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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 12, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Pistons58%9393
29Hawks42%9099
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 26.9
44.5
39.8
16
73%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
5-11
40%
49%
4-6
67%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 28.9
43.0
36.4
32
60%
6
2
2
1
0
3
1
5
7-8
88%
11-21
7-15
52%
48%
1-2
50%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 32.3
39.9
29.7
17
45%
8
0
0
1
3
1
2
6
3-4
75%
7-16
3-6
44%
48%
0-1
0%
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.5
33.2
32.9
9
32%
5
8
1
1
0
1
2
3
3-5
60%
3-11
4-8
27%
44%
0-1
0%
Dale Davis
C-F · 6'11" 252 · 37.8
31.5
5.5
12
89%
10
1
1
0
3
2
7
3
4-4
100%
4-5
0-1
80%
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 24.4
21.4
18.4
3
19%
2
7
0
1
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
1-4
2-3
25%
46%
0-3
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.3
8.1
16.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 29.4
7.0
16.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 23.9
5.9
21.5
2
100%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
3-7
100%
50%
0-0
-
Will Blalock
G · 6'0" 205 · 23.3
5.5
13.4
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
43%
0-0
-
Ronald Dupree
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.0
1.8
0
0-1
46%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 19.7
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.3
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 36.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
36.2
33.0
34
85%
3
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
4-7
57%
9-11
5-11
82%
49%
4-6
67%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 21.1
30.9
33.8
5
42%
8
4
1
1
3
5
1
7
0-0
-
1-4
4-7
25%
47%
1-2
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 20.6
30.6
27.2
12
47%
9
7
0
1
0
3
3
6
2-4
50%
5-11
4-8
45%
46%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 31.2
20.7
20.0
4
29%
6
3
1
1
0
0
4
2
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
46%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 25.1
10.1
9.9
4
67%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 23.6
38.1
33.7
18
68%
6
2
3
1
1
1
0
6
4-5
80%
4-7
4-7
57%
54%
2-4
50%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23.2
32.1
22.9
12
79%
7
1
1
1
1
3
4
3
6-6
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
48%
0-0
-
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.3
23.6
12.5
8
36%
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
2-7
29%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
17.8
14.5
2
33%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Dijon Thompson
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.8
9.3
0
1-3
48%
Slava Medvedenko
F · 6'10" 253 · 27.8
3.0
0
0-1
44%
Esteban Batista
F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23.4
2.3
0
0-0
46%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 28.7
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.9
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.