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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 19, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Kings67%10096
29Celtics33%9491
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 24.0
41.5
40.6
27
66%
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
7-8
88%
10-14
5-9
71%
54%
0-3
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 27.2
40.9
38.4
19
61%
11
3
2
2
0
0
1
10
7-8
88%
6-10
5-11
60%
46%
0-2
0%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 30.8
40.4
31.4
18
65%
6
7
0
1
0
1
1
5
4-4
100%
7-11
5-9
64%
50%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.7
31.9
36.7
11
48%
4
4
1
1
0
0
2
2
0-1
0%
4-8
4-9
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.1
20.9
32.3
4
23%
4
2
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-2
0%
2-8
5-10
25%
51%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 27.1
25.9
19.0
7
58%
2
3
1
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
47%
1-1
100%
Corliss Williamson
F · 6'7" 245 · 33.1
13.6
19.3
4
33%
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 25.1
12.0
6.3
2
100%
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 22.7
8.8
5.2
4
41%
5
0
0
0
0
0
3
2
0-2
0%
2-4
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 22.7
4.1
5.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Maurice Taylor
F-C · 6'9" 265 · 30.2
9.9
0
1-3
45%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.6
1.1
0
0-0
48%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.7
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 29.5
Vitaly Potapenko
C-F · 6'10" 285 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.4
48.0
36.6
17
49%
10
3
0
1
0
2
1
9
3-3
100%
7-16
5-11
44%
50%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 23.5
39.4
10.5
25
74%
4
6
1
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
7-13
1-2
54%
50%
3-3
100%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 22.0
39.0
35.4
23
65%
11
2
0
1
1
1
3
8
3-4
75%
10-16
7-13
63%
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.0
33.2
31.9
7
32%
1
2
1
1
2
2
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
4-9
33%
48%
1-5
20%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 22.2
23.5
18.0
4
50%
3
2
1
0
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 20.9
20.3
24.2
5
42%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
45%
1-2
50%
Michael Olowokandi
C · 7'0" 270 · 31.8
12.8
9.8
0
0%
7
1
1
0
1
0
3
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 21.6
11.7
30.0
3
44%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
44%
0-0
-
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.0
8.6
10.8
5
66%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Allan Ray
· 6'2" 205 · 22.6
3.6
18.0
2
50%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 29.9
11.7
0
2-4
51%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.8
5.3
0
0-1
43%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 29.3
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 25.0
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.