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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 9, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Cavaliers44%95108
9Kings56%9798
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.0
43.4
41.6
34
62%
4
7
2
2
1
3
1
3
3-3
100%
11-19
8-17
58%
51%
3-7
43%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.0
42.4
38.7
11
30%
4
6
2
2
0
2
0
4
4-5
80%
2-13
5-11
15%
43%
1-3
33%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
38.6
30.9
21
73%
11
1
3
1
0
4
7
4
3-3
100%
9-13
6-11
69%
50%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.6
29.4
31.4
17
67%
9
1
1
1
2
0
4
5
3-4
75%
7-11
6-12
64%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.7
25.5
32.1
4
33%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
42%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
21.7
19.4
7
34%
7
0
0
1
1
0
5
2
3-5
60%
2-7
2-4
29%
50%
0-1
0%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.4
20.4
19.3
14
70%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
4-7
57%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.2
7.4
1.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
5.6
15.7
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.9
5.6
7.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-1
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.2
3.2
0
0-1
42%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.0
1.5
0
0-0
43%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.9
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.6
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.7
40.5
38.5
26
66%
1
6
3
1
0
4
0
1
4-4
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
46%
4-7
57%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.9
39.3
33.7
23
70%
11
3
1
1
1
0
2
9
9-10
90%
4-8
4-8
50%
53%
2-4
50%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.2
39.0
34.8
9
30%
6
7
0
2
0
3
2
4
1-2
50%
4-10
4-10
40%
46%
0-4
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.7
38.0
15.3
24
74%
5
4
1
0
0
1
0
5
8-12
67%
8-10
2-5
80%
50%
0-1
0%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.1
18.9
24.8
2
25%
4
2
0
1
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
51%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.1
24.7
27.8
3
34%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.5
17.2
21.8
4
100%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 30.2
16.6
6.8
7
74%
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
1
3-4
75%
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.7
5.3
6.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.6
0.4
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
9.4
0
1-1
48%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 22.7
6.8
0
1-2
48%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.7
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.8
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.