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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 13, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Heat33%94119
6Jazz67%100110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.0
39.1
33.0
32
72%
1
10
6
1
2
4
0
1
21-23
91%
4-10
7-15
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.9
37.2
33.7
18
90%
6
1
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
4-5
80%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.2
35.6
29.3
20
76%
4
2
2
1
0
0
1
3
5-5
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
47%
3-7
43%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
33.0
32.5
8
59%
8
2
1
1
0
0
2
6
4-4
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
49%
0-0
-
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.9
25.1
25.9
13
64%
2
0
1
0
4
1
0
2
7-7
100%
3-7
4-7
43%
55%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
21.7
20.2
13
65%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
3-5
60%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.0
21.1
17.6
8
67%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.1
12.5
16.0
3
52%
0
1
0
0
0
4
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.6
11.7
19.6
4
114%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
0-0
2-5
-
43%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.3
1.7
3.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.4
1.4
5.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 23.0
5.0
0
1-1
41%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.9
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.5
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.1
39.3
38.5
29
59%
14
2
0
1
0
4
4
10
9-13
69%
10-19
9-16
53%
56%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.5
36.3
39.3
19
67%
6
5
3
1
0
1
1
5
4-5
80%
6-11
6-11
55%
49%
1-1
100%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
32.6
30.4
11
65%
4
3
0
1
0
2
2
2
9-10
90%
1-4
3-5
25%
52%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.6
19.7
33.2
11
70%
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
5-6
4-8
83%
50%
0-1
0%
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.6
11.1
20.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.6
30.2
21.7
18
70%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
7-11
64%
4-5
4-7
80%
51%
1-3
33%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.4
17.4
25.5
7
81%
0
4
0
1
0
4
0
0
2-3
67%
1-1
3-6
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 21.9
16.5
13.1
4
50%
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 21.8
13.6
4.7
4
41%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
2-4
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.4
12.9
2.4
5
66%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
1-2
0-1
50%
42%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.1
7.6
7.0
1
57%
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.4
2.6
3.0
1
27%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.