FinalWin Prob.pScore
1938%99
118
1562%103
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
116.810183.6
GSW logo GSW
95.0101127.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WarriorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAGSW
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA118
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)118
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0GSWMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot118
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)118
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)116
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Barron 18' Jump Shot116
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06GSWAzubuike Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)116
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 1:06GSWMISS Azubuike Free Throw 1 of 2116
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:15MIAMourning Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)116
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)114
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:33GSWMISS Ellis 3' Running Layup114
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)114
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)113
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)112
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42MIADiogu BLOCK (2 BLK)112
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)112
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01GSWMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot112
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)112
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 2:15MIAMourning Tip Shot (15 PTS)112
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 2:17MIAMISS Mourning 4' Hook Shot110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 2:19MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20MIAMISS Wade 2' Running Layup110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 2:48GSWDavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Barnes 2 AST)110
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 2:51GSWDiogu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53GSWMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:55GSWDiogu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57GSWMISS Barnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:01GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:03MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:20GSWMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:22GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:23GSWMISS Barnes 3' Layup110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:25GSWMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 3:37MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)110
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 3:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)107
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 3:49GSWMISS Azubuike 2' Reverse Layup107
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 3:58MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P3.T19)107
99.3%
92
0.7%
Q4 - 4:03GSWBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)107
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 4:12GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)107
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 4:14GSWMISS Azubuike 3' Layup107
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 4:19MIABarnes STEAL (3 STL)107
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 4:41GSWBarnes Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Davis 10 AST)107
99.6%
92
0.4%
Q4 - 4:43GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)107
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 4:46MIADiogu BLOCK (1 BLK)107
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 4:57MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)107
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 4:59GSWMISS Davis 4' Jump Shot107
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 5:10MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)107
99.4%
90
0.6%
Q4 - 5:28MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)107
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 5:29GSWMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 2107
99.5%
90
0.5%
Q4 - 5:29GSWDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)107
99.4%
90
0.6%
Q4 - 5:39GSWDiogu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)107
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 5:40MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot107
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 5:57GSWMurphy Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Davis 9 AST)107
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 6:08GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)107
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 6:10MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot107
99.6%
87
0.4%
Q4 - 6:23GSWAzubuike Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)107
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 6:23GSWAzubuike Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)107
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 6:35MIAKapono Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)107
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 6:58GSWDiogu 1' Layup (8 PTS)107
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 7:00GSWDiogu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)107
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 7:01GSWMISS Davis 5' Jump Shot107
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 7:08MIADavis STEAL (4 STL)107
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 7:24GSWDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)107
99.8%
83
0.2%
Q4 - 7:24GSWDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)107
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 7:32GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)107
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 7:55MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)107
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 7:56GSWMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 1107
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 8:04MIAPayton 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)107
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 8:17GSWDavis 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)105
99.8%
79
0.2%
Q4 - 8:31MIAWalker 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)105
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 8:43MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)103
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 8:45GSWMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot103
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 8:55MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)103
99.8%
77
0.2%
Q4 - 9:25GSWDiogu 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Azubuike 3 AST)101
99.6%
77
0.4%
Q4 - 9:34MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)101
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q4 - 9:45GSWAzubuike Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)98
99.5%
75
0.5%
Q4 - 9:45GSWAzubuike Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)98
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 9:49MIAAzubuike STEAL (1 STL)98
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 10:09GSWAzubuike Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)98
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 10:16MIAWalker 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kapono 4 AST)98
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 10:23MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)95
99.1%
73
0.9%
Q4 - 10:26GSWMISS Dunleavy 3' Layup95
99.0%
73
1.0%
Q4 - 10:35MIADavis STEAL (3 STL)95
98.8%
73
1.2%
Q4 - 10:46MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
99.1%
73
0.9%
Q4 - 10:47GSWMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.0%
73
1.0%
Q4 - 11:14MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)95
98.5%
73
1.5%
Q4 - 11:35GSWDunleavy 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Davis 8 AST)95
98.8%
73
1.2%
Q4 - 11:43GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)95
99.0%
71
1.0%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Wright 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.1%
71
0.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA95
99.2%
71
0.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)95
99.2%
71
0.8%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)95
98.7%
71
1.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)93
98.5%
71
1.5%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
98.2%
71
1.8%
Q3 - 0:39.0GSWBarnes Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)93
98.5%
71
1.5%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kapono 3 AST)93
98.2%
71
1.8%
Q3 - 1:08MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
96.6%
71
3.4%
Q3 - 1:09GSWMISS Murphy Free Throw 2 of 290
96.5%
71
3.5%
Q3 - 1:09GSWMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)90
96.0%
71
4.0%
Q3 - 1:19GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
96.6%
70
3.4%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot90
96.8%
70
3.2%
Q3 - 1:37GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)90
97.2%
70
2.8%
Q3 - 1:37GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 290
97.3%
69
2.7%
Q3 - 1:45MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)90
97.2%
69
2.8%
Q3 - 2:03GSWMurphy 1' Reverse Layup (5 PTS)87
95.0%
69
5.0%
Q3 - 2:15MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (20 PTS)87
95.8%
67
4.2%
Q3 - 2:31GSWEllis Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)85
95.1%
67
4.9%
Q3 - 2:40MIAPayton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)85
94.0%
67
6.0%
Q3 - 3:02GSWMurphy 6' Hook Bank Shot (3 PTS)82
90.8%
67
9.2%
Q3 - 3:22MIAHaslem 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)82
92.2%
65
7.8%
Q3 - 3:35MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
90.9%
65
9.1%
Q3 - 3:37MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
89.7%
65
10.3%
Q3 - 3:53GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)80
90.9%
65
9.1%
Q3 - 3:53GSWEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)80
91.2%
64
8.8%
Q3 - 4:06MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)80
91.0%
63
9.0%
Q3 - 4:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)78
89.8%
63
10.2%
Q3 - 4:14GSWMISS Dunleavy 2' Driving Layup78
89.3%
63
10.7%
Q3 - 4:27MIAWade 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Williams 12 AST)78
87.9%
63
12.1%
Q3 - 4:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
84.1%
63
15.9%
Q3 - 4:39GSWMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot75
83.3%
63
16.7%
Q3 - 4:45GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
81.3%
63
18.7%
Q3 - 4:47MIAMISS Doleac 18' Jump Shot75
82.2%
63
17.8%
Q3 - 5:03MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
82.8%
63
17.2%
Q3 - 5:04GSWMISS Davis 10' Turnaround Jump Shot75
82.0%
63
18.0%
Q3 - 5:24MIADoleac Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)75
80.2%
63
19.8%
Q3 - 5:42MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
82.9%
63
17.1%
Q3 - 5:43GSWMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 275
82.6%
63
17.4%
Q3 - 5:43GSWDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)75
81.1%
63
18.9%
Q3 - 5:52GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)75
82.7%
62
17.3%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot75
83.5%
62
16.5%
Q3 - 6:19MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
83.8%
62
16.2%
Q3 - 6:21GSWMISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot75
83.0%
62
17.0%
Q3 - 6:32GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)75
81.3%
62
18.7%
Q3 - 6:33MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot75
82.1%
62
17.9%
Q3 - 6:44MIAHeat Rebound75
83.8%
62
16.2%
Q3 - 6:44GSWMISS Diogu 5' Hook Shot75
83.1%
62
16.9%
Q3 - 7:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)75
79.9%
62
20.1%
Q3 - 7:21GSWDiogu 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)72
75.0%
62
25.0%
Q3 - 7:25MIADiogu STEAL (1 STL)72
77.4%
60
22.6%
Q3 - 7:37GSWDiogu Foul Turnover (P1.T8)72
80.4%
60
19.6%
Q3 - 7:58GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)72
77.4%
60
22.6%
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Williams 20' Turnaround Jump Shot72
78.4%
60
21.6%
Q3 - 8:21GSWDiogu 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)72
79.6%
60
20.4%
Q3 - 8:27GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
81.6%
58
18.4%
Q3 - 8:28MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot72
82.4%
58
17.6%
Q3 - 8:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
84.1%
58
15.9%
Q3 - 8:36MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot72
82.4%
58
17.6%
Q3 - 8:41GSWBarnes Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)72
84.1%
58
15.9%
Q3 - 8:51MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 11 AST)72
81.7%
58
18.3%
Q3 - 8:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
77.1%
58
22.9%
Q3 - 8:57GSWMISS Diogu 6' Jump Shot69
76.1%
58
23.9%
Q3 - 9:19MIAMourning Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T9)69
72.6%
58
27.4%
Q3 - 9:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)69
75.6%
58
24.4%
Q3 - 9:34GSWMISS Diogu 13' Jump Shot69
74.7%
58
25.3%
Q3 - 9:48MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)69
72.7%
58
27.3%
Q3 - 9:58GSWDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)66
66.6%
58
33.4%
Q3 - 10:09GSWDiogu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
61.9%
58
38.1%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot66
63.0%
58
37.0%
Q3 - 10:30GSWEllis 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)66
65.6%
58
34.4%
Q3 - 10:43GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
68.4%
56
31.6%
Q3 - 10:44MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot66
69.4%
56
30.6%
Q3 - 10:56GSWDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)66
71.7%
56
28.3%
Q3 - 11:04MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 10 AST)66
67.4%
56
32.6%
Q3 - 11:22GSWEllis 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)64
64.5%
56
35.5%
Q3 - 11:26MIADavis STEAL (2 STL)64
67.4%
54
32.6%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
70.6%
54
29.4%
Q3 - 11:46GSWMISS Biedrins 3' Layup64
69.6%
54
30.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA64
67.5%
54
32.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
70.6%
54
29.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Davis 30' 3PT Jump Shot64
69.7%
54
30.3%
Q2 - 0:03.0GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)64
66.8%
54
33.2%
Q2 - 0:04.0GSWMISS Ellis 3' Layup64
68.2%
54
31.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAKapono 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)64
66.8%
54
33.2%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)61
59.8%
54
40.2%
Q2 - 0:31.0GSWMISS Ellis 2' Layup61
59.1%
54
40.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)61
57.5%
54
42.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)59
53.3%
54
46.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0GSWMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
52.6%
54
47.4%
Q2 - 0:59.0MIAPosey 3' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)59
50.9%
54
49.1%
Q2 - 1:16GSWAzubuike 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)57
46.0%
54
54.0%
Q2 - 1:30MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)57
54.0%
51
46.0%
Q2 - 1:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
55.7%
51
44.3%
Q2 - 1:44GSWMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 257
55.5%
51
44.5%
Q2 - 1:44GSWMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 257
53.4%
51
46.6%
Q2 - 1:52MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)57
54.0%
51
46.0%
Q2 - 2:05GSWDavis 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)54
46.2%
51
53.8%
Q2 - 2:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)54
49.6%
49
50.4%
Q2 - 2:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 253
49.0%
49
51.0%
Q2 - 2:27MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
49.3%
49
50.7%
Q2 - 2:28GSWMISS Davis 31' 3PT Jump Shot53
48.4%
49
51.6%
Q2 - 2:59MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)53
46.5%
49
53.5%
Q2 - 3:13GSWDavis 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)53
48.7%
49
51.3%
Q2 - 3:23MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)53
51.4%
47
48.6%
Q2 - 3:36GSWDunleavy Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)51
48.8%
47
51.2%
Q2 - 3:41GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
45.4%
47
54.6%
Q2 - 3:42MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot51
46.5%
47
53.5%
Q2 - 3:52MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
48.8%
47
51.2%
Q2 - 3:54GSWMISS Davis 1' Driving Layup51
47.8%
47
52.2%
Q2 - 4:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)51
44.9%
47
55.1%
Q2 - 4:06MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 250
44.4%
47
55.6%
Q2 - 4:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)50
44.9%
47
55.1%
Q2 - 4:12GSWMISS Dunleavy 4' Running Finger Roll50
44.1%
47
55.9%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)50
42.1%
47
57.9%
Q2 - 4:48MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
39.4%
47
60.6%
Q2 - 4:49GSWMISS Biedrins 3' Layup48
38.5%
47
61.5%
Q2 - 4:51GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)48
36.6%
47
63.4%
Q2 - 4:54GSWMISS Biedrins 3' Layup48
38.5%
47
61.5%
Q2 - 4:55GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)48
36.6%
47
63.4%
Q2 - 4:56GSWMISS Biedrins 3' Layup48
38.5%
47
61.5%
Q2 - 5:12MIAPosey Slam Dunk (5 PTS)48
36.3%
47
63.7%
Q2 - 5:15GSWBarnes Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)46
34.0%
47
66.0%
Q2 - 5:20GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
31.3%
47
68.7%
Q2 - 5:21MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
32.1%
47
67.9%
Q2 - 5:39GSWAzubuike 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)46
34.0%
47
66.0%
Q2 - 5:51MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)46
39.0%
44
61.0%
Q2 - 6:09MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
34.1%
44
65.9%
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot43
32.1%
44
67.9%
Q2 - 6:17MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
34.1%
44
65.9%
Q2 - 6:18MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
32.1%
44
67.9%
Q2 - 6:35GSWBarnes 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dunleavy 4 AST)43
34.1%
44
65.9%
Q2 - 6:56MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)43
38.7%
41
61.3%
Q2 - 7:09GSWFoyle 3' Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)41
36.4%
41
63.6%
Q2 - 7:23MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)41
38.7%
39
61.3%
Q2 - 7:23MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)40
37.9%
39
62.1%
Q2 - 7:42GSWBarnes 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Azubuike 2 AST)39
36.4%
39
63.6%
Q2 - 7:47GSWFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
38.7%
37
61.3%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMISS Payton 4' Jump Shot39
39.5%
37
60.5%
Q2 - 8:10GSWFoyle 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)39
41.2%
37
58.8%
Q2 - 8:28MIAWalker 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)39
43.4%
35
56.6%
Q2 - 8:47MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
41.2%
35
58.8%
Q2 - 8:48GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 237
40.9%
35
59.1%
Q2 - 8:48GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 237
39.3%
35
60.7%
Q2 - 8:53MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)37
38.4%
35
61.6%
Q2 - 9:10MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
33.8%
35
66.2%
Q2 - 9:11GSWMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
33.0%
35
67.0%
Q2 - 9:19GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
31.3%
35
68.7%
Q2 - 9:20MIAMISS Walker 3' Running Layup34
32.0%
35
68.0%
Q2 - 9:33MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
33.8%
35
66.2%
Q2 - 9:35GSWMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot34
33.0%
35
67.0%
Q2 - 9:47MIAPayton 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)34
31.3%
35
68.7%
Q2 - 10:08GSWDavis 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)32
29.5%
35
70.5%
Q2 - 10:13GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
31.3%
33
68.7%
Q2 - 10:14MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
32.1%
33
67.9%
Q2 - 10:35MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
33.8%
33
66.2%
Q2 - 10:36GSWMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 232
33.5%
33
66.5%
Q2 - 10:36GSWMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 232
32.0%
33
68.0%
Q2 - 10:41GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
31.3%
33
68.7%
Q2 - 10:42MIAMISS Payton 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
32.1%
33
67.9%
Q2 - 11:00GSWEllis Driving Dunk (10 PTS)32
33.8%
33
66.2%
Q2 - 11:03MIAEllis STEAL (1 STL)32
35.5%
31
64.5%
Q2 - 11:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
37.8%
31
62.2%
Q2 - 11:15GSWMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
37.1%
31
62.9%
Q2 - 11:24MIAMourning 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)32
35.5%
31
64.5%
Q2 - 11:46GSWDavis 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)30
33.4%
31
66.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
35.6%
29
64.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound30
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 41' 3PT Jump Shot30
36.1%
29
63.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
37.3%
29
62.7%
Q1 - 0:03.0GSWMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot30
36.7%
29
63.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0GSWDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
35.6%
29
64.4%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot30
36.1%
29
63.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
37.3%
29
62.7%
Q1 - 0:49.0GSWMISS Barnes Free Throw 2 of 230
37.1%
29
62.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0GSWBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)30
35.6%
29
64.4%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIABarnes STEAL (2 STL)30
37.8%
28
62.2%
Q1 - 1:09GSWEllis 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)30
39.5%
28
60.5%
Q1 - 1:13MIADavis STEAL (1 STL)30
42.3%
26
57.7%
Q1 - 1:27MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
44.1%
26
55.9%
Q1 - 1:28MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot30
42.9%
26
57.1%
Q1 - 1:44GSWBarnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)30
44.1%
26
55.9%
Q1 - 2:00MIADoleac 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)30
49.4%
23
50.6%
Q1 - 2:12GSWBarnes Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)28
46.6%
23
53.4%
Q1 - 2:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)28
44.4%
23
55.6%
Q1 - 2:27MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 227
44.0%
23
56.0%
Q1 - 2:35GSWEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
44.3%
23
55.7%
Q1 - 2:35GSWMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 227
44.8%
22
55.2%
Q1 - 2:47MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)27
44.5%
22
55.5%
Q1 - 3:03GSWBarnes 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)25
41.7%
22
58.3%
Q1 - 3:09GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
43.6%
20
56.4%
Q1 - 3:10MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot25
44.3%
20
55.7%
Q1 - 3:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q1 - 3:27GSWMISS Azubuike 3PT Jump Shot25
45.4%
20
54.6%
Q1 - 3:34GSWDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
43.6%
20
56.4%
Q1 - 3:36MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot25
44.4%
20
55.6%
Q1 - 3:47MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
46.2%
20
53.8%
Q1 - 3:48GSWMISS Barnes 15' Jump Shot25
45.4%
20
54.6%
Q1 - 3:57GSWEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
43.7%
20
56.3%
Q1 - 3:57MIAMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot25
44.4%
20
55.6%
Q1 - 4:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
45.7%
20
54.3%
Q1 - 4:04GSWMISS Davis 5' Jump Shot25
44.9%
20
55.1%
Q1 - 4:14MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
43.1%
20
56.9%
Q1 - 4:14MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)24
42.6%
20
57.4%
Q1 - 4:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
41.4%
20
58.6%
Q1 - 4:23GSWMISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot23
40.6%
20
59.4%
Q1 - 4:38GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)23
38.8%
20
61.2%
Q1 - 4:39GSWMISS Ellis 3' Layup23
40.6%
20
59.4%
Q1 - 4:46MIAWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)23
38.8%
20
61.2%
Q1 - 5:06GSWDavis 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Azubuike 1 AST)20
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q1 - 5:15GSWMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
36.4%
18
63.6%
Q1 - 5:16GSWMISS Ellis 5' Running Hook Shot20
37.9%
18
62.1%
Q1 - 5:28GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
36.4%
18
63.6%
Q1 - 5:29MIAMISS Doleac Free Throw 2 of 220
36.7%
18
63.3%
Q1 - 5:29MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q1 - 5:29MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
36.6%
18
63.4%
Q1 - 5:30MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot19
35.1%
18
64.9%
Q1 - 5:36MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
36.6%
18
63.4%
Q1 - 5:37GSWMISS Barnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
36.0%
18
64.0%
Q1 - 5:47GSWWARRIORS Rebound19
34.5%
18
65.5%
Q1 - 5:48GSWMISS Murphy 5' Jump Shot19
36.0%
18
64.0%
Q1 - 5:58MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
34.5%
18
65.5%
Q1 - 6:16GSWMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
32.6%
18
67.4%
Q1 - 6:16GSWMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 217
32.9%
17
67.1%
Q1 - 6:30MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
32.5%
17
67.5%
Q1 - 6:30MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
31.9%
17
68.1%
Q1 - 6:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
30.8%
17
69.2%
Q1 - 6:41GSWMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot15
30.3%
17
69.7%
Q1 - 6:52MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)15
29.0%
17
71.0%
Q1 - 7:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
27.7%
17
72.3%
Q1 - 7:03GSWMISS Davis 9' Jump Shot13
27.2%
17
72.8%
Q1 - 7:21MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
26.0%
17
74.0%
Q1 - 7:43GSWAzubuike Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)11
24.7%
17
75.3%
Q1 - 7:47MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)11
27.5%
14
72.5%
Q1 - 8:03GSWEllis 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
26.2%
14
73.8%
Q1 - 8:09MIAWilliams Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)9
27.6%
12
72.4%
Q1 - 8:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
26.2%
12
73.8%
Q1 - 8:14GSWMISS Davis 4' Jump Shot7
25.8%
12
74.2%
Q1 - 8:22GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
24.7%
12
75.3%
Q1 - 8:23MIAMISS Mourning Dunk7
25.1%
12
74.9%
Q1 - 8:47GSWEllis Slam Dunk (3 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)7
26.3%
12
73.7%
Q1 - 8:51MIABarnes STEAL (1 STL)7
27.6%
10
72.4%
Q1 - 9:09GSWBarnes 5' Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)7
29.2%
10
70.8%
Q1 - 9:19GSWEllis Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)7
30.4%
8
69.6%
Q1 - 9:21MIAMourning Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)7
32.0%
7
68.0%
Q1 - 9:24MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
30.8%
7
69.2%
Q1 - 9:25GSWMISS Barnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
30.2%
7
69.8%
Q1 - 9:32GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
28.8%
7
71.2%
Q1 - 9:34MIABiedrins BLOCK (1 BLK)5
29.4%
7
70.6%
Q1 - 9:51GSWAzubuike 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (3 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)5
30.8%
7
69.2%
Q1 - 10:06GSWAzubuike REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
33.7%
4
66.3%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot5
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 10:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
35.6%
4
64.4%
Q1 - 10:21MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
34.3%
4
65.7%
Q1 - 10:37GSWEllis Palming Turnover (P1.T1)5
35.6%
4
64.4%
Q1 - 10:46MIAMourning Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)5
33.7%
4
66.3%
Q1 - 11:03GSWBiedrins 1' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)3
32.0%
4
68.0%
Q1 - 11:08MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
33.8%
2
66.2%
Q1 - 11:22GSWBiedrins 2' Layup (2 PTS)3
35.3%
2
64.7%
Q1 - 11:23GSWBiedrins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
37.1%
0
62.9%
Q1 - 11:24GSWMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot3
38.2%
0
61.8%
Q1 - 11:37MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)3
37.1%
0
62.9%
Q1 - 12:00GSWJump Ball Biedrins vs. Mourning: Tip to Kapono0
33.7%
0
66.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.22 60.8%
GSW
0.95 47.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
30
70%
GSW
23
45
51%
Midrange
MIA
11
25
44%
GSW
7
19
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
30
43%
65%
GSW
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
Free Throws
MIA
15
19
79%
GSW
18
33
55%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2255%11.0 / 20
J. Kapono2083%10.0 / 12
A. Mourning1973%9.5 / 13
A. Walker1381%6.5 / 8
J. Williams1155%5.5 / 10
U. Haslem1063%5.0 / 8
G. Payton750%3.5 / 7
J. Posey770%3.5 / 5
M. Doleac550%2.5 / 5
D. Wright450%2.0 / 4
E. Barron0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Davis2140%10.5 / 26
M. Ellis1740%8.5 / 21
K. Azubuike1785%8.5 / 10
M. Barnes1558%7.5 / 13
T. Murphy844%4.0 / 9
I. Diogu857%4.0 / 7
A. Biedrins433%2.0 / 6
A. Foyle4100%2.0 / 2
M. Dunleavy217%1.0 / 6
M. Pietrus0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+13
-19
95
GSW
88
+13
-13
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.22 60.8%
GSW
0.95 47.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
107.2
MIA 116.8
GSW 95.0 +21.8
Pace
90.1
99.1
MIA 83.6
GSW 127.5 +43.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.0
MIA 17.2
GSW 11.3 +5.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
51.2%
MIA 60.6% +15.3%
GSW 45.3%
TO %
15.3%
15.8%
MIA 16.9%
GSW 11.5% +5.4%
ORB %
24.9%
25.7%
MIA 30.0% +8.6%
GSW 21.4%
FTrt
32.1
30.0
MIA 22.4
GSW 38.4 +16.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
59.8%
MIA 80.0% +18.9%
GSW 61.1%
STL %
7.6%
9.2%
MIA 7.9%
GSW 9.9% +2.0%
BLK %
8.8%
9.0%
MIA 14.1% +8.6%
GSW 5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.82 and 2.82.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
53.8%
MIA 60.8% +13.3%
GSW 47.5%
Rim FG%
61.8%
59.4%
MIA 70.0% +18.9%
GSW 51.1%
Mid FG%
40.5%
38.2%
MIA 44.0% +7.2%
GSW 36.8%
3P %
34.3%
35.6%
MIA 43.3% +16.0%
GSW 27.3%
FT %
69.0%
71.7%
MIA 78.9% +24.4%
GSW 54.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
41.5%
MIA 35.3%
GSW 52.3% +17.0%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
30.6%
MIA 29.4%
GSW 22.1% +7.3%
3P Att. %
24.5%
27.9%
MIA 35.3% +9.7%
GSW 25.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.31 and 2.31.
Game TotalsMIAGSW
Possessions101101
Possession Minutes29.019.0
Points11896
Rebounds5640
Assists3622
Steals810
Blocks93
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (1)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)44 (1)28 (0)
Field Goals45-8536-86
At-the-Rim FG21-3023-45
Midrange FG11-257-19
2-Point FG32-5530-64
3-Point FG13-306-22
Free Throws15-1918-33
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
35.1
22
55%
10
9
0
3
5
1
0
10
5-8
63%
7-14
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
35.1
20
83%
7
4
1
0
3
4
1
6
0-0
-
4-6
67%
4-6
67%
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
29.3
11
55%
2
12
1
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
29.2
19
73%
8
0
1
5
3
2
3
5
7-7
100%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
26.1
10
63%
9
1
1
0
1
3
3
6
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
19.1
13
81%
3
3
2
0
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
17.7
5
50%
6
0
1
1
2
4
2
4
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
17.6
7
50%
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
15.0
7
70%
9
2
1
0
0
3
1
8
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
13.5
4
50%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
1.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
1.1
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'2" 184 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
118
61%
56
36
8
9
19
0
12
44
15-19
79%
32-55
58%
13-30
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.