Final Win Prob. pScore
968%101
97
3032%95
104
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo Wizards
106.69194.9
Hornets
114.39187.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASNOK
Q4 - 0:00.0NOK97
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0WASMISS Stevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0NOKPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)97
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0NOKPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)97
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0WASButler L.B.FOUL (P4.PN)97
102
Q4 - 0:08.0NOKHORNETS Rebound97
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0NOKButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)97
1.4%
102
98.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0NOKButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)97
1.9%
101
98.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0WASHayes P.FOUL (P2.PN)97
100
Q4 - 0:17.0WASStevenson P.FOUL (P4.T4)97
100
Q4 - 0:19.0NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 2)97
100
Q4 - 0:19.0WASStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)97
3.2%
100
96.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0WASStevenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)96
2.5%
100
97.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0NOKJohnson S.FOUL (P4.PN)95
100
Q4 - 0:23.0WASWizards Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)95
100
Q4 - 0:23.0NOKJohnson Dunk (3 PTS) (Pargo 4 AST)95
2.4%
100
97.6%
Q4 - 0:29.0WASStevenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Jamison 1 AST)95
6.8%
98
93.2%
Q4 - 0:40.0WASWizards Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)92
98
Q4 - 0:40.0NOKButler Driving Layup (18 PTS)92
2.5%
98
97.5%
Q4 - 0:46.0NOKHORNETS Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)92
96
Q4 - 0:46.0WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)92
5.7%
96
94.3%
Q4 - 0:46.0WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)91
5.1%
96
94.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0NOKJohnson S.FOUL (P3.T4)90
96
Q4 - 0:48.0NOKBrown Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T21)90
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 1:07WASButler Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T18)90
2.9%
96
97.1%
Q4 - 1:10NOKSUB: Johnson FOR Chandler90
96
Q4 - 1:10WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)90
96
Q4 - 1:10NOKPargo Layup (17 PTS)90
5.7%
96
94.3%
Q4 - 1:13WASPargo STEAL (1 STL)90
10.1%
94
89.9%
Q4 - 1:22WASButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)90
19.0%
94
81.0%
Q4 - 1:23NOKMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot90
16.4%
94
83.6%
Q4 - 1:48WASStevenson Foul Turnover (P1.T16)90
14.6%
94
85.4%
Q4 - 1:48WASStevenson OFF.Foul (P3)90
94
Q4 - 1:52NOKMason Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T20)90
22.7%
94
77.3%
Q4 - 2:08WASArenas Foul Turnover (P4.T15)90
13.3%
94
86.7%
Q4 - 2:08WASArenas OFF.Foul (P1)90
94
Q4 - 2:11WASButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
23.1%
94
76.9%
Q4 - 2:13NOKMISS Mason 6' Jump Shot90
19.5%
94
80.5%
Q4 - 2:34NOKMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
12.9%
94
87.1%
Q4 - 2:35WASMISS Arenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
15.4%
94
84.6%
Q4 - 2:49NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 1 (22 PTS)90
23.1%
94
76.9%
Q4 - 2:49WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)90
93
Q4 - 2:49WASHayes S.FOUL (P1.T3)90
93
Q4 - 2:49NOKMason 9' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS)90
93
Q4 - 3:13WASArenas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)90
43.4%
91
56.6%
Q4 - 3:31NOKMason Traveling Turnover (P6.T19)87
32.2%
91
67.8%
Q4 - 3:49NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
23.2%
91
76.8%
Q4 - 3:50WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
25.5%
91
74.5%
Q4 - 4:03NOKBrown Driving Layup (19 PTS)87
31.1%
91
68.9%
Q4 - 4:15WASArenas 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Butler 4 AST)87
39.1%
89
60.9%
Q4 - 4:18WASWizards Rebound85
30.9%
89
69.1%
Q4 - 4:18WASMISS Hayes 3PT Jump Shot85
25.0%
89
75.0%
Q4 - 4:33WASSUB: Stevenson FOR Daniels85
89
Q4 - 4:33NOKChandler P.FOUL (P5.T3)85
89
Q4 - 4:48NOKButler Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)85
30.6%
89
69.4%
Q4 - 5:03NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
42.3%
87
57.7%
Q4 - 5:05WASMISS Arenas 17' Jump Shot85
44.9%
87
55.1%
Q4 - 5:25NOKPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)85
50.9%
87
49.1%
Q4 - 5:25NOKPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)85
52.1%
86
47.9%
Q4 - 5:25WASJamison S.FOUL (P4.T2)85
85
Q4 - 5:35NOKJump Ball Brown vs. Jamison: Tip to Pargo85
85
Q4 - 5:42NOKSUB: Butler FOR Johnson85
85
Q4 - 5:42NOKSUB: Chandler FOR Jackson85
85
Q4 - 5:42NOKHORNETS Rebound85
58.9%
85
41.1%
Q4 - 5:44NOKMISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot85
64.8%
85
35.2%
Q4 - 5:53WASSUB: Jamison FOR Mason Jr.85
85
Q4 - 5:53NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)85
85
Q4 - 6:06WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)85
60.7%
85
39.3%
Q4 - 6:06WASWizards Rebound84
85
Q4 - 6:06WASMISS Arenas Free Throw 1 of 284
59.6%
85
40.4%
Q4 - 6:06NOKJohnson S.FOUL (P2.T2)84
85
Q4 - 6:12WASDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
61.0%
85
39.0%
Q4 - 6:13NOKMISS Johnson Layup84
58.7%
85
41.3%
Q4 - 6:16NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
53.3%
85
46.7%
Q4 - 6:18WASMISS Daniels 18' Jump Shot84
55.6%
85
44.4%
Q4 - 6:22NOKJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T18)84
61.0%
85
39.0%
Q4 - 6:39WASSUB: Mason Jr. FOR Thomas84
85
Q4 - 6:39WASSUB: Arenas FOR Taylor84
85
Q4 - 6:39WASWizards Turnover: Backcourt (T#14)84
53.1%
85
46.9%
Q4 - 7:01WASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
62.4%
85
37.6%
Q4 - 7:02NOKMISS Mason 4' Jump Hook Shot84
60.2%
85
39.8%
Q4 - 7:23WASButler 3' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)84
55.1%
85
44.9%
Q4 - 7:40NOKPargo 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Brown 9 AST)82
48.5%
85
51.5%
Q4 - 8:02WASDaniels 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)82
63.4%
82
36.6%
Q4 - 8:25NOKMason 8' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)80
56.9%
82
43.1%
Q4 - 8:4080
80
Q4 - 8:40WASThomas P.FOUL (P1.T1)80
80
Q4 - 8:52WASHayes 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)80
63.2%
80
36.8%
Q4 - 9:17NOKPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)77
52.0%
80
48.0%
Q4 - 9:28NOKSUB: Brown FOR Butler77
80
Q4 - 9:28NOKHORNETS Rebound77
46.2%
80
53.8%
Q4 - 9:29WASMISS Hayes 18' Jump Shot77
48.0%
80
52.0%
Q4 - 9:47NOKPargo 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)77
51.9%
80
48.1%
Q4 - 9:59WASButler Tip Shot (16 PTS)77
58.2%
78
41.8%
Q4 - 10:00WASButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
51.9%
78
48.1%
Q4 - 10:02WASMISS Butler Layup75
49.5%
78
50.5%
Q4 - 10:19WASButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
53.3%
78
46.7%
Q4 - 10:20NOKMISS Pargo 22' Jump Shot75
51.6%
78
48.4%
Q4 - 10:35NOKMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)75
47.7%
78
52.3%
Q4 - 10:38WASMISS Daniels 23' Jump Shot75
49.4%
78
50.6%
Q4 - 10:45NOKSUB: Jackson FOR Chandler75
78
Q4 - 10:45NOKChandler P.FOUL (P4.T1)75
78
Q4 - 11:00NOKPargo 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)75
53.2%
78
46.8%
Q4 - 11:23WASThomas Layup (5 PTS) (Taylor 1 AST)75
59.7%
76
40.3%
Q4 - 11:42WASHayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
54.1%
76
45.9%
Q4 - 11:44WASMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
50.6%
76
49.4%
Q4 - 12:0073
76
Q3 - 0:00.0NOK73
54.1%
76
45.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOKHORNETS Rebound73
49.0%
76
51.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0WASChandler BLOCK (2 BLK)73
50.6%
76
49.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0NOKChandler 6' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)73
54.6%
76
45.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0WASThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)73
60.2%
74
39.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0WASThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)72
58.3%
74
41.7%
Q3 - 0:28.0NOKChandler P.FOUL (P3.PN)71
74
Q3 - 0:29.0WASThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
54.6%
74
45.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
51.5%
74
48.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
54.6%
74
45.4%
Q3 - 0:37.0NOKMISS Mason Alley Oop Layup71
53.2%
74
46.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
50.1%
74
49.9%
Q3 - 0:49.0WASSUB: Hayes FOR Jamison70
74
Q3 - 0:49.0WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)70
49.3%
74
50.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0NOKButler S.FOUL (P2.PN)69
74
Q3 - 1:05NOKButler 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)69
45.2%
74
54.8%
Q3 - 1:25NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
50.5%
72
49.5%
Q3 - 1:26WASMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 269
51.1%
72
48.9%
Q3 - 1:26WASThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)69
53.5%
72
46.5%
Q3 - 1:26NOKJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T4)68
72
Q3 - 1:26WASThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
50.0%
72
50.0%
Q3 - 1:27WASChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)68
46.9%
72
53.1%
Q3 - 1:28WASButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
50.0%
72
50.0%
Q3 - 1:31WASMISS Jamison 22' Jump Shot68
46.9%
72
53.1%
Q3 - 1:40WASArenas Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)68
50.0%
72
50.0%
Q3 - 1:40NOKHORNETS T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Chandler )67
72
Q3 - 1:56WASThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
45.1%
72
54.9%
Q3 - 1:58NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
43.7%
72
56.3%
Q3 - 2:01NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)67
42.2%
72
57.8%
Q3 - 2:03NOKMISS Mason 6' Running Jump Shot67
45.4%
72
54.6%
Q3 - 2:24WASJamison Layup (14 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)67
42.1%
72
57.9%
Q3 - 2:38NOKMason 6' Jump Hook Shot (17 PTS)65
37.5%
72
62.5%
Q3 - 2:52WASSUB: Daniels FOR Stevenson65
70
Q3 - 2:52WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)65
70
Q3 - 2:52NOKHORNETS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)65
70
Q3 - 3:00WASButler 4' Jump Shot (14 PTS)65
42.0%
70
58.0%
Q3 - 3:05NOKPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)63
40.0%
70
60.0%
Q3 - 3:19WASButler 10' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arenas 8 AST)63
35.4%
70
64.6%
Q3 - 3:25NOKMason Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T15)61
31.7%
70
68.3%
Q3 - 3:43NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)61
27.6%
70
72.4%
Q3 - 3:45WASMISS Arenas 16' Jump Shot61
28.8%
70
71.2%
Q3 - 3:51NOKPargo P.FOUL (P3.T3)61
70
Q3 - 3:54NOKSUB: Pargo FOR Brown61
70
Q3 - 3:54WASSUB: Thomas FOR Haywood61
70
Q3 - 3:54NOKChandler P.FOUL (P2.T2)61
70
Q3 - 4:15NOKBrown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Mason 4 AST)61
32.8%
70
67.2%
Q3 - 4:35NOKMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)61
40.2%
67
59.8%
Q3 - 4:36WASMISS Arenas 15' Jump Shot61
41.7%
67
58.3%
Q3 - 5:00NOKButler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Brown 8 AST)61
45.2%
67
54.8%
Q3 - 5:12WASButler 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)61
53.9%
64
46.1%
Q3 - 5:30NOKButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brown 7 AST)59
50.2%
64
49.8%
Q3 - 5:39NOKSUB: Johnson FOR Jackson59
61
Q3 - 5:39NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)59
61
Q3 - 5:39WASButler P.FOUL (P3.T3)59
61
Q3 - 5:39WASButler STEAL (1 STL)59
58.0%
61
42.0%
Q3 - 5:46WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
62.5%
61
37.5%
Q3 - 5:47NOKMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot59
61.1%
61
38.9%
Q3 - 6:06NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)59
59.0%
61
41.0%
Q3 - 6:07WASMISS Arenas 18' Jump Shot59
60.3%
61
39.7%
Q3 - 6:26NOKMason Driving Layup (15 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)59
63.1%
61
36.9%
Q3 - 6:39WASStevenson P.FOUL (P2.T2)59
59
Q3 - 6:51NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
66.5%
59
33.5%
Q3 - 6:53WASMISS Jamison Layup59
67.7%
59
32.3%
Q3 - 6:56WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
70.3%
59
29.7%
Q3 - 6:59NOKMISS Brown 9' Jump Shot59
69.1%
59
30.9%
Q3 - 7:21NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
66.6%
59
33.4%
Q3 - 7:23WASMISS Stevenson 16' Jump Shot59
67.7%
59
32.3%
Q3 - 7:34NOKBrown Driving Layup (14 PTS)59
70.1%
59
29.9%
Q3 - 7:54WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
73.1%
57
26.9%
Q3 - 7:54WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)58
72.6%
57
27.4%
Q3 - 7:54NOKBrown S.FOUL (P3.T1)57
57
Q3 - 8:00WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
70.1%
57
29.9%
Q3 - 8:01NOKMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot57
69.1%
57
30.9%
Q3 - 8:27WASStevenson Dunk (17 PTS) (Arenas 7 AST)57
66.6%
57
33.4%
Q3 - 8:31NOKMason Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)55
63.4%
57
36.6%
Q3 - 8:46WASBrown STEAL (2 STL)55
59.6%
57
40.4%
Q3 - 8:54NOKJackson 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Brown 6 AST)55
63.4%
57
36.6%
Q3 - 8:59WASJamison L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)55
55
Q3 - 8:59NOKHORNETS Rebound55
66.6%
55
33.4%
Q3 - 8:59NOKMISS Mason Layup55
69.0%
55
31.0%
Q3 - 9:20NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)55
67.0%
55
33.0%
Q3 - 9:21WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
68.0%
55
32.0%
Q3 - 9:30NOKBrown Foul Turnover (P2.T13)55
70.3%
55
29.7%
Q3 - 9:30NOKBrown OFF.Foul (P2)55
55
Q3 - 9:35NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
67.0%
55
33.0%
Q3 - 9:37WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
68.0%
55
32.0%
Q3 - 9:40WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)55
70.3%
55
29.7%
Q3 - 9:42WASMISS Stevenson 20' Jump Shot55
68.0%
55
32.0%
Q3 - 10:02NOKButler 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brown 5 AST)55
70.5%
55
29.5%
Q3 - 10:17WASButler 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)55
73.3%
53
26.7%
Q3 - 10:27NOKButler 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Brown 4 AST)53
70.5%
53
29.5%
Q3 - 10:43WASHaywood Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Arenas 6 AST)53
73.3%
51
26.7%
Q3 - 10:54NOKMason Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)51
70.5%
51
29.5%
Q3 - 11:08WASHaywood Foul Turnover (P2.T11)51
67.9%
51
32.1%
Q3 - 11:08WASHaywood OFF.Foul (P2)51
51
Q3 - 11:27WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
71.0%
51
29.0%
Q3 - 11:29NOKMISS Mason 12' Hook Shot51
70.1%
51
29.9%
Q3 - 11:37NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
67.9%
51
32.1%
Q3 - 11:40NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
70.1%
51
29.9%
Q3 - 12:0051
51
Q2 - 0:00.0WAS51
67.9%
51
32.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASWizards Rebound51
71.0%
51
29.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOKMISS Brown 81' 3PT Jump Shot51
70.1%
51
29.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASStevenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)51
67.9%
51
32.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0NOKMason 12' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)48
61.9%
51
38.1%
Q2 - 0:15.0WASSUB: Hayes FOR Jamison48
49
Q2 - 0:29.0WASJamison Layup (12 PTS) (Arenas 5 AST)48
65.8%
49
34.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0NOKBrown Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)46
61.9%
49
38.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0WASHaywood Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)46
59.4%
49
40.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0NOKJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)44
55.4%
49
44.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0WASArenas Driving Layup (10 PTS)44
52.8%
49
47.2%
Q2 - 1:01NOKJackson Driving Layup (9 PTS)42
49.6%
49
50.4%
Q2 - 1:22WASHaywood Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)42
53.7%
47
46.3%
Q2 - 1:37NOKBrown 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)42
56.0%
47
44.0%
Q2 - 1:46WASChandler STEAL (1 STL)42
60.1%
45
39.9%
Q2 - 1:57NOKChandler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)42
62.3%
45
37.7%
Q2 - 2:15WASButler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)42
60.3%
45
39.7%
Q2 - 2:25NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)42
45
Q2 - 2:25NOKButler Foul Turnover (P1.T8)42
63.4%
45
36.6%
Q2 - 2:25NOKButler OFF.Foul (P1)42
45
Q2 - 2:37WASStevenson 23' Jump Shot (12 PTS)42
60.3%
45
39.7%
Q2 - 3:00NOKBrown Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)40
57.2%
45
42.8%
Q2 - 3:04WASArenas Violation:Kicked Ball40
43
Q2 - 3:18WASHaywood Dunk (4 PTS)40
60.7%
43
39.3%
Q2 - 3:19WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
58.2%
43
41.8%
Q2 - 3:20WASMISS Jamison Tip Shot38
55.7%
43
44.3%
Q2 - 3:21WASJamison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
58.2%
43
41.8%
Q2 - 3:24WASMISS Butler 11' Jump Shot38
55.7%
43
44.3%
Q2 - 3:40NOKMason Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)38
58.2%
43
41.8%
Q2 - 3:46WASStevenson 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)38
54.6%
43
45.4%
Q2 - 4:09NOKMason Alley Oop Layup (11 PTS) (Brown 3 AST)36
52.7%
43
47.3%
Q2 - 4:14NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
55.5%
41
44.5%
Q2 - 4:15WASMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot36
56.5%
41
43.5%
Q2 - 4:33NOKChandler Follow Up Dunk (8 PTS)36
58.6%
41
41.4%
Q2 - 4:34NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)36
61.4%
39
38.6%
Q2 - 4:36NOKMISS Jackson 4' Jump Shot36
63.5%
39
36.5%
Q2 - 4:44WASSUB: Haywood FOR Thomas36
39
Q2 - 4:53NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)36
61.4%
39
38.6%
Q2 - 4:56WASMISS Thomas 6' Hook Shot36
62.3%
39
37.7%
Q2 - 5:02NOKSUB: Brown FOR Pargo36
39
Q2 - 5:02NOKPargo P.FOUL (P2.T1)36
39
Q2 - 5:16NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)36
64.9%
39
35.1%
Q2 - 5:16NOKHORNETS Rebound36
38
Q2 - 5:16NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 236
65.6%
38
34.4%
Q2 - 5:16WASButler S.FOUL (P2.T3)36
38
Q2 - 5:32NOKMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
65.0%
38
35.0%
Q2 - 5:33WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
65.8%
38
34.2%
Q2 - 5:44WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
67.6%
38
32.4%
Q2 - 5:46NOKMISS Mason 7' Jump Shot36
66.8%
38
33.2%
Q2 - 6:00WASJamison 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arenas 4 AST)36
65.0%
38
35.0%
Q2 - 6:19NOKMason 11' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)34
62.5%
38
37.5%
Q2 - 6:27NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
64.7%
36
35.3%
Q2 - 6:28NOKMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot34
66.9%
36
33.1%
Q2 - 6:35WASSUB: Butler FOR Blatche34
36
Q2 - 6:35WASSUB: Stevenson FOR Hayes34
36
Q2 - 6:35WASSUB: Arenas FOR Daniels34
36
Q2 - 6:35WASBlatche P.FOUL (P2.T2)34
36
Q2 - 6:44WASJamison Foul Turnover (P1.T7)34
64.8%
36
35.2%
Q2 - 6:44WASJamison OFF.Foul (P2)34
36
Q2 - 7:00NOKSUB: Chandler FOR Johnson34
36
Q2 - 7:00WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)34
36
Q2 - 7:02NOKPargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)34
68.1%
36
31.9%
Q2 - 7:13NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
72.7%
33
27.3%
Q2 - 7:15WASMISS Hayes 15' Jump Shot34
73.4%
33
26.6%
Q2 - 7:35NOKButler 3' Finger Roll (2 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)34
75.0%
33
25.0%
Q2 - 7:48WASBlatche Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)34
76.9%
31
23.1%
Q2 - 8:01NOKSUB: Mason FOR Brown34
31
Q2 - 8:01NOKJackson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)34
78.8%
31
21.2%
Q2 - 8:08NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
76.9%
31
23.1%
Q2 - 8:09WASMISS Daniels Layup34
77.5%
31
22.5%
Q2 - 8:24NOKJackson Foul Turnover (P2.T5)34
78.8%
31
21.2%
Q2 - 8:24NOKJackson OFF.Foul (P1)34
31
Q2 - 8:38WASSUB: Jamison FOR Butler34
31
Q2 - 8:3834
31
Q2 - 8:38WASThomas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)34
77.0%
31
23.0%
Q2 - 9:02NOKJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
78.6%
31
21.4%
Q2 - 9:02NOKJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)34
78.9%
30
21.1%
Q2 - 9:02WASBlatche S.FOUL (P1.T1)34
29
Q2 - 9:13WASSUB: Blatche FOR Arenas34
29
Q2 - 9:13WASHayes Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)34
80.4%
29
19.6%
Q2 - 9:36NOKBrown 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
82.0%
29
18.0%
Q2 - 10:00WASDaniels 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Arenas 3 AST)34
85.0%
26
15.0%
Q2 - 10:18NOKJackson 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)32
83.3%
26
16.7%
Q2 - 10:26NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
84.7%
24
15.3%
Q2 - 10:27WASMISS Arenas 15' Jump Shot32
85.1%
24
14.9%
Q2 - 10:39NOKPargo Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)32
86.0%
24
14.0%
Q2 - 10:47NOKButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
84.7%
24
15.3%
Q2 - 10:49WASMISS Butler 9' Jump Shot32
85.1%
24
14.9%
Q2 - 11:08WASButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
85.6%
24
14.4%
Q2 - 11:10WASMISS Arenas 16' Jump Shot32
84.7%
24
15.3%
Q2 - 11:17WASHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
85.6%
24
14.4%
Q2 - 11:20NOKMISS Brown 4' Jump Shot32
85.2%
24
14.8%
Q2 - 11:23NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
84.3%
24
15.7%
Q2 - 11:26NOKMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
85.2%
24
14.8%
Q2 - 11:40NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
84.3%
24
15.7%
Q2 - 11:41NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
85.3%
24
14.7%
Q2 - 12:0032
24
Q1 - 0:00.0NOK32
84.3%
24
15.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0NOKHORNETS Rebound32
84.3%
24
15.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0WASMISS Hayes 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
84.7%
24
15.3%
Q1 - 0:20.0NOKJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)32
85.1%
24
14.9%
Q1 - 0:20.0WASSUB: Hayes FOR Haywood32
23
Q1 - 0:20.0NOKHORNETS Rebound32
23
Q1 - 0:20.0NOKMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 232
85.4%
23
14.6%
Q1 - 0:20.0WASStevenson P.FOUL (P1.PN)32
23
Q1 - 0:37.0NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
85.4%
23
14.6%
Q1 - 0:39.0WASMISS Arenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
85.7%
23
14.3%
Q1 - 0:45.0WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
86.3%
23
13.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0NOKMISS Mason 13' Hook Shot32
86.0%
23
14.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0WASArenas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
85.4%
23
14.6%
Q1 - 0:58.0WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
85.2%
23
14.8%
Q1 - 0:58.0NOKPargo S.FOUL (P1.T4)30
23
Q1 - 1:05WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
83.6%
23
16.4%
Q1 - 1:06NOKMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot30
83.3%
23
16.7%
Q1 - 1:23WASHaywood 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS)30
82.7%
23
17.3%
Q1 - 1:42NOKPargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mason 3 AST)28
80.8%
23
19.2%
Q1 - 1:46WASJamison P.FOUL (P1.T3)28
20
Q1 - 2:00WASWizards Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)28
84.0%
20
16.0%
Q1 - 2:00WASWizards Rebound28
84.8%
20
15.2%
Q1 - 2:00WASMISS Arenas 18' Jump Shot28
84.2%
20
15.8%
Q1 - 2:08WASWizards Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)28
20
Q1 - 2:26NOKMason Layup (6 PTS)28
84.7%
20
15.3%
Q1 - 2:27NOKMason REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)28
86.0%
18
14.0%
Q1 - 2:29NOKMISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
86.7%
18
13.3%
Q1 - 2:39NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
86.0%
18
14.0%
Q1 - 2:40WASMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot28
86.3%
18
13.7%
Q1 - 2:48WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
86.9%
18
13.1%
Q1 - 2:49NOKMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
86.7%
18
13.3%
Q1 - 3:11WASStevenson 13' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)28
86.1%
18
13.9%
Q1 - 3:23NOKChandler P.FOUL (P1.T3)26
18
Q1 - 3:23NOKChandler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)26
84.9%
18
15.1%
Q1 - 3:38WASStevenson 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)26
83.7%
18
16.3%
Q1 - 3:53NOKSUB: Pargo FOR Butler24
18
Q1 - 3:53NOKMason L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)24
18
Q1 - 3:53WASWizards Rebound24
82.4%
18
17.6%
Q1 - 3:54WASMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
81.5%
18
18.5%
Q1 - 4:22NOKMason 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)24
81.1%
18
18.9%
Q1 - 4:25NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
82.2%
16
17.8%
Q1 - 4:27NOKMISS Chandler 11' Jump Shot24
83.0%
16
17.0%
Q1 - 4:46WASButler Layup (6 PTS) (Haywood 1 AST)24
82.0%
16
18.0%
Q1 - 4:51WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
80.9%
16
19.1%
Q1 - 4:53WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
80.0%
16
20.0%
Q1 - 5:05NOKChandler Dunk (6 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)22
80.4%
16
19.6%
Q1 - 5:17NOKSUB: Johnson FOR Jackson22
14
Q1 - 5:17NOKHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)22
14
Q1 - 5:18WASStevenson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
81.3%
14
18.7%
Q1 - 5:27WASJamison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
80.2%
14
19.8%
Q1 - 5:28NOKMISS Jackson Layup20
79.8%
14
20.2%
Q1 - 5:43WASArenas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
78.8%
14
21.2%
Q1 - 5:49NOKBrown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)17
76.4%
14
23.6%
Q1 - 6:12WASJamison 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)17
78.6%
11
21.4%
Q1 - 6:30NOKChandler 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)15
77.3%
11
22.7%
Q1 - 6:51WASButler Driving Layup (4 PTS)15
78.2%
9
21.8%
Q1 - 7:01NOKJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
77.1%
9
22.9%
Q1 - 7:11NOKMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
75.7%
9
24.3%
Q1 - 7:12WASMISS Jamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
76.1%
9
23.9%
Q1 - 7:27NOKMason Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)13
76.8%
9
23.2%
Q1 - 7:32WASBrown STEAL (1 STL)13
75.5%
9
24.5%
Q1 - 7:49NOKJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)13
76.4%
9
23.6%
Q1 - 7:49WASHaywood S.FOUL (P1.T2)13
8
Q1 - 7:49NOKJackson 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
8
Q1 - 8:00NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
78.1%
6
21.9%
Q1 - 8:01WASMISS Arenas 13' Jump Shot13
78.5%
6
21.5%
Q1 - 8:09WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
78.9%
6
21.1%
Q1 - 8:10NOKMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot13
78.6%
6
21.4%
Q1 - 8:32WASJamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arenas 2 AST)13
77.5%
6
22.5%
Q1 - 8:43WASHaywood REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
75.5%
6
24.5%
Q1 - 8:46NOKMISS Mason 7' Turnaround Jump Shot10
75.1%
6
24.9%
Q1 - 8:59NOKMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)10
74.2%
6
25.8%
Q1 - 9:00NOKMISS Mason 4' Running Jump Shot10
74.8%
6
25.2%
Q1 - 9:22WASArenas Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)10
73.8%
6
26.2%
Q1 - 9:24WASArenas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
74.5%
6
25.5%
Q1 - 9:26WASMISS Butler 21' Jump Shot10
73.9%
6
26.1%
Q1 - 9:32WASButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
74.3%
6
25.7%
Q1 - 9:34NOKMISS Mason 6' Fadeaway Jumper10
74.0%
6
26.0%
Q1 - 9:44WASButler P.FOUL (P1.T1)10
6
Q1 - 10:00WASButler 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
72.8%
6
27.2%
Q1 - 10:16NOKBrown 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)8
71.6%
6
28.4%
Q1 - 10:36WASJamison 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arenas 1 AST)8
71.4%
4
28.6%
Q1 - 10:54NOKMason Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
69.9%
4
30.1%
Q1 - 11:14WASStevenson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)5
69.6%
2
30.4%
Q1 - 11:26NOKChandler Follow Up Dunk (2 PTS)3
68.9%
2
31.1%
Q1 - 11:28NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)3
69.0%
0
31.0%
Q1 - 11:29NOKMISS Mason Layup3
69.1%
0
30.9%
Q1 - 11:31NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
68.9%
0
31.1%
Q1 - 11:33NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Finger Roll3
68.9%
0
31.1%
Q1 - 11:36NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
68.7%
0
31.3%
Q1 - 11:38NOKMISS Mason 4' Jump Shot3
68.7%
0
31.3%
Q1 - 11:57WASArenas Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
67.7%
0
32.3%
Q1 - 11:57NOKBrown S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
0
Q1 - 11:57WASArenas Layup (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 12:00NOKJump Ball Chandler vs. Haywood: Tip to Arenas0
67.5%
0
32.5%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventWASNOK
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.08 53.9%
NOK
1.21 60.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
14
20
70%
NOK
18
28
64%
Midrange
WAS
16
37
43%
NOK
16
33
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
NOK
8
12.0
16
50%
75%
Free Throws
WAS
16
18
89%
NOK
12
14
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Arenas2348%11.5 / 24
D. Stevenson2285%11.0 / 13
C. Butler1850%9.0 / 18
A. Jamison1450%7.0 / 14
B. Haywood8100%4.0 / 4
E. Thomas563%2.5 / 4
A. Daniels440%2.0 / 5
J. Hayes330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mason2246%11.0 / 24
R. Butler2067%10.0 / 15
D. Brown1973%9.5 / 13
J. Pargo1979%9.5 / 12
M. Jackson1155%5.5 / 10
T. Chandler1083%5.0 / 6
L. Johnson350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
75
+14
-16
89
NOK
70
+14
-21
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.08 53.9%
NOK
1.21 60.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.6
104.6
WAS 106.6
NOK 114.3 +7.7
Pace
94.6
90.4
WAS 94.9 +7.5
NOK 87.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.1
WAS 15.2 −1.3
NOK 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.1%
47.9%
WAS 51.3%
NOK 59.7% +8.4%
TO %
13.9%
14.9%
WAS 17.2% −3.0%
NOK 20.2%
ORB %
28.1%
29.2%
WAS 30.6%
NOK 37.5% +6.9%
FTrt
35.6
29.1
WAS 22.8 +4.6
NOK 18.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.1%
51.7%
WAS 48.6%
NOK 54.8% +6.2%
STL %
8.1%
7.0%
WAS 14.3% +8.8%
NOK 5.5%
BLK %
7.3%
6.9%
WAS 3.3%
NOK 3.5% +0.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.1%
50.7%
WAS 53.9%
NOK 60.5% +6.6%
Rim FG%
57.8%
56.2%
WAS 70.0% +5.7%
NOK 64.3%
Mid FG%
39.9%
38.2%
WAS 43.2%
NOK 48.5% +5.3%
3P %
34.8%
36.2%
WAS 31.8%
NOK 50.0% +18.2%
FT %
76.5%
74.0%
WAS 88.9% +3.2%
NOK 85.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.3%
37.2%
WAS 25.3%
NOK 36.4% +11.0%
Mid Att. %
41.0%
44.0%
WAS 46.8%
NOK 42.9% −4.0%
3P Att. %
23.7%
18.8%
WAS 27.8% +7.1%
NOK 20.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsWASNOK
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points97104
Rebounds3137
Assists1823
Steals135
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)16 (2)21 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)20 (1)25 (4)
Field Goals37-7942-77
At-the-Rim FG14-2018-28
Midrange FG16-3716-33
2-Point FG30-5734-61
3-Point FG7-228-16
Free Throws16-1812-14
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 27
46.0
18
50%
9
4
3
0
4
4
3
6
0-0
-
9-16
56%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
40.0
23
48%
4
8
4
0
5
1
1
3
11-12
92%
3-12
25%
2-7
29%
F · 6'9" 235 · 31
37.4
14
50%
5
1
1
0
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
57%
2-7
29%
G · 6'5" 218 · 26
32.3
22
85%
0
3
1
0
1
4
0
0
2-2
100%
7-9
78%
2-3
67%
C · 7'0" 263 · 27
24.5
8
100%
6
1
2
1
2
2
3
3
0-0
-
4-4
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 228 · 25
18.9
3
30%
2
0
1
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
C · 6'10" 260 · 29
16.5
5
63%
4
0
0
0
1
1
2
2
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 205 · 32
15.7
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 193 · 24
5.3
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20
2.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 26
0.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 31
#54 · C · 6'10" 305 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · F · 6'9" 248 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#51 · F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
54%
31
18
13
2
16
0
11
20
16-18
89%
30-57
53%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.