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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 7, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Heat47%9393
26Trail Blazers53%9490
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
47.2
31.6
12
47%
10
1
0
1
0
3
2
8
2-2
100%
5-12
4-9
42%
52%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.0
41.3
13.0
33
67%
5
3
2
1
0
4
1
4
15-17
88%
9-16
3-6
56%
52%
0-1
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.9
38.2
34.3
19
73%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
3-7
83%
45%
3-7
43%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.1
27.7
29.4
6
32%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
49%
1-4
25%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.9
18.9
23.5
5
53%
4
0
2
0
4
1
1
3
3-4
75%
1-3
3-6
33%
58%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.1
29.8
23.9
12
69%
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
2
4-6
67%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.6
25.8
18.3
6
50%
7
2
1
0
1
2
4
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.5
5.0
26.8
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.4
3.8
9.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.3
2.4
13.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 23.0
11.6
0
1-3
45%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.8
3.5
0
0-1
49%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.8
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
37.4
33.8
7
38%
1
11
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-4
4-8
25%
50%
1-4
25%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 22.5
31.8
34.1
18
50%
4
4
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
6-14
5-10
43%
49%
2-4
50%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.4
31.3
27.1
9
56%
6
1
2
1
0
2
3
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
26.8
34.8
15
47%
3
2
2
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
7-15
8-17
47%
48%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 27.2
13.5
16.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 21.5
31.6
12.7
14
47%
6
0
0
0
2
1
4
2
0-0
-
7-15
2-4
47%
51%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.6
23.8
21.0
8
40%
7
0
0
0
1
1
5
2
2-2
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 20.1
20.2
18.7
12
67%
7
1
0
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
2-5
40%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 28.2
13.9
16.7
7
58%
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 20.6
9.9
7.9
0
0%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-1
0%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 30.6
4.7
0
0-1
49%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 28.3
2.7
0
0-0
43%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.