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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 6, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19SuperSonics28%103104
11Warriors72%111108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.5
37.6
36.6
38
91%
2
4
2
1
0
5
2
0
9-9
100%
4-6
5-11
67%
48%
7-11
64%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.6
35.2
29.8
8
31%
6
11
0
1
0
3
1
5
1-4
25%
2-4
3-7
50%
45%
1-7
14%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.6
33.1
16.9
10
59%
5
0
1
0
2
1
2
3
1-1
100%
3-7
2-3
43%
50%
1-1
100%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.3
31.9
27.5
22
68%
7
2
1
1
0
2
2
5
6-7
86%
8-13
5-9
62%
52%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.2
26.8
21.1
6
43%
10
2
0
0
2
1
2
8
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
49%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.0
28.6
34.1
9
51%
4
3
2
2
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
1-3
4-9
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.9
21.9
28.9
7
44%
3
5
3
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
46%
1-4
25%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 20.9
16.0
18.7
2
25%
7
0
0
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.7
8.2
6.5
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.7
0.7
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
25.1
1
3-7
50%
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.7
3.9
0
0-1
48%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.1
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.7
48.0
39.5
22
53%
7
11
1
2
0
5
2
5
2-4
50%
7-13
6-13
54%
48%
2-6
33%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.9
43.7
32.0
16
48%
10
2
0
1
0
3
1
9
3-8
38%
5-9
3-6
56%
54%
1-4
25%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 26.8
35.4
38.7
11
36%
3
2
2
1
2
0
0
3
0-1
0%
4-7
4-7
57%
52%
1-8
13%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.8
35.2
25.0
15
59%
16
1
0
1
2
1
8
8
3-4
75%
6-11
4-6
55%
63%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.1
10.9
17.1
5
66%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-4
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.2
37.1
9.0
20
55%
0
4
2
0
0
2
0
0
1-5
20%
8-13
1-3
62%
52%
1-3
33%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.3
16.9
26.7
11
95%
2
2
0
1
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
4-4
3-7
100%
50%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.7
8.0
20.4
2
100%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
4.7
5.7
6
63%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
4-4
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
54%
0-0
-
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.8
0.2
9.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.2
18.3
1
2-4
41%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.0
11.5
0
2-3
49%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.5
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.