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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 10, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Bulls48%101103
10Wizards52%102113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.0
45.9
33.4
33
71%
4
9
0
1
1
2
0
4
5-5
100%
5-9
3-8
56%
45%
6-12
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
39.6
40.4
13
46%
5
3
1
1
0
4
0
5
5-5
100%
4-12
8-15
33%
52%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.3
34.5
32.1
4
33%
16
3
1
2
2
1
7
9
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.1
33.3
29.2
20
71%
2
1
1
1
1
3
0
2
7-7
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
51%
1-3
33%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.4
18.7
24.6
3
25%
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.8
34.7
33.1
25
67%
5
3
0
1
0
3
0
5
6-6
100%
2-10
6-13
20%
46%
5-6
83%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.5
9.9
12.5
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.2
9.0
10.7
5
66%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
8.7
5.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.4
5.7
3.4
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.5
9.9
0
2-4
47%
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.2
9.8
0
1-3
45%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.8
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.9
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.6
43.6
40.3
18
60%
9
2
1
1
0
0
3
6
0-0
-
3-7
5-11
43%
47%
4-8
50%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
41.6
42.3
20
51%
1
5
2
2
0
3
0
1
8-8
100%
3-13
7-15
23%
48%
2-3
67%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.8
35.7
39.7
26
53%
10
7
3
2
1
4
3
7
14-17
82%
6-15
7-15
40%
48%
0-2
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.8
31.0
23.7
13
55%
2
3
0
1
2
1
0
2
1-2
50%
6-10
3-5
60%
47%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.1
29.3
24.9
4
40%
7
0
1
1
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
53%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.8
20.0
18.5
15
82%
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
2
4-5
80%
4-5
2-3
80%
47%
1-2
50%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.8
15.7
22.5
5
73%
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
1-1
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.4
12.9
19.9
10
63%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
42%
2-2
100%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.4
6.0
7.3
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.3
4.1
4.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.7
10.2
0
1-2
45%
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.5
4.2
0
0-1
43%
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 23.2
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.0
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.