FinalWin Prob.pScore
2016%94
101
184%107
107
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
111.09179.3
PHX logo PHX
115.193109.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SunsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SunsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLPHX
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL101
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Dooling 27' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0PHXMISS Nash Free Throw 2 of 2101
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)101
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)101
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 0:13.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 27' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 0:21.0PHXNash Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)101
0.9%
106
99.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)101
0.9%
105
99.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)101
1.9%
104
98.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLMarion BLOCK (1 BLK)101
2.7%
104
97.3%
Q4 - 0:42.0ORLMagic Rebound101
7.4%
104
92.6%
Q4 - 0:44.0PHXMISS Nash Layup101
6.1%
104
93.9%
Q4 - 1:07PHXNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)101
4.7%
104
95.3%
Q4 - 1:09ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot101
5.8%
104
94.2%
Q4 - 1:32ORLMagic Rebound101
9.4%
104
90.6%
Q4 - 1:33PHXMISS Marion Alley Oop Layup101
8.0%
104
92.0%
Q4 - 1:37PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)101
5.7%
104
94.3%
Q4 - 1:39ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot101
6.7%
104
93.3%
Q4 - 1:50ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)101
10.0%
104
90.0%
Q4 - 1:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)101
10.0%
104
90.0%
Q4 - 1:52ORLMISS Howard Follow Up Dunk101
7.2%
104
92.8%
Q4 - 1:53ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup101
7.2%
104
92.8%
Q4 - 2:13ORLMagic Rebound101
10.5%
104
89.5%
Q4 - 2:15PHXMISS Stoudemire Layup101
8.7%
104
91.3%
Q4 - 2:35ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS)101
5.6%
104
94.4%
Q4 - 3:00PHXDiaw 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS)98
3.4%
104
96.6%
Q4 - 3:14ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T12)98
4.4%
102
95.6%
Q4 - 3:27ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)98
7.7%
102
92.3%
Q4 - 3:29PHXMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
6.4%
102
93.6%
Q4 - 3:46ORLTurkoglu Foul Turnover (P2.T11)98
5.9%
102
94.1%
Q4 - 3:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)98
8.4%
102
91.6%
Q4 - 3:58ORLMISS Hill 17' Jump Shot98
6.5%
102
93.5%
Q4 - 4:03ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)98
8.4%
102
91.6%
Q4 - 4:03PHXMISS Marion Layup98
7.5%
102
92.5%
Q4 - 4:03PHXSUNS Rebound98
5.8%
102
94.2%
Q4 - 4:05PHXMISS Marion Layup98
7.5%
102
92.5%
Q4 - 4:07PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)98
5.8%
102
94.2%
Q4 - 4:08PHXMISS Marion 15' Jump Shot98
7.5%
102
92.5%
Q4 - 4:25ORLTurkoglu 12' Jump Shot (18 PTS)98
5.8%
102
94.2%
Q4 - 4:36ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
4.1%
102
95.9%
Q4 - 4:38PHXMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot96
3.6%
102
96.4%
Q4 - 4:54ORLHoward 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)96
2.8%
102
97.2%
Q4 - 5:05ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)94
2.5%
102
97.5%
Q4 - 5:06PHXMISS Diaw Free Throw 2 of 294
2.4%
102
97.6%
Q4 - 5:06PHXDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)94
1.9%
102
98.1%
Q4 - 5:33ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
2.4%
101
97.6%
Q4 - 5:33ORLHill Layup (6 PTS)94
2.4%
101
97.6%
Q4 - 5:35ORLMISS Hill 9' Jump Shot92
1.4%
101
98.6%
Q4 - 5:55PHXStoudemire Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P4.T16)92
1.8%
101
98.2%
Q4 - 6:14PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
1.6%
101
98.4%
Q4 - 6:16ORLMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot92
1.7%
101
98.3%
Q4 - 6:36ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
2.2%
101
97.8%
Q4 - 6:37PHXMISS Barbosa 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
2.0%
101
98.0%
Q4 - 6:53PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)92
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 6:56ORLMISS Milicic 10' Turnaround Jump Shot92
1.7%
101
98.3%
Q4 - 7:20PHXBarbosa Driving Layup (12 PTS)92
2.6%
101
97.4%
Q4 - 7:32ORLDooling 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)92
3.3%
99
96.7%
Q4 - 7:56PHXDiaw 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)90
2.6%
99
97.4%
Q4 - 8:06PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)90
3.9%
97
96.1%
Q4 - 8:07ORLMISS Howard Layup90
4.2%
97
95.8%
Q4 - 8:22PHXDiaw Foul Turnover (P1.T15)90
4.9%
97
95.1%
Q4 - 8:45ORLDooling Dunk (11 PTS)90
3.8%
97
96.2%
Q4 - 8:48PHXBarbosa Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)88
3.0%
97
97.0%
Q4 - 8:57ORLDooling 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Milicic 2 AST)88
2.3%
97
97.7%
Q4 - 9:17PHXDiaw 7' Hook Bank Shot (14 PTS)85
1.6%
97
98.4%
Q4 - 9:28ORLMilicic Foul Turnover (P2.T10)85
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 9:34ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
2.6%
95
97.4%
Q4 - 9:35PHXMISS Barbosa 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
2.4%
95
97.6%
Q4 - 9:49ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)85
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 9:56PHXMarion Foul Turnover (P2.T13)85
2.6%
95
97.4%
Q4 - 10:04PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 10:07ORLJones BLOCK (1 BLK)85
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q4 - 10:53PHXBell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Barbosa 2 AST)85
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 11:01ORLDooling Driving Layup (6 PTS)85
4.9%
92
95.1%
Q4 - 11:22ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)83
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q4 - 11:23PHXMISS Diaw Free Throw 1 of 183
3.9%
92
96.1%
Q4 - 11:36PHXBarbosa REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
4.9%
90
95.1%
Q4 - 11:39ORLMISS Dooling 20' Jump Shot83
5.2%
90
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0PHX83
6.0%
90
94.0%
Q3 - 0:09.0PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)83
5.2%
90
94.8%
Q3 - 0:11.0ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
5.5%
90
94.5%
Q3 - 0:33.0ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
6.3%
90
93.7%
Q3 - 0:35.0PHXMISS Bell 19' Jump Shot83
5.9%
90
94.1%
Q3 - 0:48.0ORLBogans Layup (10 PTS) (Milicic 1 AST)83
5.1%
90
94.9%
Q3 - 0:51.0PHXThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)81
4.2%
90
95.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
3.5%
90
96.5%
Q3 - 0:55.0ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
4.2%
90
95.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0ORLMISS Outlaw Tip Shot81
3.7%
90
96.3%
Q3 - 0:59.0ORLMISS Dooling 15' Jump Shot81
3.7%
90
96.3%
Q3 - 1:22ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
4.5%
90
95.5%
Q3 - 1:24PHXMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
4.2%
90
95.8%
Q3 - 1:40PHXBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
3.7%
90
96.3%
Q3 - 1:42ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot81
3.9%
90
96.1%
Q3 - 2:06PHXNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)81
4.7%
90
95.3%
Q3 - 2:14ORLDooling Layup (4 PTS)81
3.8%
90
96.2%
Q3 - 2:32PHXBarbosa 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Diaw 11 AST)79
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q3 - 2:33PHXNash REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
4.6%
87
95.4%
Q3 - 2:33PHXMISS Diaw 19' Jump Shot79
5.2%
87
94.8%
Q3 - 2:33ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (23 PTS)79
4.6%
87
95.4%
Q3 - 2:51PHXBarbosa Layup (7 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)77
3.9%
87
96.1%
Q3 - 2:55PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
4.6%
85
95.4%
Q3 - 2:56ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot77
4.8%
85
95.2%
Q3 - 3:07PHXBarbosa Foul Turnover (P2.T10)77
5.8%
85
94.2%
Q3 - 3:13PHXJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
4.8%
85
95.2%
Q3 - 3:15PHXMISS Barbosa 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
5.5%
85
94.5%
Q3 - 3:36ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)77
4.8%
85
95.2%
Q3 - 3:42ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q3 - 3:44PHXMISS Jones 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q3 - 4:08ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)74
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q3 - 4:12PHXThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)72
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q3 - 4:13ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)72
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q3 - 4:13ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)71
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q3 - 4:24PHXJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)70
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q3 - 4:31PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
2.5%
82
97.5%
Q3 - 4:32PHXMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q3 - 4:46ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)70
2.5%
82
97.5%
Q3 - 4:46ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)69
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q3 - 4:51ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q3 - 4:53PHXMISS Barbosa 22' Jump Shot68
2.0%
82
98.0%
Q3 - 5:16ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)68
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q3 - 5:16ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)67
1.9%
82
98.1%
Q3 - 5:29PHXMarion Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Diaw 10 AST)66
1.7%
82
98.3%
Q3 - 5:41ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)66
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q3 - 5:46ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 5:51PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 5:51PHXMISS Marion 5' Jump Shot64
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q3 - 5:54PHXMISS Diaw 20' Jump Shot64
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q3 - 6:14ORLBattie 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)64
1.5%
80
98.5%
Q3 - 6:32PHXBell 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 6:43ORLMilicic Dunk (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)62
1.5%
78
98.5%
Q3 - 7:00PHXBell Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Diaw 9 AST)60
1.3%
78
98.7%
Q3 - 7:04ORLMarion STEAL (5 STL)60
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q3 - 7:18PHXMarion 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)60
1.9%
76
98.1%
Q3 - 7:33ORLHill Driving Layup (4 PTS)60
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q3 - 7:41ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q3 - 7:43PHXMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot58
2.1%
73
97.9%
Q3 - 8:02ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)58
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 8:22PHXMarion Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Diaw 8 AST)55
1.5%
73
98.5%
Q3 - 8:27PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q3 - 8:29ORLMISS Howard Dunk55
1.8%
71
98.2%
Q3 - 8:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 8:34ORLMISS Hill 16' Jump Shot55
1.8%
71
98.2%
Q3 - 8:47PHXNash 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)55
2.0%
71
98.0%
Q3 - 8:51PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 8:53ORLMISS Turkoglu 11' Jump Bank Shot55
2.8%
68
97.2%
Q3 - 9:12PHXDiaw Layup (10 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)55
3.1%
68
96.9%
Q3 - 9:22PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 9:24ORLMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot55
3.7%
66
96.3%
Q3 - 9:42ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
4.1%
66
95.9%
Q3 - 9:44PHXMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
3.9%
66
96.1%
Q3 - 10:03ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (14 PTS)55
3.6%
66
96.4%
Q3 - 10:21PHXStoudemire Foul Turnover (P3.T8)53
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q3 - 10:30ORLMarion STEAL (4 STL)53
2.7%
66
97.3%
Q3 - 10:40PHXBell 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diaw 7 AST)53
3.2%
66
96.8%
Q3 - 10:51ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)53
3.6%
64
96.4%
Q3 - 10:51ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
3.5%
64
96.5%
Q3 - 10:53PHXBell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)51
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 11:02PHXBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q3 - 11:03ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 11:03ORLMISS Battie Layup51
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 11:04ORLMISS Turkoglu Reverse Layup51
2.9%
64
97.1%
Q3 - 11:16PHXStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
3.2%
64
96.8%
Q3 - 11:16PHXStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
3.3%
63
96.7%
Q3 - 11:26ORLHoward 8' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) (Hill 3 AST)51
3.6%
62
96.4%
Q3 - 11:45PHXStoudemire 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Diaw 6 AST)49
3.2%
62
96.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL49
3.6%
60
96.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0PHXMarion 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Diaw 5 AST)49
4.2%
60
95.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
5.1%
58
94.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 249
5.1%
58
94.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 249
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q2 - 0:10.0PHXStoudemire Dunk (8 PTS) (Diaw 4 AST)49
5.5%
58
94.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0ORLHoward Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Hill 2 AST)49
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q2 - 0:41.0PHXStoudemire 7' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)47
5.5%
56
94.5%
Q2 - 0:55.0ORLArroyo Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)47
6.4%
54
93.6%
Q2 - 1:22PHXMarion Dunk (7 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)47
7.2%
54
92.8%
Q2 - 1:28PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
8.5%
52
91.5%
Q2 - 1:30ORLMISS Milicic 6' Jump Shot47
8.7%
52
91.3%
Q2 - 1:49PHXDiaw 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
9.1%
52
90.9%
Q2 - 2:01PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
10.5%
50
89.5%
Q2 - 2:03ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
10.9%
50
89.1%
Q2 - 2:22PHXSUNS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)47
11.7%
50
88.3%
Q2 - 2:51PHXNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
10.6%
50
89.4%
Q2 - 2:52ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot47
10.9%
50
89.1%
Q2 - 3:16PHXDiaw 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
11.6%
50
88.4%
Q2 - 3:29ORLMilicic 7' Jump Shot (8 PTS)47
12.8%
48
87.2%
Q2 - 3:46PHXDiaw Driving Layup (4 PTS)45
11.7%
48
88.3%
Q2 - 4:08ORLBogans 8' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)45
12.6%
46
87.4%
Q2 - 4:31ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q2 - 4:33PHXMISS Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
11.0%
46
89.0%
Q2 - 4:40ORLMarion STEAL (3 STL)43
10.3%
46
89.7%
Q2 - 5:00PHXStoudemire Slam Dunk (4 PTS)43
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q2 - 5:00PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)43
12.6%
44
87.4%
Q2 - 5:02PHXMISS Bell 18' Jump Shot43
13.3%
44
86.7%
Q2 - 5:15ORLMilicic Foul Turnover (P1.T4)43
12.4%
44
87.6%
Q2 - 5:25ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
13.8%
44
86.2%
Q2 - 5:27PHXMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
13.3%
44
86.7%
Q2 - 5:41ORLMilicic 9' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)43
12.4%
44
87.6%
Q2 - 6:01PHXNash 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)41
11.3%
44
88.7%
Q2 - 6:16PHXNash Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)41
13.4%
41
86.6%
Q2 - 6:29PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
14.8%
40
85.2%
Q2 - 6:30ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 241
15.0%
40
85.0%
Q2 - 6:30ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)41
15.7%
40
84.3%
Q2 - 6:51ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
15.1%
40
84.9%
Q2 - 6:53PHXMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot40
14.5%
40
85.5%
Q2 - 7:08ORLBogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)40
13.5%
40
86.5%
Q2 - 7:24PHXStoudemire Foul Turnover (P2.T5)37
11.3%
40
88.7%
Q2 - 7:35PHXSUNS Rebound37
10.2%
40
89.8%
Q2 - 7:36PHXMISS Diaw Layup37
10.9%
40
89.1%
Q2 - 7:53ORLOutlaw Layup (2 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)37
10.2%
40
89.8%
Q2 - 8:12PHXDiaw 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)35
9.4%
40
90.6%
Q2 - 8:24ORLMilicic Dunk (3 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)35
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 8:37PHXBarbosa 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)33
9.4%
38
90.6%
Q2 - 8:44PHXDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
11.1%
35
88.9%
Q2 - 8:46ORLMISS Arroyo 21' Jump Shot33
11.5%
35
88.5%
Q2 - 9:10PHXJones Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)33
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q2 - 9:10PHXJones Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)33
12.3%
34
87.7%
Q2 - 9:10PHXJones Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)33
12.5%
33
87.5%
Q2 - 9:15PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
14.3%
32
85.7%
Q2 - 9:17ORLMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot33
14.8%
32
85.2%
Q2 - 9:23ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
15.8%
32
84.2%
Q2 - 9:25PHXMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
15.3%
32
84.7%
Q2 - 9:40PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
14.4%
32
85.6%
Q2 - 9:41ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 2 of 233
14.5%
32
85.5%
Q2 - 9:41ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
15.2%
32
84.8%
Q2 - 9:41ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
14.5%
32
85.5%
Q2 - 9:42ORLMISS Milicic 9' Jump Bank Shot32
13.6%
32
86.4%
Q2 - 9:44ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
14.5%
32
85.5%
Q2 - 9:46ORLMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot32
13.6%
32
86.4%
Q2 - 9:57PHXBarbosa Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)32
14.5%
32
85.5%
Q2 - 10:13ORLBogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
13.3%
32
86.7%
Q2 - 10:16ORLOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
11.3%
32
88.7%
Q2 - 10:18ORLMISS Dooling 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
10.5%
32
89.5%
Q2 - 10:39PHXThomas 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)29
11.2%
32
88.8%
Q2 - 10:52ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
12.1%
30
87.9%
Q2 - 10:52ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
12.0%
30
88.0%
Q2 - 11:05ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
10.9%
30
89.1%
Q2 - 11:07PHXMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot27
10.6%
30
89.4%
Q2 - 11:23ORLHoward 9' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)27
10.0%
30
90.0%
Q2 - 11:46ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
9.2%
30
90.8%
Q2 - 11:48PHXMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot25
8.9%
30
91.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL25
8.4%
30
91.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound25
9.2%
30
90.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Arroyo 35' 3PT Jump Shot25
8.6%
30
91.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0PHXNash 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)25
9.1%
30
90.9%
Q1 - 0:14.0ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)25
10.1%
28
89.9%
Q1 - 0:14.0ORLMagic Rebound25
10.8%
28
89.2%
Q1 - 0:14.0ORLMISS Dooling 19' Jump Shot25
10.3%
28
89.7%
Q1 - 0:38.0PHXMarion 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)25
10.8%
28
89.2%
Q1 - 0:44.0PHXJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
13.0%
25
87.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLMISS Milicic 7' Hook Shot25
13.2%
25
86.8%
Q1 - 1:07PHXBarbosa Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)25
13.8%
25
86.2%
Q1 - 1:11ORLMarion STEAL (2 STL)25
15.3%
23
84.7%
Q1 - 1:29ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
16.2%
23
83.8%
Q1 - 1:31PHXMISS Marion 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
15.9%
23
84.1%
Q1 - 1:45PHXThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
15.3%
23
84.7%
Q1 - 1:48ORLMISS Milicic 9' Hook Shot25
15.6%
23
84.4%
Q1 - 2:05PHXNash 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)25
16.2%
23
83.8%
Q1 - 2:29ORLTurkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)25
17.6%
21
82.4%
Q1 - 2:52ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
15.0%
21
85.0%
Q1 - 2:53PHXMISS Nash Free Throw 2 of 222
14.9%
21
85.1%
Q1 - 2:53PHXNash Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)22
13.9%
21
86.1%
Q1 - 3:17ORLDooling 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)22
14.7%
20
85.3%
Q1 - 3:28PHXStoudemire Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)20
13.7%
20
86.3%
Q1 - 3:40ORLTurkoglu 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)20
12.6%
20
87.4%
Q1 - 4:00PHXNash 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS)18
11.7%
20
88.3%
Q1 - 4:05PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)18
12.2%
18
87.8%
Q1 - 4:07ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Bank Shot18
12.6%
18
87.4%
Q1 - 4:22ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
13.4%
18
86.6%
Q1 - 4:24PHXMISS Marion 11' Jump Shot18
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 4:26PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
12.2%
18
87.8%
Q1 - 4:28PHXMISS Barbosa 17' Jump Shot18
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 4:40PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
12.2%
18
87.8%
Q1 - 4:42PHXMISS Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
13.0%
18
87.0%
Q1 - 4:52ORLHill Driving Layup (2 PTS)18
12.2%
18
87.8%
Q1 - 5:13PHXThomas 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)16
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 5:28PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
11.9%
16
88.1%
Q1 - 5:29ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot16
12.2%
16
87.8%
Q1 - 5:51PHXStoudemire 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)16
13.0%
16
87.0%
Q1 - 6:09ORLHoward Dunk (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)16
13.6%
14
86.4%
Q1 - 6:24PHXNash 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)14
12.7%
14
87.3%
Q1 - 6:32PHXSUNS Rebound14
13.6%
12
86.4%
Q1 - 6:32ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot14
13.9%
12
86.1%
Q1 - 6:53PHXMarion Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)14
14.6%
12
85.4%
Q1 - 7:13PHXMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
13.2%
12
86.8%
Q1 - 7:15ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
13.5%
12
86.5%
Q1 - 7:29ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
14.2%
12
85.8%
Q1 - 7:31PHXMISS Nash 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
13.9%
12
86.1%
Q1 - 7:40PHXBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
13.2%
12
86.8%
Q1 - 7:42ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
13.5%
12
86.5%
Q1 - 7:55ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
14.3%
12
85.7%
Q1 - 7:58PHXMISS Nash Layup14
13.9%
12
86.1%
Q1 - 8:08ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
13.0%
12
87.0%
Q1 - 8:08ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)13
12.8%
12
87.2%
Q1 - 8:22PHXNash Driving Layup (4 PTS)12
12.2%
12
87.8%
Q1 - 8:33ORLNelson 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS)12
13.0%
10
87.0%
Q1 - 8:48PHXBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)10
12.2%
10
87.8%
Q1 - 8:56ORLTurkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)10
13.9%
7
86.1%
Q1 - 9:15PHXMarion Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)7
12.2%
7
87.8%
Q1 - 9:19ORLMarion STEAL (1 STL)7
12.8%
5
87.2%
Q1 - 9:41PHXBell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)7
13.9%
5
86.1%
Q1 - 9:49PHXBell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
15.6%
2
84.4%
Q1 - 9:51ORLMISS Nelson 16' Jump Shot7
15.9%
2
84.1%
Q1 - 10:06ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 10:09PHXMISS Stoudemire Layup7
16.2%
2
83.8%
Q1 - 10:10PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 10:13PHXMISS Nash 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 10:25ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 10:25ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
15.2%
2
84.8%
Q1 - 10:42PHXNash 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
14.7%
2
85.3%
Q1 - 10:54ORLNelson Layup (5 PTS)5
15.5%
0
84.5%
Q1 - 10:58PHXNash Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)3
14.7%
0
85.3%
Q1 - 11:05ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
13.6%
0
86.4%
Q1 - 11:19ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.9%
0
88.1%
Q1 - 11:21PHXMISS Stoudemire 16' Jump Shot0
11.7%
0
88.3%
Q1 - 11:37PHXStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.2%
0
88.8%
Q1 - 11:39ORLMISS Howard 8' Jump Bank Shot0
11.4%
0
88.6%
Q1 - 12:00PHXJump Ball Stoudemire vs. Howard: Tip to Howard0
11.9%
0
88.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.05 52.6%
PHX
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
14
22
64%
PHX
12
21
57%
Midrange
ORL
15
43
35%
PHX
22
35
63%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
9
13.5
17
53%
79%
PHX
9
13.5
25
36%
54%
Free Throws
ORL
16
20
80%
PHX
12
16
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson2676%13.0 / 17
H. Turkoglu1860%9.0 / 15
K. Dooling1354%6.5 / 12
D. Howard1038%5.0 / 13
D. Milicic1045%5.0 / 11
K. Bogans10125%5.0 / 4
G. Hill633%3.0 / 9
T. Battie467%2.0 / 3
C. Arroyo217%1.0 / 6
B. Outlaw250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
PHX logo Suns
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Nash2364%11.5 / 18
B. Diaw1973%9.5 / 13
S. Marion1653%8.0 / 15
R. Bell1575%7.5 / 10
A. Stoudemire1267%6.0 / 9
L. Barbosa1255%6.0 / 11
J. Jones643%3.0 / 7
K. Thomas450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
80
+12
-11
92
PHX
77
+11
-16
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.05 52.6%
PHX
1.20 60.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
114.1
ORL 111.0
PHX 115.1 +4.1
Pace
89.8
95.5
ORL 79.3
PHX 109.1 +29.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
14.3
ORL 18.2
PHX 13.2 +5.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
55.1%
ORL 51.8%
PHX 58.6% +6.8%
TO %
18.0%
14.5%
ORL 11.7% +4.5%
PHX 16.2%
ORB %
29.3%
22.8%
ORL 22.7%
PHX 24.3% +1.6%
FTrt
39.3
26.7
ORL 24.4 +4.6
PHX 19.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
62.6%
ORL 39.5%
PHX 60.5% +21.0%
STL %
7.6%
7.0%
ORL 5.5% +0.1%
PHX 5.4%
BLK %
8.5%
6.9%
ORL 12.5% +9.4%
PHX 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.4 and 3.4.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
57.8%
ORL 52.6%
PHX 60.1% +7.5%
Rim FG%
61.6%
63.5%
ORL 63.6% +6.5%
PHX 57.1%
Mid FG%
38.3%
45.1%
ORL 34.9%
PHX 62.9% +28.0%
3P %
35.6%
39.9%
ORL 52.9% +16.9%
PHX 36.0%
FT %
70.2%
80.8%
ORL 80.0% +5.0%
PHX 75.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.1%
31.5%
ORL 26.8% +0.9%
PHX 25.9%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
39.8%
ORL 52.4%
PHX 43.2% +9.2%
3P Att. %
15.8%
28.7%
ORL 20.7%
PHX 30.9% +10.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.45 and 3.45.
Game TotalsORLPHX
Possessions9193
Possession Minutes27.620.4
Points101107
Rebounds3843
Assists1526
Steals55
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (2)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)34 (1)
Field Goals38-8243-81
At-the-Rim FG14-2212-21
Midrange FG15-4322-35
2-Point FG29-6534-56
3-Point FG9-179-25
Free Throws16-2012-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
29.0
10
38%
5
1
0
4
3
3
3
2
0-2
0%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
G · 6'8" 225 · 34
28.6
6
33%
8
3
1
1
1
0
2
6
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 190 · 25
27.0
26
76%
2
2
1
0
1
6
0
2
4-4
100%
5-8
63%
4-7
57%
F · 6'10" 220 · 28
26.9
18
60%
3
2
1
0
2
1
0
3
6-6
100%
3-8
38%
2-4
50%
F · 6'11" 240 · 31
15.2
4
67%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 22
29.4
10
45%
7
2
1
1
2
2
2
5
2-4
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 27
25.6
13
54%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
5-9
56%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 200 · 27
20.9
2
17%
2
4
0
0
2
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27
20.1
10
125%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
17.2
2
50%
6
0
0
0
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 25
F · 6'9" 238 · 30
#40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
53%
38
15
5
7
11
0
10
28
16-20
80%
29-65
45%
9-17
53%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.