FinalWin Prob.pScore
359%99
92
1841%96
83
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
103.48978.3
DEN logo DEN
91.291105.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN92
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)92
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0DENMISS Camby Tip Shot92
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0DENMISS Boykins Driving Layup92
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0SASParker Layup (26 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST)92
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0DENIverson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)90
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASGinobili Driving Layup (16 PTS)90
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 0:40.0DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (33 PTS)88
98.6%
83
1.4%
Q4 - 0:45.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 0:47.0SASMISS Finley 17' Jump Shot88
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 1:10DENBoykins Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)88
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 1:13DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
98.9%
80
1.1%
Q4 - 1:15DENMISS Boykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 1:20DENNUGGETS Rebound88
98.7%
80
1.3%
Q4 - 1:21DENMISS Smith Driving Layup88
99.2%
80
0.8%
Q4 - 1:31SASParker Layup (24 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST)88
98.4%
80
1.6%
Q4 - 1:35DENCamby Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)86
97.5%
80
2.5%
Q4 - 1:44SASGinobili 16' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS)86
95.2%
80
4.8%
Q4 - 2:03DENBoykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Iverson 6 AST)84
92.8%
80
7.2%
Q4 - 2:13DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)84
96.5%
77
3.5%
Q4 - 2:15SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
97.1%
77
2.9%
Q4 - 2:30SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
98.2%
77
1.8%
Q4 - 2:34DENMISS Iverson 7' Fadeaway Jumper84
97.8%
77
2.2%
Q4 - 2:52SASGinobili Driving Finger Roll (12 PTS)84
95.3%
77
4.7%
Q4 - 3:10SASBonner REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)82
94.0%
77
6.0%
Q4 - 3:12SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot82
91.3%
77
8.7%
Q4 - 3:32DENKleiza Layup (2 PTS) (Boykins 3 AST)82
91.1%
77
8.9%
Q4 - 3:52DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)82
93.8%
75
6.2%
Q4 - 3:53SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 282
94.1%
75
5.9%
Q4 - 3:53SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 282
95.2%
75
4.8%
Q4 - 4:14DENBoykins Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)82
95.9%
75
4.1%
Q4 - 4:19DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
94.0%
75
6.0%
Q4 - 4:21SASMISS Bonner Layup82
94.7%
75
5.3%
Q4 - 4:42SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
95.9%
75
4.1%
Q4 - 4:44DENMISS Kleiza 19' Jump Shot82
95.4%
75
4.6%
Q4 - 4:57SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)82
94.1%
75
5.9%
Q4 - 5:01SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
94.4%
75
5.6%
Q4 - 5:03DENMISS Iverson 15' Jump Shot82
93.9%
75
6.1%
Q4 - 5:25SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)82
92.4%
75
7.6%
Q4 - 5:25SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)81
92.0%
75
8.0%
Q4 - 5:38DENIverson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T13)80
89.9%
75
10.1%
Q4 - 5:50SASBonner 4' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)80
86.3%
75
13.7%
Q4 - 6:09DENSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)78
80.8%
75
19.2%
Q4 - 6:09DENSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)78
81.5%
74
18.5%
Q4 - 6:25DENNUGGETS Rebound78
84.5%
73
15.5%
Q4 - 6:25SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
85.8%
73
14.2%
Q4 - 6:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)78
88.6%
73
11.4%
Q4 - 6:45DENMISS Najera Layup78
87.5%
73
12.5%
Q4 - 7:02SASGinobili Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)78
83.3%
73
16.7%
Q4 - 7:27DENIverson 12' Jump Shot (30 PTS)76
79.8%
73
20.2%
Q4 - 7:33DENEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
83.4%
71
16.6%
Q4 - 7:35SASMISS Parker Layup76
84.7%
71
15.3%
Q4 - 7:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)76
87.3%
71
12.7%
Q4 - 7:40DENMISS Najera Finger Roll76
86.2%
71
13.8%
Q4 - 7:49DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
83.4%
71
16.6%
Q4 - 7:52DENMISS Smith 5' Jump Shot76
86.2%
71
13.8%
Q4 - 8:03SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)76
82.1%
71
17.9%
Q4 - 8:10SASOberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)76
85.6%
71
14.4%
Q4 - 8:12SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
83.3%
71
16.7%
Q4 - 8:32SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
85.7%
71
14.3%
Q4 - 8:35DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
84.7%
71
15.3%
Q4 - 8:50SASBonner 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Oberto 1 AST)76
82.2%
71
17.8%
Q4 - 9:16DENSmith Driving Finger Roll (10 PTS) (Najera 2 AST)74
77.6%
71
22.4%
Q4 - 9:28DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)74
81.4%
69
18.6%
Q4 - 9:29DENMISS Iverson 14' Fadeaway Jumper74
83.9%
69
16.1%
Q4 - 9:40SASBonner 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)74
81.4%
69
18.6%
Q4 - 10:11DENBoykins 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)72
76.7%
69
23.3%
Q4 - 10:28DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
80.3%
67
19.7%
Q4 - 10:31SASMISS Ginobili 7' Running Jump Shot72
81.5%
67
18.5%
Q4 - 10:42DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)72
83.9%
67
16.1%
Q4 - 10:56SASParker Layup (22 PTS) (Ginobili 4 AST)72
80.3%
67
19.7%
Q4 - 11:04DENIverson 13' Jump Bank Shot (28 PTS)70
75.6%
67
24.4%
Q4 - 11:22SASOberto 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)70
79.3%
65
20.7%
Q4 - 11:37SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
75.7%
65
24.3%
Q4 - 11:41DENMISS Evans 8' Jump Shot68
74.4%
65
25.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS68
71.3%
65
28.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound68
75.7%
65
24.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Finley 60' 3PT Running Jump Shot68
72.7%
65
27.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENIverson 15' Fadeaway Jumper (26 PTS)68
75.7%
65
24.3%
Q3 - 0:15.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
78.9%
63
21.1%
Q3 - 0:16.0SASMISS Oberto Layup68
79.9%
63
20.1%
Q3 - 0:24.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)68
82.1%
63
17.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0DENMISS Nene Reverse Layup68
81.1%
63
18.9%
Q3 - 0:49.0SASUdrih Driving Layup (2 PTS)68
78.9%
63
21.1%
Q3 - 1:03SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
74.8%
63
25.2%
Q3 - 1:05DENMISS Iverson 18' Jump Shot66
73.7%
63
26.3%
Q3 - 1:25SASDuncan Layup (19 PTS) (Finley 3 AST)66
70.9%
63
29.1%
Q3 - 1:32SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
66.8%
63
33.2%
Q3 - 1:35DENMISS Smith 5' Running Jump Shot64
65.5%
63
34.5%
Q3 - 1:44DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
62.2%
63
37.8%
Q3 - 1:46SASMISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
63.7%
63
36.3%
Q3 - 2:14DENIverson 17' Jump Shot (24 PTS)64
66.3%
63
33.7%
Q3 - 2:25DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
70.0%
61
30.0%
Q3 - 2:27SASMISS Duncan 20' Jump Shot64
71.3%
61
28.7%
Q3 - 2:50DENIverson 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS)64
74.2%
61
25.8%
Q3 - 3:13SASOberto 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 2 AST)64
76.9%
59
23.1%
Q3 - 3:38DENSmith Layup (8 PTS) (Iverson 5 AST)62
73.8%
59
26.2%
Q3 - 3:42SASSmith STEAL (2 STL)62
76.9%
57
23.1%
Q3 - 3:51SASOberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
80.1%
57
19.9%
Q3 - 3:53SASMISS Udrih 15' Jump Shot62
77.9%
57
22.1%
Q3 - 4:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)62
79.7%
57
20.3%
Q3 - 4:04DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
78.7%
57
21.3%
Q3 - 4:24DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
76.3%
57
23.7%
Q3 - 4:25SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 262
76.8%
57
23.2%
Q3 - 4:25SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 262
78.5%
57
21.5%
Q3 - 4:42SASFinley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
79.8%
57
20.2%
Q3 - 4:44DENMISS Nene 5' Jump Hook Shot62
78.8%
57
21.2%
Q3 - 4:54DENIverson Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)62
76.4%
57
23.6%
Q3 - 5:11DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
78.9%
56
21.1%
Q3 - 5:14SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot62
79.8%
56
20.2%
Q3 - 5:32SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)62
81.8%
56
18.2%
Q3 - 5:34DENMISS Nene Driving Layup62
81.0%
56
19.0%
Q3 - 5:55SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)62
79.0%
56
21.1%
Q3 - 5:55SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
78.5%
56
21.5%
Q3 - 6:05SASOberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
75.8%
56
24.2%
Q3 - 6:08SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 260
72.9%
56
27.1%
Q3 - 6:08SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 260
74.7%
56
25.3%
Q3 - 6:21DENIverson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (19 PTS)60
75.8%
56
24.2%
Q3 - 6:42SASGinobili Layup (4 PTS) (Duncan 3 AST)60
78.4%
54
21.6%
Q3 - 7:00SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)58
75.8%
54
24.2%
Q3 - 7:02DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
74.1%
54
25.9%
Q3 - 7:20SASParker 8' Jump Shot (20 PTS)58
71.7%
54
28.3%
Q3 - 7:36SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
69.0%
54
31.0%
Q3 - 7:38DENMISS Iverson 21' Jump Shot56
67.8%
54
32.2%
Q3 - 7:53SASDuncan Dunk (17 PTS) (Horry 2 AST)56
65.1%
54
34.9%
Q3 - 7:55SASHorry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)54
62.0%
54
38.0%
Q3 - 7:57SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot54
59.0%
54
41.0%
Q3 - 8:16DENBoykins 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)54
62.3%
54
37.7%
Q3 - 8:24SASNajera STEAL (1 STL)54
68.6%
51
31.4%
Q3 - 8:46DENIverson 16' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)54
72.2%
51
27.8%
Q3 - 8:58SASParker Layup (18 PTS)54
74.7%
49
25.3%
Q3 - 9:08DENKleiza Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)52
71.8%
49
28.2%
Q3 - 9:27DENNUGGETS Rebound52
68.6%
49
31.4%
Q3 - 9:27SASMISS Horry Free Throw 2 of 252
69.1%
49
30.9%
Q3 - 9:27SASMISS Horry Free Throw 1 of 252
70.9%
49
29.1%
Q3 - 9:47SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
71.8%
49
28.2%
Q3 - 9:49DENMISS Boykins 13' Jump Shot52
70.9%
49
29.1%
Q3 - 10:01SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)52
68.7%
49
31.3%
Q3 - 10:06SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
72.0%
49
28.0%
Q3 - 10:09DENMISS Camby 15' Jump Shot52
71.0%
49
29.0%
Q3 - 10:26SASDuncan Layup (15 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)52
68.6%
49
31.4%
Q3 - 10:41DENNajera Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)50
65.8%
49
34.2%
Q3 - 10:51DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
62.2%
49
37.8%
Q3 - 10:53SASMISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot50
63.3%
49
36.7%
Q3 - 11:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
66.1%
49
33.9%
Q3 - 11:14DENMISS Najera Reverse Layup50
65.1%
49
34.9%
Q3 - 11:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
62.8%
49
37.2%
Q3 - 11:36SASDuncan Tip Shot (13 PTS)50
62.8%
49
37.2%
Q3 - 11:37SASMISS Ginobili Layup48
57.2%
49
42.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN48
59.6%
49
40.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSmith STEAL (1 STL)48
56.1%
49
43.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
59.6%
49
40.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Camby Tip Shot48
58.7%
49
41.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)48
57.1%
49
42.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Iverson 7' Jump Shot48
58.7%
49
41.3%
Q2 - 0:25.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)48
57.1%
49
42.9%
Q2 - 0:26.0SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 148
57.4%
49
42.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0DENBoykins Layup (10 PTS)46
52.8%
49
47.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0SASParker Layup (14 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)46
57.0%
47
43.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
52.8%
47
47.2%
Q2 - 0:57.0DENMISS Camby Layup44
52.1%
47
47.9%
Q2 - 1:13SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)44
51.1%
47
48.9%
Q2 - 1:13SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)43
50.1%
47
49.9%
Q2 - 1:27DENIverson 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS)42
46.3%
47
53.7%
Q2 - 1:35DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
51.1%
45
48.9%
Q2 - 1:36SASMISS Duncan Layup42
51.6%
45
48.4%
Q2 - 1:52SASSpurs Rebound42
52.8%
45
47.2%
Q2 - 1:52DENMISS Camby Free Throw 2 of 242
52.6%
45
47.4%
Q2 - 1:52DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
50.4%
45
49.6%
Q2 - 1:52DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)42
54.3%
44
45.7%
Q2 - 1:53SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot42
54.8%
44
45.2%
Q2 - 2:06SASHorry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
56.9%
44
43.1%
Q2 - 2:09SASMISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
54.8%
44
45.2%
Q2 - 2:15SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
56.8%
44
43.2%
Q2 - 2:18DENMISS Boykins 15' Fadeaway Jumper42
55.9%
44
44.1%
Q2 - 2:46SASBowen 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)42
54.0%
44
46.0%
Q2 - 2:55DENBoykins Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)40
50.5%
44
49.5%
Q2 - 3:02SASDuncan Layup (9 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)40
48.3%
44
51.7%
Q2 - 3:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
45.6%
44
54.4%
Q2 - 3:12DENMISS Iverson 6' Running Jump Shot38
44.6%
44
55.4%
Q2 - 3:29SASDuncan 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)38
42.3%
44
57.7%
Q2 - 3:53DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)36
39.7%
44
60.3%
Q2 - 4:04SASBoykins STEAL (1 STL)36
46.3%
41
53.7%
Q2 - 4:25DENCamby 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Boykins 2 AST)36
49.1%
41
50.9%
Q2 - 4:38DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)36
51.9%
39
48.1%
Q2 - 4:40SASMISS Parker Driving Layup36
52.8%
39
47.2%
Q2 - 4:53DENIverson Driving Finger Roll (10 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)36
54.8%
39
45.2%
Q2 - 5:13SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
57.8%
37
42.2%
Q2 - 5:13SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 235
57.0%
37
43.0%
Q2 - 5:32DENSmith Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Boykins 1 AST)35
58.0%
37
42.0%
Q2 - 5:35DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
60.5%
35
39.5%
Q2 - 5:37SASMISS Parker Driving Layup35
61.4%
35
38.6%
Q2 - 5:39SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
63.4%
35
36.6%
Q2 - 5:43DENMISS Smith 7' Running Jump Shot35
62.5%
35
37.5%
Q2 - 5:59DENEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
60.5%
35
39.5%
Q2 - 6:02SASMISS Finley 10' Running Jump Shot35
61.6%
35
38.4%
Q2 - 6:16DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)35
63.8%
35
36.2%
Q2 - 6:22DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)35
60.6%
35
39.4%
Q2 - 6:24SASHorry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
63.7%
35
36.3%
Q2 - 6:24SASMISS Horry Tip Shot35
61.6%
35
38.4%
Q2 - 6:27SASMISS Duncan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot35
61.6%
35
38.4%
Q2 - 6:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
63.7%
35
36.3%
Q2 - 6:46DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 135
63.3%
35
36.7%
Q2 - 6:54DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
65.8%
33
34.2%
Q2 - 6:57SASMISS Udrih 3PT Jump Shot35
66.7%
33
33.3%
Q2 - 7:07SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
68.4%
33
31.6%
Q2 - 7:09DENMISS Boykins 16' Jump Shot35
67.7%
33
32.3%
Q2 - 7:22SASUdrih Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)35
65.9%
33
34.1%
Q2 - 7:35DENSmith Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)35
68.4%
33
31.6%
Q2 - 7:46SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
65.9%
33
34.1%
Q2 - 7:46SASDuncan Finger Roll (4 PTS)35
65.9%
33
34.1%
Q2 - 7:50SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Hook Shot33
61.9%
33
38.1%
Q2 - 8:12DENBoykins 15' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)33
63.6%
33
36.4%
Q2 - 8:34DENNUGGETS Rebound33
65.7%
31
34.3%
Q2 - 8:35SASMISS Ginobili 27' 3PT Jump Shot33
66.5%
31
33.5%
Q2 - 8:48SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
68.2%
31
31.8%
Q2 - 8:50DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
67.5%
31
32.5%
Q2 - 8:58DENEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
65.7%
31
34.3%
Q2 - 9:01SASNene BLOCK (1 BLK)33
66.4%
31
33.6%
Q2 - 9:16DENEvans Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)33
68.1%
31
31.9%
Q2 - 9:28DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
70.0%
29
30.0%
Q2 - 9:30SASMISS Ginobili 17' Jump Shot33
70.7%
29
29.3%
Q2 - 9:45DENEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
72.3%
29
27.7%
Q2 - 9:45DENEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
73.1%
28
26.9%
Q2 - 9:57SASOberto 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)33
74.1%
27
25.9%
Q2 - 10:13DENDiawara Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)31
72.0%
27
28.0%
Q2 - 10:28DENEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
69.7%
27
30.3%
Q2 - 10:30SASBonner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
72.0%
27
28.0%
Q2 - 10:30SASMISS Bonner Tip Shot31
70.5%
27
29.5%
Q2 - 10:33SASMISS Udrih Driving Layup31
70.5%
27
29.5%
Q2 - 10:37SASUdrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
72.1%
27
27.9%
Q2 - 10:39DENMISS Iverson Layup31
71.4%
27
28.6%
Q2 - 10:57SASGinobili Driving Layup (2 PTS)31
69.8%
27
30.2%
Q2 - 11:22DENNene 12' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)29
67.6%
27
32.4%
Q2 - 11:39SASBarry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)29
69.7%
25
30.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN26
65.5%
25
34.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASBowen 22' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)26
63.2%
25
36.8%
Q1 - 0:21.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
60.6%
25
39.4%
Q1 - 0:23.0DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot24
60.0%
25
40.0%
Q1 - 0:40.0SASParker 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)24
58.8%
25
41.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENSmith Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)22
56.0%
25
44.0%
Q1 - 1:01DENEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
58.9%
23
41.1%
Q1 - 1:05SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 222
59.1%
23
40.9%
Q1 - 1:05SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)22
60.6%
23
39.4%
Q1 - 1:20DENBoykins 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)21
58.4%
23
41.6%
Q1 - 1:28DENNene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
61.2%
21
38.8%
Q1 - 1:30SASMISS Bonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
61.7%
21
38.3%
Q1 - 1:38SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
62.9%
21
37.1%
Q1 - 1:42DENMISS Nene 7' Jump Hook Shot21
62.4%
21
37.6%
Q1 - 1:56SASBarry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)21
61.2%
21
38.8%
Q1 - 2:12DENBoykins Layup (4 PTS)18
56.6%
21
43.4%
Q1 - 2:18DENBoykins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
59.0%
19
41.0%
Q1 - 2:20SASMISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot18
59.7%
19
40.3%
Q1 - 2:38DENIverson Driving Finger Roll (8 PTS)18
61.1%
19
38.9%
Q1 - 2:43DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)18
63.5%
17
36.5%
Q1 - 2:46SASMISS Barry 23' Jump Shot18
64.1%
17
35.9%
Q1 - 2:59DENIverson Driving Layup (6 PTS)18
65.5%
17
34.5%
Q1 - 3:04DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)18
67.3%
15
32.7%
Q1 - 3:06SASMISS Parker Driving Layup18
68.0%
15
32.0%
Q1 - 3:26DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)18
69.5%
15
30.5%
Q1 - 3:38DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)18
67.3%
15
32.7%
Q1 - 3:39SASMISS Parker Layup18
68.0%
15
32.0%
Q1 - 3:51SASSpurs Rebound18
69.5%
15
30.5%
Q1 - 3:52DENMISS Camby 21' Jump Shot18
68.9%
15
31.1%
Q1 - 4:07SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)18
67.3%
15
32.7%
Q1 - 4:09SASSpurs Rebound18
69.6%
15
30.4%
Q1 - 4:09SASCamby BLOCK (1 BLK)18
68.0%
15
32.0%
Q1 - 4:35DENIverson 6' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
69.6%
15
30.4%
Q1 - 4:56SASBowen 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)18
71.0%
13
29.0%
Q1 - 5:18DENIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)16
69.3%
13
30.7%
Q1 - 5:35SASParker Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)16
67.3%
13
32.7%
Q1 - 5:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
69.3%
13
30.7%
Q1 - 5:38DENMISS Camby 15' Jump Shot16
68.7%
13
31.3%
Q1 - 5:40DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
67.3%
13
32.7%
Q1 - 5:43DENMISS Camby Layup16
68.7%
13
31.3%
Q1 - 5:58SASParker 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)16
67.3%
13
32.7%
Q1 - 6:15SASBarry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
65.4%
13
34.6%
Q1 - 6:17DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
64.8%
13
35.2%
Q1 - 6:29SASParker 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)14
63.4%
13
36.6%
Q1 - 6:37SASBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
61.6%
13
38.4%
Q1 - 6:39DENMISS Camby Free Throw 1 of 112
61.4%
13
38.6%
Q1 - 6:54SASParker Driving Layup (5 PTS)12
63.4%
11
36.6%
Q1 - 7:15DENCamby Dunk (4 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)10
61.9%
11
38.1%
Q1 - 7:25DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
63.5%
9
36.5%
Q1 - 7:27DENMISS Boykins 16' Jump Shot10
64.8%
9
35.2%
Q1 - 7:41SASBowen 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)10
63.5%
9
36.5%
Q1 - 7:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
60.1%
9
39.9%
Q1 - 7:51DENMISS Iverson 6' Fadeaway Jumper7
59.4%
9
40.6%
Q1 - 8:00DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
58.0%
9
42.0%
Q1 - 8:02SASMISS Horry 22' Jump Shot7
59.2%
9
40.8%
Q1 - 8:25DENNajera Reverse Layup (3 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)7
60.6%
9
39.4%
Q1 - 8:36SASBowen 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)7
62.2%
7
37.8%
Q1 - 8:40SASHorry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
60.6%
7
39.4%
Q1 - 8:43DENMISS Iverson Driving Layup5
60.0%
7
40.0%
Q1 - 9:00SASParker Driving Layup (3 PTS)5
58.5%
7
41.5%
Q1 - 9:10DENBoykins Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)3
56.9%
7
43.1%
Q1 - 9:13SASCamby STEAL (1 STL)3
54.5%
7
45.5%
Q1 - 9:15SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
56.9%
7
43.1%
Q1 - 9:19SASMISS Ginobili 8' Driving Finger Roll3
55.3%
7
44.7%
Q1 - 9:33DENNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
56.9%
7
43.1%
Q1 - 9:33DENMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 23
57.3%
6
42.7%
Q1 - 9:44DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
56.4%
6
43.6%
Q1 - 9:46SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
57.1%
6
42.9%
Q1 - 9:58DENBoykins 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
58.8%
6
41.2%
Q1 - 10:04DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
60.2%
4
39.8%
Q1 - 10:05SASMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 23
60.5%
4
39.5%
Q1 - 10:05SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
61.6%
4
38.4%
Q1 - 10:09DENCamby Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)2
60.4%
4
39.6%
Q1 - 10:13DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
58.4%
4
41.6%
Q1 - 10:16SASMISS Duncan 7' Jump Hook Shot2
59.0%
4
41.0%
Q1 - 10:35DENIverson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
60.4%
4
39.6%
Q1 - 10:51SASDuncan 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
62.0%
2
38.0%
Q1 - 11:06DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
60.4%
2
39.6%
Q1 - 11:06DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
60.8%
1
39.2%
Q1 - 11:22DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
62.2%
0
37.8%
Q1 - 11:25SASMISS Duncan 6' Running Jump Shot0
62.7%
0
37.3%
Q1 - 11:41DENCamby Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
63.8%
0
36.2%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Camby vs. Duncan: Tip to Iverson0
62.2%
0
37.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.97 48.4%
DEN
0.98 48.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
22
36
61%
DEN
16
32
50%
Midrange
SAS
15
32
47%
DEN
17
36
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
3
4.5
15
20%
30%
DEN
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
Free Throws
SAS
9
21
43%
DEN
11
15
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2657%13.0 / 23
T. Duncan1948%9.5 / 20
M. Ginobili1650%8.0 / 16
B. Bowen1192%5.5 / 6
F. Oberto675%3.0 / 4
B. Barry675%3.0 / 4
M. Bonner638%3.0 / 8
B. Udrih225%1.0 / 4
R. Horry0-0.0 / 4
M. Finley0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Iverson3366%16.5 / 25
E. Boykins1864%9.0 / 14
J. Smith1243%6.0 / 14
M. Camby938%4.5 / 12
R. Evans467%2.0 / 3
E. Najera330%1.5 / 5
L. Kleiza225%1.0 / 4
Nene220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
79
+13
-10
92
DEN
74
+8
-17
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
0.97 48.4%
DEN
0.98 48.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.2
107.9
SAS 103.4
DEN 91.2 +12.2
Pace
89.8
97.2
SAS 78.3
DEN 105.3 +27.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.2
SAS 18.4
DEN 13.7 +4.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.1%
50.1%
SAS 50.0% +3.2%
DEN 46.8%
TO %
14.7%
16.5%
SAS 10.7% +6.2%
DEN 16.9%
ORB %
24.5%
28.9%
SAS 24.4% +7.7%
DEN 16.7%
FTrt
31.3
36.0
SAS 25.3 +5.8
DEN 19.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.5%
60.7%
SAS 57.5% +14.6%
DEN 42.9%
STL %
8.0%
8.5%
SAS 12.4% +6.9%
DEN 5.5%
BLK %
7.8%
7.9%
SAS 13.2% +10.3%
DEN 2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.06 and 2.06.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
53.6%
SAS 48.4%
DEN 48.8% +0.4%
Rim FG%
62.1%
60.6%
SAS 61.1% +11.1%
DEN 50.0%
Mid FG%
40.4%
39.1%
SAS 46.9%
DEN 47.2% +0.3%
3P %
38.1%
33.6%
SAS 20.0%
DEN 22.2% +2.2%
FT %
75.1%
74.6%
SAS 42.9%
DEN 73.3% +30.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
39.9%
SAS 43.4% +1.8%
DEN 41.6%
Mid Att. %
40.5%
39.0%
SAS 38.6% +8.2%
DEN 46.8%
3P Att. %
24.7%
21.2%
SAS 18.1% +6.4%
DEN 11.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASDEN
Possessions8991
Possession Minutes27.320.7
Points9283
Rebounds4641
Assists2315
Steals115
Blocks92
Turnovers (Team)10 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)7 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)34 (3)
Field Goals40-8335-77
At-the-Rim FG22-3616-32
Midrange FG15-3217-36
2-Point FG37-6833-68
3-Point FG3-152-9
Free Throws9-2111-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 25
37.7
26
57%
1
7
2
0
3
3
0
1
2-5
40%
12-21
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 31
37.7
19
48%
13
3
0
3
0
2
2
11
3-10
30%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 200 · 36
32.7
11
92%
3
0
3
0
2
4
0
3
0-0
-
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 205 · 29
30.4
16
50%
6
6
4
0
3
2
1
5
4-4
100%
6-11
55%
0-3
0%
C · 6'10" 240 · 36
18.6
0
0%
7
2
2
1
0
1
3
4
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 32
20.1
6
75%
4
1
0
2
1
2
3
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 35
18.0
6
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27
17.7
6
38%
5
1
0
3
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34
14.5
0
0%
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 205 · 25
10.3
2
25%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 32
2.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34
#16 · C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#45 · C · 6'10" 260 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · G-F · 6'7" 215 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
48%
46
23
11
9
10
0
11
35
9-21
43%
37-68
54%
3-15
20%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.