FinalWin Prob.pScore
1738%91
101
1162%95
104
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
109.89291.6
MIA logo MIA
113.09292.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0IND101
0%
104
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAWade Driving Layup (33 PTS)101
1.4%
104
98.6%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)101
14.9%
102
85.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)98
3.9%
102
96.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)98
4.4%
101
95.6%
Q4 - 0:25.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)98
7.4%
100
92.6%
Q4 - 0:25.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)97
6.2%
100
93.8%
Q4 - 0:25.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)96
4.0%
100
96.0%
Q4 - 0:26.0INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
2.0%
100
98.0%
Q4 - 0:32.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)96
4.4%
100
95.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot96
3.2%
100
96.8%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
4.1%
100
95.9%
Q4 - 0:57.0INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 196
4.5%
100
95.5%
Q4 - 0:58.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)94
2.4%
100
97.6%
Q4 - 0:59.0INDMISS O'Neal 9' Hook Shot94
1.5%
100
98.5%
Q4 - 1:10MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)94
2.9%
100
97.1%
Q4 - 1:31INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)94
6.2%
98
93.8%
Q4 - 1:31INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)93
5.7%
98
94.3%
Q4 - 1:39MIAWilliams 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)92
4.5%
98
95.5%
Q4 - 1:48INDPacers Turnover: Backcourt (T#19)92
7.4%
96
92.6%
Q4 - 2:03INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
13.2%
96
86.8%
Q4 - 2:05MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper92
11.1%
96
88.9%
Q4 - 2:28INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)92
7.2%
96
92.8%
Q4 - 2:29INDFoster REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)89
3.7%
96
96.3%
Q4 - 2:30INDMISS Daniels Driving Layup89
2.3%
96
97.7%
Q4 - 2:40INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)89
3.8%
96
96.2%
Q4 - 2:42MIAMISS Haslem 19' Jump Shot89
3.0%
96
97.0%
Q4 - 2:59INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)89
2.6%
96
97.4%
Q4 - 3:09INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)86
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot86
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 3:23INDDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)86
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 3:23INDDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)85
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 3:25INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 3:27MIAMISS Doleac 8' Jump Shot84
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 3:47INDFoster Tip Shot (6 PTS)84
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 3:49INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)82
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 3:51INDMISS Daniels 10' Jump Shot82
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 3:59INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)82
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 4:01MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot82
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 4:08MIAHEAT Rebound82
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 4:10MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 4:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 4:26INDMISS O'Neal 20' Jump Shot82
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 4:41MIAWade Driving Layup (29 PTS)82
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 4:51MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)82
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 4:54INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 5:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)82
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 5:10MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 282
1.5%
93
98.5%
Q4 - 5:32INDFoster Layup (4 PTS) (Daniels 4 AST)82
1.4%
93
98.6%
Q4 - 5:40INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)80
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 5:42INDMISS Daniels 10' Jump Shot80
0.8%
93
99.2%
Q4 - 5:50MIAWade Reverse Layup (26 PTS)80
1.0%
93
99.0%
Q4 - 6:08INDDaniels Layup (21 PTS)80
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q4 - 6:30MIAWalker Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)78
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 6:45INDDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)78
1.1%
91
98.9%
Q4 - 6:45INDMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 277
1.0%
91
99.0%
Q4 - 7:02INDMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 7:04MIAMISS Payton 12' Fadeaway Jumper77
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 7:23INDO'Neal Dunk (15 PTS) (Daniels 3 AST)77
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 7:31INDMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS Kapono 7' Jump Shot75
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 7:49MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 7:51INDMISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 8:05MIAWalker Layup (6 PTS)75
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 8:32INDDaniels 11' Jump Shot (18 PTS)75
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 8:42INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 8:44MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 8:58INDKapono STEAL (1 STL)73
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 9:21MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)73
1.5%
89
98.5%
Q4 - 9:50INDO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)73
1.9%
87
98.1%
Q4 - 10:08MIAWalker Driving Layup (4 PTS)73
2.9%
87
97.1%
Q4 - 10:20INDGreene Palming Turnover (P1.T16)73
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q4 - 10:23INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)73
4.5%
85
95.5%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS Kapono 9' Running Jump Shot73
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 10:40INDO'Neal 8' Hook Shot (13 PTS)73
3.5%
85
96.5%
Q4 - 10:54INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
2.9%
85
97.1%
Q4 - 10:56MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 11:10INDDoleac STEAL (1 STL)71
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 11:18INDGranger Free Throw Technical (26 PTS)71
3.3%
85
96.7%
Q4 - 11:35INDPacers Rebound70
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 11:37INDMISS O'Neal 13' Jump Shot70
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND70
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound70
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Armstrong 3PT Jump Shot70
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q3 - 0:12.0INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)70
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q3 - 0:13.0INDMISS Daniels 3PT Jump Shot70
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAWilliams Layup (16 PTS)70
3.1%
85
96.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0INDPosey STEAL (2 STL)70
3.8%
83
96.2%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)70
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q3 - 1:05MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)70
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q3 - 1:08INDMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
6.6%
81
93.4%
Q3 - 1:23MIADoleac Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)70
7.4%
81
92.6%
Q3 - 1:38INDShaw. Williams Follow Up Dunk (6 PTS)70
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q3 - 1:40INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
5.1%
81
94.9%
Q3 - 1:42INDMISS Daniels 20' Jump Shot68
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q3 - 1:54MIAWade Foul Turnover (P3.T10)68
5.1%
81
94.9%
Q3 - 2:09INDGranger 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS)68
4.7%
81
95.3%
Q3 - 2:30MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)66
4.0%
81
96.0%
Q3 - 2:49INDShaw. Williams 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)66
4.6%
79
95.4%
Q3 - 3:14MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)64
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q3 - 3:28MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q3 - 3:29INDMISS Daniels Free Throw 1 of 164
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 3:42MIAWilliams 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)62
5.1%
76
94.8%
Q3 - 3:48MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)62
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q3 - 3:50MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
6.8%
74
93.2%
Q3 - 4:04INDDaniels 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS)62
6.4%
74
93.6%
Q3 - 4:20MIADoleac 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)60
5.6%
74
94.4%
Q3 - 4:33MIAHEAT Rebound60
6.4%
72
93.6%
Q3 - 4:33MIAMISS Mourning 8' Jump Shot60
7.3%
72
92.7%
Q3 - 4:48INDGranger 20' Jump Shot (23 PTS)60
6.4%
72
93.6%
Q3 - 5:11MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)58
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q3 - 5:33INDDaniels 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)58
6.9%
70
93.1%
Q3 - 5:42INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)56
6.0%
70
94.0%
Q3 - 5:44MIAMISS Wade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot56
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 5:55MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 5:57INDMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)56
5.3%
70
94.7%
Q3 - 6:17MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
6.4%
70
93.6%
Q3 - 6:17MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
6.7%
69
93.3%
Q3 - 6:41INDGranger 9' Jump Shot (21 PTS)56
7.3%
68
92.7%
Q3 - 6:47INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)54
6.4%
68
93.6%
Q3 - 6:49MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup54
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q3 - 6:59MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
5.4%
68
94.6%
Q3 - 7:01INDMISS Armstrong 3PT Jump Shot54
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q3 - 7:14INDPacers Rebound54
6.8%
68
93.2%
Q3 - 7:16MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
6.5%
68
93.5%
Q3 - 7:32INDFoster Tip Shot (2 PTS)54
5.7%
68
94.3%
Q3 - 7:33INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)52
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q3 - 7:35INDMISS O'Neal 6' Hook Shot52
4.5%
68
95.5%
Q3 - 7:51MIAWilliams Layup (10 PTS)52
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q3 - 7:55INDWilliams STEAL (2 STL)52
5.7%
66
94.3%
Q3 - 8:06MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)52
7.1%
66
92.9%
Q3 - 8:06MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
7.2%
65
92.8%
Q3 - 8:08MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
8.0%
64
92.0%
Q3 - 8:10INDMISS Tinsley 16' Jump Shot52
8.4%
64
91.6%
Q3 - 8:30MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)52
9.4%
64
90.6%
Q3 - 8:35INDWade STEAL (4 STL)52
10.5%
62
89.5%
Q3 - 8:51MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)52
12.3%
62
87.7%
Q3 - 8:55MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
10.5%
62
89.5%
Q3 - 8:57INDMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)52
11.0%
62
89.0%
Q3 - 9:12MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)52
12.5%
62
87.5%
Q3 - 9:12MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)52
12.7%
61
87.3%
Q3 - 9:32INDDaniels Driving Layup (10 PTS)52
14.1%
60
85.9%
Q3 - 9:47MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)50
12.4%
60
87.6%
Q3 - 9:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
14.1%
58
85.9%
Q3 - 9:57INDMISS O'Neal 12' Jump Shot50
14.6%
58
85.4%
Q3 - 10:21MIAWade Driving Layup (20 PTS)50
16.4%
58
83.6%
Q3 - 10:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
18.2%
56
81.8%
Q3 - 10:30INDMISS Tinsley 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
18.9%
56
81.1%
Q3 - 10:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
20.7%
56
79.3%
Q3 - 10:36INDMISS Tinsley 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
18.9%
56
81.1%
Q3 - 10:48INDGranger Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)50
20.7%
56
79.3%
Q3 - 10:55INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
18.4%
56
81.6%
Q3 - 10:57MIAMISS Mourning Layup49
17.7%
56
82.3%
Q3 - 11:20INDDaniels Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P2.T11)49
16.5%
56
83.5%
Q3 - 11:35INDPacers Rebound49
18.6%
56
81.4%
Q3 - 11:36MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 249
18.3%
56
81.7%
Q3 - 11:36MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
17.2%
56
82.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
18.5%
55
81.5%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDGranger Traveling Turnover (P1.T10)49
19.5%
55
80.5%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAWade Palming Turnover (P2.T8)49
21.0%
55
79.0%
Q2 - 0:08.0INDMarshall 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)49
19.5%
55
80.5%
Q2 - 0:27.0INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
16.9%
55
83.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Fadeaway Jumper47
16.5%
55
83.5%
Q2 - 0:44.0INDO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T9)47
15.6%
55
84.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS)47
16.9%
55
83.1%
Q2 - 1:16INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)47
20.0%
53
80.0%
Q2 - 1:35MIAWade 18' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)44
15.4%
53
84.6%
Q2 - 2:06INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)44
18.0%
51
82.0%
Q2 - 2:23MIADoleac 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)41
14.5%
51
85.5%
Q2 - 2:41INDO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)41
16.3%
49
83.7%
Q2 - 3:00MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)39
14.5%
49
85.5%
Q2 - 3:17INDO'Neal Layup (9 PTS)39
16.6%
47
83.4%
Q2 - 3:20INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
15.2%
47
84.8%
Q2 - 3:22INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot37
14.0%
47
86.0%
Q2 - 3:38MIAWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)37
15.2%
47
84.8%
Q2 - 3:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
16.6%
45
83.4%
Q2 - 3:44INDMISS Tinsley 12' Jump Shot37
17.1%
45
82.9%
Q2 - 3:56MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)37
18.5%
45
81.5%
Q2 - 4:15INDDaniels 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
20.6%
43
79.4%
Q2 - 4:28MIAWright Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)35
18.7%
43
81.3%
Q2 - 4:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
20.5%
41
79.5%
Q2 - 4:35INDMISS O'Neal 12' Turnaround Jump Shot35
21.1%
41
78.9%
Q2 - 4:56MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)35
22.5%
41
77.5%
Q2 - 5:14INDDaniels 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)35
24.6%
39
75.4%
Q2 - 5:29MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)33
22.7%
39
77.3%
Q2 - 5:44INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)33
24.6%
37
75.4%
Q2 - 5:59MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)30
20.8%
37
79.2%
Q2 - 6:17INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)30
22.7%
35
77.3%
Q2 - 6:17INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)29
22.3%
35
77.7%
Q2 - 6:29INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
21.2%
35
78.8%
Q2 - 6:31MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot28
20.5%
35
79.5%
Q2 - 6:47INDTinsley 8' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)28
19.0%
35
81.0%
Q2 - 7:01MIAWright 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Doleac 1 AST)26
18.2%
35
81.8%
Q2 - 7:18INDPosey STEAL (1 STL)26
19.7%
33
80.3%
Q2 - 7:30MIADoleac 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)26
21.6%
33
78.4%
Q2 - 7:45INDO'Neal 14' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)26
23.2%
31
76.8%
Q2 - 8:09MIADoleac Foul Turnover (P1.T7)24
21.7%
31
78.3%
Q2 - 8:19MIAHEAT Rebound24
19.8%
31
80.2%
Q2 - 8:20INDMISS Shaw. Williams 22' Jump Shot24
20.3%
31
79.7%
Q2 - 8:46MIADoleac 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)24
21.7%
31
78.3%
Q2 - 9:00MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
23.3%
29
76.7%
Q2 - 9:02INDMISS Tinsley 22' Jump Shot24
24.0%
29
76.0%
Q2 - 9:09INDPacers Rebound24
25.5%
29
74.5%
Q2 - 9:11INDMISS Tinsley 22' Jump Shot24
24.0%
29
76.0%
Q2 - 9:24MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)24
25.5%
29
74.5%
Q2 - 9:48INDFoster Foul Turnover (P2.T7)24
23.4%
29
76.6%
Q2 - 9:57INDPacers Rebound24
25.5%
29
74.5%
Q2 - 9:58INDWade BLOCK (1 BLK)24
24.0%
29
76.0%
Q2 - 10:04MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)24
25.6%
29
74.4%
Q2 - 10:23INDPayton STEAL (1 STL)24
23.5%
29
76.5%
Q2 - 10:38MIAPayton 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)24
25.6%
29
74.4%
Q2 - 10:56INDWade STEAL (3 STL)24
27.3%
27
72.7%
Q2 - 11:06MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)24
29.2%
27
70.8%
Q2 - 11:20INDShaw. Williams 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)24
31.3%
25
68.7%
Q2 - 11:35MIAWalker 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
29.3%
25
70.7%
Q2 - 11:38MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
31.3%
23
68.7%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMISS Wade 17' Fadeaway Jumper22
32.8%
23
67.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
31.3%
23
68.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound22
31.3%
23
68.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Kapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
32.8%
23
67.2%
Q1 - 0:18.0INDBaston Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Greene 1 AST)22
31.5%
23
68.5%
Q1 - 0:21.0INDGreene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
29.0%
23
71.0%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Payton Driving Layup20
28.5%
23
71.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0INDWade STEAL (2 STL)20
27.5%
23
72.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)20
29.0%
23
71.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
33.5%
20
66.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot20
34.0%
20
66.0%
Q1 - 1:06INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)20
35.2%
20
64.8%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 220
35.0%
20
65.0%
Q1 - 1:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
33.5%
20
66.5%
Q1 - 1:21MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
35.7%
19
64.3%
Q1 - 1:23INDMISS Greene 20' Jump Shot20
36.2%
19
63.8%
Q1 - 1:34INDMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
37.4%
19
62.6%
Q1 - 1:36MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
36.9%
19
63.1%
Q1 - 1:50INDGranger Layup (7 PTS)20
35.7%
19
64.3%
Q1 - 1:51INDGranger REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
33.1%
19
66.9%
Q1 - 1:53INDMISS Greene Driving Layup18
32.0%
19
68.0%
Q1 - 1:58INDGreene REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
33.1%
19
66.9%
Q1 - 2:00MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
32.6%
19
67.4%
Q1 - 2:17INDDaniels Foul Turnover (P1.T3)18
31.4%
19
68.6%
Q1 - 2:23INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
33.3%
19
66.7%
Q1 - 2:25MIAMISS Wade Tip Shot18
32.7%
19
67.3%
Q1 - 2:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
31.4%
19
68.6%
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot18
32.7%
19
67.3%
Q1 - 2:44MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
31.4%
19
68.6%
Q1 - 2:45INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 218
31.7%
19
68.3%
Q1 - 2:45INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
33.1%
19
66.9%
Q1 - 2:55INDPacers Rebound17
31.3%
19
68.7%
Q1 - 2:56INDMISS O'Neal 13' Fadeaway Jumper17
30.0%
19
70.0%
Q1 - 3:16INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
31.4%
19
68.6%
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot17
30.7%
19
69.3%
Q1 - 3:34INDTinsley 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
29.3%
19
70.7%
Q1 - 3:39INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
27.6%
19
72.4%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot15
27.0%
19
73.0%
Q1 - 4:15INDDaniels Layup (4 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)15
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 4:19MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T4)13
24.3%
19
75.7%
Q1 - 4:37INDGranger Dunk (4 PTS)13
22.3%
19
77.7%
Q1 - 4:39INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
21.2%
19
78.8%
Q1 - 4:41INDMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)11
19.9%
19
80.1%
Q1 - 4:47MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)11
21.2%
19
78.8%
Q1 - 4:54MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
19.4%
19
80.6%
Q1 - 4:56INDMISS Daniels 3PT Jump Shot11
19.9%
19
80.1%
Q1 - 5:08MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)11
21.4%
19
78.6%
Q1 - 5:31INDGranger 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (O'Neal 1 AST)11
22.7%
17
77.3%
Q1 - 5:45MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
21.4%
17
78.6%
Q1 - 6:04INDO'Neal 12' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)9
22.9%
15
77.1%
Q1 - 6:14INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
21.6%
15
78.4%
Q1 - 6:15MIAMISS Kapono 12' Jump Shot7
21.2%
15
78.8%
Q1 - 6:22MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
20.2%
15
79.8%
Q1 - 6:24INDMISS Daniels Alley Oop Layup7
20.6%
15
79.4%
Q1 - 6:29INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
21.6%
15
78.4%
Q1 - 6:30MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot7
21.2%
15
78.8%
Q1 - 6:46MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
20.2%
15
79.8%
Q1 - 6:48INDMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
20.6%
15
79.4%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)7
22.1%
15
77.9%
Q1 - 7:07MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 27
22.6%
14
77.4%
Q1 - 7:25INDDaniels 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)7
22.0%
14
78.0%
Q1 - 7:46MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
20.8%
14
79.2%
Q1 - 8:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
22.0%
12
78.0%
Q1 - 8:03INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot5
22.5%
12
77.5%
Q1 - 8:21MIAWilliams Layup (2 PTS)5
23.5%
12
76.5%
Q1 - 8:24INDWilliams STEAL (1 STL)5
24.7%
10
75.3%
Q1 - 8:41MIAWade Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)5
26.3%
10
73.7%
Q1 - 8:47INDWade STEAL (1 STL)5
27.7%
8
72.3%
Q1 - 9:06MIAMourning Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)5
29.3%
8
70.7%
Q1 - 9:17INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
30.5%
6
69.5%
Q1 - 9:17INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)4
30.1%
6
69.9%
Q1 - 9:31MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)3
29.3%
6
70.7%
Q1 - 9:46MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
30.5%
4
69.5%
Q1 - 9:48INDMISS Tinsley 8' Hook Shot3
31.1%
4
68.9%
Q1 - 10:00MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)3
32.6%
4
67.4%
Q1 - 10:10INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)3
30.5%
4
69.5%
Q1 - 10:10INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 22
30.2%
4
69.8%
Q1 - 10:26MIAMourning Tip Shot (2 PTS)2
30.7%
4
69.3%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 10:28MIAMISS Mourning Layup2
33.4%
2
66.6%
Q1 - 10:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 10:36INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
32.7%
2
67.3%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 11:05INDTinsley 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
32.3%
2
67.7%
Q1 - 11:26MIAKapono 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 11:42MIAHEAT Rebound0
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 11:43INDMISS O'Neal 19' Jump Shot0
32.7%
0
67.3%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. O'Neal: Tip to Foster0
33.8%
0
66.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.10 54.9%
MIA
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
16
22
73%
MIA
17
22
77%
Midrange
IND
20
42
48%
MIA
27
45
60%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
MIA
1
1.5
10
10%
15%
Free Throws
IND
17
22
77%
MIA
13
17
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger2878%14.0 / 18
M. Daniels2357%11.5 / 20
J. O'Neal1745%8.5 / 19
J. Foster14100%7.0 / 7
S. Williams964%4.5 / 7
J. Tinsley627%3.0 / 11
R. Marshall250%1.0 / 2
M. Baston2100%1.0 / 1
O. Greene0-0.0 / 2
D. Armstrong0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3359%16.5 / 28
J. Williams2077%10.0 / 13
A. Mourning1464%7.0 / 11
J. Kapono1150%5.5 / 11
M. Doleac1083%5.0 / 6
A. Walker650%3.0 / 6
D. Wright6100%3.0 / 3
U. Haslem233%1.0 / 3
G. Payton233%1.0 / 3
J. Posey0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
74
+18
-18
92
MIA
81
+7
-11
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.10 54.9%
MIA
1.18 59.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.0
104.2
IND 109.8
MIA 113.0 +3.3
Pace
92.4
90.1
IND 91.6
MIA 92.4 +0.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.5
IND 15.7
MIA 15.6 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
50.6%
IND 51.9%
MIA 59.1% +7.2%
TO %
17.1%
15.3%
IND 17.3%
MIA 12.4% +4.9%
ORB %
28.4%
24.9%
IND 33.3% +19.5%
MIA 13.8%
FTrt
32.4
32.1
IND 27.2 +5.1
MIA 22.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
57.6%
IND 37.5%
MIA 48.9% +11.4%
STL %
7.9%
7.6%
IND 4.3%
MIA 12.0% +7.7%
BLK %
8.5%
8.8%
IND 6.0%
MIA 6.3% +0.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
52.4%
IND 54.9%
MIA 59.1% +4.2%
Rim FG%
56.1%
61.8%
IND 72.7%
MIA 77.3% +4.6%
Mid FG%
39.0%
40.5%
IND 47.6%
MIA 60.0% +12.4%
3P %
34.6%
34.3%
IND 23.5% +13.5%
MIA 10.0%
FT %
76.0%
69.0%
IND 77.3% +0.8%
MIA 76.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
34.9%
IND 27.2%
MIA 28.6% +1.4%
Mid Att. %
45.5%
40.7%
IND 51.9% +6.6%
MIA 58.4%
3P Att. %
21.2%
24.5%
IND 21.0% +8.0%
MIA 13.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points101104
Rebounds3728
Assists1522
Steals411
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (6)4 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (2)24 (2)
Field Goals40-8145-77
At-the-Rim FG16-2217-22
Midrange FG20-4227-45
2-Point FG36-6444-67
3-Point FG4-171-10
Free Throws17-2213-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'9" 222 · 24
41.7
28
78%
5
1
0
2
2
5
2
3
7-8
88%
6-8
75%
3-7
43%
F · 6'11" 255 · 28
39.3
17
45%
10
1
1
1
4
5
2
8
5-6
83%
6-16
38%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 26
38.8
23
57%
2
5
1
0
4
4
0
2
3-5
60%
10-16
63%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 188 · 29
36.1
6
27%
3
4
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 250 · 30
33.3
14
100%
9
0
1
0
3
3
6
3
2-3
67%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 21
24.9
9
64%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 208 · 25
8.8
0
0%
2
1
1
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 39
8.2
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 25
6.7
2
50%
3
1
0
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 230 · 31
2.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
G · 6'2" 190 · 27
#13 · C · 7'0" 280 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
55%
37
15
4
4
18
0
12
25
17-22
77%
36-64
56%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.