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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 16, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Cavaliers52%9996
21SuperSonics48%98101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.0
43.6
40.3
30
54%
7
8
2
2
1
4
1
6
13-15
87%
7-14
9-17
50%
52%
1-7
14%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.0
36.3
36.0
7
34%
5
6
1
2
0
0
0
5
3-3
100%
2-7
4-10
29%
44%
0-2
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.6
35.5
27.5
24
61%
11
0
1
1
0
1
6
5
4-4
100%
10-18
5-11
56%
49%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.7
34.3
30.2
3
52%
1
1
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-6
50%
43%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
28.8
30.6
12
55%
8
1
0
1
0
1
4
4
2-2
100%
5-10
6-11
50%
51%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.4
22.3
22.9
8
42%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
2-8
25%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
17.5
24.1
7
62%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-6
50%
2-3
3-5
67%
51%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.7
14.1
11.5
5
40%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
3-3
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.2
7.6
15.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.9
7.1
0
0-1
46%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.2
4.9
0
0-1
43%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.0
2.6
0
0-0
43%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.1
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.9
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.5
43.9
38.7
22
45%
4
11
0
1
0
4
0
4
8-8
100%
4-11
6-12
36%
49%
2-10
20%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
35.0
32.5
16
63%
12
0
3
1
0
2
3
9
6-6
100%
5-10
6-11
50%
53%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 26.2
29.9
36.3
14
60%
12
0
0
1
0
2
6
6
6-6
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
50%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 27.6
28.1
33.7
12
68%
1
7
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
3-7
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 23.7
25.1
22.1
9
51%
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
0-1
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.9
23.9
21.2
11
63%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
1-2
50%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 27.0
22.9
25.4
2
15%
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 21.0
16.2
14.2
6
43%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 25.7
14.9
5.5
9
77%
5
0
0
0
0
0
4
1
1-2
50%
4-5
1-2
80%
47%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.4
9.8
0
1-2
51%
Danny Fortson
C-F · 6'8" 260 · 30.8
6.5
0
1-1
48%
Mike Wilks
G · 5'10" 180 · 27.7
1.8
0
0-0
41%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 21.1
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.