Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Wednesday, January 17, 2007

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	28	Hawks	25%	89	105
	14	Timberwolves	75%	97	88

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
ATL	125.0	84	82.1
MIN	107.3	82	83.9

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+14

-9

MIN

+21

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.17 58.3%

MIN

0.94 46.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	ATL	MIN
Q4 - 0:00.0	ATL		105 100%	88 0%
Q4 - 0:17.0	MIN	Reed Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Hudson 4 AST)	105 99.9%	88 0.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0	ATL	Wright STEAL (1 STL)	105 99.9%	86 0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.0	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	105 99.9%	86 0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0	MIN	MISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot	105 99.9%	86 0.1%
Q4 - 0:46.0	ATL	Madsen STEAL (1 STL)	105 99.9%	86 0.1%
Q4 - 1:00	MIN	Hudson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)	105 99.9%	86 0.1%
Q4 - 1:08	MIN	Reed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	105 99.9%	83 0.1%
Q4 - 1:10	ATL	MISS Thompson 19' Jump Shot	105 99.9%	83 0.1%
Q4 - 1:29	MIN	Madsen Layup (2 PTS) (Hudson 3 AST)	105 99.9%	83 0.1%
Q4 - 1:43	ATL	Thompson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	105 99.9%	81 0.1%
Q4 - 2:02	MIN	Wright 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Hudson 2 AST)	105 99.9%	81 0.1%
Q4 - 2:17	ATL	Medvedenko 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stoudamire 5 AST)	105 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 2:33	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	103 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 2:34	MIN	MISS Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	103 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 2:40	MIN	Reed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	103 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 2:41	MIN	MISS Reed Layup	103 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 2:48	MIN	Madsen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	103 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 2:50	MIN	MISS Hudson 3PT Jump Shot	103 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 2:53	MIN	Madsen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	103 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 2:55	MIN	MISS Wright 21' Jump Shot	103 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 3:09	ATL	Stoudamire 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	103 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 3:33	MIN	Reed Dunk (2 PTS) (Foye 4 AST)	101 99.9%	79 0.1%
Q4 - 3:38	ATL	Garnett STEAL (2 STL)	101 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 3:57	MIN	Garnett 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)	101 99.9%	77 0.1%
Q4 - 4:08	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)	101 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 4:09	MIN	MISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot	101 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 4:17	MIN	Blount REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)	101 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 4:19	ATL	MISS Smith 19' Jump Shot	101 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 4:34	MIN	Blount Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T11)	101 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 4:47	ATL	Pachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T5)	101 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 5:09	MIN	Garnett 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	101 99.9%	75 0.1%
Q4 - 5:31	ATL	Pachulia 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	101 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 5:54	ATL	Shel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	99 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 5:55	MIN	MISS Hudson Driving Finger Roll	99 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 6:08	ATL	Smith 21' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Childress 5 AST)	99 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 6:17	ATL	Hawks Rebound	97 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 6:18	ATL	Garnett BLOCK (2 BLK)	97 99.8%	73 0.2%
Q4 - 6:29	MIN	Hudson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	97 99.9%	73 0.1%
Q4 - 6:38	MIN	Reed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	97 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 6:40	ATL	MISS Stoudamire 23' Jump Shot	97 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 6:55	ATL	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	97 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 6:58	MIN	MISS Reed 19' Jump Shot	97 99.9%	71 0.1%
Q4 - 7:19	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)	97 99.8%	71 0.2%
Q4 - 7:19	ATL	MISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2	97 99.8%	71 0.2%
Q4 - 7:19	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)	97 99.8%	71 0.2%
Q4 - 7:44	MIN	Garnett 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Foye 3 AST)	96 99.8%	71 0.2%
Q4 - 8:01	ATL	Pachulia Reverse Layup (9 PTS)	96 99.7%	69 0.3%
Q4 - 8:23	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	94 99.6%	69 0.4%
Q4 - 8:24	ATL	MISS Smith 15' Turnaround Jump Shot	94 99.6%	69 0.4%
Q4 - 8:42	MIN	Garnett Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)	94 99.6%	69 0.4%
Q4 - 8:47	ATL	Shel. Williams Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Pachulia 4 AST)	94 99.5%	69 0.5%
Q4 - 9:05	MIN	Foye Driving Layup (6 PTS)	92 99.1%	69 0.9%
Q4 - 9:21	ATL	Childress 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)	92 99.3%	67 0.7%
Q4 - 9:47	MIN	Hudson 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	89 98.9%	67 1.1%
Q4 - 10:01	ATL	Johnson 18' Jump Shot (29 PTS)	89 98.7%	65 1.3%
Q4 - 10:16	ATL	Childress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	87 98.5%	65 1.5%
Q4 - 10:18	MIN	MISS Davis 22' Jump Shot	87 98.3%	65 1.7%
Q4 - 10:40	ATL	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	87 98.1%	65 1.9%
Q4 - 10:40	ATL	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	86 98.0%	65 2.0%
Q4 - 10:41	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	85 97.6%	65 2.4%
Q4 - 10:42	ATL	Garnett BLOCK (1 BLK)	85 97.2%	65 2.8%
Q4 - 11:04	ATL	Shel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	85 97.0%	65 3.0%
Q4 - 11:05	MIN	MISS Garnett 17' Jump Shot	85 96.8%	65 3.2%
Q4 - 11:21	ATL	Childress Layup (8 PTS)	85 96.3%	65 3.7%
Q4 - 11:22	ATL	Childress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	83 95.5%	65 4.5%
Q4 - 11:23	ATL	MISS Shel. Williams 21' Jump Shot	83 94.8%	65 5.2%
Q4 - 11:43	ATL	Childress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	83 95.6%	65 4.4%
Q4 - 11:45	MIN	MISS Foye 18' Jump Shot	83 95.3%	65 4.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0	ATL		83 94.5%	65 5.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	83 94.4%	65 5.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0	MIN	MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 1	83 94.2%	65 5.8%
Q3 - 0:25.0	MIN	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	83 95.4%	63 4.6%
Q3 - 0:26.0	ATL	MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	83 95.7%	63 4.3%
Q3 - 0:49.0	MIN	Blount Layup (16 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)	83 96.3%	63 3.7%
Q3 - 1:01	ATL	Smith Driving Layup (19 PTS)	83 96.0%	61 4.0%
Q3 - 1:17	ATL	Shel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	81 95.3%	61 4.7%
Q3 - 1:20	MIN	MISS Smith 6' Jump Hook Shot	81 95.0%	61 5.0%
Q3 - 1:32	MIN	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	81 94.3%	61 5.7%
Q3 - 1:33	ATL	MISS Childress 9' Jump Shot	81 94.7%	61 5.3%
Q3 - 1:47	ATL	Childress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	81 95.4%	61 4.6%
Q3 - 1:49	MIN	MISS Smith 8' Jump Hook Shot	81 95.1%	61 4.9%
Q3 - 2:10	MIN	Blount REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)	81 93.0%	61 7.0%
Q3 - 2:10	ATL	MISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 1	81 93.2%	61 6.8%
Q3 - 2:21	ATL	Childress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	79 91.9%	61 8.1%
Q3 - 2:22	MIN	MISS Smith 18' Jump Shot	79 91.4%	61 8.6%
Q3 - 2:35	MIN	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	79 90.2%	61 9.8%
Q3 - 2:38	ATL	MISS Smith 20' Jump Shot	79 90.8%	61 9.2%
Q3 - 2:54	MIN	Smith 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (James 1 AST)	79 91.9%	61 8.1%
Q3 - 3:04	MIN	TIMBERWOLVES Rebound	79 92.1%	59 7.9%
Q3 - 3:05	MIN	MISS Foye 16' Jump Shot	79 93.0%	59 7.0%
Q3 - 3:17	MIN	Foye REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	79 92.2%	59 7.8%
Q3 - 3:21	MIN	MISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot	79 93.1%	59 6.9%
Q3 - 3:38	ATL	Smith 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)	79 92.2%	59 7.8%
Q3 - 3:51	ATL	Hawks Rebound	77 90.9%	59 9.1%
Q3 - 3:52	MIN	MISS Blount 16' Jump Shot	77 90.4%	59 9.6%
Q3 - 4:09	ATL	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	77 87.5%	59 12.5%
Q3 - 4:09	ATL	MISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 2	76 87.1%	59 12.9%
Q3 - 4:11	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	76 87.8%	59 12.2%
Q3 - 4:12	ATL	MISS Williams 18' Jump Shot	76 86.2%	59 13.8%
Q3 - 4:29	MIN	James 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Garnett 4 AST)	76 87.9%	59 12.1%
Q3 - 4:39	ATL	Smith 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	76 89.4%	57 10.6%
Q3 - 4:54	MIN	James 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	74 87.9%	57 12.1%
Q3 - 5:09	ATL	Pachulia 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)	74 88.1%	55 11.9%
Q3 - 5:28	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	72 86.5%	55 13.5%
Q3 - 5:30	MIN	MISS Hassell 15' Jump Shot	72 85.8%	55 14.2%
Q3 - 5:44	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)	72 84.3%	55 15.7%
Q3 - 5:46	ATL	MISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot	72 85.0%	55 15.0%
Q3 - 6:07	MIN	James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hassell 7 AST)	72 84.7%	55 15.3%
Q3 - 6:30	ATL	Pachulia Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)	72 88.4%	52 11.6%
Q3 - 6:34	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	70 86.8%	52 13.2%
Q3 - 6:35	ATL	MISS Williams 19' Jump Shot	70 85.4%	52 14.6%
Q3 - 6:38	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	70 86.8%	52 13.2%
Q3 - 6:39	ATL	MISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot	70 85.4%	52 14.6%
Q3 - 7:03	MIN	Blount 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T9)	70 85.4%	52 14.6%
Q3 - 7:28	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)	70 83.2%	52 16.8%
Q3 - 7:30	ATL	MISS Williams 18' Jump Shot	70 83.9%	52 16.1%
Q3 - 7:40	MIN	Blount Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)	70 85.5%	52 14.5%
Q3 - 8:00	ATL	Wright 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)	70 83.2%	52 16.8%
Q3 - 8:19	MIN	Davis 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	68 80.1%	52 19.9%
Q3 - 8:34	ATL	Williams 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)	68 82.1%	50 17.9%
Q3 - 8:41	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	66 80.2%	50 19.8%
Q3 - 8:43	MIN	MISS Blount 14' Turnaround Jump Shot	66 79.3%	50 20.7%
Q3 - 9:05	ATL	Ivey 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)	66 75.3%	50 24.7%
Q3 - 9:35	MIN	Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Garnett 3 AST)	63 69.7%	50 30.3%
Q3 - 9:42	MIN	Blount REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)	63 75.5%	47 24.5%
Q3 - 9:44	ATL	MISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot	63 76.3%	47 23.7%
Q3 - 10:02	MIN	James Foul Turnover (P1.T7)	63 76.4%	47 23.6%
Q3 - 10:04	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)	63 73.4%	47 26.6%
Q3 - 10:05	ATL	MISS Smith Layup	63 74.3%	47 25.7%
Q3 - 10:19	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	63 76.4%	47 23.6%
Q3 - 10:20	MIN	MISS Garnett Layup	63 75.5%	47 24.5%
Q3 - 10:37	ATL	Wright Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)	63 73.5%	47 26.5%
Q3 - 11:03	MIN	Garnett 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Blount 2 AST)	61 68.9%	47 31.1%
Q3 - 11:26	ATL	Ivey 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)	61 71.8%	45 28.2%
Q3 - 11:34	MIN	Davis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)	59 69.1%	45 30.9%
Q3 - 11:41	ATL	Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)	59 65.9%	45 34.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0	ATL		56 59.7%	45 40.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	ATL	Hawks Rebound	56 59.7%	45 40.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0	ATL	MISS Shel. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot	56 57.2%	45 42.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0	MIN	Garnett Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	56 57.3%	45 42.7%
Q2 - 0:03.0	MIN	MISS Garnett Free Throw 1 of 2	56 57.9%	44 42.1%
Q2 - 0:22.0	ATL	Childress 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)	56 58.4%	44 41.6%
Q2 - 0:42.0	MIN	Foye Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Hassell 6 AST)	54 54.2%	44 45.8%
Q2 - 0:47.0	ATL	Garnett STEAL (1 STL)	54 58.4%	42 41.6%
Q2 - 1:08	MIN	Garnett 8' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Hassell 5 AST)	54 59.2%	42 40.8%
Q2 - 1:28	ATL	Childress 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)	54 63.8%	40 36.2%
Q2 - 1:44	MIN	Garnett Layup (2 PTS)	52 59.3%	40 40.7%
Q2 - 1:45	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)	52 63.8%	38 36.2%
Q2 - 1:47	MIN	MISS Garnett Layup	52 64.9%	38 35.1%
Q2 - 1:48	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	52 63.8%	38 36.2%
Q2 - 1:49	MIN	MISS James 3PT Jump Shot	52 64.9%	38 35.1%
Q2 - 2:10	ATL	Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	52 61.6%	38 38.4%
Q2 - 2:16	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	49 55.4%	38 44.6%
Q2 - 2:17	MIN	MISS Foye Layup	49 54.5%	38 45.5%
Q2 - 2:22	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	49 52.6%	38 47.4%
Q2 - 2:23	ATL	MISS Smith 19' Jump Shot	49 53.4%	38 46.6%
Q2 - 2:45	MIN	Blount Slam Dunk (14 PTS) (Hassell 4 AST)	49 55.4%	38 44.6%
Q2 - 3:02	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	49 56.1%	36 43.9%
Q2 - 3:02	ATL	Smith Tip Shot (11 PTS)	49 56.1%	36 43.9%
Q2 - 3:04	ATL	MISS Smith Layup	47 51.2%	36 48.8%
Q2 - 3:12	ATL	Wright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	47 53.6%	36 46.4%
Q2 - 3:14	MIN	MISS Garnett 12' Jump Shot	47 52.6%	36 47.4%
Q2 - 3:26	ATL	Johnson 16' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)	47 50.3%	36 49.7%
Q2 - 3:44	MIN	Blount 11' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Garnett 2 AST)	45 47.8%	36 52.2%
Q2 - 4:02	MIN	Blount REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)	45 48.8%	34 51.2%
Q2 - 4:03	ATL	MISS Williams 17' Jump Shot	45 49.6%	34 50.4%
Q2 - 4:27	MIN	Foye 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	45 51.7%	34 48.3%
Q2 - 4:32	MIN	Foye REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	45 54.6%	32 45.4%
Q2 - 4:33	MIN	MISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot	45 56.6%	32 43.4%
Q2 - 4:52	ATL	James STEAL (1 STL)	45 54.7%	32 45.3%
Q2 - 4:56	ATL	Wright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	45 57.5%	32 42.5%
Q2 - 4:58	MIN	MISS James 4' Jump Shot	45 56.6%	32 43.4%
Q2 - 5:06	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	45 53.4%	32 46.6%
Q2 - 5:08	ATL	MISS Stoudamire 18' Jump Shot	45 54.4%	32 45.6%
Q2 - 5:21	MIN	Smith Layup (4 PTS)	45 56.5%	32 43.5%
Q2 - 5:22	MIN	Smith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	45 59.0%	30 41.0%
Q2 - 5:23	MIN	MISS Wright 25' 3PT Jump Shot	45 61.1%	30 38.9%
Q2 - 5:47	ATL	Stoudamire 16' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)	45 59.1%	30 40.9%
Q2 - 5:52	MIN	Wright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	43 56.5%	30 43.5%
Q2 - 6:01	ATL	Smith Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)	43 52.0%	30 48.0%
Q2 - 6:01	ATL	Smith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)	42 51.3%	30 48.7%
Q2 - 6:08	ATL	Shel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	41 49.9%	30 50.1%
Q2 - 6:10	MIN	MISS Davis 19' Jump Shot	41 48.9%	30 51.1%
Q2 - 6:27	MIN	TIMBERWOLVES Rebound	41 46.6%	30 53.4%
Q2 - 6:28	ATL	MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	41 47.6%	30 52.4%
Q2 - 6:45	ATL	Shel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	41 50.0%	30 50.0%
Q2 - 6:46	MIN	MISS Wright 16' Jump Shot	41 49.0%	30 51.0%
Q2 - 7:10	ATL	Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Stoudamire 4 AST)	41 45.5%	30 54.5%
Q2 - 7:17	ATL	Stoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	38 40.5%	30 59.5%
Q2 - 7:18	MIN	MISS Garnett 15' Jump Shot	38 39.7%	30 60.3%
Q2 - 7:24	MIN	TIMBERWOLVES Rebound	38 37.8%	30 62.2%
Q2 - 7:25	MIN	MISS Davis 19' Jump Shot	38 39.7%	30 60.3%
Q2 - 7:44	ATL	Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Stoudamire 3 AST)	38 37.9%	30 62.1%
Q2 - 8:07	MIN	Smith 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)	35 32.9%	30 67.1%
Q2 - 8:18	MIN	Blount REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)	35 34.9%	28 65.1%
Q2 - 8:20	ATL	MISS Shel. Williams 17' Jump Shot	35 35.7%	28 64.3%
Q2 - 8:42	MIN	Davis 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Foye 1 AST)	35 37.6%	28 62.4%
Q2 - 8:52	MIN	Blount REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)	35 39.8%	26 60.2%
Q2 - 8:54	ATL	MISS Stoudamire 21' Jump Shot	35 40.6%	26 59.4%
Q2 - 9:14	ATL	Shel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	35 41.5%	26 58.5%
Q2 - 9:16	MIN	MISS Davis 18' Jump Shot	35 40.7%	26 59.3%
Q2 - 9:33	ATL	Smith Layup (7 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)	35 38.9%	26 61.1%
Q2 - 9:50	ATL	Childress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	33 36.8%	26 63.2%
Q2 - 9:52	MIN	MISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot	33 36.0%	26 64.0%
Q2 - 10:15	ATL	Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)	33 34.1%	26 66.0%
Q2 - 10:20	ATL	Shel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30 30.0%	26 70.0%
Q2 - 10:21	MIN	MISS Davis Layup	30 29.3%	26 70.7%
Q2 - 10:27	MIN	Foye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30 27.7%	26 72.3%
Q2 - 10:29	ATL	MISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot	30 28.4%	26 71.6%
Q2 - 10:33	ATL	Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	30 30.0%	26 70.0%
Q2 - 10:34	ATL	MISS Childress Layup	30 28.4%	26 71.6%
Q2 - 10:50	MIN	Blount 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hassell 3 AST)	30 30.0%	26 70.0%
Q2 - 11:10	ATL	Shel. Williams Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)	30 31.2%	24 68.8%
Q2 - 11:29	MIN	Davis Driving Layup (6 PTS)	28 29.1%	24 70.9%
Q2 - 11:45	ATL	Shel. Williams 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Childress 3 AST)	28 31.2%	22 68.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIN		26 29.2%	22 70.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIN	TIMBERWOLVES Rebound	26 27.2%	22 72.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIN	MISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot	26 28.6%	22 71.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0	MIN	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	26 27.1%	22 72.9%
Q1 - 0:03.0	ATL	MISS Pachulia Layup	26 27.5%	22 72.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0	MIN	Foye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	26 28.5%	22 71.5%
Q1 - 0:30.0	MIN	Foye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 27.1%	22 72.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0	ATL	MISS Childress 17' Jump Shot	26 27.5%	22 72.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0	ATL	Shel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 28.5%	22 71.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0	MIN	MISS Foye 3PT Jump Shot	26 28.1%	22 71.9%
Q1 - 1:13	ATL	Stoudamire 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)	26 27.0%	22 73.0%
Q1 - 1:34	MIN	Blount Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	24 24.8%	22 75.2%
Q1 - 1:34	MIN	Blount Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	24 25.2%	21 74.8%
Q1 - 1:47	ATL	Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)	24 27.0%	20 73.0%
Q1 - 1:59	ATL	Childress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	21 23.1%	20 76.9%
Q1 - 2:00	MIN	MISS Blount Layup	21 22.7%	20 77.3%
Q1 - 2:23	MIN	TIMBERWOLVES Rebound	21 21.6%	20 78.4%
Q1 - 2:25	ATL	Blount BLOCK (1 BLK)	21 22.1%	20 77.9%
Q1 - 2:43	MIN	Blount 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Garnett 1 AST)	21 23.2%	20 76.8%
Q1 - 3:07	ATL	Johnson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	21 24.4%	18 75.6%
Q1 - 3:25	MIN	Davis Driving Layup (4 PTS)	19 23.0%	18 77.0%
Q1 - 3:30	MIN	Davis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	19 24.4%	16 75.6%
Q1 - 3:31	ATL	MISS Childress 3PT Jump Shot	19 25.0%	16 75.0%
Q1 - 3:43	MIN	Blount REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)	19 26.3%	16 73.7%
Q1 - 3:43	MIN	Blount Tip Shot (4 PTS)	19 26.3%	16 73.7%
Q1 - 3:44	MIN	MISS Garnett Layup	19 29.3%	14 70.7%
Q1 - 3:47	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	19 27.9%	14 72.1%
Q1 - 3:49	MIN	MISS James 19' Jump Shot	19 29.3%	14 70.7%
Q1 - 4:04	ATL	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	19 27.2%	14 72.8%
Q1 - 4:04	ATL	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	18 26.8%	14 73.2%
Q1 - 4:07	ATL	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	17 25.9%	14 74.1%
Q1 - 4:09	MIN	MISS Garnett 17' Jump Shot	17 25.2%	14 74.8%
Q1 - 4:11	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	17 23.9%	14 76.1%
Q1 - 4:12	MIN	MISS Blount Layup	17 25.2%	14 74.8%
Q1 - 4:30	ATL	Johnson 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)	17 23.9%	14 76.1%
Q1 - 4:47	ATL	Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	15 22.6%	14 77.4%
Q1 - 4:49	MIN	MISS Garnett 15' Turnaround Jump Shot	15 22.1%	14 77.9%
Q1 - 5:07	ATL	Smith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)	15 20.4%	14 79.6%
Q1 - 5:15	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	12 18.0%	14 82.0%
Q1 - 5:16	MIN	Blount REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	12 16.6%	14 83.4%
Q1 - 5:16	MIN	MISS Blount Tip Shot	12 17.6%	14 82.4%
Q1 - 5:17	MIN	MISS Garnett Layup	12 17.6%	14 82.4%
Q1 - 5:28	ATL	Blount STEAL (1 STL)	12 16.7%	14 83.3%
Q1 - 5:40	MIN	James 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hassell 2 AST)	12 18.0%	14 82.0%
Q1 - 6:04	MIN	Blount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	12 20.3%	11 79.7%
Q1 - 6:04	ATL	MISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 2	12 20.4%	11 79.6%
Q1 - 6:04	ATL	MISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 2	12 21.1%	11 78.9%
Q1 - 6:05	ATL	Wright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	12 21.7%	11 78.3%
Q1 - 6:07	ATL	MISS Smith 19' Jump Shot	12 20.7%	11 79.3%
Q1 - 6:12	ATL	Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 21.7%	11 78.3%
Q1 - 6:13	MIN	James REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	12 20.3%	11 79.7%
Q1 - 6:13	MIN	MISS James Tip Shot	12 21.2%	11 78.8%
Q1 - 6:14	MIN	MISS James Layup	12 21.2%	11 78.8%
Q1 - 6:27	ATL	Johnson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	12 20.3%	11 79.7%
Q1 - 6:35	ATL	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	10 19.1%	11 80.9%
Q1 - 6:37	MIN	MISS Blount Layup	10 18.7%	11 81.3%
Q1 - 6:38	MIN	Blount REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	10 17.8%	11 82.2%
Q1 - 6:40	MIN	MISS James 17' Jump Shot	10 18.7%	11 81.3%
Q1 - 6:48	MIN	James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	10 17.8%	11 82.2%
Q1 - 6:49	MIN	MISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot	10 18.7%	11 81.3%
Q1 - 7:09	ATL	Childress Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)	10 17.6%	11 82.4%
Q1 - 7:12	MIN	Blount Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)	8 16.6%	11 83.4%
Q1 - 7:33	ATL	Johnson Layup (4 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)	8 15.5%	11 84.5%
Q1 - 7:36	ATL	Childress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	6 14.6%	11 85.4%
Q1 - 7:38	ATL	MISS Williams 17' Jump Shot	6 13.9%	11 86.1%
Q1 - 7:56	MIN	Davis Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Hassell 1 AST)	6 14.6%	11 85.4%
Q1 - 8:00	MIN	Hassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	6 15.5%	9 84.5%
Q1 - 8:01	ATL	MISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	6 15.7%	9 84.3%
Q1 - 8:22	MIN	Hassell Dunk (4 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)	6 16.5%	9 83.5%
Q1 - 8:40	ATL	Wright Layup (2 PTS)	6 17.4%	7 82.6%
Q1 - 8:41	ATL	Wright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	4 16.5%	7 83.5%
Q1 - 8:42	ATL	MISS Smith Layup	4 15.7%	7 84.3%
Q1 - 9:02	MIN	Hassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	4 16.4%	7 83.6%
Q1 - 9:02	MIN	Hassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	4 16.6%	6 83.4%
Q1 - 9:21	ATL	Johnson 11' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)	4 17.2%	5 82.8%
Q1 - 9:40	MIN	Blount Layup (2 PTS)	2 16.4%	5 83.6%
Q1 - 10:01	ATL	Johnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)	2 17.2%	3 82.8%
Q1 - 10:13	MIN	Blount 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)	2 18.5%	3 81.5%
Q1 - 10:21	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	2 17.2%	3 82.8%
Q1 - 10:22	ATL	MISS Williams 18' Jump Shot	2 17.6%	3 82.4%
Q1 - 10:36	MIN	Hassell Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)	2 18.5%	3 81.5%
Q1 - 10:45	ATL	Smith 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)	2 17.2%	3 82.8%
Q1 - 10:57	ATL	Wright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 16.3%	3 83.7%
Q1 - 10:58	ATL	MISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot	0 15.5%	3 84.5%
Q1 - 11:14	MIN	James Driving Layup (3 PTS)	0 16.2%	3 83.8%
Q1 - 11:23	MIN	Garnett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 17.3%	1 82.7%
Q1 - 11:24	MIN	MISS Hassell 18' Jump Shot	0 18.0%	1 82.0%
Q1 - 11:44	MIN	Blount REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0 17.3%	1 82.7%
Q1 - 11:45	MIN	MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2	0 18.2%	1 81.8%
Q1 - 11:45	MIN	James Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	0 17.4%	1 82.6%
Q1 - 12:00	MIN	Jump Ball Garnett vs. Smith: Tip to James	0 18.4%	0 81.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.17 58.3%

MIN

0.94 46.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

ATL

64%

MIN

53%

Midrange

ATL

50%

MIN

44%

3PT | Effective 3PT

ATL

10.5

54%

81%

MIN

6.0

25%

38%

Free Throws

ATL

67%

MIN

67%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hawks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Johnson	29	76%	14.5 / 19
J. Smith	21	55%	10.5 / 19
Z. Pachulia	12	75%	6.0 / 8
J. Childress	11	55%	5.5 / 10
M. Williams	7	32%	3.5 / 11
L. Wright	6	75%	3.0 / 4
S. Williams	6	50%	3.0 / 6
S. Stoudamire	6	50%	3.0 / 6
R. Ivey	5	125%	2.5 / 2
S. Medvedenko	2	100%	1.0 / 1
D. Thompson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Timberwolves

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Blount	16	57%	8.0 / 14
K. Garnett	13	41%	6.5 / 16
R. Davis	13	46%	6.5 / 14
M. James	13	46%	6.5 / 14
C. Smith	8	57%	4.0 / 7
T. Hudson	7	58%	3.5 / 6
R. Foye	6	33%	3.0 / 9
T. Hassell	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Reed	4	50%	2.0 / 4
B. Wright	2	25%	1.0 / 4
M. Madsen	2	100%	1.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL

+14

-9

MIN

+21

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL

1.17 58.3%

MIN

0.94 46.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	102.9 103.5	ATL 125.0 +17.7 MIN 107.3
Pace	90.2 91.4	ATL 82.1 MIN 83.9 +1.8
Avg. Poss. Time	16.2 15.6	ATL 17.5 MIN 17.2 +0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	47.1% 49.0%	ATL 58.6% +12.5% MIN 46.1%
TO %	16.7% 16.2%	ATL 9.3% +1.3% MIN 10.6%
ORB %	29.3% 25.2%	ATL 33.3% MIN 37.5% +4.2%
FTrt	34.6 29.1	ATL 18.5 +8.4 MIN 10.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	55.6% 61.7%	ATL 70.5% +9.0% MIN 61.5%
STL %	8.2% 7.0%	ATL 6.0% MIN 7.3% +1.3%
BLK %	8.7% 6.2%	ATL 5.5% +1.1% MIN 4.4%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	50.8% 52.2%	ATL 58.3% +11.5% MIN 46.8%
Rim FG%	55.2% 58.7%	ATL 63.6% +10.5% MIN 53.1%
Mid FG%	39.3% 42.4%	ATL 50.0% +6.1% MIN 43.9%
3P %	32.9% 35.3%	ATL 53.8% +28.8% MIN 25.0%
FT %	76.1% 79.2%	ATL 66.7% MIN 66.7%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	38.8% 30.1%	ATL 27.2% MIN 36.0% +8.8%
Mid Att. %	44.9% 53.1%	ATL 56.8% MIN 46.1% +10.7%
3P Att. %	16.3% 16.7%	ATL 16.0% MIN 18.0% +1.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	ATL	MIN
Possessions	84	82
Possession Minutes	24.6	23.4
Points	105	88
Rebounds	42	42
Assists	31	24
Steals	5	6
Blocks	4	3
Turnovers (Team)	9 (0)	11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (2)	18 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (1)	24 (2)
Field Goals	44-81	39-89
At-the-Rim FG	14-22	17-32
Midrange FG	23-46	18-41
2-Point FG	37-68	35-73
3-Point FG	7-13	4-16
Free Throws	10-15	6-9
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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28 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 21	38.4	21	55%	5	1	1	3	0	1	3	2	3-4	75%	9-17	53%	0-1	0%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 26	35.1	29	76%	1	8	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	7-11	64%	5-8	63%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 21	29.9	7	32%	10	5	0	0	1	1	2	8	5-6	83%	1-8	13%	0-0	-
Lorenzen Wright C · 6'11" 255 · 31	26.1	6	75%	6	2	0	0	0	5	3	3	0-2	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Royal Ivey G · 6'4" 200 · 25	10.8	5	125%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Josh Childress F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24	31.6	11	55%	8	5	0	1	1	0	2	6	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Shelden Williams C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23	25.2	6	50%	8	0	1	0	0	3	0	8	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 23	19.3	12	75%	2	4	0	0	2	5	2	0	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Salim Stoudamire G · 6'1" 175 · 24	16.1	6	50%	2	5	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Solomon Jones F · 6'10" 235 · 23	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dijon Thompson G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Slava Medvedenko F · 6'10" 253 · 28	2.5	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Speedy Claxton #12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tyronn Lue #10 · G · 6'0" 175 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Esteban Batista #11 · F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	58%	42	31	5	4	9	0	12	30	10-15	67%	37-68	54%	7-13	54%

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28 Atlanta Hawks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Josh Smith F · 6'9" 225 · 21	38.4	21	55%	5	1	1	3	0	1	3	2	3-4	75%	9-17	53%	0-1	0%
Joe Johnson G · 6'7" 240 · 26	35.1	29	76%	1	8	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-0	-	7-11	64%	5-8	63%
Marvin Williams F · 6'9" 237 · 21	29.9	7	32%	10	5	0	0	1	1	2	8	5-6	83%	1-8	13%	0-0	-
Lorenzen Wright C · 6'11" 255 · 31	26.1	6	75%	6	2	0	0	0	5	3	3	0-2	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Royal Ivey G · 6'4" 200 · 25	10.8	5	125%	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	1-1	100%
Josh Childress F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24	31.6	11	55%	8	5	0	1	1	0	2	6	0-0	-	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Shelden Williams C-F · 6'9" 250 · 23	25.2	6	50%	8	0	1	0	0	3	0	8	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-1	0%
Zaza Pachulia C · 6'11" 270 · 23	19.3	12	75%	2	4	0	0	2	5	2	0	2-3	67%	5-7	71%	0-0	-
Salim Stoudamire G · 6'1" 175 · 24	16.1	6	50%	2	5	1	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Solomon Jones F · 6'10" 235 · 23	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dijon Thompson G-F · 6'8" 200 · 24	2.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Slava Medvedenko F · 6'10" 253 · 28	2.5	2	100%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Speedy Claxton #12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tyronn Lue #10 · G · 6'0" 175 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Esteban Batista #11 · F-C · 6'10" 268 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	58%	42	31	5	4	9	0	12	30	10-15	67%	37-68	54%	7-13	54%

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14 Minnesota Timberwolves

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Mark Blount C · 7'0" 250 · 31	37.0	16	57%	11	2	1	1	5	2	4	7	2-2	100%	7-13	54%	0-0	-
Kevin Garnett F · 6'11" 240 · 31	35.7	13	41%	13	4	2	2	1	1	6	7	1-2	50%	6-15	40%	0-0	-
Ricky Davis G · 6'7" 195 · 27	32.5	13	46%	3	2	0	0	1	1	0	3	0-0	-	5-10	50%	1-4	25%
Trenton Hassell F · 6'5" 227 · 28	28.3	4	50%	1	7	0	0	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Mike James G · 6'2" 188 · 32	27.2	13	46%	2	1	1	0	1	3	2	0	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	2-5	40%
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 23	29.1	6	33%	4	4	0	0	1	3	2	2	0-0	-	3-6	50%	0-3	0%
Craig Smith F · 6'7" 265 · 23	16.9	8	57%	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	0-1	0%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Troy Hudson G · 6'1" 178 · 31	12.0	7	58%	0	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	1-3	33%
Justin Reed F · 6'8" 240 · 25	9.5	4	50%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Bracey Wright G · 6'3" 201 · 23	8.7	2	25%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Mark Madsen F · 6'9" 255 · 31	3.3	2	100%	2	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Eddie Griffin F · 6'9" 222 · 25
Rashad McCants #1 · G · 6'4" 215 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Marko Jaric #55 · G · 6'7" 224 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	47%	42	24	6	3	11	0	18	24	6-9	67%	35-73	48%	4-16	25%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE