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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 15, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Heat36%96118
5Lakers64%101124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.0
42.0
34.8
35
57%
5
8
4
2
0
4
2
3
11-13
85%
12-23
7-15
52%
50%
0-2
0%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.9
37.3
34.4
10
63%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 36.9
36.8
25.2
9
47%
15
0
0
0
3
3
5
10
5-8
63%
2-6
4-7
33%
56%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
35.6
32.3
20
66%
11
0
0
1
2
0
2
9
6-7
86%
7-12
4-9
58%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.2
30.9
31.1
3
23%
4
9
1
1
0
0
0
4
1-1
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-4
0%
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.0
28.0
19.0
16
67%
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
4-9
44%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.4
25.0
20.5
13
55%
3
5
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-2
0%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.5
16.9
20.5
4
100%
2
6
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.6
8.1
16.6
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.1
4.4
14.7
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.4
3.6
0
1-1
47%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.3
2.9
0
0-1
42%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.9
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.9
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.6
44.2
28.5
17
57%
5
4
2
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
0-7
3-6
0%
52%
5-7
71%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 28.4
43.8
35.6
25
49%
4
8
0
1
1
1
1
3
3-3
100%
11-22
7-13
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
35.0
20.8
25
74%
10
4
0
1
3
3
4
6
1-2
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
51%
4-6
67%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.8
34.8
32.5
10
35%
10
6
0
1
1
2
3
7
2-5
40%
4-10
4-7
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 19.2
27.9
23.7
11
66%
8
2
0
0
0
0
4
4
3-3
100%
4-7
4-6
57%
55%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.2
25.8
22.4
12
68%
3
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
4-6
2-5
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
24.5
18.1
11
51%
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
2-7
2-3
29%
46%
2-3
67%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 24.0
10.6
21.6
2
100%
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.9
9.7
14.6
6
150%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
2-2
100%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 20.1
8.8
15.6
5
46%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 34.3
2.5
0
0-0
44%
Shammond Williams
G · 6'1" 201 · 31.8
1.7
0
0-0
40%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 24.9
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.2
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.