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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 17, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Cavaliers59%9476
27Trail Blazers41%9194
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.0
35.1
41.3
23
43%
6
2
1
2
0
4
3
3
6-13
46%
7-17
8-16
41%
52%
1-4
25%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.0
32.0
35.8
17
47%
4
0
2
2
0
4
2
2
11-14
79%
3-10
4-9
30%
44%
0-2
0%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.6
26.9
31.1
6
33%
5
0
0
1
1
2
0
5
4-5
80%
1-7
6-12
14%
49%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
25.9
29.6
2
20%
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-5
5-10
20%
51%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.7
15.4
31.7
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-6
-
43%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.9
32.6
4.6
10
67%
3
3
1
0
0
0
2
1
1-1
100%
3-4
0-1
75%
46%
1-3
33%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
32.1
20.9
7
81%
11
1
2
1
0
1
4
7
3-3
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.2
13.8
11.7
5
51%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
0-0
-
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.4
11.6
22.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-2
0%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.7
5.8
12.9
3
52%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-1
0%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.9
5.3
0.8
1
27%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.2
3.6
2.9
2
43%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-3
0%
1-1
0-0
100%
41%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.1
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.6
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
38.3
30.2
26
44%
12
4
2
1
0
6
5
7
6-10
60%
10-25
7-15
40%
47%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.4
35.0
22.1
12
68%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
4-5
2-3
80%
49%
1-3
33%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 22.5
30.9
27.8
19
56%
10
4
6
1
0
2
5
5
1-2
50%
6-13
4-8
46%
46%
2-3
67%
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 28.3
16.4
11.8
9
58%
0
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
4-4
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
1-2
50%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 27.3
15.8
12.7
2
100%
5
0
0
0
2
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 28.3
24.6
24.9
9
90%
3
0
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 20.6
23.4
17.7
3
50%
2
9
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
1-1
100%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 21.5
23.1
19.5
14
68%
4
0
0
0
3
0
1
3
2-3
67%
6-9
3-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.7
18.8
20.0
0
0%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
47%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 20.1
13.8
22.9
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
16.3
0
2-4
49%
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 30.6
11.1
0
1-1
48%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.