FinalWin Prob.pScore
2063%91
78
3037%87
84
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
81.39691.6
NOK
87.59683.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsMagicQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLNOK
OT1 - 0:00.0NOK78
0%
84
100%
OT1 - 0:06.0NOKButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)78
0.2%
84
99.8%
OT1 - 0:06.0NOKButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)78
0.3%
83
99.7%
OT1 - 0:07.0ORLDooling 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)78
0.7%
82
99.3%
OT1 - 0:10.0ORLMagic Rebound75
0.2%
82
99.8%
OT1 - 0:10.0ORLMISS Howard Tip Shot75
0.1%
82
99.9%
OT1 - 0:11.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)75
0.2%
82
99.8%
OT1 - 0:13.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot75
0.1%
82
99.9%
OT1 - 0:23.0NOKPargo Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)75
0.5%
82
99.5%
OT1 - 0:23.0NOKPargo Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)75
0.6%
81
99.4%
OT1 - 0:23.0NOKButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)75
1.0%
80
99.0%
OT1 - 0:27.0NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 275
3.0%
80
97.0%
OT1 - 0:27.0NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)75
1.8%
80
98.2%
OT1 - 0:46.0NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
5.9%
79
94.1%
OT1 - 0:48.0ORLArmstrong BLOCK (1 BLK)75
7.6%
79
92.4%
OT1 - 0:57.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)75
13.7%
79
86.3%
OT1 - 0:58.0NOKMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
11.5%
79
88.5%
OT1 - 1:19NOKMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
10.2%
79
89.8%
OT1 - 1:21ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
12.5%
79
87.5%
OT1 - 1:46NOKBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
22.1%
79
77.9%
OT1 - 1:46NOKBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)75
24.0%
78
76.0%
OT1 - 1:50ORLBrown STEAL (4 STL)75
31.4%
77
68.6%
OT1 - 2:05ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
46.9%
77
53.1%
OT1 - 2:06NOKMISS Pargo 20' Jump Shot75
42.0%
77
58.0%
OT1 - 2:26ORLMason STEAL (1 STL)75
31.5%
77
68.5%
OT1 - 2:42ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
48.2%
77
51.8%
OT1 - 2:43NOKMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
42.9%
77
57.1%
OT1 - 3:07NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
32.9%
77
67.1%
OT1 - 3:08ORLMISS Nelson 17' Fadeaway Jumper75
37.2%
77
62.8%
OT1 - 3:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)75
48.0%
77
52.0%
OT1 - 3:39NOKMISS Butler 18' Jump Shot75
45.0%
77
55.0%
OT1 - 4:02NOKHORNETS Rebound75
37.7%
77
62.3%
OT1 - 4:02ORLMISS Turkoglu 3PT Jump Shot75
40.6%
77
59.4%
OT1 - 4:19NOKButler 10' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)75
47.2%
77
52.8%
OT1 - 4:34NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
56.0%
75
44.0%
OT1 - 4:37ORLMISS Milicic 6' Hook Shot75
59.0%
75
41.0%
OT1 - 5:00NOKJump Ball Armstrong vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson75
65.5%
75
34.5%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
38.3%
75
61.7%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 274
28.8%
75
71.2%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
38.1%
75
61.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 274
18.4%
75
81.6%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)74
29.8%
75
70.2%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)73
16.6%
75
83.4%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLMISS Hill Tip Shot73
8.1%
75
91.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0ORLHill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)73
16.6%
75
83.4%
Q4 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Nelson 21' Jump Shot73
9.0%
75
91.0%
Q4 - 0:18.0NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)73
27.2%
75
72.8%
Q4 - 0:18.0NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)73
31.7%
74
68.3%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLNelson 16' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)73
45.2%
73
54.8%
Q4 - 0:47.0NOKMason Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)71
34.6%
73
65.4%
Q4 - 1:03NOKMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
22.4%
73
77.6%
Q4 - 1:04NOKMISS Mason 7' Jump Shot71
31.8%
73
68.2%
Q4 - 1:25NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)71
26.9%
73
73.1%
Q4 - 1:27ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot71
31.3%
73
68.7%
Q4 - 1:47ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
43.0%
73
57.0%
Q4 - 1:49NOKMISS Pargo 18' Jump Shot71
39.3%
73
60.7%
Q4 - 2:05NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
31.5%
73
68.5%
Q4 - 2:06ORLMISS Hill 21' Jump Shot71
36.0%
73
64.0%
Q4 - 2:28NOKPargo 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)71
48.0%
73
52.0%
Q4 - 2:39ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)71
54.0%
71
46.0%
Q4 - 3:09NOKMason 6' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)68
37.2%
71
62.8%
Q4 - 3:30ORLNelson Reverse Layup (10 PTS)68
42.9%
69
57.1%
Q4 - 3:48NOKPargo 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS)66
38.6%
69
61.4%
Q4 - 4:03NOKMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
46.8%
67
53.2%
Q4 - 4:04NOKMISS Brown 7' Jump Shot66
53.7%
67
46.3%
Q4 - 4:25NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)66
46.6%
67
53.4%
Q4 - 4:27ORLMISS Nelson 20' Jump Shot66
49.6%
67
50.4%
Q4 - 4:34NOKBrown Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)66
56.5%
67
43.5%
Q4 - 4:36ORLBrown STEAL (3 STL)66
46.5%
67
53.5%
Q4 - 4:55ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)66
56.5%
67
43.5%
Q4 - 4:59ORLMISS Bogans 3PT Jump Shot66
49.4%
67
50.6%
Q4 - 5:20ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
57.9%
67
42.1%
Q4 - 5:22ORLMISS Milicic Layup66
51.9%
67
48.1%
Q4 - 5:24ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
57.9%
67
42.1%
Q4 - 5:26ORLChandler BLOCK (3 BLK)66
51.9%
67
48.1%
Q4 - 5:42ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
57.9%
67
42.1%
Q4 - 5:44NOKMISS Mason 12' Jump Shot66
55.2%
67
44.8%
Q4 - 6:05NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
50.8%
67
49.2%
Q4 - 6:07ORLMISS Arroyo 10' Jump Shot66
53.5%
67
46.5%
Q4 - 6:11ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)66
59.4%
67
40.6%
Q4 - 6:13NOKMISS Pargo 7' Running Jump Shot66
56.8%
67
43.2%
Q4 - 6:33ORLTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)66
50.7%
67
49.3%
Q4 - 6:57NOKPargo 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS)63
36.8%
67
63.2%
Q4 - 7:11ORLMilicic Dunk (10 PTS)63
46.1%
65
53.9%
Q4 - 7:24ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
40.1%
65
59.9%
Q4 - 7:25ORLMISS Bogans Layup61
35.0%
65
65.0%
Q4 - 7:30NOKJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)61
40.0%
65
60.0%
Q4 - 7:44NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
32.7%
65
67.3%
Q4 - 7:46ORLMISS Arroyo 19' Jump Shot61
34.9%
65
65.1%
Q4 - 7:51NOKPargo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)61
39.9%
65
60.1%
Q4 - 7:58NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
32.7%
65
67.3%
Q4 - 8:00ORLMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot61
34.8%
65
65.2%
Q4 - 8:16NOKPargo 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)61
41.3%
65
58.7%
Q4 - 8:28ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
47.5%
63
52.5%
Q4 - 8:28ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 260
46.4%
63
53.6%
Q4 - 8:40ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
47.6%
63
52.4%
Q4 - 8:43NOKMISS Mason 8' Jump Shot60
45.6%
63
54.4%
Q4 - 9:18ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
43.0%
63
57.0%
Q4 - 9:18ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)59
42.0%
63
58.0%
Q4 - 9:24ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
37.5%
63
62.5%
Q4 - 9:26NOKMISS Mason 8' Jump Hook Shot58
35.7%
63
64.3%
Q4 - 9:44ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)58
31.7%
63
68.3%
Q4 - 9:44ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
37.4%
63
62.6%
Q4 - 9:45ORLMISS Milicic 5' Hook Shot58
33.4%
63
66.6%
Q4 - 10:08NOKJohnson 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)58
38.8%
63
61.2%
Q4 - 10:30ORLMilicic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T13)58
43.9%
61
56.1%
Q4 - 10:44NOKChandler Foul Turnover (P2.T12)58
50.0%
61
50.0%
Q4 - 11:02ORLMilicic 6' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)58
44.3%
61
55.7%
Q4 - 11:13NOKJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)56
39.3%
61
60.7%
Q4 - 11:40ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)56
34.0%
61
66.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL53
25.2%
61
74.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOKPargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)53
25.2%
61
74.8%
Q3 - 0:23.0ORLMilicic 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS)53
36.1%
58
63.9%
Q3 - 0:43.0NOKHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)51
31.4%
58
68.6%
Q3 - 1:06NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
29.2%
58
70.8%
Q3 - 1:08ORLMISS Turkoglu 16' Jump Shot51
30.5%
58
69.5%
Q3 - 1:12ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
33.5%
58
66.5%
Q3 - 1:14NOKMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
32.1%
58
67.9%
Q3 - 1:19NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
29.1%
58
70.9%
Q3 - 1:21ORLMISS Howard Layup51
30.4%
58
69.6%
Q3 - 1:39NOKJohnson Tip Shot (2 PTS)51
33.4%
58
66.6%
Q3 - 1:40NOKJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
37.7%
56
62.3%
Q3 - 1:42NOKMISS Mason 5' Hook Shot51
41.1%
56
58.9%
Q3 - 2:03ORLNelson Layup (8 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)51
38.7%
56
61.3%
Q3 - 2:04ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
34.7%
56
65.3%
Q3 - 2:08NOKMISS Pargo 13' Jump Shot49
33.3%
56
66.7%
Q3 - 2:22ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 3 of 3 (13 PTS)49
30.2%
56
69.8%
Q3 - 2:22ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 348
29.6%
56
70.4%
Q3 - 2:22ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 3 (12 PTS)48
32.9%
56
67.1%
Q3 - 2:48NOKPargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)47
26.7%
56
73.3%
Q3 - 3:16ORLTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)47
35.7%
53
64.3%
Q3 - 3:36NOKPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
28.1%
53
71.9%
Q3 - 3:55ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)44
35.6%
50
64.4%
Q3 - 3:55ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 243
34.3%
50
65.7%
Q3 - 4:13NOKMason Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)43
37.3%
50
62.7%
Q3 - 4:28NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)43
32.7%
50
67.3%
Q3 - 4:32ORLMISS Dooling 16' Jump Shot43
34.1%
50
65.9%
Q3 - 4:51ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)43
37.2%
50
62.8%
Q3 - 4:53NOKMISS Pargo 21' Jump Shot43
35.8%
50
64.2%
Q3 - 5:00NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
32.7%
50
67.3%
Q3 - 5:02ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
35.4%
50
64.6%
Q3 - 5:26NOKPargo 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)43
38.2%
50
61.8%
Q3 - 5:47ORLTurkoglu 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)43
41.9%
48
58.1%
Q3 - 6:01NOKBrown Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)41
39.5%
48
60.5%
Q3 - 6:03NOKButler 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)41
43.3%
47
56.7%
Q3 - 6:22NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)41
50.9%
44
49.1%
Q3 - 6:24ORLMISS Battie 5' Jump Shot41
52.2%
44
47.8%
Q3 - 6:40NOKBrown Driving Layup (8 PTS)41
55.2%
44
44.8%
Q3 - 6:57ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)41
58.9%
42
41.1%
Q3 - 7:14ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
55.3%
42
44.7%
Q3 - 7:15NOKMISS Jackson 22' Jump Shot39
53.9%
42
46.1%
Q3 - 7:24NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
50.9%
42
49.1%
Q3 - 7:25ORLMISS Hill Layup39
52.2%
42
47.8%
Q3 - 7:37ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
55.3%
42
44.7%
Q3 - 7:39NOKMISS Brown 16' Jump Shot39
54.0%
42
46.0%
Q3 - 7:56ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)39
50.9%
42
49.1%
Q3 - 7:56ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
50.3%
42
49.7%
Q3 - 8:17NOKMason Layup (16 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)37
48.4%
42
51.6%
Q3 - 8:23NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)37
51.7%
40
48.3%
Q3 - 8:24ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' Jump Shot37
53.0%
40
47.0%
Q3 - 8:34NOKChandler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)37
55.9%
40
44.1%
Q3 - 8:49ORLTurkoglu 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
51.6%
40
48.4%
Q3 - 9:02ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
49.0%
40
51.0%
Q3 - 9:03NOKMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
47.9%
40
52.1%
Q3 - 9:28ORLHoward 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)35
45.2%
40
54.8%
Q3 - 9:32ORLMagic Rebound33
41.7%
40
58.3%
Q3 - 9:32ORLChandler BLOCK (2 BLK)33
39.2%
40
60.8%
Q3 - 9:45ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)33
41.7%
40
58.3%
Q3 - 9:46NOKMISS Jackson 11' Jump Shot33
40.6%
40
59.4%
Q3 - 9:54NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
38.0%
40
62.0%
Q3 - 10:03ORLChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)33
40.5%
40
59.5%
Q3 - 10:12NOKButler Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)33
43.2%
40
56.8%
Q3 - 10:32ORLBattie Foul Turnover (P2.T12)33
39.3%
40
60.7%
Q3 - 10:43ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)33
43.1%
40
56.9%
Q3 - 10:45NOKMISS Mason 5' Jump Hook Shot33
41.9%
40
58.1%
Q3 - 11:01NOKJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
40.9%
40
59.1%
Q3 - 11:03NOKMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
43.3%
40
56.7%
Q3 - 11:27ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T11)33
40.8%
40
59.2%
Q3 - 11:40NOKMason 6' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS)33
44.3%
40
55.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL33
47.5%
38
52.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound33
51.1%
38
48.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOKMISS Butler 55' 3PT Jump Shot33
50.0%
38
50.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)33
49.2%
38
50.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 232
48.1%
38
51.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLMagic Rebound32
48.1%
38
51.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOKMISS Mason Layup32
47.5%
38
52.5%
Q2 - 0:08.0ORLNelson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)32
45.9%
38
54.1%
Q2 - 0:28.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)30
41.6%
38
58.4%
Q2 - 0:30.0NOKMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
40.9%
38
59.1%
Q2 - 0:49.0ORLBattie Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)30
39.2%
38
60.8%
Q2 - 1:16NOKChandler Layup (4 PTS)28
35.9%
38
64.1%
Q2 - 1:17NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)28
40.4%
36
59.6%
Q2 - 1:20NOKMISS Mason 7' Jump Shot28
41.5%
36
58.5%
Q2 - 1:30NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)28
40.4%
36
59.6%
Q2 - 1:32ORLMISS Battie 9' Jump Shot28
40.9%
36
59.1%
Q2 - 1:38ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)28
42.0%
36
58.0%
Q2 - 1:39NOKMISS Brown Layup28
41.5%
36
58.5%
Q2 - 1:56NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
40.3%
36
59.7%
Q2 - 1:57ORLMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot28
40.8%
36
59.2%
Q2 - 2:01ORLMagic Rebound28
43.5%
36
56.5%
Q2 - 2:02ORLMISS Howard Layup28
41.5%
36
58.5%
Q2 - 2:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)28
43.5%
36
56.5%
Q2 - 2:05ORLMISS Hill Layup28
41.5%
36
58.5%
Q2 - 2:12ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
43.5%
36
56.5%
Q2 - 2:13NOKMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
42.6%
36
57.4%
Q2 - 2:38ORLHoward 4' Jump Shot (7 PTS)28
40.6%
36
59.4%
Q2 - 2:57NOKButler 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)26
37.3%
36
62.7%
Q2 - 3:12NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
41.8%
34
58.2%
Q2 - 3:13ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot26
42.8%
34
57.2%
Q2 - 3:28NOKButler 6' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)26
45.0%
34
55.0%
Q2 - 3:44NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
47.6%
32
52.4%
Q2 - 3:45ORLMISS Dooling 3PT Jump Shot26
48.6%
32
51.4%
Q2 - 4:03NOKBrown Layup (6 PTS)26
51.7%
32
48.3%
Q2 - 4:05ORLBrown STEAL (2 STL)26
54.6%
30
45.4%
Q2 - 4:09ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
57.4%
30
42.6%
Q2 - 4:14NOKMISS Brown 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
56.5%
30
43.5%
Q2 - 4:22NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
54.6%
30
45.4%
Q2 - 4:23ORLMISS Milicic 5' Jump Bank Shot26
55.4%
30
44.6%
Q2 - 4:42NOKButler Slam Dunk (8 PTS)26
57.4%
30
42.6%
Q2 - 4:45ORLButler STEAL (1 STL)26
60.2%
28
39.8%
Q2 - 4:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)26
62.9%
28
37.1%
Q2 - 4:54NOKMISS Brown Reverse Layup26
62.1%
28
37.9%
Q2 - 5:11NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
60.4%
28
39.6%
Q2 - 5:12ORLMISS Arroyo 17' Jump Shot26
61.3%
28
38.7%
Q2 - 5:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
63.3%
28
36.7%
Q2 - 5:19NOKMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot26
62.5%
28
37.5%
Q2 - 5:29NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
60.4%
28
39.6%
Q2 - 5:31ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot26
61.3%
28
38.7%
Q2 - 5:43ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
63.3%
28
36.7%
Q2 - 5:45NOKMISS Butler 16' Jump Shot26
62.4%
28
37.6%
Q2 - 5:59ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)26
60.4%
28
39.6%
Q2 - 6:16NOKButler Dunk (6 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)26
63.9%
28
36.1%
Q2 - 6:36ORLMilicic Layup (4 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)26
65.8%
26
34.2%
Q2 - 6:59NOKButler 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)24
63.8%
26
36.2%
Q2 - 7:18ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
66.3%
24
33.7%
Q2 - 7:18ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
65.4%
24
34.6%
Q2 - 7:45NOKButler 4' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)22
64.0%
24
36.0%
Q2 - 8:01ORLBrown STEAL (1 STL)22
66.0%
22
34.0%
Q2 - 8:03NOKButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)22
68.6%
22
31.4%
Q2 - 8:21NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
66.1%
22
33.9%
Q2 - 8:23ORLJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)22
66.9%
22
33.1%
Q2 - 8:40ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
68.6%
22
31.4%
Q2 - 8:41NOKMISS Johnson 22' Jump Shot22
67.9%
22
32.1%
Q2 - 8:51NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
66.1%
22
33.9%
Q2 - 8:53ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot22
66.9%
22
33.1%
Q2 - 9:02NOKMason Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
68.7%
22
31.3%
Q2 - 9:02NOKHORNETS Rebound22
66.2%
22
33.8%
Q2 - 9:03NOKMISS Butler 15' Fadeaway Jumper22
67.9%
22
32.1%
Q2 - 9:25ORLArroyo Foul Turnover (P1.T6)22
66.2%
22
33.8%
Q2 - 9:30ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
68.7%
22
31.3%
Q2 - 9:32NOKMISS Pargo 15' Jump Shot22
67.9%
22
32.1%
Q2 - 9:45ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)22
66.2%
22
33.8%
Q2 - 9:54ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
61.8%
22
38.2%
Q2 - 9:56NOKMISS Mason 5' Jump Hook Shot19
61.0%
22
39.0%
Q2 - 10:16ORLMilicic 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)19
59.0%
22
41.0%
Q2 - 10:39NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)19
61.7%
22
38.3%
Q2 - 10:39NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)19
62.3%
21
37.7%
Q2 - 10:47NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)19
63.8%
20
36.2%
Q2 - 10:49NOKMISS Armstrong Layup19
65.5%
20
34.5%
Q2 - 10:50NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
63.8%
20
36.2%
Q2 - 10:53NOKMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
65.5%
20
34.5%
Q2 - 11:16NOKArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
64.1%
20
35.9%
Q2 - 11:18ORLMISS Garrity 4' Hook Shot19
64.7%
20
35.3%
Q2 - 11:37ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
66.2%
20
33.8%
Q2 - 11:40NOKMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot19
65.6%
20
34.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL19
64.0%
20
36.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0NOKPargo 4' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
65.9%
20
34.1%
Q1 - 0:07.0ORLNelson Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T4)19
68.5%
18
31.5%
Q1 - 0:25.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
70.1%
18
29.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0NOKMISS Chandler 4' Hook Shot19
69.6%
18
30.4%
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLHoward Layup (5 PTS)19
68.5%
18
31.5%
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
65.9%
18
34.1%
Q1 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Milicic 3' Hook Shot17
64.8%
18
35.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0NOKPargo 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
65.9%
18
34.1%
Q1 - 1:08NOKPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
68.6%
16
31.4%
Q1 - 1:08ORLMISS Milicic 6' Running Jump Shot17
69.0%
16
31.0%
Q1 - 1:33NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)17
70.1%
16
29.9%
Q1 - 1:33NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)17
70.6%
15
29.4%
Q1 - 1:33NOKHORNETS Rebound17
72.5%
14
27.5%
Q1 - 1:34ORLMISS Dooling 22' Jump Shot17
72.9%
14
27.1%
Q1 - 1:47ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw Technical17
73.9%
14
26.1%
Q1 - 2:02NOKMason Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
74.3%
14
25.7%
Q1 - 2:02NOKHORNETS Rebound17
74.4%
13
25.6%
Q1 - 2:02NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 217
74.7%
13
25.3%
Q1 - 2:16ORLBattie 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)17
74.4%
13
25.6%
Q1 - 2:38NOKMason 3' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)15
72.4%
13
27.6%
Q1 - 2:54ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)15
74.4%
11
25.6%
Q1 - 3:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
75.9%
11
24.1%
Q1 - 3:10NOKMISS Mason 9' Turnaround Jump Shot15
75.3%
11
24.7%
Q1 - 3:30NOKHORNETS Rebound15
74.0%
11
26.0%
Q1 - 3:30ORLMISS Nelson 18' Jump Shot15
74.6%
11
25.4%
Q1 - 3:45NOKBrown 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
75.9%
11
24.1%
Q1 - 3:58ORLBattie 3' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Hill 1 AST)15
77.4%
9
22.6%
Q1 - 4:15ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
76.0%
9
24.0%
Q1 - 4:17NOKMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 213
75.8%
9
24.2%
Q1 - 4:17NOKMason Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
74.8%
9
25.2%
Q1 - 4:31NOKMason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
75.7%
8
24.3%
Q1 - 4:32ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot13
76.3%
8
23.7%
Q1 - 4:41ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
77.6%
8
22.4%
Q1 - 4:42NOKMISS Jackson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot13
77.0%
8
23.0%
Q1 - 5:04ORLHill Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)13
75.6%
8
24.4%
Q1 - 5:18NOKMason Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)11
74.2%
8
25.8%
Q1 - 5:32ORLBattie Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)11
75.6%
6
24.4%
Q1 - 5:37NOKJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)11
77.3%
6
22.7%
Q1 - 5:57ORLHoward Layup (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)11
75.6%
6
24.4%
Q1 - 6:04ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
73.8%
6
26.2%
Q1 - 6:05NOKMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
73.4%
6
26.6%
Q1 - 6:28NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
72.2%
6
27.8%
Q1 - 6:29ORLMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot9
72.7%
6
27.3%
Q1 - 6:52NOKBrown Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)9
73.9%
6
26.1%
Q1 - 6:52NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
72.2%
6
27.8%
Q1 - 6:54NOKMISS Jackson Layup9
73.4%
6
26.6%
Q1 - 7:03NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
72.1%
6
27.9%
Q1 - 7:04ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup9
72.6%
6
27.4%
Q1 - 7:08ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
73.8%
6
26.2%
Q1 - 7:09NOKMISS Butler 14' Jump Shot9
73.3%
6
26.7%
Q1 - 7:12NOKButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
72.1%
6
27.9%
Q1 - 7:15NOKMISS Mason 4' Jump Shot9
73.3%
6
26.7%
Q1 - 7:24NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
72.1%
6
27.9%
Q1 - 7:26NOKMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot9
73.3%
6
26.7%
Q1 - 7:51ORLHill 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
72.1%
6
27.9%
Q1 - 8:07NOKChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
71.3%
6
28.7%
Q1 - 8:07NOKChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
71.8%
5
28.2%
Q1 - 8:22ORLNelson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
72.6%
4
27.4%
Q1 - 8:27NOKBrown Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)7
74.2%
4
25.8%
Q1 - 8:34NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
72.6%
4
27.4%
Q1 - 8:35ORLMISS Hill 19' Jump Shot7
73.1%
4
26.9%
Q1 - 8:50NOKJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T1)7
74.2%
4
25.8%
Q1 - 8:55NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
72.6%
4
27.4%
Q1 - 8:57ORLMISS Howard 2' Layup7
73.1%
4
26.9%
Q1 - 9:08NOKMason 7' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS)7
74.2%
4
25.8%
Q1 - 9:18NOKBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
75.3%
2
24.7%
Q1 - 9:20ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot7
75.8%
2
24.2%
Q1 - 9:30NOKBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
77.0%
2
23.0%
Q1 - 9:30NOKBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
77.3%
1
22.7%
Q1 - 9:54ORLNelson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)7
78.0%
0
22.0%
Q1 - 10:00ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
77.0%
0
23.0%
Q1 - 10:02NOKMISS Brown 15' Jump Shot5
76.4%
0
23.6%
Q1 - 10:20ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)5
75.3%
0
24.7%
Q1 - 10:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
74.1%
0
25.9%
Q1 - 10:34NOKMISS Mason 5' Jump Bank Shot3
73.6%
0
26.4%
Q1 - 10:49NOKChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
72.4%
0
27.6%
Q1 - 10:50ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 23
72.6%
0
27.4%
Q1 - 10:50ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
73.4%
0
26.6%
Q1 - 11:00ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
72.6%
0
27.4%
Q1 - 11:01NOKMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
72.0%
0
28.0%
Q1 - 11:22ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
71.0%
0
29.0%
Q1 - 11:32ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
69.4%
0
30.6%
Q1 - 11:34ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
68.4%
0
31.6%
Q1 - 12:00NOKJump Ball Chandler vs. Howard: Tip to Nelson0
69.4%
0
30.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.80 40.2%
NOK
0.89 44.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
15
36
42%
NOK
11
22
50%
Midrange
ORL
9
32
28%
NOK
15
41
37%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
NOK
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
ORL
15
23
65%
NOK
20
23
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard1750%8.5 / 17
H. Turkoglu1653%8.0 / 15
J. Nelson1235%6.0 / 17
D. Milicic1146%5.5 / 12
G. Hill739%3.5 / 9
T. Battie660%3.0 / 5
K. Bogans675%3.0 / 4
K. Dooling325%1.5 / 6
C. Arroyo0-0.0 / 6
P. Garrity0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Pargo2566%12.5 / 19
D. Mason2144%10.5 / 24
R. Butler1956%9.5 / 17
D. Brown1129%5.5 / 19
T. Chandler467%2.0 / 3
L. Johnson467%2.0 / 3
M. Jackson0-0.0 / 5
H. Armstrong0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
80
+15
-16
95
NOK
80
+14
-16
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.80 40.2%
NOK
0.89 44.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
104.6
ORL 81.3
NOK 87.5 +6.3
Pace
89.8
90.4
ORL 91.6 +8.2
NOK 83.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.1
ORL 15.7 +1.5
NOK 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
47.9%
ORL 38.0%
NOK 40.0% +2.0%
TO %
18.0%
14.9%
ORL 15.4% +0.5%
NOK 15.9%
ORB %
29.3%
29.2%
ORL 24.5% +1.6%
NOK 22.9%
FTrt
39.3
29.1
ORL 27.7
NOK 28.8 +1.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
51.7%
ORL 51.7% +15.0%
NOK 36.7%
STL %
7.6%
7.0%
ORL 8.3% +2.0%
NOK 6.3%
BLK %
8.5%
6.9%
ORL 9.5% +2.1%
NOK 7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
50.7%
ORL 40.2%
NOK 44.7% +4.5%
Rim FG%
61.6%
56.2%
ORL 41.7%
NOK 50.0% +8.3%
Mid FG%
38.3%
38.2%
ORL 28.1%
NOK 36.6% +8.5%
3P %
35.6%
36.2%
ORL 33.3% +9.8%
NOK 23.5%
FT %
70.2%
74.0%
ORL 65.2%
NOK 87.0% +21.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.1%
37.2%
ORL 43.4% +15.9%
NOK 27.5%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
44.0%
ORL 38.6% +12.7%
NOK 51.2%
3P Att. %
15.8%
18.8%
ORL 18.1%
NOK 21.3% +3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLNOK
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes25.127.6
Points7884
Rebounds4948
Assists1511
Steals86
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)11 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)37 (4)
Field Goals29-8330-80
At-the-Rim FG15-3611-22
Midrange FG9-3215-41
2-Point FG24-6826-63
3-Point FG5-154-17
Free Throws15-2320-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 220 · 28
39.4
16
53%
7
3
2
0
2
3
1
6
4-5
80%
3-7
43%
2-6
33%
G · 6'0" 190 · 25
39.0
12
35%
2
3
2
1
2
1
1
1
0-0
-
6-14
43%
0-3
0%
G · 6'8" 225 · 34
38.8
7
39%
5
1
2
0
2
2
2
3
3-4
75%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
37.8
17
50%
15
3
1
1
2
2
4
11
5-9
56%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 240 · 31
21.6
6
60%
3
0
0
1
2
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 22
27.5
11
46%
10
0
0
2
5
2
3
7
3-4
75%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 27
22.0
3
25%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27
18.9
6
75%
3
1
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
G · 6'2" 200 · 27
14.0
0
0%
3
2
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-6
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 238 · 30
6.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
G · 6'1" 175 · 25
#1 · F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
78
40%
49
15
8
6
16
0
12
37
15-23
65%
24-68
35%
5-15
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.