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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 10, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Magic37%9791
12Warriors63%10176
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 21.1
44.8
34.9
30
61%
25
0
2
1
1
5
9
16
8-15
53%
11-18
6-11
61%
55%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 24.9
30.4
29.9
7
33%
0
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
3-4
75%
2-5
5-10
40%
51%
0-4
0%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 34.3
25.4
29.7
6
34%
1
5
0
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-8
5-10
25%
51%
0-0
-
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.9
25.4
23.7
10
63%
9
1
0
1
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
49%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 21.5
14.4
25.6
5
29%
4
1
3
1
0
2
3
1
1-4
25%
2-7
4-7
29%
50%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 26.7
28.6
22.3
13
72%
3
4
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
3-4
75%
Keith Bogans
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 26.7
26.6
13.4
16
81%
2
0
2
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-4
1-2
75%
43%
3-5
60%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 21.6
25.8
17.9
4
15%
7
2
0
0
4
1
5
2
2-6
33%
1-11
3-6
9%
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Arroyo
G · 6'2" 200 · 27.4
18.7
16.0
0
0%
1
5
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-4
3-6
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Bo Outlaw
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.7
7.2
0
1-1
52%
Pat Garrity
F · 6'9" 238 · 30.4
6.6
0
0-1
44%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 22.5
6.3
0
1-1
45%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.9
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 27.8
James Augustine
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.7
39.4
37.7
13
39%
2
8
3
2
2
6
1
1
4-6
67%
3-10
6-12
30%
46%
1-4
25%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.2
30.8
27.5
14
53%
2
4
0
1
1
2
1
1
2-3
67%
6-10
4-8
60%
50%
0-2
0%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.9
28.4
34.0
8
46%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
2-6
33%
0-2
4-7
0%
52%
2-4
50%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 26.8
26.4
32.3
10
36%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-11
3-6
45%
50%
0-3
0%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.8
26.1
28.9
4
52%
15
1
1
1
0
3
1
14
0-2
0%
2-3
5-7
67%
61%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.1
26.7
20.2
11
43%
6
1
0
1
1
0
3
3
2-4
50%
3-9
2-4
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.7
18.7
15.1
6
61%
6
1
3
0
1
1
0
6
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.8
17.0
4.4
0
0%
3
2
1
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.3
13.9
9.9
6
39%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
1-6
2-3
17%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.3
12.6
22.5
4
40%
3
2
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.0
8.5
0
1-2
48%
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.2
8.4
0
1-2
39%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.6
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.