FinalWin Prob.pScore
1332%94
119
668%100
110
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
124.09686.6
UTA logo UTA
115.895106.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA119
100%
110
0%
Q4 - 0:04.0UTABrewer Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)119
99.9%
110
0.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIAMillsap STEAL (1 STL)119
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0UTABrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)119
99.9%
108
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0UTAMISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 2119
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAAraujo STEAL (1 STL)119
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0UTABrewer 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)119
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00MIAQuinn Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)119
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21UTAAraujo Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)119
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21UTAAraujo Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)119
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 1:21UTAAraujo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)119
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22UTAMISS Araujo 8' Jump Hook Shot119
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)119
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)118
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)117
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 2:00UTAMillsap Tip Shot (4 PTS)117
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01UTAMISS Brown Driving Layup117
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06UTAAraujo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)117
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot117
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27UTABrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T20)117
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 2:43MIAD. Williams STEAL (3 STL)117
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 2:56MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)117
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 2:59UTAMISS Okur 24' 3PT Jump Shot117
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 3:15MIAWade 5' Running Jump Shot (30 PTS)117
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 3:33UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)115
99.1%
101
0.9%
Q4 - 3:33UTAOkur Dunk (11 PTS)115
99.1%
101
0.9%
Q4 - 3:36UTAMISS Harpring Free Throw 2 of 2115
99.5%
99
0.5%
Q4 - 3:36UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)115
99.4%
99
0.6%
Q4 - 3:45UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)115
99.6%
98
0.4%
Q4 - 3:47UTAMISS Harpring Free Throw 2 of 2115
99.7%
98
0.3%
Q4 - 3:47UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)115
99.6%
98
0.4%
Q4 - 3:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)115
99.7%
97
0.3%
Q4 - 3:57MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)114
99.7%
97
0.3%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2113
99.6%
97
0.4%
Q4 - 4:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)113
99.6%
97
0.4%
Q4 - 4:11UTAMISS Harpring 24' 3PT Jump Shot113
99.6%
97
0.4%
Q4 - 4:24MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)113
99.5%
97
0.5%
Q4 - 4:24MIAPosey Tip Shot (8 PTS)113
99.5%
97
0.5%
Q4 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup111
99.0%
97
1.0%
Q4 - 4:43MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)111
99.3%
97
0.7%
Q4 - 4:47UTAMISS D. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2111
99.2%
97
0.8%
Q4 - 4:47UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)111
99.0%
97
1.0%
Q4 - 4:53UTAOkur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)111
99.3%
96
0.7%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot111
99.3%
96
0.7%
Q4 - 5:11MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)111
98.9%
96
1.1%
Q4 - 5:13UTAMISS Boozer Layup111
98.8%
96
1.2%
Q4 - 5:27UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)111
98.5%
96
1.5%
Q4 - 5:30MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot111
98.7%
96
1.3%
Q4 - 5:46MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)111
99.0%
96
1.0%
Q4 - 5:48UTAMISS D. Williams Layup111
98.9%
96
1.1%
Q4 - 6:01UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)111
97.5%
96
2.5%
Q4 - 6:02MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot111
97.8%
96
2.2%
Q4 - 6:15UTABoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)111
98.3%
96
1.7%
Q4 - 6:15UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)111
98.4%
95
1.6%
Q4 - 6:29MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)111
98.7%
94
1.3%
Q4 - 6:29MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)110
98.6%
94
1.4%
Q4 - 6:45UTAD. Williams 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Harpring 3 AST)109
98.3%
94
1.7%
Q4 - 6:48UTAJAZZ Rebound109
98.7%
92
1.3%
Q4 - 6:50UTAMISS D. Williams Driving Layup109
99.0%
92
1.0%
Q4 - 7:10MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)109
97.9%
92
2.1%
Q4 - 7:26MIAHeat Rebound106
96.6%
92
3.4%
Q4 - 7:26UTAMISS Boozer 18' Jump Shot106
96.3%
92
3.7%
Q4 - 7:34UTAJAZZ Rebound106
95.5%
92
4.5%
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS Williams 29' 3PT Jump Shot106
95.9%
92
4.1%
Q4 - 7:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)106
96.7%
92
3.3%
Q4 - 7:55UTAMISS Millsap Layup106
96.4%
92
3.6%
Q4 - 8:06MIAKapono Foul Turnover (P1.T11)106
94.1%
92
5.9%
Q4 - 8:13UTAHarpring Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)106
95.4%
92
4.6%
Q4 - 8:27MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)106
94.1%
92
5.9%
Q4 - 8:41UTAKirilenko Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)103
90.7%
92
9.3%
Q4 - 8:55MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)103
88.3%
92
11.7%
Q4 - 8:55MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)102
87.7%
92
12.3%
Q4 - 9:12UTAFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)101
83.2%
92
16.8%
Q4 - 9:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)101
79.4%
92
20.6%
Q4 - 9:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)100
78.7%
92
21.3%
Q4 - 9:47UTABoozer 16' Jump Shot (27 PTS)99
75.5%
92
24.5%
Q4 - 9:59UTAJAZZ Rebound99
79.5%
90
20.5%
Q4 - 9:59MIAMISS Kapono 17' Jump Shot99
80.7%
90
19.3%
Q4 - 10:14UTAFisher Foul Turnover (P3.T16)99
81.3%
90
18.7%
Q4 - 10:17UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)99
77.3%
90
22.7%
Q4 - 10:19MIAMillsap BLOCK (1 BLK)99
78.5%
90
21.5%
Q4 - 10:36UTABoozer 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Fisher 4 AST)99
81.3%
90
18.7%
Q4 - 10:50MIAWade Driving Layup (23 PTS)99
84.4%
88
15.6%
Q4 - 11:04UTABoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)97
79.7%
88
20.3%
Q4 - 11:04UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)97
80.5%
87
19.5%
Q4 - 11:19UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)97
82.9%
86
17.1%
Q4 - 11:20UTAMISS Harpring Free Throw 1 of 197
85.5%
86
14.5%
Q4 - 11:32UTAHarpring REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)97
88.2%
84
11.8%
Q4 - 11:34MIAMISS Walker 20' Jump Shot97
88.9%
84
11.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA97
90.4%
84
9.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTABoozer Layup (21 PTS) (Kirilenko 3 AST)97
90.4%
84
9.6%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)97
90.7%
82
9.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0UTAHarpring 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Fisher 3 AST)94
86.6%
82
13.4%
Q3 - 0:48.0UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)94
90.7%
79
9.3%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot94
91.3%
79
8.7%
Q3 - 1:03UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)94
90.9%
79
9.1%
Q3 - 1:19MIAHaslem Dunk (6 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)94
93.6%
76
6.4%
Q3 - 1:40UTABoozer Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)92
92.5%
76
7.5%
Q3 - 2:00MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)92
91.0%
76
9.0%
Q3 - 2:20UTABoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)89
85.4%
76
14.6%
Q3 - 2:20UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)89
85.9%
75
14.1%
Q3 - 2:36MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)89
87.4%
74
12.6%
Q3 - 2:36MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)88
87.0%
74
13.0%
Q3 - 2:55MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
85.5%
74
14.5%
Q3 - 2:58UTAMISS Harpring Free Throw 2 of 287
85.2%
74
14.8%
Q3 - 2:58UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
83.6%
74
16.4%
Q3 - 2:58UTAJAZZ Rebound87
85.3%
73
14.7%
Q3 - 2:59MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
86.1%
73
13.9%
Q3 - 3:17MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
86.5%
73
13.5%
Q3 - 3:19UTAMISS Boozer 15' Jump Shot87
85.8%
73
14.2%
Q3 - 3:27UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
84.1%
73
15.9%
Q3 - 3:29MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot87
84.8%
73
15.2%
Q3 - 3:46MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)87
86.5%
73
13.5%
Q3 - 3:49UTAMISS Araujo Free Throw 2 of 287
86.2%
73
13.8%
Q3 - 3:49UTAAraujo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)87
84.9%
73
15.1%
Q3 - 3:49UTAJAZZ Rebound87
86.4%
72
13.6%
Q3 - 3:49UTAMISS Boozer 13' Jump Shot87
87.9%
72
12.1%
Q3 - 4:05MIAWright Traveling Turnover (P4.T10)87
84.6%
72
15.4%
Q3 - 4:19UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)87
87.1%
72
12.9%
Q3 - 4:19UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)87
87.5%
71
12.5%
Q3 - 4:19UTAJAZZ Rebound87
88.7%
70
11.3%
Q3 - 4:19MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
89.3%
70
10.7%
Q3 - 4:34UTAAraujo Layup (2 PTS) (Kirilenko 2 AST)87
90.6%
70
9.4%
Q3 - 4:43UTAD. Williams Free Throw Technical (16 PTS)87
91.8%
68
8.2%
Q3 - 4:54MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)87
93.0%
67
7.0%
Q3 - 5:15UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)84
89.4%
67
10.6%
Q3 - 5:27MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)84
92.1%
64
7.9%
Q3 - 5:27MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)83
91.9%
64
8.1%
Q3 - 5:50UTABoozer Dunk (11 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)82
91.0%
64
9.0%
Q3 - 5:54MIAD. Williams STEAL (2 STL)82
92.2%
62
7.8%
Q3 - 6:10UTAKirilenko Layup (9 PTS) (Harpring 2 AST)82
92.3%
62
7.7%
Q3 - 6:33MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)82
93.3%
60
6.7%
Q3 - 6:33MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)81
93.1%
60
6.9%
Q3 - 6:33MIAHeat Rebound80
92.4%
60
7.6%
Q3 - 6:34UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 2 of 280
92.2%
60
7.8%
Q3 - 6:34UTABoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
91.4%
60
8.6%
Q3 - 6:45MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)80
92.3%
59
7.7%
Q3 - 6:45MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)79
92.1%
59
7.9%
Q3 - 7:01MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
90.1%
59
9.9%
Q3 - 7:04UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 178
89.9%
59
10.1%
Q3 - 7:14UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)78
91.3%
57
8.7%
Q3 - 7:17UTAMISS Giricek 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
92.2%
57
7.8%
Q3 - 7:34MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)78
91.3%
57
8.7%
Q3 - 7:45MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
88.8%
57
11.2%
Q3 - 7:46UTAMISS D. Williams 17' Jump Shot75
88.2%
57
11.8%
Q3 - 8:01MIAMourning 6' Jump Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)75
86.0%
57
14.0%
Q3 - 8:22UTAD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)73
84.4%
57
15.6%
Q3 - 8:22UTAD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)73
84.8%
56
15.2%
Q3 - 8:29UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)73
86.0%
55
14.0%
Q3 - 8:31UTAMISS Giricek 20' Jump Shot73
87.4%
55
12.6%
Q3 - 8:44MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)73
86.1%
55
13.9%
Q3 - 8:47UTABoozer Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)73
88.0%
55
12.0%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)73
86.1%
55
13.9%
Q3 - 8:59MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)72
85.5%
55
14.5%
Q3 - 9:12UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)71
82.8%
55
17.2%
Q3 - 9:31MIAWilliams 23' Jump Shot (19 PTS)71
80.6%
55
19.4%
Q3 - 9:42UTABoozer Layup (6 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)69
78.3%
55
21.7%
Q3 - 9:49UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
80.6%
53
19.4%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Mourning 11' Jump Shot69
81.4%
53
18.6%
Q3 - 10:10UTAOkur 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)69
81.5%
53
18.5%
Q3 - 10:31MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)69
83.4%
51
16.6%
Q3 - 10:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
81.6%
51
18.4%
Q3 - 10:47UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 2 of 267
81.3%
51
18.7%
Q3 - 10:47UTAMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 267
79.9%
51
20.1%
Q3 - 10:52MIAOkur STEAL (1 STL)67
79.1%
51
20.9%
Q3 - 11:04UTAGiricek Traveling Turnover (P1.T12)67
80.1%
51
19.9%
Q3 - 11:19MIAWilliams Layup (17 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)67
77.8%
51
22.2%
Q3 - 11:23UTAD. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)65
75.4%
51
24.6%
Q3 - 11:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)65
72.7%
51
27.3%
Q3 - 11:34MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 264
72.2%
51
27.8%
Q3 - 11:45UTAOkur Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)64
72.8%
51
27.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0UTA64
77.9%
48
22.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade 28' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)64
77.9%
48
22.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
70.7%
48
29.3%
Q2 - 0:05.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)61
71.4%
47
28.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
74.3%
46
25.7%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Haslem 13' Jump Shot61
74.8%
46
25.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0UTAAraujo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)61
76.1%
46
23.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
74.3%
46
25.7%
Q2 - 1:01MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
73.8%
46
26.2%
Q2 - 1:11UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)61
74.7%
46
25.3%
Q2 - 1:11UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)61
75.3%
45
24.7%
Q2 - 1:28MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)61
78.2%
44
21.8%
Q2 - 1:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
72.2%
44
27.8%
Q2 - 1:38MIAMISS Walker Layup58
71.3%
44
28.7%
Q2 - 1:42UTABoozer Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)58
72.2%
44
27.8%
Q2 - 1:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)58
70.9%
44
29.1%
Q2 - 2:20UTAMillsap Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)55
63.2%
44
36.8%
Q2 - 2:24UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
60.5%
44
39.5%
Q2 - 2:27MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot55
61.3%
44
38.7%
Q2 - 2:47UTAD. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)55
63.2%
44
36.8%
Q2 - 3:05MIAKapono 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
66.7%
41
33.3%
Q2 - 3:11MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
64.4%
41
35.6%
Q2 - 3:13UTAMISS Fisher 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
63.5%
41
36.5%
Q2 - 3:21UTAMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
61.3%
41
38.7%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Haslem 3' Jump Shot53
62.3%
41
37.7%
Q2 - 3:39UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)53
64.5%
41
35.5%
Q2 - 3:39UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)53
65.1%
40
34.9%
Q2 - 3:53MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)53
66.9%
39
33.1%
Q2 - 3:53MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)52
66.1%
39
33.9%
Q2 - 4:10MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
62.6%
39
37.4%
Q2 - 4:13UTAMISS Boozer 18' Turnaround Jump Shot51
61.8%
39
38.2%
Q2 - 4:37MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
60.0%
39
40.0%
Q2 - 4:37MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
59.6%
39
40.4%
Q2 - 4:55MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
57.2%
39
42.8%
Q2 - 4:56UTAMISS Boozer 5' Jump Hook Shot49
56.3%
39
43.7%
Q2 - 5:06UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)49
53.4%
39
46.6%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup49
54.3%
39
45.7%
Q2 - 5:29UTAFisher 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)49
56.5%
39
43.5%
Q2 - 5:44MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)49
61.7%
36
38.3%
Q2 - 5:58UTAOkur Foul Turnover (P1.T7)46
56.5%
36
43.5%
Q2 - 6:03MIAD. Williams STEAL (1 STL)46
52.3%
36
47.7%
Q2 - 6:26UTAHarpring Foul Turnover (P1.T6)46
55.7%
36
44.3%
Q2 - 6:32MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
52.4%
36
47.6%
Q2 - 6:46UTABoozer 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)44
50.2%
36
49.8%
Q2 - 6:54MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
52.5%
34
47.5%
Q2 - 6:54MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)43
52.1%
34
47.9%
Q2 - 7:07UTAOkur 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)42
49.0%
34
51.0%
Q2 - 7:19MIAWalker Layup (7 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)42
51.5%
32
48.5%
Q2 - 7:27MIAHeat Rebound40
49.0%
32
51.0%
Q2 - 7:28MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
47.1%
32
52.9%
Q2 - 7:47UTAFisher 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
49.1%
32
50.9%
Q2 - 8:00UTAMISS Fisher Free Throw Technical40
51.5%
30
48.5%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
50.8%
30
49.2%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)39
49.9%
30
50.1%
Q2 - 8:36UTAMillsap Dunk (2 PTS) (Collins 1 AST)38
48.5%
30
51.5%
Q2 - 8:48MIAWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)38
50.8%
28
49.2%
Q2 - 8:48MIAMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 237
50.3%
28
49.7%
Q2 - 8:52UTACollins Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)37
51.1%
28
48.9%
Q2 - 9:07MIAWalker 5' Running Hook Shot (5 PTS)37
47.3%
28
52.7%
Q2 - 9:21UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)35
45.1%
28
54.9%
Q2 - 9:21UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)35
45.7%
27
54.3%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMourning Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)35
47.4%
26
52.6%
Q2 - 9:39MIAHeat Rebound33
45.2%
26
54.8%
Q2 - 9:39UTAMISS Harpring 12' Jump Shot33
44.3%
26
55.7%
Q2 - 9:56MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)33
42.4%
26
57.6%
Q2 - 10:09MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
37.7%
26
62.3%
Q2 - 10:09UTAMISS Millsap 7' Running Jump Shot30
36.9%
26
63.1%
Q2 - 10:19UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
35.1%
26
64.9%
Q2 - 10:22UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 2 of 230
37.3%
26
62.7%
Q2 - 10:22UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
36.0%
26
64.0%
Q2 - 10:33MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)30
37.4%
25
62.6%
Q2 - 10:47UTAHarpring Layup (8 PTS) (Fisher 2 AST)27
33.1%
25
66.9%
Q2 - 10:59UTAFisher Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)27
35.1%
23
64.9%
Q2 - 11:10UTAFisher Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)27
36.8%
22
63.2%
Q2 - 11:23MIAWright 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)27
39.1%
21
60.9%
Q2 - 11:38UTAFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)25
36.9%
21
63.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAHeat Rebound25
36.2%
21
63.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0UTAMISS Harpring 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
35.7%
21
64.3%
Q1 - 0:15.0UTAJAZZ Rebound25
34.5%
21
65.5%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
35.0%
21
65.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0UTAHarpring Layup (6 PTS) (Fisher 1 AST)25
36.2%
21
63.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIABrewer STEAL (1 STL)25
38.9%
19
61.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0UTAHarpring Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)25
40.7%
19
59.3%
Q1 - 0:56.0UTAHarpring Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
41.2%
18
58.8%
Q1 - 1:14MIAWade Dunk (12 PTS)25
43.4%
17
56.6%
Q1 - 1:16UTAFisher Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)23
40.6%
17
59.4%
Q1 - 1:35UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)23
38.9%
17
61.1%
Q1 - 1:37MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
39.4%
17
60.6%
Q1 - 1:46UTAJAZZ Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)23
40.6%
17
59.4%
Q1 - 1:46UTAJAZZ Rebound23
38.9%
17
61.1%
Q1 - 1:46UTAMISS Brewer 21' Jump Shot23
40.1%
17
59.9%
Q1 - 2:10MIAWright Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)23
38.6%
17
61.4%
Q1 - 2:25UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
40.7%
17
59.3%
Q1 - 2:25UTABoozer Layup (2 PTS)23
40.7%
17
59.3%
Q1 - 2:26UTAMISS D. Williams 14' Jump Shot23
44.6%
15
55.4%
Q1 - 2:40MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)23
43.1%
15
56.9%
Q1 - 2:40MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)22
42.7%
15
57.3%
Q1 - 2:54UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (10 PTS)21
40.7%
15
59.3%
Q1 - 3:05MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
41.9%
13
58.1%
Q1 - 3:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
41.5%
13
58.5%
Q1 - 3:20UTAHarpring 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)19
40.0%
13
60.0%
Q1 - 3:32UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
42.0%
11
58.0%
Q1 - 3:34MIAMISS Wade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot19
42.8%
11
57.2%
Q1 - 3:49UTABoozer Foul Turnover (P1.T1)19
44.5%
11
55.5%
Q1 - 3:58MIAKapono 10' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)19
42.0%
11
58.0%
Q1 - 4:14MIAHeat Rebound17
39.5%
11
60.5%
Q1 - 4:14UTAMISS Brewer 19' Jump Shot17
38.7%
11
61.3%
Q1 - 4:26MIADoleac Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)17
37.0%
11
63.0%
Q1 - 4:40MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
39.5%
11
60.5%
Q1 - 4:41UTAMISS Okur Free Throw 1 of 117
39.2%
11
60.8%
Q1 - 4:51MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P1.T2)17
41.2%
9
58.8%
Q1 - 5:06UTAD. Williams 8' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)17
42.3%
9
57.7%
Q1 - 5:15UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
44.2%
7
55.8%
Q1 - 5:17MIAMISS Mourning 8' Jump Hook Shot17
44.9%
7
55.1%
Q1 - 5:40UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (6 PTS)17
46.6%
7
53.4%
Q1 - 6:04MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)17
47.2%
5
52.8%
Q1 - 6:21MIAHeat Rebound15
45.3%
5
54.7%
Q1 - 6:23UTAMISS Kirilenko 22' Jump Shot15
44.7%
5
55.3%
Q1 - 6:39MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)15
43.2%
5
56.8%
Q1 - 6:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
39.4%
5
60.6%
Q1 - 6:51UTAMISS Boozer Dunk12
38.8%
5
61.2%
Q1 - 7:01UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
36.2%
5
63.8%
Q1 - 7:02UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
36.3%
5
63.7%
Q1 - 7:02UTAMISS Kirilenko Tip Shot12
37.6%
5
62.4%
Q1 - 7:05UTAMISS Boozer 5' Jump Hook Shot12
37.6%
5
62.4%
Q1 - 7:16MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)12
36.3%
5
63.7%
Q1 - 7:42UTAD. Williams Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
38.4%
5
61.6%
Q1 - 7:48UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
40.0%
3
60.0%
Q1 - 7:50MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot12
40.6%
3
59.4%
Q1 - 8:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
41.7%
3
58.3%
Q1 - 8:08UTAMISS Brewer Free Throw 2 of 212
41.5%
3
58.5%
Q1 - 8:08UTAMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 212
40.4%
3
59.6%
Q1 - 8:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
39.7%
3
60.3%
Q1 - 8:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
39.4%
3
60.6%
Q1 - 8:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
38.1%
3
61.9%
Q1 - 8:28UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup10
37.5%
3
62.5%
Q1 - 8:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
36.1%
3
63.9%
Q1 - 8:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
35.8%
3
64.2%
Q1 - 8:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
34.6%
3
65.4%
Q1 - 8:53UTAMISS Boozer 18' Jump Shot8
34.0%
3
66.0%
Q1 - 9:07UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
32.4%
3
67.6%
Q1 - 9:11MIAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot8
33.0%
3
67.0%
Q1 - 9:12MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
34.5%
3
65.5%
Q1 - 9:15MIAMISS Mourning 5' Running Hook Shot8
33.0%
3
67.0%
Q1 - 9:33UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
34.5%
3
65.5%
Q1 - 9:33UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 28
34.9%
2
65.1%
Q1 - 9:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 9:45MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
33.8%
2
66.2%
Q1 - 10:03UTAD. Williams 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)6
32.5%
2
67.5%
Q1 - 10:20MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)6
34.0%
0
66.0%
Q1 - 10:32MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
30.9%
0
69.1%
Q1 - 10:34UTAMISS Giricek 20' Jump Shot3
30.4%
0
69.6%
Q1 - 10:51MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)3
29.1%
0
70.9%
Q1 - 11:00MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 11:01UTAMISS D. Williams Driving Layup0
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 11:06UTAD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 11:09MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot0
25.2%
0
74.8%
Q1 - 11:10MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot0
25.2%
0
74.8%
Q1 - 11:26MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 11:29UTAMISS Okur 21' Jump Shot0
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 11:41UTABoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Mourning 5' Jump Shot0
25.2%
0
74.8%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Okur vs. Mourning: Tip to Williams0
26.1%
0
73.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.35 67.6%
UTA
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
19
63%
UTA
21
32
66%
Midrange
MIA
7
21
33%
UTA
11
27
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
23
57%
85%
UTA
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
Free Throws
MIA
42
45
93%
UTA
37
54
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3270%16.0 / 23
J. Williams2077%10.0 / 13
J. Kapono1890%9.0 / 10
A. Mourning1365%6.5 / 10
A. Walker1365%6.5 / 10
U. Haslem857%4.0 / 7
J. Posey867%4.0 / 6
M. Doleac4100%2.0 / 2
D. Wright350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Boozer2960%14.5 / 24
D. Williams1968%9.5 / 14
M. Harpring1869%9.0 / 13
A. Kirilenko1161%5.5 / 9
M. Okur1179%5.5 / 7
D. Fisher7117%3.5 / 3
R. Araujo563%2.5 / 4
P. Millsap450%2.0 / 4
R. Brewer440%2.0 / 5
J. Collins150%0.5 / 1
D. Brown125%0.5 / 2
G. Giricek0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+5
-14
87
UTA
76
+14
-19
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.35 67.6%
UTA
1.21 60.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
109.8
MIA 124.0 +8.2
UTA 115.8
Pace
90.1
91.9
MIA 86.6
UTA 106.6 +20.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
16.0
MIA 16.6
UTA 13.5 +3.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
50.2%
MIA 61.1% +6.6%
UTA 54.5%
TO %
15.3%
16.3%
MIA 15.3% +2.8%
UTA 18.1%
ORB %
24.9%
31.7%
MIA 16.0%
UTA 31.4% +15.4%
FTrt
32.1
38.0
MIA 71.4
UTA 80.6 +9.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
65.9%
MIA 59.4%
UTA 60.0% +0.6%
STL %
7.6%
7.6%
MIA 12.5% +5.1%
UTA 7.4%
BLK %
8.8%
7.1%
MIA 10.2% +7.7%
UTA 2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.04 and 2.04.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
53.7%
MIA 67.6% +7.2%
UTA 60.4%
Rim FG%
61.8%
59.3%
MIA 63.2%
UTA 65.6% +2.4%
Mid FG%
40.5%
42.2%
MIA 33.3%
UTA 40.7% +7.4%
3P %
34.3%
33.5%
MIA 56.5% +19.0%
UTA 37.5%
FT %
69.0%
74.3%
MIA 93.3% +24.8%
UTA 68.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
38.8%
MIA 30.2%
UTA 47.8% +17.6%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
44.9%
MIA 33.3% +7.0%
UTA 40.3%
3P Att. %
24.5%
16.3%
MIA 36.5% +24.6%
UTA 11.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIAUTA
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes26.621.4
Points119110
Rebounds2832
Assists1921
Steals127
Blocks61
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)19 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (1)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (6)21 (5)
Field Goals32-6335-67
At-the-Rim FG12-1921-32
Midrange FG7-2111-27
2-Point FG19-4032-59
3-Point FG13-233-8
Free Throws42-4537-54
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
39.1
32
70%
1
10
6
2
4
5
0
1
21-23
91%
4-10
40%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
37.2
18
90%
6
1
1
0
1
4
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
60%
4-5
80%
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
35.6
20
77%
4
2
2
0
0
2
1
3
5-5
100%
3-4
75%
3-7
43%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
33.0
8
57%
8
2
1
0
0
5
2
6
4-4
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
25.1
13
65%
2
0
1
4
1
5
0
2
7-7
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
21.7
13
65%
1
1
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
3-5
60%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
21.1
8
67%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
12.5
3
50%
0
1
0
0
4
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
11.7
4
100%
1
1
1
0
1
5
0
1
4-4
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 184 · 23
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'4" 190 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
119
68%
28
19
12
6
14
0
4
24
42-45
93%
19-40
48%
13-23
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.