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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 7, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Rockets54%9199
12Timberwolves46%89103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.3
42.7
35.3
20
75%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-3
67%
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
4-7
57%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.6
39.8
34.1
31
46%
6
4
1
1
1
5
2
4
5-10
50%
10-23
6-14
43%
46%
2-6
33%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.9
38.1
34.7
19
57%
5
3
1
1
0
0
2
3
5-6
83%
7-14
5-10
50%
46%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.5
36.8
27.4
4
67%
13
1
1
0
1
0
5
8
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.5
30.9
37.7
9
26%
3
3
1
2
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-13
3-8
23%
42%
1-4
25%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
29.4
25.9
7
35%
5
1
1
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
1-8
13%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.1
22.1
6.9
7
70%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
1-2
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.6
12.9
20.0
2
100%
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.6
12.3
5.2
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-2
0%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.6
9.7
0
1-2
47%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.4
2.4
0
0-0
43%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.7
1.6
0
0-0
38%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.8
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.6
45.1
38.8
26
50%
13
5
1
1
1
3
2
11
4-4
100%
11-24
8-17
46%
50%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 27.3
43.6
38.6
16
67%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-6
5-10
33%
47%
4-6
67%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 31.1
40.8
35.0
21
62%
10
0
0
1
1
2
4
6
8-11
73%
5-11
6-11
45%
51%
1-1
100%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 27.8
40.4
34.8
14
60%
6
0
2
0
0
0
3
3
4-4
100%
5-10
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 31.5
34.8
21.5
12
40%
6
10
0
1
0
1
0
6
6-7
86%
3-9
2-5
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 28.1
22.0
17.3
4
35%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
4-4
100%
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 23.3
18.3
26.7
6
66%
4
1
1
1
0
3
1
3
6-8
75%
0-1
4-8
0%
44%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 23.2
11.3
13.0
2
33%
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
48%
0-0
-
Justin Reed
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.0
5.8
4.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 30.9
3.0
4.0
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 30.8
6.0
0
0-1
40%
Bracey Wright
G · 6'3" 201 · 22.5
2.9
0
0-1
42%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.3
Eddie Griffin
F · 6'9" 222 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.