FinalWin Prob.pScore
2346%97
107
2254%99
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
118.99092.3
SEA
114.49087.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SuperSonicsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SuperSonicsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASEA
Q4 - 0:00.0SEA107
100%
103
0%
Q4 - 0:01.0SEAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Watson 11 AST)105
99.5%
103
0.5%
Q4 - 0:03.0SEAPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)105
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2105
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)105
99.9%
100
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0SEAAllen 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (26 PTS) (Watson 10 AST)104
99.8%
100
0.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAPayton Layup (14 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)104
99.8%
97
0.2%
Q4 - 0:18.0SEARidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)102
99.5%
97
0.5%
Q4 - 0:29.0SEARidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)102
97.0%
97
3.0%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 2102
97.3%
97
2.7%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)102
98.4%
97
1.6%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)101
96.3%
97
3.7%
Q4 - 0:41.0SEAMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot101
95.0%
97
5.0%
Q4 - 1:04MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)101
87.9%
97
12.1%
Q4 - 1:04MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)100
85.6%
97
14.4%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)99
80.9%
97
19.1%
Q4 - 1:06MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot99
72.3%
97
27.7%
Q4 - 1:23SEAWilcox 4' Hook Shot (28 PTS) (Ridnour 3 AST)99
78.6%
97
21.4%
Q4 - 1:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)99
83.9%
95
16.1%
Q4 - 1:36MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)98
82.6%
95
17.4%
Q4 - 1:47MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)97
75.8%
95
24.2%
Q4 - 1:49SEAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot97
72.5%
95
27.5%
Q4 - 2:15MIAWade Driving Layup (25 PTS)97
62.9%
95
37.1%
Q4 - 2:27SEAWilcox Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)95
56.8%
95
43.2%
Q4 - 2:27SEAWilcox Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)95
59.6%
94
40.4%
Q4 - 2:51MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS)95
61.4%
93
38.6%
Q4 - 3:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)93
55.1%
93
44.9%
Q4 - 3:09SEAMISS Ridnour 6' Jump Shot93
50.5%
93
49.5%
Q4 - 3:29SEARidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
39.8%
93
60.2%
Q4 - 3:31MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
45.5%
93
54.5%
Q4 - 3:53SEACollison Layup (21 PTS) (Allen 7 AST)93
52.1%
93
47.9%
Q4 - 4:01SEAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
60.9%
91
39.1%
Q4 - 4:03MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
63.7%
91
36.3%
Q4 - 4:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)93
69.9%
91
30.1%
Q4 - 4:14MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot93
63.8%
91
36.2%
Q4 - 4:31SEARidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)93
70.0%
91
30.0%
Q4 - 4:52MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS)93
61.0%
91
39.0%
Q4 - 5:06SEASUPERSONICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)91
51.3%
91
48.7%
Q4 - 5:06SEASUPERSONICS Rebound91
42.6%
91
57.4%
Q4 - 5:06SEAMISS Watson 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
48.6%
91
51.4%
Q4 - 5:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)91
42.6%
91
57.4%
Q4 - 5:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)90
41.2%
91
58.8%
Q4 - 5:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)89
35.0%
91
65.0%
Q4 - 5:43SEAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
32.6%
91
67.4%
Q4 - 5:58MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)89
27.5%
91
72.5%
Q4 - 5:58MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 288
25.3%
91
74.7%
Q4 - 6:07SEARidnour Foul Turnover (P2.T9)88
29.6%
91
70.4%
Q4 - 6:19SEAWatson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)88
22.8%
91
77.2%
Q4 - 6:20MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 288
23.7%
91
76.3%
Q4 - 6:20MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)88
27.4%
91
72.6%
Q4 - 6:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)87
23.6%
91
76.4%
Q4 - 6:20SEAMISS Collison 3' Turnaround Hook Shot87
21.8%
91
78.2%
Q4 - 6:27SEAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
17.9%
91
82.1%
Q4 - 6:28MIAMISS Wade Layup87
19.5%
91
80.5%
Q4 - 6:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)87
23.6%
91
76.4%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 287
18.6%
91
81.4%
Q4 - 6:33MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)87
21.1%
91
78.9%
Q4 - 6:54SEAWilcox Slam Dunk (24 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)86
18.5%
91
81.5%
Q4 - 6:56SEACollison REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)86
22.8%
89
77.2%
Q4 - 6:58SEAMISS Ridnour 20' Jump Shot86
27.3%
89
72.7%
Q4 - 7:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)86
24.8%
89
75.2%
Q4 - 7:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)85
23.9%
89
76.1%
Q4 - 7:34SEAAllen 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)84
20.5%
89
79.5%
Q4 - 7:39SEACollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
24.7%
87
75.3%
Q4 - 7:41MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot84
26.5%
87
73.5%
Q4 - 7:58SEAWilcox 5' Jump Hook Shot (22 PTS)84
31.0%
87
69.0%
Q4 - 7:59SEAWilcox REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)84
36.3%
85
63.7%
Q4 - 8:01SEAMISS Wilcox 4' Jump Shot84
41.7%
85
58.3%
Q4 - 8:08SEARidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
37.4%
85
62.6%
Q4 - 8:10MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot84
39.3%
85
60.7%
Q4 - 8:25SEACollison 5' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Allen 6 AST)84
43.7%
85
56.3%
Q4 - 8:47MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kapono 3 AST)84
49.9%
83
50.1%
Q4 - 8:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
43.7%
83
56.3%
Q4 - 8:59MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot82
39.2%
83
60.8%
Q4 - 9:21SEARidnour 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)82
43.9%
83
56.1%
Q4 - 9:32SEACollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
49.6%
81
50.4%
Q4 - 9:34MIAMISS Kapono 6' Jump Shot82
51.5%
81
48.5%
Q4 - 9:54SEAPetro 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)82
55.9%
81
44.1%
Q4 - 10:04SEAPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
49.1%
81
50.9%
Q4 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot82
51.0%
81
49.0%
Q4 - 10:16MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
55.3%
81
44.7%
Q4 - 10:18SEAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
53.4%
81
46.6%
Q4 - 10:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)82
49.2%
81
50.8%
Q4 - 10:30MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 281
48.2%
81
51.8%
Q4 - 10:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)81
49.6%
81
50.4%
Q4 - 10:44SEAMISS Ridnour 20' Jump Shot81
47.7%
81
52.3%
Q4 - 10:56MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T8)81
43.5%
81
56.5%
Q4 - 11:05MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
49.1%
81
50.9%
Q4 - 11:09SEAMISS Petro 7' Hook Shot81
47.4%
81
52.6%
Q4 - 11:24MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)81
43.5%
81
56.5%
Q4 - 11:40SEAAllen 12' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)79
38.5%
81
61.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SEA79
43.5%
79
56.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SEASUPERSONICS Rebound79
43.5%
79
56.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SEAMISS Watson 40' 3PT Jump Shot79
47.4%
79
52.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SEAWilcox REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)79
43.5%
79
56.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Williams Running Layup79
45.4%
79
54.6%
Q3 - 0:25.0SEAPetro Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Watson 9 AST)79
49.0%
79
51.0%
Q3 - 0:25.0SEAWatson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
54.1%
77
45.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0SEAMISS Watson 19' Jump Shot79
57.7%
77
42.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIADoleac 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)79
54.1%
77
45.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0SEAPetro Running Layup (2 PTS) (Wilcox 1 AST)77
49.0%
77
51.0%
Q3 - 1:13MIAKapono 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)77
53.6%
75
46.4%
Q3 - 1:32SEAWilkins 9' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)75
48.9%
75
51.1%
Q3 - 1:52SEASUPERSONICS Rebound75
53.7%
73
46.3%
Q3 - 1:52MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
55.2%
73
44.8%
Q3 - 2:02MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
57.6%
73
42.4%
Q3 - 2:04SEAMISS Petro Layup75
56.1%
73
43.9%
Q3 - 2:06SEAPetro REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
52.6%
73
47.4%
Q3 - 2:08SEAMISS Ridnour 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
56.1%
73
43.9%
Q3 - 2:28MIAWilcox STEAL (1 STL)75
52.7%
73
47.3%
Q3 - 2:56SEACollison Driving Layup (17 PTS)75
57.7%
73
42.3%
Q3 - 3:21MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)75
61.4%
71
38.6%
Q3 - 3:33SEAAllen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)73
57.3%
71
42.7%
Q3 - 3:49MIAPayton 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)73
52.6%
71
47.4%
Q3 - 4:19SEACollison Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Watson 8 AST)71
48.3%
71
51.7%
Q3 - 4:39SEASUPERSONICS Rebound71
52.0%
69
48.0%
Q3 - 4:39SEAMISS Watson Layup71
55.4%
69
44.6%
Q3 - 4:39SEAWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
52.0%
69
48.0%
Q3 - 4:40SEAMISS Wilcox 4' Running Jump Shot71
55.4%
69
44.6%
Q3 - 4:45MIARidnour STEAL (1 STL)71
52.0%
69
48.0%
Q3 - 4:55MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)71
56.9%
69
43.1%
Q3 - 4:57SEAMISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
55.4%
69
44.6%
Q3 - 5:21MIAMourning Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T5)71
51.9%
69
48.1%
Q3 - 5:39SEAAllen 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Watson 7 AST)71
56.4%
69
43.6%
Q3 - 5:59MIAHaslem 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 13 AST)71
60.1%
67
39.9%
Q3 - 6:07SEACollison Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)69
55.7%
67
44.3%
Q3 - 6:19MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 12 AST)69
51.5%
67
48.5%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)67
47.8%
67
52.2%
Q3 - 6:36SEAMISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot67
46.5%
67
53.5%
Q3 - 6:39SEACollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)67
43.5%
67
56.5%
Q3 - 6:41SEAMISS Allen 4' Jump Shot67
46.5%
67
53.5%
Q3 - 6:59MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 11 AST)67
43.5%
67
56.5%
Q3 - 7:04MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
36.2%
67
63.8%
Q3 - 7:07SEAMISS Allen Layup64
35.0%
67
65.0%
Q3 - 7:14MIACollison STEAL (1 STL)64
32.2%
67
67.8%
Q3 - 7:24SEAWilcox Layup (20 PTS) (Allen 5 AST)64
36.2%
67
63.8%
Q3 - 7:38MIAHaslem Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)64
39.3%
65
60.7%
Q3 - 7:49SEAWilcox Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)62
36.2%
65
63.8%
Q3 - 7:49SEAWilcox Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)62
37.1%
64
62.9%
Q3 - 8:14MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)62
39.6%
63
60.4%
Q3 - 8:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
33.1%
63
66.9%
Q3 - 8:23SEAMISS Wilcox 18' Jump Shot59
31.9%
63
68.1%
Q3 - 8:31SEAWilcox REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)59
29.4%
63
70.6%
Q3 - 8:34MIAMISS Kapono 12' Jump Shot59
30.5%
63
69.5%
Q3 - 8:58SEACollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
33.1%
63
66.9%
Q3 - 8:58SEACollison Follow Up Dunk (13 PTS)59
33.1%
63
66.9%
Q3 - 9:00SEAMISS Watson Layup59
38.8%
61
61.2%
Q3 - 9:23MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)59
36.3%
61
63.7%
Q3 - 9:43SEAAllen 21' Jump Shot (17 PTS)57
33.1%
61
66.9%
Q3 - 10:04MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)57
36.4%
59
63.6%
Q3 - 10:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
30.4%
59
69.6%
Q3 - 10:14SEAMISS Wilcox 16' Jump Shot54
29.4%
59
70.6%
Q3 - 10:23SEAWilcox REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)54
27.2%
59
72.8%
Q3 - 10:26MIAMISS Mourning 3' Hook Shot54
28.1%
59
71.9%
Q3 - 10:45SEACollison Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Watson 6 AST)54
30.4%
59
69.6%
Q3 - 10:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)54
33.1%
57
66.9%
Q3 - 10:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
32.6%
57
67.4%
Q3 - 10:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
30.4%
57
69.6%
Q3 - 11:01SEAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
29.8%
57
70.2%
Q3 - 11:09MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)52
27.8%
57
72.2%
Q3 - 11:25SEAWilcox REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)50
25.2%
57
74.8%
Q3 - 11:25SEAWilcox Follow Up Dunk (16 PTS)50
25.2%
57
74.8%
Q3 - 11:28SEAMISS Gelabale 9' Jump Shot50
29.8%
55
70.2%
Q3 - 11:44MIAWade 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
27.7%
55
72.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SEA48
25.2%
55
74.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0SEASUPERSONICS Rebound48
22.5%
55
77.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0SEAMISS Ridnour 8' Running Jump Shot48
24.3%
55
75.7%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIADoleac Layup (6 PTS)48
23.8%
55
76.2%
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAHeat Rebound46
20.8%
55
79.2%
Q2 - 0:37.0SEAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot46
20.3%
55
79.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0SEAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)46
19.2%
55
80.8%
Q2 - 1:14MIAMISS Doleac 11' Jump Shot46
20.4%
55
79.6%
Q2 - 1:14SEARidnour Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
21.1%
55
78.9%
Q2 - 1:14SEARidnour Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)46
21.4%
54
78.6%
Q2 - 1:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)46
24.5%
53
75.5%
Q2 - 1:33SEAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)43
19.1%
53
80.9%
Q2 - 1:33SEAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)43
19.3%
52
80.7%
Q2 - 1:39SEAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
22.2%
51
77.8%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
22.5%
51
77.5%
Q2 - 1:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
23.4%
51
76.6%
Q2 - 1:48SEAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
23.0%
51
77.0%
Q2 - 2:11MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)43
22.3%
51
77.7%
Q2 - 2:30SEAWatson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)41
20.0%
51
80.0%
Q2 - 2:51SEAJump Ball Wilkins vs. Wade: Tip to Watson41
24.5%
48
75.5%
Q2 - 3:07SEAWatson 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)41
27.6%
48
72.4%
Q2 - 3:20MIAKapono 19' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)41
29.7%
46
70.3%
Q2 - 3:49SEACollison Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)39
27.6%
46
72.4%
Q2 - 4:08SEASUPERSONICS Rebound39
30.3%
44
69.7%
Q2 - 4:09MIAMISS Payton 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
31.1%
44
68.9%
Q2 - 4:15MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
32.8%
44
67.2%
Q2 - 4:17SEAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
32.0%
44
68.0%
Q2 - 4:27SEAWilcox REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
30.3%
44
69.7%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot39
31.0%
44
69.0%
Q2 - 4:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
32.8%
44
67.2%
Q2 - 4:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
32.8%
44
67.2%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot39
31.0%
44
69.0%
Q2 - 4:38MIAMISS Wade Running Layup39
31.0%
44
69.0%
Q2 - 4:51SEAWilcox Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)39
32.8%
44
67.2%
Q2 - 4:53SEAWilcox REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
30.3%
44
69.7%
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot39
31.0%
44
69.0%
Q2 - 5:19SEAWilcox 4' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Wilkins 2 AST)39
33.1%
44
66.9%
Q2 - 5:32SEAWilcox REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
35.4%
42
64.6%
Q2 - 5:33MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot39
36.3%
42
63.7%
Q2 - 5:50SEAAllen 5' Running Jump Shot (13 PTS)39
38.3%
42
61.7%
Q2 - 6:12MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)39
40.8%
40
59.2%
Q2 - 6:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
38.7%
40
61.3%
Q2 - 6:23SEAMISS Collison 6' Jump Shot37
37.7%
40
62.3%
Q2 - 6:37MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)37
35.6%
40
64.4%
Q2 - 6:56SEAWilcox 5' Jump Hook Shot (12 PTS)35
33.6%
40
66.4%
Q2 - 6:58SEAWilcox REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
35.6%
38
64.4%
Q2 - 7:06SEAMISS Wilkins 11' Fadeaway Jumper35
38.0%
38
62.0%
Q2 - 7:12SEAAllen Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)35
36.2%
38
63.8%
Q2 - 7:19MIAMourning 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS)35
38.7%
37
61.3%
Q2 - 7:39SEAWilcox Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)33
36.4%
37
63.6%
Q2 - 7:48SEACollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
38.6%
35
61.4%
Q2 - 7:50MIAWilkins BLOCK (1 BLK)33
39.5%
35
60.5%
Q2 - 8:03MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
41.3%
35
58.7%
Q2 - 8:04SEAMISS Allen Free Throw 1 of 133
40.9%
35
59.1%
Q2 - 8:29SEACollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
43.5%
33
56.5%
Q2 - 8:31MIAMISS Kapono 27' 3PT Jump Shot33
44.4%
33
55.6%
Q2 - 9:01SEACollison 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)33
46.3%
33
53.7%
Q2 - 9:21MIAKapono 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)33
43.5%
33
56.5%
Q2 - 9:28MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
41.3%
33
58.7%
Q2 - 9:30SEAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot31
40.5%
33
59.5%
Q2 - 9:37SEACollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
38.6%
33
61.4%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Doleac 14' Jump Shot31
39.4%
33
60.6%
Q2 - 10:02SEAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)31
41.3%
33
58.7%
Q2 - 10:08SEAWilkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
45.9%
30
54.1%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Payton 13' Jump Shot31
46.7%
30
53.3%
Q2 - 10:23MIAHeat Rebound31
48.7%
30
51.3%
Q2 - 10:23SEAMISS Petro 7' Jump Shot31
47.8%
30
52.2%
Q2 - 10:34MIAPayton 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)31
45.9%
30
54.1%
Q2 - 10:46MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
43.7%
30
56.3%
Q2 - 10:48SEAMISS Allen 23' Jump Shot29
42.9%
30
57.1%
Q2 - 11:16MIAPayton Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)29
41.0%
30
59.0%
Q2 - 11:20SEARidnour Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)27
38.7%
30
61.3%
Q2 - 11:34SEAPetro REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
36.4%
30
63.6%
Q2 - 11:36MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot27
37.1%
30
62.9%
Q2 - 11:50MIAKapono Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)27
38.7%
30
61.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA26
36.4%
30
63.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0SEARidnour 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Watson 5 AST)26
36.1%
30
63.9%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)26
41.2%
27
58.8%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
38.4%
27
61.6%
Q1 - 0:39.0SEAMISS Watson 19' Jump Shot24
37.8%
27
62.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
36.6%
27
63.4%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
36.1%
27
63.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0SEARidnour Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
34.0%
27
66.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0SEARidnour Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)22
34.3%
26
65.7%
Q1 - 1:00SEAWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
36.6%
25
63.4%
Q1 - 1:02MIAMISS Wright 6' Jump Shot22
37.3%
25
62.7%
Q1 - 1:12MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
38.5%
25
61.5%
Q1 - 1:14SEAMISS Wilkins 21' Jump Shot22
37.9%
25
62.1%
Q1 - 1:31MIAPayton Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)22
36.7%
25
63.3%
Q1 - 1:44SEAWilcox Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)20
34.1%
25
65.9%
Q1 - 1:54SEARidnour Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)20
32.5%
25
67.5%
Q1 - 2:05SEASUPERSONICS Rebound20
34.6%
24
65.4%
Q1 - 2:08SEAMISS Petro 11' Jump Shot20
36.0%
24
64.0%
Q1 - 2:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)20
34.6%
24
65.4%
Q1 - 2:26MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 219
34.3%
24
65.7%
Q1 - 2:37MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
34.5%
24
65.5%
Q1 - 2:39SEAMISS Wilcox Free Throw 2 of 219
34.2%
24
65.8%
Q1 - 2:39SEAMISS Wilcox Free Throw 1 of 219
32.9%
24
67.1%
Q1 - 2:42SEAWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
32.5%
24
67.5%
Q1 - 2:44MIAMISS Barron 15' Jump Shot19
33.1%
24
66.9%
Q1 - 3:09SEAGelabale Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
34.9%
24
65.1%
Q1 - 3:09SEAGelabale Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
35.3%
23
64.7%
Q1 - 3:28MIAPayton Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)19
36.7%
22
63.3%
Q1 - 3:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
34.9%
22
65.1%
Q1 - 3:33SEAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot17
34.2%
22
65.8%
Q1 - 3:49MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)17
32.7%
22
67.3%
Q1 - 4:08SEAWilcox 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)15
31.2%
22
68.8%
Q1 - 4:23MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)15
32.7%
20
67.3%
Q1 - 4:41SEAAllen 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)13
31.2%
20
68.8%
Q1 - 4:50SEAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
32.7%
18
67.3%
Q1 - 4:51MIAMISS Payton 5' Jump Shot13
33.4%
18
66.6%
Q1 - 5:09SEACollison Layup (7 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)13
35.3%
18
64.7%
Q1 - 5:22SEAAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)13
37.0%
16
63.0%
Q1 - 5:24SEAMISS Collison 12' Jump Shot13
38.5%
16
61.5%
Q1 - 5:50MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)13
37.0%
16
63.0%
Q1 - 6:08MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
33.6%
16
66.4%
Q1 - 6:09SEAMISS Collison Free Throw 1 of 110
33.3%
16
66.7%
Q1 - 6:23MIAMourning Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)10
35.3%
14
64.7%
Q1 - 6:43SEAWilcox 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)8
33.6%
14
66.4%
Q1 - 7:01SEASUPERSONICS Rebound8
35.7%
12
64.3%
Q1 - 7:02MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot8
36.3%
12
63.7%
Q1 - 7:20SEACollison Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
37.7%
12
62.3%
Q1 - 7:26SEACollison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
41.1%
9
58.9%
Q1 - 7:29MIAMISS Mourning 8' Hook Shot8
41.7%
9
58.3%
Q1 - 7:47SEAWilcox Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)8
43.1%
9
56.9%
Q1 - 7:47SEAWilcox REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
41.1%
9
58.9%
Q1 - 7:49SEAMISS Wilcox 4' Jump Shot8
42.5%
9
57.5%
Q1 - 8:01MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
41.3%
9
58.7%
Q1 - 8:11SEAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
43.4%
9
56.6%
Q1 - 8:25MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)8
46.9%
6
53.1%
Q1 - 8:51SEAWilcox 4' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)5
43.3%
6
56.7%
Q1 - 9:08SEAWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
44.6%
4
55.4%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMISS Mourning 3' Hook Shot5
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 9:22MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
47.1%
4
52.9%
Q1 - 9:24MIAMISS Kapono 15' Jump Shot5
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 9:42SEAGelabale Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)5
47.1%
4
52.9%
Q1 - 9:46MIAGelabale STEAL (1 STL)5
48.5%
2
51.5%
Q1 - 9:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
50.9%
2
49.1%
Q1 - 9:57SEAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot5
50.1%
2
49.9%
Q1 - 10:23MIAWilliams 3' Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)5
48.4%
2
51.6%
Q1 - 10:26MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
46.8%
2
53.2%
Q1 - 10:28SEAMISS Allen 3' Jump Shot3
46.2%
2
53.8%
Q1 - 10:40MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
44.7%
2
55.3%
Q1 - 10:46MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.3%
2
58.7%
Q1 - 10:48SEAMISS Collison 3' Jump Shot0
40.7%
2
59.3%
Q1 - 11:05SEAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 11:07SEAMISS Allen 3' Jump Shot0
40.6%
2
59.4%
Q1 - 11:14SEAWilcox REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 11:17MIAMISS Mourning 6' Jump Hook Shot0
40.0%
2
60.0%
Q1 - 11:45SEAWilcox 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)0
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 12:00SEAJump Ball Wilcox vs. Mourning: Tip to Collison0
43.0%
0
57.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.1%
SEA
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
17
53%
SEA
26
39
67%
Midrange
MIA
24
44
55%
SEA
10
31
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
13
46%
69%
SEA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
23
30
77%
SEA
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2960%14.5 / 24
J. Kapono1979%9.5 / 12
J. Williams1478%7.0 / 9
G. Payton1458%7.0 / 12
U. Haslem1359%6.5 / 11
M. Doleac1071%5.0 / 7
A. Mourning844%4.0 / 9
E. Barron0-0.0 / 2
D. Wright0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SuperSonics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Allen2952%14.5 / 28
C. Wilcox2870%14.0 / 20
N. Collison2175%10.5 / 14
L. Ridnour1056%5.0 / 9
E. Watson525%2.5 / 10
M. Gelabale467%2.0 / 3
J. Petro433%2.0 / 6
D. Wilkins233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+7
-8
89
SEA
79
+17
-11
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.1%
SEA
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
107.2
MIA 118.9 +4.4
SEA 114.4
Pace
90.1
91.8
MIA 92.3 +4.5
SEA 87.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.5
MIA 15.6 +0.8
SEA 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
49.9%
MIA 56.8% +6.2%
SEA 50.6%
TO %
15.3%
15.7%
MIA 8.4% +2.8%
SEA 11.2%
ORB %
24.9%
27.9%
MIA 19.4%
SEA 29.3% +9.9%
FTrt
32.1
28.8
MIA 40.5 +17.2
SEA 23.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
55.6%
MIA 71.8% +5.9%
SEA 65.9%
STL %
7.6%
8.3%
MIA 6.7% +1.1%
SEA 5.6%
BLK %
8.8%
5.9%
MIA 7.1% +5.5%
SEA 1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
53.0%
MIA 60.1% +7.0%
SEA 53.1%
Rim FG%
61.8%
58.6%
MIA 52.9%
SEA 66.7% +13.8%
Mid FG%
40.5%
40.5%
MIA 54.5% +22.2%
SEA 32.3%
3P %
34.3%
36.2%
MIA 46.2% +14.9%
SEA 31.3%
FT %
69.0%
79.1%
MIA 76.7%
SEA 80.0% +3.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
35.5%
MIA 23.0%
SEA 45.3% +22.4%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
42.6%
MIA 59.5%
SEA 36.0% +23.4%
3P Att. %
24.5%
21.9%
MIA 17.6%
SEA 18.6% +1.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIASEA
Possessions9090
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points107103
Rebounds3641
Assists2827
Steals65
Blocks51
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (0)12 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)29 (3)
Field Goals39-7441-86
At-the-Rim FG9-1726-39
Midrange FG24-4410-31
2-Point FG33-6136-70
3-Point FG6-135-16
Free Throws23-3016-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
40.0
13
59%
10
2
1
0
0
2
1
9
3-4
75%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
37.6
29
60%
5
13
0
1
5
3
2
3
13-17
76%
8-16
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
32.5
19
79%
1
3
1
0
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
6-9
67%
2-3
67%
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
31.7
14
78%
4
6
2
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
26.4
8
44%
7
0
0
3
1
3
4
3
4-6
67%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
31.8
14
58%
1
2
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
6-8
75%
0-3
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
21.6
10
71%
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
5-7
71%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
9.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
8.0
0
0%
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
1.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 184 · 23
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'9" 245 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F · 6'8" 217 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
60%
36
28
6
5
8
0
7
29
23-30
77%
33-61
54%
6-13
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.