FinalWin Prob.pScore
463%97
90
2237%93
86
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
95.79496.0
DEN logo DEN
91.59492.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DEN90
100%
86
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0HOUHead Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)90
99.5%
86
0.5%
Q4 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Head Free Throw 1 of 289
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 0:02.0HOURockets Rebound89
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 0:09.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:19)89
94.7%
86
5.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0HOUMISS Alston 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
96.2%
86
3.8%
Q4 - 0:33.0HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
96.4%
86
3.6%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENMISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
95.4%
86
4.6%
Q4 - 0:46.0HOUBattier 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (McGrady 11 AST)89
88.2%
86
11.8%
Q4 - 1:01DENIverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Blake 6 AST)86
66.1%
86
33.9%
Q4 - 1:07DENBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
85.4%
83
14.6%
Q4 - 1:09HOUMISS Head 17' Jump Shot86
87.5%
83
12.5%
Q4 - 1:27DENNene Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)86
91.0%
83
9.0%
Q4 - 1:37HOUAlston Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (McGrady 10 AST)86
83.9%
83
16.1%
Q4 - 1:47DENDiawara Foul Turnover (P4.T12)84
76.3%
83
23.7%
Q4 - 2:06HOUBattier Driving Layup (22 PTS)84
65.1%
83
34.9%
Q4 - 2:24HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
59.1%
83
40.9%
Q4 - 2:26DENMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
54.0%
83
46.0%
Q4 - 2:50HOUBattier 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (McGrady 9 AST)82
42.1%
83
57.9%
Q4 - 3:00HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)79
27.4%
83
72.6%
Q4 - 3:02DENMISS Iverson 15' Jump Shot79
23.9%
83
76.1%
Q4 - 3:18HOUBattier Free Throw 3 of 3 (17 PTS)79
17.0%
83
83.0%
Q4 - 3:18HOUBattier Free Throw 2 of 3 (16 PTS)78
15.7%
83
84.3%
Q4 - 3:18HOUMISS Battier Free Throw 1 of 377
14.3%
83
85.7%
Q4 - 3:34HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
17.7%
83
82.3%
Q4 - 3:35DENMISS Camby 19' Jump Shot77
16.0%
83
84.0%
Q4 - 3:43DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:18)77
12.4%
83
87.6%
Q4 - 3:45HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot77
13.7%
83
86.3%
Q4 - 3:59DENCamby 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Blake 5 AST)77
16.7%
83
83.3%
Q4 - 4:06DENBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
22.1%
81
77.9%
Q4 - 4:08HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot77
24.1%
81
75.9%
Q4 - 4:29DENIverson 14' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)77
29.2%
81
70.8%
Q4 - 4:36DENNUGGETS Rebound77
37.0%
79
63.0%
Q4 - 4:37DENMISS Camby Layup77
43.7%
79
56.3%
Q4 - 4:55HOUMcGrady 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)77
36.9%
79
63.1%
Q4 - 5:13HOURockets Rebound75
33.3%
79
66.7%
Q4 - 5:15DENMISS Blake 22' Jump Shot75
31.0%
79
69.0%
Q4 - 5:32DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:17)75
25.9%
79
74.1%
Q4 - 5:35HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
28.0%
79
72.0%
Q4 - 5:56DENIverson 13' Jump Shot (23 PTS)75
33.1%
79
66.9%
Q4 - 6:12DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:16)75
43.0%
77
57.0%
Q4 - 6:15HOUMISS McGrady 20' Jump Shot75
45.6%
77
54.4%
Q4 - 6:23HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)75
51.6%
77
48.4%
Q4 - 6:25DENMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
48.9%
77
51.1%
Q4 - 6:37DENBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
42.9%
77
57.1%
Q4 - 6:40HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot75
45.5%
77
54.5%
Q4 - 6:56HOURockets Rebound75
51.5%
77
48.5%
Q4 - 6:56HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot75
45.4%
77
54.6%
Q4 - 7:14DENBlake 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Diawara 2 AST)75
53.5%
77
46.5%
Q4 - 7:41HOUHead 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)75
65.8%
74
34.2%
Q4 - 7:55HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
53.4%
74
46.6%
Q4 - 7:58DENMISS Nene 5' Jump Hook Shot72
51.0%
74
49.0%
Q4 - 8:15DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
47.2%
74
52.8%
Q4 - 8:16HOUMISS Battier 6' Jump Shot72
49.2%
74
50.8%
Q4 - 8:41DENBlake 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Iverson 5 AST)72
53.7%
74
46.3%
Q4 - 9:01HOUNene STEAL (2 STL)72
66.1%
71
33.9%
Q4 - 9:05HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
71.5%
71
28.5%
Q4 - 9:07DENMISS Nene Dunk72
69.9%
71
30.1%
Q4 - 9:08DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
66.1%
71
33.9%
Q4 - 9:11DENMISS Kleiza Reverse Layup72
69.9%
71
30.1%
Q4 - 9:16DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)72
66.1%
71
33.9%
Q4 - 9:18DENMISS Nene Layup72
69.9%
71
30.1%
Q4 - 9:27DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
66.1%
71
33.9%
Q4 - 9:29HOUMISS Alston 10' Jump Shot72
67.8%
71
32.2%
Q4 - 9:44HOURockets Rebound72
71.5%
71
28.5%
Q4 - 9:45DENMISS Iverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
69.9%
71
30.1%
Q4 - 10:10HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)72
65.7%
71
34.3%
Q4 - 10:36DENDiawara Driving Layup (13 PTS)69
55.3%
71
44.7%
Q4 - 10:55DENJump Ball Nene vs. Howard: Tip to Diawara69
60.5%
69
39.5%
Q4 - 11:10DENDiawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)69
65.4%
69
34.6%
Q4 - 11:34HOUBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)69
74.3%
66
25.7%
Q4 - 11:34HOUBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)68
73.3%
66
26.7%
Q4 - 11:51DENNene Layup (8 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)67
70.2%
66
29.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN67
74.3%
64
25.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound67
74.3%
64
25.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENMISS Nene 57' 3PT Jump Shot67
77.2%
64
22.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
74.4%
64
25.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
75.5%
64
24.5%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)67
78.0%
64
22.0%
Q3 - 0:22.0DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 267
79.1%
63
20.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
78.1%
63
21.9%
Q3 - 0:33.0HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot67
79.1%
63
20.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0HOURockets Rebound67
81.4%
63
18.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
80.4%
63
19.6%
Q3 - 1:03DENBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)67
77.7%
63
22.3%
Q3 - 1:05HOUMISS Head 3PT Jump Shot67
78.7%
63
21.3%
Q3 - 1:14DENIverson Layup (21 PTS)67
81.0%
63
19.0%
Q3 - 1:31HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)67
83.8%
61
16.2%
Q3 - 1:47DENBlake 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)64
77.8%
61
22.2%
Q3 - 2:03DENNUGGETS Rebound64
80.0%
59
20.0%
Q3 - 2:04HOUMISS Alston 9' Running Jump Shot64
80.9%
59
19.1%
Q3 - 2:14DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)64
83.1%
59
16.9%
Q3 - 2:14DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)64
83.5%
58
16.5%
Q3 - 2:26HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)64
85.3%
57
14.7%
Q3 - 2:40DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)61
80.3%
57
19.7%
Q3 - 2:40DENMISS Camby Free Throw 1 of 261
81.1%
56
18.9%
Q3 - 2:48HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)61
80.1%
56
19.9%
Q3 - 2:48HOURockets Rebound61
83.1%
56
16.9%
Q3 - 2:48HOUIverson BLOCK (1 BLK)61
81.0%
56
19.0%
Q3 - 3:18DENDiawara Layup (8 PTS)61
82.7%
56
17.3%
Q3 - 3:19DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)61
85.0%
54
15.0%
Q3 - 3:21DENMISS Kleiza Layup61
86.6%
54
13.4%
Q3 - 3:28HOUAlston Driving Layup (7 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)61
85.0%
54
15.0%
Q3 - 3:48DENBlake 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)59
82.7%
54
17.3%
Q3 - 4:02DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:15)59
86.5%
51
13.5%
Q3 - 4:03HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 259
86.8%
51
13.2%
Q3 - 4:03HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)59
88.0%
51
12.0%
Q3 - 4:18HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
86.8%
51
13.2%
Q3 - 4:20DENMISS Iverson 15' Turnaround Jump Shot58
86.1%
51
13.9%
Q3 - 4:27DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
84.4%
51
15.6%
Q3 - 4:29HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot58
85.2%
51
14.8%
Q3 - 4:51HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)58
86.9%
51
13.1%
Q3 - 4:53DENMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot58
86.2%
51
13.8%
Q3 - 5:12DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:14)58
84.0%
51
16.0%
Q3 - 5:15HOUMISS Alston 10' Running Jump Shot58
84.8%
51
15.2%
Q3 - 5:29DENBlake 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)58
86.3%
51
13.7%
Q3 - 5:45HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)58
88.0%
49
12.0%
Q3 - 5:45HOUMISS Alston Free Throw 1 of 257
87.6%
49
12.4%
Q3 - 5:52HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)57
88.2%
49
11.8%
Q3 - 5:54HOUMISS Alston 3PT Jump Shot57
86.8%
49
13.2%
Q3 - 6:08HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
87.6%
49
12.4%
Q3 - 6:10DENMISS Najera Reverse Layup57
87.0%
49
13.0%
Q3 - 6:17DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:13)57
85.6%
49
14.4%
Q3 - 6:20DENMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
87.1%
49
12.9%
Q3 - 6:33HOUHoward 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)57
85.7%
49
14.3%
Q3 - 6:48DENIverson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)55
83.7%
49
16.3%
Q3 - 7:06HOUBattier 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)55
80.4%
49
19.6%
Q3 - 7:19HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)52
75.6%
49
24.4%
Q3 - 7:22DENMISS Najera 23' Jump Shot52
74.5%
49
25.5%
Q3 - 7:37HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)52
72.2%
49
27.8%
Q3 - 7:37HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)51
71.7%
49
28.3%
Q3 - 7:46HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
69.4%
49
30.6%
Q3 - 7:49DENMISS Iverson 14' Jump Shot50
68.3%
49
31.7%
Q3 - 8:02HOUAlston 6' Running Hook Shot (4 PTS)50
65.9%
49
34.1%
Q3 - 8:27DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)48
62.9%
49
37.1%
Q3 - 8:36DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
69.2%
46
30.8%
Q3 - 8:37HOUMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot48
70.3%
46
29.7%
Q3 - 8:54DENNajera 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)48
72.7%
46
27.3%
Q3 - 9:08HOUBattier Layup (10 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)48
75.3%
44
24.7%
Q3 - 9:11HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
72.5%
44
27.5%
Q3 - 9:14DENMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
71.6%
44
28.4%
Q3 - 9:20DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)46
69.4%
44
30.6%
Q3 - 9:23HOUMISS McGrady 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
70.4%
44
29.6%
Q3 - 9:39DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)46
72.6%
44
27.4%
Q3 - 9:56HOUHoward 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)46
77.9%
41
22.1%
Q3 - 10:09HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
75.6%
41
24.4%
Q3 - 10:11DENMISS Najera Layup44
74.7%
41
25.3%
Q3 - 10:21DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
72.6%
41
27.4%
Q3 - 10:23HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
73.5%
41
26.5%
Q3 - 10:27HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
75.6%
41
24.4%
Q3 - 10:30HOUMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
73.5%
41
26.5%
Q3 - 10:38HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
75.6%
41
24.4%
Q3 - 10:41DENMISS Iverson 15' Jump Bank Shot44
74.7%
41
25.3%
Q3 - 10:49DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)44
72.5%
41
27.5%
Q3 - 10:52DENMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot44
74.7%
41
25.3%
Q3 - 11:16DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)44
73.0%
41
27.0%
Q3 - 11:17HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 244
73.4%
41
26.6%
Q3 - 11:17HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 244
75.1%
41
24.9%
Q3 - 11:27HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
75.7%
41
24.3%
Q3 - 11:28DENMISS Camby 16' Jump Shot44
74.9%
41
25.1%
Q3 - 11:45DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)44
73.0%
41
27.0%
Q3 - 11:46HOUMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot44
73.8%
41
26.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU44
75.7%
41
24.3%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENDiawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)44
75.1%
41
24.9%
Q2 - 0:14.0HOULucas III 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)44
80.4%
38
19.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)42
77.5%
38
22.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)42
77.9%
37
22.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)42
80.4%
36
19.6%
Q2 - 0:39.0DENMISS Iverson 12' Jump Shot42
81.4%
36
18.6%
Q2 - 0:59.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)42
80.4%
36
19.6%
Q2 - 1:00HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 3 of 342
80.6%
36
19.4%
Q2 - 1:00HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 342
82.0%
36
18.0%
Q2 - 1:00HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)42
83.4%
36
16.6%
Q2 - 1:07HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
79.2%
36
20.8%
Q2 - 1:09DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
78.9%
36
21.1%
Q2 - 1:34HOUMutombo Layup (7 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)41
78.1%
36
21.9%
Q2 - 1:47HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
74.7%
36
25.3%
Q2 - 1:49DENMISS Smith Driving Layup39
74.3%
36
25.7%
Q2 - 1:53DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)39
73.4%
36
26.6%
Q2 - 1:55HOUMISS Lucas III 3PT Jump Shot39
73.8%
36
26.2%
Q2 - 2:00HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
74.7%
36
25.3%
Q2 - 2:02DENMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot39
74.3%
36
25.7%
Q2 - 2:22HOUHead 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lucas III 3 AST)39
72.7%
36
27.3%
Q2 - 2:28HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
67.3%
36
32.7%
Q2 - 2:29DENMISS Iverson 10' Jump Shot36
66.5%
36
33.5%
Q2 - 2:35DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
64.7%
36
35.3%
Q2 - 2:37HOUMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
65.5%
36
34.5%
Q2 - 2:52HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
67.2%
36
32.8%
Q2 - 2:54DENMISS Camby 10' Jump Shot36
66.5%
36
33.5%
Q2 - 3:14DENIverson Free Throw Technical (15 PTS)36
64.8%
36
35.2%
Q2 - 3:18HOUIverson STEAL (3 STL)36
67.4%
35
32.6%
Q2 - 3:21HOULucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
70.3%
35
29.7%
Q2 - 3:24DENMISS Smith 12' Fadeaway Jumper36
69.4%
35
30.6%
Q2 - 3:37HOUMcGrady 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
67.4%
35
32.6%
Q2 - 3:52DENSmith Layup (5 PTS)34
65.0%
35
35.0%
Q2 - 3:53DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
67.4%
33
32.6%
Q2 - 3:54DENMISS Smith Layup34
69.4%
33
30.6%
Q2 - 4:00DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)34
67.4%
33
32.6%
Q2 - 4:02HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot34
68.5%
33
31.5%
Q2 - 4:12HOURockets Rebound34
70.2%
33
29.8%
Q2 - 4:12HOUSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)34
68.5%
33
31.5%
Q2 - 4:27DENCamby Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)34
70.2%
33
29.8%
Q2 - 4:39DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)34
67.8%
33
32.2%
Q2 - 4:40HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 234
68.1%
33
31.9%
Q2 - 4:40HOUMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 234
69.7%
33
30.3%
Q2 - 4:55DENCamby 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)34
70.2%
33
29.8%
Q2 - 5:05HOUMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
72.6%
31
27.4%
Q2 - 5:09DENDiawara Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)32
70.5%
31
29.5%
Q2 - 5:18DENSmith Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)32
67.8%
31
32.2%
Q2 - 5:35DENNUGGETS Rebound32
70.3%
30
29.7%
Q2 - 5:36HOUMISS McGrady 11' Jump Shot32
71.0%
30
29.0%
Q2 - 5:42HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)32
72.7%
30
27.3%
Q2 - 5:44DENMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot32
72.0%
30
28.0%
Q2 - 6:00HOUBattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)32
70.3%
30
29.7%
Q2 - 6:21HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
66.0%
30
34.0%
Q2 - 6:23DENMISS Kleiza 16' Jump Shot29
65.1%
30
34.9%
Q2 - 6:28DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)29
62.9%
30
37.1%
Q2 - 6:30HOUMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot29
63.9%
30
36.1%
Q2 - 6:40HOURockets Rebound29
66.0%
30
34.0%
Q2 - 6:40DENMISS Camby 16' Jump Bank Shot29
65.0%
30
35.0%
Q2 - 7:04HOUBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lucas III 2 AST)29
63.5%
30
36.5%
Q2 - 7:22DENEvans Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)26
58.6%
30
41.4%
Q2 - 7:29HOUHead 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lucas III 1 AST)26
55.9%
30
44.1%
Q2 - 7:40HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)24
53.4%
30
46.6%
Q2 - 7:41HOUMISS Head 20' Jump Shot24
51.5%
30
48.5%
Q2 - 8:00DENEvans 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)24
53.4%
30
46.6%
Q2 - 8:08DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
55.8%
28
44.2%
Q2 - 8:09DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 124
58.3%
28
41.7%
Q2 - 8:21HOULucas III 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)24
60.9%
26
39.1%
Q2 - 8:36DENSmith 5' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)22
58.7%
26
41.3%
Q2 - 8:57HOUHead Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)22
60.9%
24
39.1%
Q2 - 8:57HOUMISS Head Free Throw 1 of 221
60.3%
24
39.7%
Q2 - 9:02HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)21
61.4%
24
38.6%
Q2 - 9:03DENMISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
60.6%
24
39.4%
Q2 - 9:25HOUHead 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)21
58.7%
24
41.3%
Q2 - 9:29DENIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)19
56.5%
24
43.5%
Q2 - 9:37DENEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
53.7%
24
46.3%
Q2 - 9:39HOUDiawara BLOCK (2 BLK)19
54.6%
24
45.4%
Q2 - 9:52DENIverson 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS)19
56.5%
24
43.5%
Q2 - 10:02HOUHoward 6' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)19
58.6%
22
41.4%
Q2 - 10:18DENEvans Layup (2 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)17
56.5%
22
43.5%
Q2 - 10:28DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
58.6%
20
41.4%
Q2 - 10:30HOUMISS Head 11' Jump Shot17
59.4%
20
40.6%
Q2 - 10:44HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
61.3%
20
38.7%
Q2 - 10:47DENMISS Nene 13' Jump Shot17
60.5%
20
39.5%
Q2 - 11:00HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)17
58.6%
20
41.4%
Q2 - 11:23HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
61.4%
20
38.6%
Q2 - 11:25DENMISS Diawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
60.7%
20
39.3%
Q2 - 11:35DENEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
59.0%
20
41.0%
Q2 - 11:37HOUMISS Alston 19' Jump Shot17
59.8%
20
40.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU17
61.4%
20
38.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENDiawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)17
61.1%
20
38.9%
Q1 - 0:09.0HOUMcGrady 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)17
66.0%
17
34.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
63.4%
17
36.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0DENMISS Diawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
62.8%
17
37.2%
Q1 - 0:42.0HOUHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)15
61.6%
17
38.4%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)15
63.4%
17
36.6%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)15
64.0%
16
36.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0DENNUGGETS Rebound15
66.0%
15
34.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0HOUCamby BLOCK (1 BLK)15
66.5%
15
33.5%
Q1 - 1:05HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
67.7%
15
32.3%
Q1 - 1:07DENMISS Iverson Driving Layup15
67.2%
15
32.8%
Q1 - 1:16HOUHoward 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)15
66.1%
15
33.9%
Q1 - 1:29DENDiawara Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)13
63.5%
15
36.5%
Q1 - 1:46DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)13
61.7%
15
38.3%
Q1 - 1:48HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot13
62.3%
15
37.7%
Q1 - 1:54DENIverson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)13
63.4%
15
36.6%
Q1 - 2:03HOUHead Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)13
61.9%
15
38.1%
Q1 - 2:07DENNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)13
64.0%
15
36.0%
Q1 - 2:24DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
61.9%
15
38.1%
Q1 - 2:26HOUMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot13
62.6%
15
37.4%
Q1 - 2:47DENIverson Layup (12 PTS)13
64.0%
15
36.0%
Q1 - 2:50HOUIverson STEAL (2 STL)13
66.2%
13
33.8%
Q1 - 3:11DENNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)13
68.3%
13
31.7%
Q1 - 3:11DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 213
68.9%
12
31.1%
Q1 - 3:18DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
68.1%
12
31.9%
Q1 - 3:19DENMISS Iverson 14' Jump Shot13
69.6%
12
30.4%
Q1 - 3:30DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
68.1%
12
31.9%
Q1 - 3:32HOUMISS McGrady 19' Jump Shot13
68.8%
12
31.2%
Q1 - 3:42DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)13
70.3%
12
29.7%
Q1 - 3:42DENCamby Tip Shot (2 PTS)13
70.3%
12
29.7%
Q1 - 3:45DENMISS Kleiza Layup13
73.3%
10
26.7%
Q1 - 3:59HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)13
71.9%
10
28.1%
Q1 - 3:59HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
71.5%
10
28.5%
Q1 - 4:03HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
70.5%
10
29.5%
Q1 - 4:04DENMISS Camby Tip Shot11
69.8%
10
30.2%
Q1 - 4:05DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)11
68.2%
10
31.8%
Q1 - 4:06DENMISS Nene Layup11
69.8%
10
30.2%
Q1 - 4:23HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T3)11
68.2%
10
31.8%
Q1 - 4:33HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
70.5%
10
29.5%
Q1 - 4:36DENMISS Iverson 6' Running Jump Shot11
69.8%
10
30.2%
Q1 - 4:45HOUHoward 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
68.2%
10
31.8%
Q1 - 4:55DENDiawara Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T3)9
66.7%
10
33.3%
Q1 - 5:09DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)9
64.8%
10
35.2%
Q1 - 5:14DENMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot9
66.2%
10
33.8%
Q1 - 5:27HOUMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)9
64.7%
10
35.3%
Q1 - 5:45DENNajera Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)7
63.0%
10
37.0%
Q1 - 6:01DENIverson Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)7
61.1%
10
38.9%
Q1 - 6:14HOUMutombo Layup (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)7
63.0%
9
37.0%
Q1 - 6:36DENIverson 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)5
61.2%
9
38.8%
Q1 - 6:41DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)5
63.0%
7
37.0%
Q1 - 6:44HOUMISS Howard 16' Jump Shot5
63.6%
7
36.4%
Q1 - 7:03DENIverson 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS)5
65.4%
7
34.6%
Q1 - 7:08DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
66.9%
5
33.1%
Q1 - 7:09HOUMISS Howard 6' Jump Shot5
67.5%
5
32.5%
Q1 - 7:27DENSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
68.7%
5
31.3%
Q1 - 7:33DENNUGGETS Rebound5
66.9%
5
33.1%
Q1 - 7:34DENMISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot5
68.2%
5
31.8%
Q1 - 7:46DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
66.9%
5
33.1%
Q1 - 7:46HOUMISS Mutombo Free Throw 2 of 25
67.1%
5
32.9%
Q1 - 7:46HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
68.1%
5
31.9%
Q1 - 7:46HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
67.1%
5
32.9%
Q1 - 7:48HOUMISS Alston 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
65.7%
5
34.3%
Q1 - 7:53HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
67.1%
5
32.9%
Q1 - 7:57DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
66.5%
5
33.5%
Q1 - 7:59DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
65.2%
5
34.8%
Q1 - 8:04DENMISS Smith Alley Oop Dunk4
67.1%
5
32.9%
Q1 - 8:19HOUMutombo Dunk (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)4
65.8%
5
34.2%
Q1 - 8:30HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
64.2%
5
35.8%
Q1 - 8:32DENMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot2
63.6%
5
36.4%
Q1 - 8:46DENIverson Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)2
62.3%
5
37.7%
Q1 - 8:52DENNUGGETS Rebound2
64.0%
4
36.0%
Q1 - 8:54DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
65.3%
4
34.7%
Q1 - 9:12HOUAlston Foul Turnover (P1.T2)2
63.7%
4
36.3%
Q1 - 9:15HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
65.9%
4
34.1%
Q1 - 9:17DENMISS Najera 7' Fadeaway Jumper2
65.3%
4
34.7%
Q1 - 9:35HOUBattier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
63.8%
4
36.2%
Q1 - 9:35HOUBattier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
63.4%
4
36.6%
Q1 - 9:51DENIverson 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)0
62.5%
4
37.5%
Q1 - 9:59DENNUGGETS Rebound0
63.8%
2
36.2%
Q1 - 9:59DENMISS Najera Layup0
65.3%
2
34.7%
Q1 - 10:11DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
63.9%
2
36.1%
Q1 - 10:13HOUMISS Alston Driving Layup0
64.5%
2
35.5%
Q1 - 10:27HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
65.8%
2
34.2%
Q1 - 10:29DENMISS Najera 16' Jump Shot0
65.2%
2
34.8%
Q1 - 10:40HOUIverson STEAL (1 STL)0
63.9%
2
36.1%
Q1 - 10:58DENIverson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
65.8%
2
34.2%
Q1 - 11:03DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
67.5%
0
32.5%
Q1 - 11:06HOUDiawara BLOCK (1 BLK)0
68.0%
0
32.0%
Q1 - 11:11HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
69.0%
0
31.0%
Q1 - 11:13DENMISS Camby 16' Jump Shot0
68.5%
0
31.5%
Q1 - 11:27DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
67.5%
0
32.5%
Q1 - 11:29HOUMISS Alston 18' Jump Shot0
68.0%
0
32.0%
Q1 - 11:39HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
69.0%
0
31.0%
Q1 - 11:41DENMISS Diawara 3PT Jump Shot0
68.5%
0
31.5%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Camby vs. Mutombo: Tip to Iverson0
67.5%
0
32.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.98 48.9%
DEN
0.86 43.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
6
11
55%
DEN
10
26
38%
Midrange
HOU
16
39
41%
DEN
13
38
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
DEN
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
Free Throws
HOU
16
28
57%
DEN
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Battier2578%12.5 / 16
R. Alston1544%7.5 / 17
L. Head1554%7.5 / 14
T. McGrady1229%6.0 / 21
J. Howard1250%6.0 / 12
D. Mutombo788%3.5 / 4
J. Lucas III467%2.0 / 3
C. Hayes0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Iverson2861%14.0 / 23
Y. Diawara1346%6.5 / 14
S. Blake1381%6.5 / 8
J. Smith1132%5.5 / 17
Nene836%4.0 / 11
M. Camby732%3.5 / 11
R. Evans4100%2.0 / 2
E. Najera214%1.0 / 7
L. Kleiza0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
85
+7
-9
92
DEN
81
+19
-13
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
0.98 48.9%
DEN
0.86 43.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.6
107.9
HOU 95.7 +4.3
DEN 91.5
Pace
91.1
97.2
HOU 96.0 +3.9
DEN 92.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
14.2
HOU 15.0 +0.6
DEN 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
50.1%
HOU 49.3% +9.6%
DEN 39.7%
TO %
14.8%
16.5%
HOU 11.2% +0.4%
DEN 11.6%
ORB %
25.7%
28.9%
HOU 9.5%
DEN 26.0% +16.5%
FTrt
29.2
36.0
HOU 37.3 +18.8
DEN 18.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.6%
60.7%
HOU 75.0% +21.9%
DEN 53.1%
STL %
7.8%
8.5%
HOU 8.5% +3.2%
DEN 5.3%
BLK %
6.5%
7.9%
HOU 6.3%
DEN 10.0% +3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.06 and 2.06.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.3%
53.6%
HOU 48.9% +5.9%
DEN 43.0%
Rim FG%
56.2%
60.6%
HOU 54.5% +16.0%
DEN 38.5%
Mid FG%
41.0%
39.1%
HOU 41.0% +6.8%
DEN 34.2%
3P %
37.2%
33.6%
HOU 40.0% +7.9%
DEN 32.1%
FT %
75.3%
74.6%
HOU 57.1%
DEN 76.5% +19.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.3%
39.9%
HOU 14.7%
DEN 28.3% +13.6%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
39.0%
HOU 52.0%
DEN 41.3% +10.7%
3P Att. %
29.0%
21.2%
HOU 33.3% +2.9%
DEN 30.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsHOUDEN
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points9086
Rebounds4151
Assists2417
Steals85
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)9 (2)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (5)38 (3)
Field Goals32-7532-92
At-the-Rim FG6-1110-26
Midrange FG16-3913-38
2-Point FG22-5023-64
3-Point FG10-259-28
Free Throws16-2813-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 220 · 28
41.3
25
78%
7
3
2
0
1
1
0
7
6-7
86%
2-4
50%
5-9
56%
G · 6'8" 225 · 28
38.6
12
29%
8
11
2
0
1
1
0
8
2-9
22%
5-13
38%
0-4
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 34
37.3
12
50%
5
3
2
0
3
2
1
4
2-2
100%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 30
35.7
15
44%
5
4
1
0
2
2
0
5
3-4
75%
3-9
33%
2-6
33%
C · 7'2" 260 · 41
31.4
7
88%
10
0
1
4
0
3
3
7
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 24
30.7
15
54%
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
2-4
50%
2-7
29%
3-5
60%
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24
12.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
5
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 5'11" 166 · 24
12.3
4
67%
1
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 225 · 24
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24
G · 6'4" 195 · 24
F · 6'9" 240 · 31
#11 · C · 7'6" 310 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#6 · G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'5" 200 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
90
49%
41
24
8
4
9
0
4
37
16-28
57%
22-50
44%
10-25
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.