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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 12, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Wizards67%10197
30Hornets33%95104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 26.8
46.0
37.2
18
50%
9
4
3
2
0
4
3
6
0-0
-
9-16
6-13
56%
48%
0-2
0%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.0
40.0
41.2
23
47%
4
8
4
2
0
5
1
3
11-12
92%
3-12
7-14
25%
48%
2-7
29%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.6
37.4
41.0
14
50%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-7
5-10
57%
48%
2-7
29%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 25.8
32.3
26.8
22
85%
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
7-9
3-6
78%
47%
2-3
67%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 27.1
24.5
27.1
8
100%
6
1
2
1
1
2
3
3
0-0
-
4-4
3-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.4
18.9
16.4
3
30%
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
42%
1-3
33%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.8
16.5
19.1
5
66%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
53%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 31.8
15.7
19.0
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
0-0
-
Donell Taylor
G · 6'5" 193 · 24.5
5.3
2.7
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 20.4
2.6
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 26.3
0.8
4.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.7
6.0
0
0-1
45%
James Lang
C · 6'10" 305 · 23.2
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.9
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 30.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.3
44.0
33.8
22
45%
8
4
0
1
0
7
3
5
2-3
67%
10-23
5-11
43%
46%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.6
40.4
37.1
20
67%
6
1
1
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
6-8
4-9
75%
45%
2-6
33%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.0
38.6
35.9
19
73%
6
9
2
1
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
5-8
3-7
63%
43%
3-5
60%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.3
36.8
34.4
10
83%
10
0
1
1
2
2
4
6
0-0
-
5-6
3-5
83%
57%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 32.0
30.1
22.1
11
53%
2
3
0
0
0
5
1
1
3-3
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.2
26.8
31.0
19
81%
2
4
1
1
0
3
1
1
4-4
100%
3-5
4-9
60%
42%
3-5
60%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.6
23.4
18.9
3
52%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.4
23.5
1
5-10
51%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.1
8.6
0
1-2
52%
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.0
7.8
0
1-2
50%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 33.8
5.4
0
1-2
46%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.7
3.7
0
0-1
46%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.6
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.7
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.