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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 7, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Wizards49%105111
17Raptors51%106116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
44.9
41.5
33
58%
4
2
0
2
0
4
1
3
17-21
81%
5-12
7-15
42%
48%
2-7
29%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.6
43.7
39.0
17
45%
14
2
1
1
0
0
4
10
1-2
50%
5-12
5-10
42%
48%
2-6
33%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.8
41.6
39.5
24
63%
8
2
0
2
0
3
1
7
8-9
89%
5-13
7-15
38%
49%
2-2
100%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.8
22.9
24.7
4
50%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.1
21.4
27.3
10
69%
4
3
0
1
2
3
1
3
2-5
40%
4-5
3-5
80%
54%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.4
22.9
17.6
12
86%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-3
2-4
100%
42%
2-4
50%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.8
19.8
17.8
1
13%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-3
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.3
7.4
1.9
6
75%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
2-4
50%
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.7
6.9
12.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.5
5.3
2.9
4
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.4
3.1
10.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-1
0%
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 23.2
1.3
0
0-0
50%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.9
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.8
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.8
37.6
35.4
24
50%
15
5
0
1
1
0
4
11
6-7
86%
9-21
7-14
43%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 31.6
32.1
32.0
16
90%
6
6
0
1
0
2
3
3
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
49%
2-2
100%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.8
30.5
22.4
20
46%
0
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
4-6
67%
8-16
4-9
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 29.1
26.6
17.6
7
58%
6
2
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 30.6
18.3
27.8
8
57%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-7
4-8
57%
51%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
30.7
21.3
15
69%
5
3
2
0
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
7-9
3-7
78%
51%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 21.2
23.7
30.8
11
65%
3
2
0
1
2
2
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
51%
2-4
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
21.9
27.5
13
82%
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
4-5
4-7
80%
51%
1-2
50%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 29.4
18.0
24.2
2
20%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 35.8
0.6
14.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
40%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 27.8
9.4
0
1-2
46%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.9
6.7
0
1-2
45%
Pape Sow
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.1
Uros Slokar
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.7
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.