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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 12, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bucks45%9897
2476ers55%100110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.8
44.6
37.6
26
50%
3
1
3
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
7-14
3-7
50%
48%
4-12
33%
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.6
40.9
36.5
11
38%
1
11
1
1
0
4
0
1
1-1
100%
5-13
5-11
38%
42%
0-1
0%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.1
40.3
34.2
20
62%
24
2
0
1
1
2
9
15
2-5
40%
9-13
5-10
69%
54%
0-1
0%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.5
33.2
33.6
13
57%
4
6
0
1
1
4
2
2
3-3
100%
5-10
7-12
50%
54%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.7
19.2
22.7
10
73%
3
0
0
1
1
3
2
1
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.7
22.1
19.5
9
83%
4
2
0
1
2
2
1
3
1-1
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
0-0
-
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.9
15.3
13.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.9
12.5
12.8
4
40%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
53%
0-0
-
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.2
7.1
0.3
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
43%
0-0
-
Julius Hodge
G · 6'7" 220 · 23.2
2.4
5.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.0
2.4
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.4
23.0
1
4-8
49%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.1
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.4
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.0
42.9
36.1
26
55%
6
6
5
2
0
3
2
4
13-13
100%
5-14
5-10
36%
53%
1-4
25%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.5
41.1
20.9
30
79%
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
9-15
3-8
60%
43%
4-4
100%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.8
39.1
34.2
11
47%
2
11
2
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
4-10
5-11
40%
48%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 26.7
35.9
32.0
16
59%
8
2
0
1
4
3
3
5
4-6
67%
6-11
5-8
55%
56%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 31.5
20.4
26.2
0
0%
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
4-8
0%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 25.8
33.3
30.4
17
54%
6
2
0
1
0
1
0
6
3-4
75%
4-7
4-8
57%
48%
2-7
29%
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.0
11.0
12.5
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Alan Henderson
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 34.1
10.9
13.7
6
90%
5
0
0
0
1
0
3
2
2-3
67%
2-2
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 22.8
5.5
15.0
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
49%
0-0
-
Steven Hunter
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.2
6.9
0
1-1
62%
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.0
5.9
0
1-1
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.2
3.3
0
0-1
45%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 23.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.