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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
April 3, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Hornets52%99119
27Bucks48%98101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 29.5
36.2
31.2
21
78%
3
2
2
1
0
1
1
2
7-8
88%
7-10
5-11
70%
46%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 24.5
35.6
33.6
18
65%
20
1
0
1
1
3
6
14
2-4
50%
8-12
5-8
67%
60%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.6
34.3
35.8
24
83%
6
4
0
1
1
2
0
6
8-8
100%
8-11
7-14
73%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 21.9
29.5
34.4
8
38%
2
14
0
2
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
5-10
50%
48%
1-6
17%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.3
25.8
20.4
11
66%
3
3
3
1
0
3
2
1
2-3
67%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
1-3
33%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.1
22.2
22.1
13
70%
8
3
1
1
0
1
2
6
3-3
100%
2-5
2-5
40%
45%
2-3
67%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 27.9
20.1
20.8
10
51%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
2-4
0%
44%
3-6
50%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.4
18.5
24.7
12
76%
1
1
0
1
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
44%
2-2
100%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 22.4
14.1
10.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.2
3.6
3.7
2
33%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Marc Jackson
F · 6'10" 253 · 32.2
8.1
0
1-3
45%
Linton Johnson
F · 6'8" 205 · 26.8
3.8
0
0-1
51%
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.8
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.9
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.6
29.5
21.0
27
66%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
5-8
63%
5-8
4-7
63%
50%
4-9
44%
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 30.9
24.1
29.4
6
75%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-0
-
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.1
24.1
32.0
0
0%
0
4
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
4-7
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 24.3
23.5
31.5
4
22%
1
4
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
5-10
29%
48%
0-2
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.9
18.8
23.8
9
56%
3
2
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
45%
1-3
33%
Lynn Greer
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.4
31.6
7.0
19
79%
1
4
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-7
1-1
71%
44%
3-5
60%
Ruben Patterson
F · 6'5" 223 · 31.7
23.3
28.7
10
63%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
55%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 29.2
20.3
11.2
5
64%
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-3
2-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 30.8
19.8
22.5
8
47%
0
3
1
1
0
2
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
1-4
25%
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.1
15.6
21.3
8
67%
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
45%
0-1
0%
Damir Markota
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.3
5.9
7.2
5
46%
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
1-1
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Jared Reiner
C · 6'11" 255 · 25.0
3.6
4.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 22.3
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 22.6
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 26.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.