%
Q3 - 5:29NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)57
62.2%
60
37.8%
Q3 - 5:45INDHarrington Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)57
69.4%
57
30.6%
Q3 - 6:07NOKJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
73.3%
57
26.7%
Q3 - 6:07NOKJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)57
73.8%
56
26.2%
Q3 - 6:30INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)57
76.1%
55
23.9%
Q3 - 6:30INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)56
75.6%
55
24.4%
Q3 - 6:39NOKMason Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)55
73.2%
55
26.8%
Q3 - 7:03INDHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (O'Neal 3 AST)55
69.3%
55
30.7%
Q3 - 7:15INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
62.9%
55
37.1%
Q3 - 7:18NOKMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot52
61.7%
55
38.3%
Q3 - 7:24NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
58.7%
55
41.3%
Q3 - 7:26INDMISS Jackson Layup52
60.0%
55
40.0%
Q3 - 7:46NOKBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)52
62.9%
55
37.1%
Q3 - 7:46NOKMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 252
63.7%
54
36.3%
Q3 - 7:55NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
62.4%
54
37.6%
Q3 - 7:56INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
63.7%
54
36.3%
Q3 - 8:18NOKChandler Alley Oop Layup (8 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)52
67.1%
54
32.9%
Q3 - 8:33NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
69.9%
52
30.1%
Q3 - 8:34NOKMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot52
72.3%
52
27.7%
Q3 - 8:40NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
69.9%
52
30.1%
Q3 - 8:41INDMISS Jackson Layup52
71.0%
52
29.0%
Q3 - 8:58INDPacers Rebound52
73.4%
52
26.6%
Q3 - 8:58NOKMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
72.3%
52
27.7%
Q3 - 9:20NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
70.5%
52
29.5%
Q3 - 9:21INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 252
70.9%
52
29.1%
Q3 - 9:21INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)52
72.8%
52
27.2%
Q3 - 9:32NOKMason 7' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Brown 5 AST)51
70.6%
52
29.4%
Q3 - 9:52INDJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)51
73.5%
50
26.5%
Q3 - 9:52INDMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 250
73.0%
50
27.0%
Q3 - 10:10NOKChandler Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)50
74.3%
50
25.7%
Q3 - 10:21NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
71.1%
50
28.9%
Q3 - 10:23INDMISS Harrington 9' Fadeaway Jumper50
72.1%
50
27.9%
Q3 - 10:38NOKMason 10' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)50
74.2%
50
25.8%
Q3 - 10:53NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
76.6%
48
23.4%
Q3 - 10:54INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
77.4%
48
22.6%
Q3 - 11:10NOKChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T7)50
79.7%
48
20.3%
Q3 - 11:29INDJackson Foul Turnover (P4.T9)50
77.2%
48
22.8%
Q3 - 11:40NOKJackson 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)50
79.7%
48
20.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND50
81.7%
46
18.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOKButler 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)50
83.8%
46
16.2%
Q2 - 0:19.0INDBaston Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)50
85.5%
44
14.5%
Q2 - 0:19.0INDBaston Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)49
85.1%
44
14.9%
Q2 - 0:19.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
83.3%
44
16.7%
Q2 - 0:19.0INDMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot48
82.4%
44
17.6%
Q2 - 0:39.0NOKButler 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)48
83.3%
44
16.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)48
85.5%
42
14.5%
Q2 - 1:08INDPacers Rebound45
81.0%
42
19.0%
Q2 - 1:09INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
80.2%
42
19.8%
Q2 - 1:21NOKMason 8' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)45
81.0%
42
19.0%
Q2 - 1:45INDO'Neal 6' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)45
83.8%
40
16.2%
Q2 - 2:01INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)43
81.3%
40
18.7%
Q2 - 2:03INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
80.0%
40
20.0%
Q2 - 2:18NOKBrown 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
81.2%
40
18.8%
Q2 - 2:41INDHarrington Tip Shot (18 PTS)43
83.2%
38
16.8%
Q2 - 2:43INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
81.2%
38
18.8%
Q2 - 2:45INDMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
80.0%
38
20.0%
Q2 - 2:48NOKBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)41
81.2%
38
18.8%
Q2 - 3:08INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)41
79.3%
38
20.7%
Q2 - 3:29NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)38
75.4%
38
24.6%
Q2 - 3:29NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)38
75.9%
37
24.1%
Q2 - 3:39INDJackson 9' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)38
77.3%
36
22.7%
Q2 - 4:03NOKChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
75.5%
36
24.5%
Q2 - 4:03NOKChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
76.3%
35
23.7%
Q2 - 4:03NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
77.6%
34
22.4%
Q2 - 4:03INDMISS Tinsley 22' Jump Shot36
78.2%
34
21.8%
Q2 - 4:15NOKMason 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)36
79.5%
34
20.5%
Q2 - 4:31INDMason STEAL (1 STL)36
77.6%
34
22.4%
Q2 - 4:39NOKMason 8' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)36
79.5%
34
20.5%
Q2 - 4:56INDO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)36
81.3%
32
18.7%
Q2 - 5:13NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)36
83.1%
32
16.9%
Q2 - 5:13NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
86.0%
29
14.0%
Q2 - 5:14NOKMISS Chandler 5' Jump Shot36
87.0%
29
13.0%
Q2 - 5:32INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)36
86.0%
29
14.0%
Q2 - 5:32INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)35
85.6%
29
14.4%
Q2 - 5:51NOKButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)34
84.7%
29
15.3%
Q2 - 6:09INDHarrington Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)34
87.1%
26
12.9%
Q2 - 6:09INDHarrington Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)33
86.8%
26
13.2%
Q2 - 6:17INDJasikevicius REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
86.1%
26
13.9%
Q2 - 6:20NOKMISS Butler Alley Oop Dunk32
85.6%
26
14.4%
Q2 - 6:24NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
84.4%
26
15.6%
Q2 - 6:25INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot32
85.0%
26
15.0%
Q2 - 6:44INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
86.1%
26
13.9%
Q2 - 6:45NOKMISS Butler Free Throw 2 of 232
85.9%
26
14.1%
Q2 - 6:45NOKButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
85.1%
26
14.9%
Q2 - 6:58INDO'Neal 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS)32
85.8%
25
14.2%
Q2 - 7:10INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)30
84.4%
25
15.6%
Q2 - 7:12NOKMISS Mason 4' Jump Shot30
84.0%
25
16.0%
Q2 - 7:32INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
82.9%
25
17.1%
Q2 - 7:32INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)29
82.6%
25
17.4%
Q2 - 7:39INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
81.5%
25
18.5%
Q2 - 7:41NOKMISS Mason 5' Running Jump Shot28
81.0%
25
19.0%
Q2 - 7:57INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)28
79.7%
25
20.3%
Q2 - 8:14NOKJackson 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brown 4 AST)25
76.1%
25
23.9%
Q2 - 8:27NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
77.7%
23
22.3%
Q2 - 8:31INDMISS Jasikevicius 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
78.3%
23
21.7%
Q2 - 8:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)25
79.7%
23
20.3%
Q2 - 8:35INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot25
78.3%
23
21.7%
Q2 - 8:50INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
79.7%
23
20.3%
Q2 - 8:51NOKMISS Brown Free Throw 2 of 225
79.4%
23
20.6%
Q2 - 8:51NOKMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 225
78.3%
23
21.7%
Q2 - 8:54INDBrown STEAL (1 STL)25
77.7%
23
22.3%
Q2 - 9:12NOKPargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)25
79.7%
23
20.3%
Q2 - 9:18NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
82.6%
20
17.4%
Q2 - 9:20INDJackson BLOCK (2 BLK)25
83.1%
20
16.9%
Q2 - 9:44NOKJackson Layup (3 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)25
84.2%
20
15.8%
Q2 - 9:51NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
85.3%
18
14.7%
Q2 - 9:52INDJackson BLOCK (1 BLK)25
85.7%
18
14.3%
Q2 - 10:04NOKPargo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)25
86.4%
18
13.6%
Q2 - 10:32INDGranger 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
85.0%
18
15.0%
Q2 - 10:44INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
83.9%
18
16.1%
Q2 - 10:45NOKMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot23
83.4%
18
16.6%
Q2 - 10:55NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
82.3%
18
17.7%
Q2 - 10:56INDMISS Greene 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
82.8%
18
17.2%
Q2 - 11:08INDGreene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
83.8%
18
16.2%
Q2 - 11:09NOKMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot23
83.4%
18
16.6%
Q2 - 11:31NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
82.4%
18
17.6%
Q2 - 11:33INDMISS Daniels 16' Jump Shot23
82.8%
18
17.2%
Q2 - 11:49INDPacers Rebound23
83.8%
18
16.2%
Q2 - 11:51NOKMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot23
83.4%
18
16.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOK23
82.4%
18
17.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
82.3%
18
17.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0INDMISS Daniels 10' Jump Shot23
82.7%
18
17.3%
Q1 - 0:06.0NOKChandler Follow Up Dunk (4 PTS)23
83.4%
18
16.6%
Q1 - 0:07.0NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
84.9%
16
15.1%
Q1 - 0:09.0NOKMISS Simmons Layup23
85.6%
16
14.4%
Q1 - 0:10.0NOKSimmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
84.9%
16
15.1%
Q1 - 0:11.0NOKMISS Brown Layup23
85.6%
16
14.4%
Q1 - 0:17.0INDChandler STEAL (1 STL)23
85.0%
16
15.0%
Q1 - 0:37.0NOKPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
85.9%
16
14.1%
Q1 - 0:37.0NOKPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
86.1%
15
13.9%
Q1 - 0:56.0INDJackson Layup (9 PTS)23
87.2%
14
12.8%
Q1 - 1:13NOKSimmons 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)21
85.9%
14
14.1%
Q1 - 1:36INDJackson 6' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Harrington 2 AST)21
87.2%
12
12.8%
Q1 - 1:52NOKPargo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
85.9%
12
14.1%
Q1 - 1:57INDHarrington 11' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)19
84.9%
12
15.1%
Q1 - 2:19NOKBrown 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)17
83.7%
12
16.3%
Q1 - 2:25NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
85.0%
10
15.0%
Q1 - 2:25INDMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot17
85.3%
10
14.7%
Q1 - 2:51NOKJohnson 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)17
86.1%
10
13.9%
Q1 - 3:09INDHarrington Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)17
86.8%
8
13.2%
Q1 - 3:13INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
87.9%
8
12.1%
Q1 - 3:14NOKMISS Johnson 13' Jump Shot17
87.6%
8
12.4%
Q1 - 3:30INDJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)17
86.8%
8
13.2%
Q1 - 3:43INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
84.8%
8
15.2%
Q1 - 3:44NOKMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot14
84.4%
8
15.6%
Q1 - 4:03INDBaston Foul Turnover (P1.T3)14
83.5%
8
16.5%
Q1 - 4:18NOKHORNETS Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#2)14
84.9%
8
15.1%
Q1 - 4:26NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
83.5%
8
16.5%
Q1 - 4:28NOKMISS Pargo 13' Jump Shot14
84.5%
8
15.5%
Q1 - 4:43NOKHORNETS Rebound14
83.5%
8
16.5%
Q1 - 4:45NOKMISS Chandler 3' Jump Shot14
84.5%
8
15.5%
Q1 - 5:05INDHarrington 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)14
83.4%
8
16.6%
Q1 - 5:24INDPacers Rebound12
82.4%
8
17.6%
Q1 - 5:25INDMISS Jackson Layup12
81.4%
8
18.6%
Q1 - 5:31INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
82.4%
8
17.6%
Q1 - 5:32NOKMISS Chandler 4' Hook Shot12
82.0%
8
18.0%
Q1 - 5:54NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
81.0%
8
19.0%
Q1 - 5:55INDMISS Tinsley 18' Jump Shot12
81.4%
8
18.6%
Q1 - 6:09NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
82.1%
8
17.9%
Q1 - 6:09NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 212
82.4%
7
17.6%
Q1 - 6:25INDJackson STEAL (1 STL)12
82.1%
7
17.9%
Q1 - 6:33NOKMason 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)12
83.3%
7
16.7%
Q1 - 6:46INDHarrington 5' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)12
84.3%
5
15.7%
Q1 - 7:07NOKChandler Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)10
83.1%
5
16.9%
Q1 - 7:15NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
84.1%
3
15.9%
Q1 - 7:17INDMISS O'Neal Layup10
84.4%
3
15.6%
Q1 - 7:41NOKMason 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
85.2%
3
14.8%
Q1 - 7:58INDO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)10
86.0%
1
14.0%
Q1 - 8:09INDJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
87.3%
1
12.7%
Q1 - 8:10NOKMISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot10
87.0%
1
13.0%
Q1 - 8:30INDTinsley 24' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 2 AST)10
86.3%
1
13.7%
Q1 - 8:45INDBaston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
85.5%
1
14.5%
Q1 - 8:46NOKMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
85.2%
1
14.8%
Q1 - 9:10INDHarrington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)8
84.3%
1
15.7%
Q1 - 9:23INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
82.5%
1
17.5%
Q1 - 9:25INDMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot5
81.5%
1
18.5%
Q1 - 9:40INDHarrington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
82.5%
1
17.5%
Q1 - 9:40NOKMISS Jackson Free Throw 2 of 25
82.3%
1
17.7%
Q1 - 9:40NOKJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
81.6%
1
18.4%
Q1 - 9:55NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
82.2%
0
17.8%
Q1 - 9:58INDMISS Harrington 14' Jump Shot5
82.7%
0
17.3%
Q1 - 10:16NOKMason Foul Turnover (P1.T1)5
83.4%
0
16.6%
Q1 - 10:29NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
82.2%
0
17.8%
Q1 - 10:30NOKMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot5
83.1%
0
16.9%
Q1 - 10:53INDHarrington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)5
82.2%
0
17.8%
Q1 - 11:10INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
80.0%
0
20.0%
Q1 - 11:11NOKMISS Brown 6' Jump Shot2
79.6%
0
20.4%
Q1 - 11:40INDJackson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)2
78.8%
0
21.2%
Q1 - 11:43INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
77.5%
0
22.5%
Q1 - 11:45INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot0
76.7%
0
23.3%
Q1 - 12:00NOKJump Ball Chandler vs. O'Neal: Tip to Tinsley0
77.5%
0
22.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.18 58.8%
NOK
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
11
18
61%
NOK
12
23
52%
Midrange
IND
16
34
47%
NOK
16
36
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
6
9.0
18
33%
50%
NOK
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
Free Throws
IND
28
32
88%
NOK
22
30
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Jackson2759%13.5 / 23
A. Harrington2796%13.5 / 14
J. O'Neal2265%11.0 / 17
J. Tinsley1350%6.5 / 13
D. Armstrong375%1.5 / 2
J. Foster2100%1.0 / 1
D. Granger233%1.0 / 3
S. Jasikevicius225%1.0 / 4
M. Baston2100%1.0 / 1
O. Greene0-0.0 / 2
M. Daniels0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mason2882%14.0 / 17
J. Pargo1458%7.0 / 12
D. Brown1139%5.5 / 14
M. Jackson1146%5.5 / 12
T. Chandler1056%5.0 / 9
R. Butler1042%5.0 / 12
L. Johnson750%3.5 / 7
C. Simmons250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
71
+12
-16
83
NOK
75
+13
-14
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.18 58.8%
NOK
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.0
104.6
IND 114.9 +10.4
NOK 104.5
Pace
92.4
90.4
IND 91.2 +6.2
NOK 85.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.1
IND 15.8 +1.2
NOK 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
47.9%
IND 51.4% +2.1%
NOK 49.3%
TO %
17.1%
14.9%
IND 16.0%
NOK 15.8% +0.2%
ORB %
28.4%
29.2%
IND 27.8%
NOK 28.9% +1.1%
FTrt
32.4
29.1
IND 45.7 +4.0
NOK 41.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
51.7%
IND 39.4%
NOK 54.5% +15.1%
STL %
7.9%
7.0%
IND 6.9% +0.2%
NOK 6.7%
BLK %
8.5%
6.9%
IND 6.8%
NOK 7.7% +0.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
50.7%
IND 58.8% +6.0%
NOK 52.8%
Rim FG%
56.1%
56.2%
IND 61.1% +8.9%
NOK 52.2%
Mid FG%
39.0%
38.2%
IND 47.1% +2.7%
NOK 44.4%
3P %
34.6%
36.2%
IND 33.3%
NOK 38.5% +5.2%
FT %
76.0%
74.0%
IND 87.5% +14.2%
NOK 73.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
37.2%
IND 25.7%
NOK 31.9% +6.2%
Mid Att. %
45.5%
44.0%
IND 48.6% +1.4%
NOK 50.0%
3P Att. %
21.2%
18.8%
IND 25.7% +7.7%
NOK 18.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDNOK
Possessions8789
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points10093
Rebounds3737
Assists1318
Steals66
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)26 (1)
Field Goals33-7033-72
At-the-Rim FG11-1812-23
Midrange FG16-3416-36
2-Point FG27-5228-59
3-Point FG6-185-13
Free Throws28-3222-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'8" 220 · 29
39.0
27
59%
2
2
0
1
4
4
0
2
13-14
93%
7-15
47%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 255 · 28
38.7
22
65%
7
3
2
2
4
5
1
6
6-7
86%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 27
38.4
27
96%
5
3
1
1
2
4
3
2
4-5
80%
7-9
78%
3-3
100%
G · 6'3" 188 · 29
35.0
13
50%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
2-7
29%
C · 6'11" 250 · 30
21.3
2
100%
8
1
1
0
2
4
4
4
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24
21.8
2
33%
7
0
0
0
2
4
1
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
· 6'4" 197 · 31
15.3
2
25%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
F · 6'10" 230 · 31
13.3
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 39
7.8
3
75%
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
G · 6'4" 208 · 25
5.7
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 26
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 21
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#22 · F · 6'9" 240 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 7'0" 280 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G-F · 6'7" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
59%
37
13
6
4
16
0
10
27
28-32
88%
27-52
52%
6-18
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.