FinalWin Prob.pScore
1136%96
118
564%101
124
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
118.010095.1
LAL logo LAL
122.810187.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

LakersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIALAL
OT1 - 0:00.0LAL118
0%
124
100%
OT1 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot118
0.1%
124
99.9%
OT1 - 0:08.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)118
0.2%
124
99.8%
OT1 - 0:09.0LALMISS Cook Free Throw 2 of 2118
0.2%
124
99.8%
OT1 - 0:09.0LALCook Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)118
0.1%
124
99.9%
OT1 - 0:09.0LALCook REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)118
0.2%
123
99.8%
OT1 - 0:09.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)118
0.7%
123
99.3%
OT1 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot118
0.3%
123
99.7%
OT1 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Wade Layup118
0.3%
123
99.7%
OT1 - 0:16.0LALParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)118
1.1%
123
98.9%
OT1 - 0:16.0LALParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)118
1.4%
122
98.6%
OT1 - 0:27.0MIAParker STEAL (2 STL)118
3.3%
121
96.7%
OT1 - 0:37.0LALBryant Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)118
8.7%
121
91.3%
OT1 - 0:37.0LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)118
9.6%
120
90.4%
OT1 - 0:58.0MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)118
21.3%
119
78.7%
OT1 - 1:17LALBryant Reverse Layup (23 PTS) (Walton 6 AST)116
14.8%
119
85.2%
OT1 - 1:36MIAWilliams Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)116
23.2%
117
76.8%
OT1 - 1:41LALCook Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)114
16.5%
117
83.5%
OT1 - 1:55LALParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)114
10.7%
117
89.3%
OT1 - 1:57MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Bank Shot114
12.3%
117
87.7%
OT1 - 2:11LALParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)114
18.6%
117
81.4%
OT1 - 2:11LALParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)114
10.5%
117
89.5%
OT1 - 2:12MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot114
12.5%
117
87.5%
OT1 - 2:33LALCook 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Bryant 8 AST)114
18.9%
117
81.1%
OT1 - 2:58MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)114
32.9%
114
67.1%
OT1 - 3:11LALBynum Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)112
27.5%
114
72.5%
OT1 - 3:11LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)112
29.7%
113
70.3%
OT1 - 3:23LALBynum REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)112
32.4%
112
67.6%
OT1 - 3:25MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot112
36.7%
112
63.3%
OT1 - 3:46LALBryant 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Walton 5 AST)112
44.0%
112
56.0%
OT1 - 3:59MIAWade Layup (33 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)112
53.0%
110
47.0%
OT1 - 4:03LALBryant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)110
44.1%
110
55.9%
OT1 - 4:24LALLAKERS Rebound110
34.7%
110
65.3%
OT1 - 4:26LALMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot110
41.2%
110
58.8%
OT1 - 4:39LALParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)110
34.6%
110
65.4%
OT1 - 4:42MIAMISS Haslem 8' Hook Shot110
37.5%
110
62.5%
OT1 - 5:00LALJump Ball Bynum vs. Mourning: Tip to Haslem110
44.3%
110
55.7%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAHaslem Dunk (18 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)110
29.6%
110
70.4%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)108
17.6%
110
82.4%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot108
9.7%
110
90.3%
Q4 - 0:46.0LALBryant 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS)108
21.4%
110
78.6%
Q4 - 1:08LALLAKERS Rebound108
33.1%
108
66.9%
Q4 - 1:09MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot108
37.7%
108
62.3%
Q4 - 1:13MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)108
48.7%
108
51.3%
Q4 - 1:17LALMISS Walton Layup108
43.6%
108
56.4%
Q4 - 1:22LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)108
32.9%
108
67.1%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot108
37.3%
108
62.7%
Q4 - 1:34MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)108
47.4%
108
52.6%
Q4 - 1:36LALMISS Bynum Tip Shot108
42.9%
108
57.1%
Q4 - 1:37LALBynum REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)108
33.5%
108
66.5%
Q4 - 1:44LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot108
42.7%
108
57.3%
Q4 - 1:58MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)108
34.1%
108
65.9%
Q4 - 2:01MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)105
18.3%
108
81.7%
Q4 - 2:05LALMISS Walton 3PT Jump Shot105
15.6%
108
84.4%
Q4 - 2:27MIAWade Driving Dunk (31 PTS)105
10.4%
108
89.6%
Q4 - 2:31LALWalton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)103
8.4%
108
91.6%
Q4 - 2:43MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)103
4.3%
108
95.7%
Q4 - 2:43MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)102
4.0%
108
96.0%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)101
3.5%
108
96.5%
Q4 - 2:51LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot101
3.5%
108
96.5%
Q4 - 3:06LALEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)101
2.4%
108
97.6%
Q4 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot101
2.8%
108
97.2%
Q4 - 3:32LALBryant 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)101
5.8%
108
94.2%
Q4 - 4:03MIAWade Driving Layup (27 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)101
7.6%
106
92.4%
Q4 - 4:12MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)99
5.4%
106
94.6%
Q4 - 4:14LALMISS Bryant 19' Jump Shot99
4.8%
106
95.2%
Q4 - 4:33MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T11)99
3.6%
106
96.4%
Q4 - 4:37MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)99
5.3%
106
94.7%
Q4 - 4:40LALMISS Parker 6' Jump Shot99
4.7%
106
95.3%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P3.T10)99
3.6%
106
96.4%
Q4 - 5:07LALBryant 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)99
6.7%
106
93.3%
Q4 - 5:26LALLAKERS Rebound99
9.0%
104
91.0%
Q4 - 5:26MIABryant BLOCK (1 BLK)99
9.9%
104
90.1%
Q4 - 5:33MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)99
12.2%
104
87.8%
Q4 - 5:35LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot99
11.1%
104
88.9%
Q4 - 5:40LALEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)99
8.9%
104
91.1%
Q4 - 5:42MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot99
9.8%
104
90.2%
Q4 - 6:03LALEvans 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)99
13.7%
104
86.3%
Q4 - 6:16LALLAKERS Rebound99
17.0%
102
83.0%
Q4 - 6:18LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
20.7%
102
79.3%
Q4 - 6:40MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)99
16.9%
102
83.1%
Q4 - 6:40MIAMourning Follow Up Dunk (9 PTS)99
16.9%
102
83.1%
Q4 - 6:42MIAMISS Wade Layup97
11.0%
102
89.0%
Q4 - 6:53LALBynum Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)97
13.6%
102
86.4%
Q4 - 6:53LALEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)97
21.7%
99
78.3%
Q4 - 6:55LALMISS Radmanovic Layup97
26.0%
99
74.0%
Q4 - 7:12MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)97
22.8%
99
77.2%
Q4 - 7:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
15.0%
99
85.0%
Q4 - 7:24LALMISS Bryant Layup94
13.8%
99
86.2%
Q4 - 7:32LALBryant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
11.4%
99
88.6%
Q4 - 7:34LALMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
13.8%
99
86.2%
Q4 - 7:47LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
11.3%
99
88.7%
Q4 - 7:50MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot94
12.3%
99
87.7%
Q4 - 7:59MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
14.9%
99
85.1%
Q4 - 8:03LALMISS Evans Free Throw 1 of 194
15.5%
99
84.5%
Q4 - 8:12MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)94
19.6%
97
80.4%
Q4 - 8:32LALRadmanovic 8' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Vujacic 2 AST)94
24.0%
97
76.0%
Q4 - 8:49LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)94
28.8%
95
71.2%
Q4 - 8:52MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
30.5%
95
69.5%
Q4 - 9:09LALVujacic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)94
34.4%
95
65.6%
Q4 - 9:26MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)94
45.6%
92
54.4%
Q4 - 9:34LALFarmar Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)91
34.4%
92
65.6%
Q4 - 9:38LALBynum REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)91
29.0%
92
71.0%
Q4 - 9:40MIAMISS Kapono 14' Jump Shot91
30.6%
92
69.4%
Q4 - 10:02LALBynum REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)91
34.4%
92
65.6%
Q4 - 10:02LALBynum Slam Dunk (6 PTS)91
34.4%
92
65.6%
Q4 - 10:03LALMISS Radmanovic Layup91
43.4%
90
56.6%
Q4 - 10:18MIAWalker 8' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)91
39.3%
90
60.7%
Q4 - 10:39LALEvans 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Farmar 1 AST)89
34.4%
90
65.6%
Q4 - 10:54MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)89
39.3%
88
60.7%
Q4 - 11:11MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
34.4%
88
65.6%
Q4 - 11:13LALMISS Farmar 15' Jump Shot87
32.9%
88
67.1%
Q4 - 11:19LALLAKERS Rebound87
29.5%
88
70.5%
Q4 - 11:20LALMISS Farmar Layup87
32.9%
88
67.1%
Q4 - 11:37LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)87
29.5%
88
70.5%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
30.9%
88
69.1%
Q4 - 11:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)87
34.4%
88
65.6%
Q4 - 11:43MIAMISS Walker Layup87
30.9%
88
69.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA87
34.4%
88
65.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound87
34.4%
88
65.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Posey 38' 3PT Jump Shot87
30.9%
88
69.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0LALRadmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bryant 7 AST)87
34.2%
88
65.8%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)87
44.0%
85
56.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
34.3%
85
65.7%
Q3 - 0:40.0LALMISS Cook 15' Jump Shot84
32.9%
85
67.1%
Q3 - 0:59.0MIAHaslem Layup (14 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)84
29.8%
85
70.2%
Q3 - 1:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)82
26.0%
85
74.0%
Q3 - 1:14LALMISS Cook Layup82
24.8%
85
75.2%
Q3 - 1:25LALCook REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)82
22.3%
85
77.7%
Q3 - 1:27MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
23.3%
85
76.7%
Q3 - 1:39MIAHeat Rebound82
25.9%
85
74.1%
Q3 - 1:40LALMISS Bryant 16' Jump Shot82
24.8%
85
75.2%
Q3 - 1:45LALCook REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)82
22.3%
85
77.7%
Q3 - 1:48LALMISS Radmanovic 3PT Jump Shot82
24.8%
85
75.2%
Q3 - 2:06MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)82
22.3%
85
77.7%
Q3 - 2:27LALCook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)79
16.7%
85
83.3%
Q3 - 2:43MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)79
14.1%
85
85.9%
Q3 - 3:12LALCook 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Evans 3 AST)76
10.9%
85
89.1%
Q3 - 3:29LALParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
12.6%
83
87.4%
Q3 - 3:31MIACook BLOCK (3 BLK)76
13.2%
83
86.8%
Q3 - 3:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)76
14.8%
83
85.2%
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Posey Layup76
13.2%
83
86.8%
Q3 - 3:53LALRadmanovic Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)76
14.8%
83
85.2%
Q3 - 4:12MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T8)76
17.2%
81
82.8%
Q3 - 4:24LALParker Offensive Foul Turnover (P1.T5)76
20.2%
81
79.8%
Q3 - 4:36LALBryant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
17.2%
81
82.8%
Q3 - 4:38MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 276
17.6%
81
82.4%
Q3 - 4:38MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
19.0%
81
81.0%
Q3 - 4:38MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)75
17.6%
81
82.4%
Q3 - 5:00LALParker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Bryant 6 AST)74
15.2%
81
84.8%
Q3 - 5:23LALCook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
20.3%
78
79.7%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 274
20.7%
78
79.3%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)74
22.2%
78
77.8%
Q3 - 5:43LALBryant Layup (13 PTS) (Cook 4 AST)73
20.5%
78
79.5%
Q3 - 5:47LALCook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
23.1%
76
76.9%
Q3 - 5:49LALMISS Parker Layup73
25.4%
76
74.6%
Q3 - 5:54MIAParker STEAL (1 STL)73
23.1%
76
76.9%
Q3 - 6:11LALEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)73
26.5%
76
73.5%
Q3 - 6:27MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)73
33.0%
73
67.0%
Q3 - 6:43LALParker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Turiaf 2 AST)73
36.9%
73
63.1%
Q3 - 6:55MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
44.4%
70
55.6%
Q3 - 6:55MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 272
43.6%
70
56.4%
Q3 - 6:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)72
44.7%
70
55.3%
Q3 - 7:01LALMISS Bryant 8' Jump Shot72
42.7%
70
57.3%
Q3 - 7:18MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)72
39.7%
70
60.3%
Q3 - 7:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
36.1%
70
63.9%
Q3 - 7:18MIAHaslem Tip Shot (10 PTS)71
36.1%
70
63.9%
Q3 - 7:21MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot69
30.4%
70
69.6%
Q3 - 7:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
33.1%
70
66.9%
Q3 - 7:30LALMISS Walton 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
31.9%
70
68.1%
Q3 - 7:37LALWalton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)69
29.3%
70
70.7%
Q3 - 7:39MIAMISS Kapono 15' Jump Shot69
30.4%
70
69.6%
Q3 - 7:58LALBryant 15' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)69
33.1%
70
66.9%
Q3 - 8:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
36.0%
68
64.0%
Q3 - 8:12MIAWade Layup (25 PTS)69
36.0%
68
64.0%
Q3 - 8:15MIAMISS Williams 28' 3PT Jump Shot67
30.5%
68
69.5%
Q3 - 8:18MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
33.1%
68
66.9%
Q3 - 8:20LALMISS Bryant 10' Jump Shot67
31.9%
68
68.1%
Q3 - 8:37MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)67
29.4%
68
70.6%
Q3 - 8:52MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
26.7%
68
73.3%
Q3 - 8:53LALMISS Walton Free Throw 1 of 165
26.3%
68
73.7%
Q3 - 8:53LALWalton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
29.4%
66
70.6%
Q3 - 8:55LALMISS Bryant 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
31.9%
66
68.1%
Q3 - 9:19MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)65
29.2%
66
70.8%
Q3 - 9:19MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)64
28.7%
66
71.3%
Q3 - 9:35LALBryant Layup (9 PTS) (Walton 4 AST)63
26.4%
66
73.6%
Q3 - 9:57MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)63
29.2%
64
70.8%
Q3 - 10:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
32.3%
64
67.7%
Q3 - 10:16LALMISS Walton Free Throw 2 of 263
31.9%
64
68.1%
Q3 - 10:16LALWalton Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)63
29.9%
64
70.1%
Q3 - 10:17LALWalton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)63
31.9%
63
68.1%
Q3 - 10:37LALMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot63
34.4%
63
65.6%
Q3 - 10:42LALCook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
32.0%
63
68.0%
Q3 - 10:44LALMISS Walton 8' Fadeaway Jumper63
34.4%
63
65.6%
Q3 - 11:04MIAWade Reverse Layup (21 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)63
31.8%
63
68.2%
Q3 - 11:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
29.0%
63
71.0%
Q3 - 11:09LALMISS Parker Layup61
28.1%
63
71.9%
Q3 - 11:30MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)61
26.2%
63
73.8%
Q3 - 11:30MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)60
25.6%
63
74.4%
Q3 - 11:46LALCook 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Walton 3 AST)59
23.7%
63
76.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL59
26.2%
61
73.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALLAKERS Rebound59
26.2%
61
73.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALMISS Parker 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
28.2%
61
71.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)59
26.9%
61
73.1%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAHeat Rebound59
28.7%
61
71.3%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIACook BLOCK (2 BLK)59
27.5%
61
72.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0LALCook Layup (17 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)59
28.8%
61
71.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
32.4%
59
67.6%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
31.8%
59
68.2%
Q2 - 1:05LALRadmanovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bryant 5 AST)57
28.7%
59
71.3%
Q2 - 1:28MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)57
35.6%
56
64.4%
Q2 - 1:32MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
31.4%
56
68.6%
Q2 - 1:34LALMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot55
30.9%
56
69.1%
Q2 - 1:45MIAPosey Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)55
29.9%
56
70.1%
Q2 - 1:50LALWalton Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)55
31.4%
56
68.6%
Q2 - 2:07MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)55
29.4%
56
70.6%
Q2 - 2:11LALCook Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)53
26.7%
56
73.3%
Q2 - 2:26LALParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
24.5%
56
75.5%
Q2 - 2:28MIAWalton BLOCK (1 BLK)53
25.2%
56
74.8%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
26.7%
56
73.3%
Q2 - 2:45MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot53
25.2%
56
74.8%
Q2 - 2:56MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
26.6%
56
73.4%
Q2 - 3:00LALMISS Radmanovic 16' Jump Shot53
26.0%
56
74.0%
Q2 - 3:03LALLAKERS Rebound53
24.4%
56
75.6%
Q2 - 3:03LALMISS Walton Layup53
26.2%
56
73.8%
Q2 - 3:14MIAWalker Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)53
24.4%
56
75.6%
Q2 - 3:17MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
22.5%
56
77.5%
Q2 - 3:19LALMISS Bryant 20' Jump Shot51
21.8%
56
78.2%
Q2 - 3:24LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)51
20.3%
56
79.7%
Q2 - 3:26MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot51
20.9%
56
79.1%
Q2 - 3:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)51
22.5%
56
77.5%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
20.9%
56
79.1%
Q2 - 3:57LALCook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)51
22.5%
56
77.5%
Q2 - 4:19MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
26.8%
53
73.2%
Q2 - 4:19MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 250
26.1%
53
73.9%
Q2 - 4:38LALParker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Walton 2 AST)50
26.8%
53
73.2%
Q2 - 4:53MIAPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)50
31.5%
50
68.5%
Q2 - 4:59MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
26.8%
50
73.2%
Q2 - 5:01LALMISS Walton Layup47
26.1%
50
73.9%
Q2 - 5:18MIAPosey 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)47
24.5%
50
75.5%
Q2 - 5:38LALCook 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Walton 1 AST)45
22.6%
50
77.4%
Q2 - 5:42LALWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)45
24.5%
48
75.5%
Q2 - 5:46MIARadmanovic BLOCK (1 BLK)45
25.2%
48
74.8%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
27.1%
48
72.9%
Q2 - 6:07LALMISS Cook 9' Jump Shot45
26.3%
48
73.7%
Q2 - 6:21LALRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
24.5%
48
75.5%
Q2 - 6:23MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 245
24.9%
48
75.1%
Q2 - 6:23MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)45
26.3%
48
73.7%
Q2 - 6:33MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
24.9%
48
75.1%
Q2 - 6:35LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot44
24.2%
48
75.8%
Q2 - 6:52MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)44
22.5%
48
77.5%
Q2 - 7:02MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
19.6%
48
80.4%
Q2 - 7:04LALMISS Radmanovic 20' Jump Shot41
19.1%
48
80.9%
Q2 - 7:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)41
17.9%
48
82.1%
Q2 - 7:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)40
17.6%
48
82.4%
Q2 - 7:35LALEvans Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)39
16.5%
48
83.5%
Q2 - 7:37LALBynum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
19.5%
45
80.5%
Q2 - 7:40LALBynum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
19.5%
45
80.5%
Q2 - 7:40LALMISS Bynum Tip Shot39
20.8%
45
79.2%
Q2 - 7:42LALMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot39
20.8%
45
79.2%
Q2 - 8:03MIADoleac 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)39
19.5%
45
80.5%
Q2 - 8:21LALBynum Layup (4 PTS) (Vujacic 1 AST)37
18.2%
45
81.8%
Q2 - 8:37MIAPayton Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)37
19.5%
43
80.5%
Q2 - 8:53LALFarmar Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)37
21.4%
43
78.6%
Q2 - 9:10MIAWright 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)37
24.9%
40
75.1%
Q2 - 9:17MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
23.3%
40
76.7%
Q2 - 9:20LALMISS Radmanovic 7' Jump Shot35
22.7%
40
77.3%
Q2 - 9:39MIAPayton 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
21.3%
40
78.7%
Q2 - 9:55LALVujacic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bynum 1 AST)33
19.9%
40
80.1%
Q2 - 10:12MIAPosey Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)33
23.2%
37
76.8%
Q2 - 10:31LALBynum Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Radmanovic 1 AST)31
21.7%
37
78.3%
Q2 - 10:45LALVujacic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
23.2%
35
76.8%
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot31
23.8%
35
76.2%
Q2 - 11:04MIAHeat Rebound31
24.9%
35
75.1%
Q2 - 11:05LALMISS Farmar 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
24.4%
35
75.6%
Q2 - 11:20MIADoleac 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)31
23.2%
35
76.8%
Q2 - 11:40LALFarmar 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)29
21.5%
35
78.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
23.2%
33
76.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound29
25.0%
33
75.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 31' 3PT Jump Shot29
23.7%
33
76.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0LALBryant 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS)29
24.7%
33
75.3%
Q1 - 0:40.0LALCook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
27.0%
31
73.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
27.4%
31
72.6%
Q1 - 0:54.0LALRadmanovic Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
28.5%
31
71.5%
Q1 - 0:54.0LALMISS Radmanovic Free Throw 1 of 229
28.9%
30
71.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0LALLAKERS Rebound29
28.9%
30
71.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 229
29.1%
30
70.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 229
30.1%
30
69.9%
Q1 - 1:08LALRadmanovic Foul Turnover (P2.T2)29
30.5%
30
69.5%
Q1 - 1:27MIAPayton Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)29
28.9%
30
71.1%
Q1 - 1:32LALRadmanovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)27
26.6%
30
73.4%
Q1 - 1:49MIAWade Driving Dunk (16 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)27
25.2%
30
74.8%
Q1 - 2:04LALBryant Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)25
23.4%
30
76.6%
Q1 - 2:15MIAWade Reverse Layup (14 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)25
27.0%
27
73.0%
Q1 - 2:27MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
25.1%
27
74.9%
Q1 - 2:29LALMISS Evans 11' Jump Shot23
24.6%
27
75.4%
Q1 - 2:57MIADoleac 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)23
23.4%
27
76.6%
Q1 - 3:14MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
22.0%
27
78.0%
Q1 - 3:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 221
20.5%
27
79.5%
Q1 - 3:15MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)21
21.6%
27
78.4%
Q1 - 3:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
20.5%
27
79.5%
Q1 - 3:24LALMISS Walton 9' Turnaround Jump Shot20
20.0%
27
80.0%
Q1 - 3:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)20
18.9%
27
81.1%
Q1 - 3:34MIAWade Layup (10 PTS)19
17.6%
27
82.4%
Q1 - 4:00LALTuriaf Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Bryant 4 AST)17
16.4%
27
83.6%
Q1 - 4:05LALWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
17.5%
25
82.5%
Q1 - 4:06MIAMISS Wade Layup17
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q1 - 4:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
19.2%
25
80.8%
Q1 - 4:23LALMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
18.7%
25
81.3%
Q1 - 4:29LALWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
17.6%
25
82.4%
Q1 - 4:31MIACook BLOCK (1 BLK)17
18.0%
25
82.0%
Q1 - 4:52LALCook Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Turiaf 1 AST)17
19.2%
25
80.8%
Q1 - 4:58LALCook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
20.3%
23
79.7%
Q1 - 5:00MIAMISS Mourning Layup17
20.8%
23
79.2%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
22.1%
23
77.9%
Q1 - 5:04MIATuriaf BLOCK (1 BLK)17
21.0%
23
79.0%
Q1 - 5:20LALParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cook 3 AST)17
22.1%
23
77.9%
Q1 - 5:30LALWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
25.0%
20
75.0%
Q1 - 5:32MIAMISS Haslem 14' Jump Shot17
25.5%
20
74.5%
Q1 - 5:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
26.7%
20
73.3%
Q1 - 5:44LALMISS Bryant 18' Jump Shot17
26.2%
20
73.8%
Q1 - 5:53MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)17
24.9%
20
75.1%
Q1 - 6:12LALParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bryant 3 AST)15
23.6%
20
76.4%
Q1 - 6:21LALTuriaf REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
26.6%
17
73.4%
Q1 - 6:22MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot15
27.1%
17
72.9%
Q1 - 6:39LALBryant 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)15
28.3%
17
71.7%
Q1 - 7:02MIAWade 19' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)15
29.6%
15
70.4%
Q1 - 7:09LALCook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
28.3%
15
71.7%
Q1 - 7:09LALCook 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS)13
28.3%
15
71.7%
Q1 - 7:11LALMISS Parker Layup13
30.9%
13
69.1%
Q1 - 7:32MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
29.7%
13
70.3%
Q1 - 7:32MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
29.2%
13
70.8%
Q1 - 7:51LALWalton Driving Layup (7 PTS)11
28.3%
13
71.7%
Q1 - 8:03MIAKapono Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)11
29.6%
11
70.4%
Q1 - 8:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
31.4%
11
68.6%
Q1 - 8:13LALMISS Walton Free Throw 2 of 211
31.2%
11
68.8%
Q1 - 8:13LALWalton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
30.1%
11
69.9%
Q1 - 8:13LALWalton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
31.2%
10
68.8%
Q1 - 8:13LALMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot11
32.5%
10
67.5%
Q1 - 8:21LALBynum REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
31.2%
10
68.8%
Q1 - 8:23MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot11
31.8%
10
68.2%
Q1 - 8:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
33.1%
10
66.9%
Q1 - 8:32LALMISS Bynum 9' Turnaround Jump Shot11
32.5%
10
67.5%
Q1 - 8:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
31.2%
10
68.8%
Q1 - 8:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
30.9%
10
69.1%
Q1 - 9:12LALWalton Layup (4 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)9
29.7%
10
70.3%
Q1 - 9:28MIAMourning Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)9
30.9%
8
69.1%
Q1 - 9:47LALWalton Layup (2 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)7
29.8%
8
70.2%
Q1 - 10:04MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)7
30.9%
6
69.1%
Q1 - 10:08MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
28.0%
6
72.0%
Q1 - 10:11LALMISS Walton Layup4
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 10:21MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
26.3%
6
73.7%
Q1 - 10:27MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.1%
6
74.9%
Q1 - 10:29LALMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot2
24.6%
6
75.4%
Q1 - 10:34LALWalton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
23.5%
6
76.5%
Q1 - 10:37MIAMISS Mourning 12' Jump Shot2
24.0%
6
76.0%
Q1 - 10:57LALCook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bryant 2 AST)2
25.1%
6
74.9%
Q1 - 11:08LALCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.0%
3
72.0%
Q1 - 11:11MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
28.4%
3
71.6%
Q1 - 11:27LALCook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bryant 1 AST)2
29.4%
3
70.6%
Q1 - 11:43MIAKapono 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
32.6%
0
67.4%
Q1 - 12:00LALJump Ball Bynum vs. Mourning: Tip to Kapono0
30.9%
0
69.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.7%
LAL
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
33
61%
LAL
18
32
56%
Midrange
MIA
14
28
50%
LAL
16
42
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
26
35%
52%
LAL
14
21.0
25
56%
84%
Free Throws
MIA
23
31
74%
LAL
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3555%17.5 / 32
U. Haslem2063%10.0 / 16
J. Posey1667%8.0 / 12
A. Walker1354%6.5 / 12
J. Kapono1063%5.0 / 8
A. Mourning945%4.5 / 10
M. Doleac675%3.0 / 4
G. Payton4100%2.0 / 2
J. Williams325%1.5 / 6
D. Wright2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Bryant2550%12.5 / 25
B. Cook2574%12.5 / 17
S. Parker1757%8.5 / 15
M. Evans1275%6.0 / 8
A. Bynum1169%5.5 / 8
V. Radmanovic1150%5.5 / 11
L. Walton1036%5.0 / 14
S. Vujacic6150%3.0 / 2
J. Farmar550%2.5 / 5
R. Turiaf2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
89
+14
-11
103
LAL
90
+19
-11
109
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.7%
LAL
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
108.2
MIA 118.0
LAL 122.8 +4.8
Pace
90.1
93.9
MIA 95.1 +7.8
LAL 87.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.6
MIA 15.1 +1.4
LAL 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
51.1%
MIA 54.6%
LAL 55.6% +1.0%
TO %
15.3%
15.7%
MIA 10.7%
LAL 9.3% +1.4%
ORB %
24.9%
26.1%
MIA 25.6%
LAL 27.1% +1.5%
FTrt
32.1
33.3
MIA 35.6 +15.4
LAL 20.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
59.6%
MIA 74.4% +3.6%
LAL 70.8%
STL %
7.6%
7.7%
MIA 7.0% +5.0%
LAL 2.0%
BLK %
8.8%
8.0%
MIA 9.5%
LAL 11.5% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
54.0%
MIA 55.7%
LAL 56.9% +1.2%
Rim FG%
61.8%
59.4%
MIA 60.6% +4.3%
LAL 56.3%
Mid FG%
40.5%
41.8%
MIA 50.0% +11.9%
LAL 38.1%
3P %
34.3%
35.3%
MIA 34.6%
LAL 56.0% +21.4%
FT %
69.0%
74.7%
MIA 74.2% +4.2%
LAL 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
36.7%
MIA 37.9% +5.6%
LAL 32.3%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
37.4%
MIA 32.2% +10.2%
LAL 42.4%
3P Att. %
24.5%
25.9%
MIA 29.9% +4.6%
LAL 25.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIALAL
Possessions100101
Possession Minutes25.227.8
Points118124
Rebounds4645
Assists3234
Steals72
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (3)13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)32 (3)
Field Goals43-8748-99
At-the-Rim FG20-3318-32
Midrange FG14-2816-42
2-Point FG34-6134-74
3-Point FG9-2614-25
Free Throws23-3114-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
42.0
35
55%
5
8
4
0
4
4
2
3
11-13
85%
12-23
52%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
37.3
10
63%
4
2
0
0
1
4
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
36.8
9
45%
15
0
0
3
3
5
5
10
5-8
63%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
35.6
20
63%
11
0
0
2
0
4
2
9
6-7
86%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
30.9
3
25%
4
9
1
0
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
28.0
16
67%
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
4-9
44%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
25.0
13
54%
3
5
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
3-7
43%
G · 6'4" 190 · 38
16.9
4
100%
2
6
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
8.1
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
4.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'2" 184 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
118
56%
46
32
7
7
11
0
11
35
23-31
74%
34-61
56%
9-26
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.