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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 13, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Rockets51%95115
8Kings49%94111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.5
45.8
34.4
22
59%
3
8
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
3-8
3-8
38%
41%
4-9
44%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 28.3
45.0
35.6
10
51%
6
3
0
1
1
0
2
4
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
2-8
25%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 27.6
41.9
36.2
37
52%
2
9
2
1
0
1
0
2
10-11
91%
9-24
7-15
38%
47%
3-7
43%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 40.6
38.9
29.7
11
73%
18
0
0
0
0
2
5
13
7-8
88%
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.9
34.6
34.9
17
72%
4
3
0
1
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
8-11
5-11
73%
46%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.1
36.7
29.1
14
74%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
3-7
43%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 23.6
14.7
15.9
4
50%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 24.1
7.3
11.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 23.6
0.2
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.6
3.7
0
0-0
49%
Vassilis Spanoulis
G · 6'4" 195 · 24.4
2.5
0
0-0
43%
Scott Padgett
F · 6'9" 240 · 30.7
2.0
0
0-0
43%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
Bob Sura
G · 6'5" 200 · 33.8
Ming Yao
C · 7'6" 310 · 26.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 23.9
45.8
36.6
14
67%
5
4
2
1
1
0
0
5
6-8
75%
4-6
4-9
67%
51%
0-1
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.2
45.3
33.1
34
74%
4
1
0
2
0
3
0
4
8-11
73%
7-12
4-9
58%
44%
4-6
67%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.7
42.2
38.9
12
35%
4
5
0
1
0
1
0
4
6-7
86%
3-5
4-10
60%
44%
0-9
0%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.1
36.8
22.6
15
86%
3
2
0
1
0
4
0
3
3-4
75%
6-7
3-7
86%
49%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 30.2
8.7
6.3
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.1
43.3
21.0
30
65%
12
2
1
0
2
1
5
7
8-9
89%
11-19
3-7
58%
46%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.1
23.8
25.4
5
50%
6
6
0
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
1-1
100%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.7
10.8
4.8
1
57%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.5
7.5
15.6
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 22.7
0.8
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.0
9.0
0
1-1
46%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.6
1.6
0
0-0
44%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.7
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.8
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.