| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
NOK | 96.6 | 89 | 98.2 |
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Scoring Opportunities
NOK
75
+13
-14
88
SAS
76
+14
-16
90
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
NOK
0.96 47.8%
SAS
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | NOK | SAS |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | SAS | 86 0% | 99 100% | |
| Q4 - 0:02.0 | SAS | Udrih REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 86 0% | 99 100% |
| Q4 - 0:04.0 | NOK | MISS Pargo 22' Jump Shot | 86 0% | 99 100% |
| Q4 - 0:11.0 | SAS | Barry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16) | 86 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:35.0 | NOK | Pargo 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 86 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 0:41.0 | SAS | Barry Traveling Turnover (P2.T15) | 84 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:00 | SAS | Finley Free Throw Technical (14 PTS) | 84 0.1% | 99 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:00 | SAS | Finley Free Throw Technical (13 PTS) | 84 0.1% | 98 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:00 | NOK | Mason Foul Turnover (P1.T15) | 84 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:10 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 84 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:10 | SAS | Ginobili 3' Layup (19 PTS) | 84 0.1% | 97 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:12 | SAS | MISS Bowen 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 84 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:34 | NOK | Butler 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST) | 84 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:39 | SAS | Duncan Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14) | 82 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:53 | NOK | Pargo 5' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) | 82 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 1:59 | NOK | West REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 80 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:01 | SAS | MISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 80 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:20 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 80 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:21 | NOK | MISS West 15' Jump Shot | 80 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:40 | SAS | Parker 17' Jump Shot (23 PTS) | 80 0.1% | 95 99.9% |
| Q4 - 2:56 | NOK | Chandler 3' Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (West 3 AST) | 80 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:07 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS) | 78 0.1% | 93 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:11 | NOK | Parker STEAL (3 STL) | 78 0.1% | 90 99.9% |
| Q4 - 3:27 | SAS | Bowen 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 4 AST) | 78 0.2% | 90 99.8% |
| Q4 - 3:49 | NOK | Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 78 0.8% | 87 99.2% |
| Q4 - 4:20 | NOK | West REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 75 0.4% | 87 99.6% |
| Q4 - 4:22 | SAS | MISS Parker 20' Jump Shot | 75 0.3% | 87 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:42 | SAS | Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 75 0.2% | 87 99.8% |
| Q4 - 4:45 | NOK | MISS Pargo 12' Jump Shot | 75 0.3% | 87 99.7% |
| Q4 - 4:55 | SAS | Ginobili Foul Turnover (P1.T13) | 75 0.4% | 87 99.6% |
| Q4 - 5:05 | NOK | Brown Foul Turnover (P1.T13) | 75 0.4% | 87 99.6% |
| Q4 - 5:20 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 75 0.5% | 87 99.5% |
| Q4 - 5:20 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 75 0.6% | 86 99.4% |
| Q4 - 5:23 | NOK | Parker STEAL (2 STL) | 75 0.8% | 85 99.2% |
| Q4 - 5:30 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12) | 75 1.1% | 85 98.9% |
| Q4 - 5:30 | SAS | Duncan 2' Tip Shot (12 PTS) | 75 1.1% | 85 98.9% |
| Q4 - 5:32 | SAS | MISS Parker 5' Jump Shot | 75 1.8% | 83 98.2% |
| Q4 - 5:53 | NOK | West 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST) | 75 1.4% | 83 98.6% |
| Q4 - 6:08 | SAS | Parker 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST) | 73 1.3% | 83 98.7% |
| Q4 - 6:29 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12) | 73 1.7% | 81 98.3% |
| Q4 - 6:31 | NOK | MISS West 16' Jump Shot | 73 1.9% | 81 98.1% |
| Q4 - 6:35 | NOK | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 73 2.4% | 81 97.6% |
| Q4 - 6:37 | SAS | Oberto REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 73 1.7% | 81 98.3% |
| Q4 - 6:37 | SAS | MISS Oberto 2' Tip Shot | 73 2.1% | 81 97.9% |
| Q4 - 6:39 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 3' Layup | 73 2.1% | 81 97.9% |
| Q4 - 7:08 | NOK | Pargo 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Butler 1 AST) | 73 2.0% | 81 98.0% |
| Q4 - 7:18 | NOK | Hornets Rebound | 71 1.6% | 81 98.4% |
| Q4 - 7:18 | NOK | Horry BLOCK (4 BLK) | 71 1.3% | 81 98.7% |
| Q4 - 7:22 | NOK | Armstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 71 1.6% | 81 98.4% |
| Q4 - 7:25 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 3' Layup | 71 1.5% | 81 98.5% |
| Q4 - 7:29 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 71 1.2% | 81 98.8% |
| Q4 - 7:31 | NOK | MISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot | 71 1.3% | 81 98.7% |
| Q4 - 7:40 | NOK | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 71 1.6% | 81 98.4% |
| Q4 - 7:44 | SAS | MISS Parker 18' Jump Shot | 71 1.4% | 81 98.6% |
| Q4 - 8:05 | NOK | Pargo 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 71 1.5% | 81 98.5% |
| Q4 - 8:26 | SAS | Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 6 AST) | 69 1.1% | 81 98.9% |
| Q4 - 8:49 | NOK | Pargo 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST) | 69 1.9% | 78 98.1% |
| Q4 - 9:04 | NOK | Pargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 66 1.3% | 78 98.7% |
| Q4 - 9:07 | SAS | MISS Horry 21' Jump Shot | 66 1.2% | 78 98.8% |
| Q4 - 9:27 | NOK | Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS) | 66 1.0% | 78 99.0% |
| Q4 - 9:27 | NOK | MISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 65 1.0% | 78 99.0% |
| Q4 - 9:35 | NOK | Armstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 65 1.0% | 78 99.0% |
| Q4 - 9:37 | SAS | MISS Parker 3PT Jump Shot | 65 0.9% | 78 99.1% |
| Q4 - 9:55 | NOK | Mason Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS) | 65 0.8% | 78 99.2% |
| Q4 - 9:58 | SAS | Horry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12) | 62 0.5% | 78 99.5% |
| Q4 - 10:12 | NOK | Jackson 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS) | 62 0.5% | 78 99.5% |
| Q4 - 10:28 | NOK | Hornets Rebound | 60 0.4% | 78 99.6% |
| Q4 - 10:29 | SAS | MISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot | 60 0.4% | 78 99.6% |
| Q4 - 10:47 | SAS | Horry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 60 0.3% | 78 99.7% |
| Q4 - 10:50 | NOK | Horry BLOCK (3 BLK) | 60 0.3% | 78 99.7% |
| Q4 - 11:17 | SAS | Finley 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 5 AST) | 60 0.5% | 78 99.5% |
| Q4 - 11:25 | SAS | Horry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 60 0.6% | 76 99.4% |
| Q4 - 11:26 | NOK | MISS Pargo 19' Jump Shot | 60 0.6% | 76 99.4% |
| Q4 - 11:40 | NOK | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 60 0.7% | 76 99.3% |
| Q4 - 11:43 | SAS | MISS Udrih 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 60 0.7% | 76 99.3% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | SAS | 60 0.6% | 76 99.4% | |
| Q3 - 0:02.0 | NOK | Jackson 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) | 60 0.7% | 76 99.3% |
| Q3 - 0:09.0 | SAS | Barry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Elson 2 AST) | 58 0.5% | 76 99.5% |
| Q3 - 0:11.0 | SAS | Elson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 58 0.8% | 73 99.2% |
| Q3 - 0:13.0 | SAS | MISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot | 58 1.0% | 73 99.0% |
| Q3 - 0:32.0 | NOK | Mason 3' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) | 58 0.8% | 73 99.2% |
| Q3 - 0:50.0 | SAS | Udrih 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barry 2 AST) | 56 0.7% | 73 99.3% |
| Q3 - 0:55.0 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11) | 56 0.8% | 71 99.2% |
| Q3 - 0:57.0 | NOK | MISS Mason 3' Layup | 56 0.9% | 71 99.1% |
| Q3 - 1:18 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10) | 56 1.1% | 71 98.9% |
| Q3 - 1:18 | SAS | Duncan 2' Tip Shot (10 PTS) | 56 1.1% | 71 98.9% |
| Q3 - 1:20 | SAS | MISS Duncan 2' Dunk | 56 1.6% | 69 98.4% |
| Q3 - 1:44 | NOK | Jackson 3' Layup (9 PTS) | 56 1.4% | 69 98.6% |
| Q3 - 2:07 | SAS | Udrih Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 54 1.2% | 69 98.8% |
| Q3 - 2:07 | SAS | MISS Udrih Free Throw 1 of 2 | 54 1.3% | 68 98.7% |
| Q3 - 2:07 | SAS | SPURS Rebound | 54 1.2% | 68 98.8% |
| Q3 - 2:07 | NOK | MISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 54 1.3% | 68 98.7% |
| Q3 - 2:22 | SAS | Duncan 14' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) | 54 1.5% | 68 98.5% |
| Q3 - 2:49 | NOK | Brown Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS) | 54 1.7% | 66 98.3% |
| Q3 - 2:54 | NOK | Chandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 51 1.2% | 66 98.8% |
| Q3 - 2:55 | SAS | MISS Duncan 13' Jump Bank Shot | 51 1.2% | 66 98.8% |
| Q3 - 3:16 | SAS | SPURS Rebound | 51 1.1% | 66 98.9% |
| Q3 - 3:19 | NOK | MISS Jackson 23' Jump Shot | 51 1.2% | 66 98.8% |
| Q3 - 3:37 | SAS | Barry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 51 1.3% | 66 98.7% |
| Q3 - 3:37 | SAS | MISS Barry Free Throw 1 of 2 | 51 1.4% | 65 98.6% |
| Q3 - 3:37 | SAS | Barry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 51 1.3% | 65 98.7% |
| Q3 - 3:38 | SAS | MISS Barry 3' Layup | 51 1.5% | 65 98.5% |
| Q3 - 4:00 | NOK | Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST) | 51 1.3% | 65 98.7% |
| Q3 - 4:01 | NOK | Chandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 48 1.0% | 65 99.0% |
| Q3 - 4:04 | NOK | Duncan BLOCK (4 BLK) | 48 0.9% | 65 99.1% |
| Q3 - 4:20 | NOK | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 48 1.0% | 65 99.0% |
| Q3 - 4:22 | SAS | MISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 1.0% | 65 99.0% |
| Q3 - 4:38 | NOK | West 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS) | 48 0.8% | 65 99.2% |
| Q3 - 4:47 | NOK | Chandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 46 0.7% | 65 99.3% |
| Q3 - 4:50 | NOK | MISS Mason 9' Jump Shot | 46 0.6% | 65 99.4% |
| Q3 - 4:57 | NOK | Hornets Rebound | 46 0.7% | 65 99.3% |
| Q3 - 4:58 | NOK | Duncan BLOCK (3 BLK) | 46 0.6% | 65 99.4% |
| Q3 - 5:09 | SAS | Duncan Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11) | 46 0.8% | 65 99.2% |
| Q3 - 5:16 | SAS | Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 46 0.7% | 65 99.3% |
| Q3 - 5:18 | NOK | MISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 46 0.7% | 65 99.3% |
| Q3 - 5:37 | NOK | West REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 46 0.8% | 65 99.2% |
| Q3 - 5:39 | SAS | MISS Duncan 5' Jump Hook Shot | 46 0.7% | 65 99.3% |
| Q3 - 5:55 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10) | 46 0.7% | 65 99.3% |
| Q3 - 5:56 | SAS | MISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 | 46 0.8% | 65 99.2% |
| Q3 - 5:56 | SAS | Barry Free Throw Technical (3 PTS) | 46 0.7% | 65 99.3% |
| Q3 - 5:56 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 46 0.8% | 64 99.2% |
| Q3 - 6:10 | NOK | West 8' Jump Shot (15 PTS) | 46 1.0% | 63 99.0% |
| Q3 - 6:26 | NOK | Mason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 44 0.9% | 63 99.1% |
| Q3 - 6:27 | SAS | MISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 1 | 44 0.8% | 63 99.2% |
| Q3 - 6:27 | SAS | MISS Ginobili Free Throw Technical | 44 0.7% | 63 99.3% |
| Q3 - 6:36 | SAS | SPURS Rebound | 44 1.0% | 61 99.0% |
| Q3 - 6:37 | NOK | MISS Mason 4' Turnaround Jump Shot | 44 1.1% | 61 98.9% |
| Q3 - 6:50 | SAS | Oberto 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST) | 44 1.2% | 61 98.8% |
| Q3 - 7:03 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10) | 44 1.5% | 59 98.5% |
| Q3 - 7:05 | NOK | MISS Butler 16' Jump Shot | 44 1.5% | 59 98.5% |
| Q3 - 7:26 | NOK | Chandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 44 1.7% | 59 98.3% |
| Q3 - 7:27 | SAS | MISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 1 | 44 1.7% | 59 98.3% |
| Q3 - 7:39 | SAS | Oberto REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 44 2.0% | 57 98.0% |
| Q3 - 7:40 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 44 2.2% | 57 97.8% |
| Q3 - 8:01 | NOK | Butler 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (West 2 AST) | 44 2.0% | 57 98.0% |
| Q3 - 8:23 | NOK | Hornets Rebound | 42 1.8% | 57 98.2% |
| Q3 - 8:24 | SAS | MISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 1.7% | 57 98.3% |
| Q3 - 8:40 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9) | 42 1.5% | 57 98.5% |
| Q3 - 8:42 | NOK | MISS Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 1.6% | 57 98.4% |
| Q3 - 8:59 | SAS | Bowen Foul Turnover (P3.T10) | 42 1.8% | 57 98.2% |
| Q3 - 9:11 | NOK | Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mason 1 AST) | 42 1.6% | 57 98.4% |
| Q3 - 9:25 | NOK | West Free Throw Technical (13 PTS) | 39 1.2% | 57 98.8% |
| Q3 - 9:47 | SAS | Bowen 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST) | 38 1.0% | 57 99.0% |
| Q3 - 10:04 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8) | 38 1.2% | 55 98.8% |
| Q3 - 10:06 | NOK | MISS Mason 2' Layup | 38 1.2% | 55 98.8% |
| Q3 - 10:25 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 38 1.4% | 55 98.6% |
| Q3 - 10:25 | SAS | Duncan 3' Tip Shot (4 PTS) | 38 1.4% | 55 98.6% |
| Q3 - 10:27 | SAS | MISS Parker 18' Jump Shot | 38 1.8% | 53 98.2% |
| Q3 - 10:43 | NOK | West Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS) | 38 1.6% | 53 98.4% |
| Q3 - 10:43 | NOK | West Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS) | 37 1.5% | 53 98.5% |
| Q3 - 10:48 | SAS | Oberto Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9) | 36 1.4% | 53 98.6% |
| Q3 - 10:55 | SAS | Oberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 36 1.2% | 53 98.8% |
| Q3 - 10:57 | NOK | MISS West 3' Dunk | 36 1.2% | 53 98.8% |
| Q3 - 11:17 | SAS | Duncan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8) | 36 1.4% | 53 98.6% |
| Q3 - 11:33 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 36 1.2% | 53 98.8% |
| Q3 - 11:35 | NOK | MISS Butler 17' Jump Shot | 36 1.3% | 53 98.7% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | SAS | 36 1.4% | 53 98.6% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | SAS | SPURS Rebound | 36 1.2% | 53 98.8% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | SAS | MISS Finley 3PT Jump Shot | 36 1.3% | 53 98.7% |
| Q2 - 0:13.0 | NOK | Chandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 36 1.4% | 53 98.6% |
| Q2 - 0:13.0 | NOK | Chandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 35 1.3% | 53 98.7% |
| Q2 - 0:27.0 | SAS | Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST) | 34 1.1% | 53 98.9% |
| Q2 - 0:38.0 | NOK | Parker STEAL (1 STL) | 34 1.5% | 50 98.5% |
| Q2 - 0:45.0 | NOK | West REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 34 1.7% | 50 98.3% |
| Q2 - 0:47.0 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 34 1.6% | 50 98.4% |
| Q2 - 1:02 | NOK | Jackson 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST) | 34 1.7% | 50 98.3% |
| Q2 - 1:20 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 32 1.4% | 50 98.6% |
| Q2 - 1:20 | SAS | Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 32 1.4% | 49 98.6% |
| Q2 - 1:38 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 32 1.7% | 48 98.3% |
| Q2 - 1:40 | NOK | MISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 2 | 32 1.7% | 48 98.3% |
| Q2 - 1:40 | NOK | Mason Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 32 1.8% | 48 98.2% |
| Q2 - 1:50 | NOK | Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 31 1.6% | 48 98.4% |
| Q2 - 1:50 | SAS | MISS Parker 2' Layup | 31 1.5% | 48 98.5% |
| Q2 - 1:58 | NOK | Brown 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 31 1.5% | 48 98.5% |
| Q2 - 2:22 | SAS | Ginobili 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Horry 1 AST) | 29 1.3% | 48 98.7% |
| Q2 - 2:31 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 29 1.5% | 46 98.5% |
| Q2 - 2:33 | NOK | MISS Mason 10' Jump Shot | 29 1.6% | 46 98.4% |
| Q2 - 2:55 | SAS | Parker Layup (13 PTS) | 29 1.7% | 46 98.3% |
| Q2 - 3:09 | SAS | SPURS Rebound | 29 2.0% | 44 98.0% |
| Q2 - 3:10 | NOK | MISS West 6' Jump Shot | 29 2.1% | 44 97.9% |
| Q2 - 3:26 | SAS | Bowen Traveling Turnover (P2.T7) | 29 2.3% | 44 97.7% |
| Q2 - 3:39 | NOK | West 2' Layup (10 PTS) | 29 2.0% | 44 98.0% |
| Q2 - 3:57 | NOK | Chandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 27 1.8% | 44 98.2% |
| Q2 - 3:59 | SAS | MISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 1.7% | 44 98.3% |
| Q2 - 4:20 | NOK | Mason Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 27 1.7% | 44 98.3% |
| Q2 - 4:20 | NOK | Mason Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS) | 26 1.6% | 44 98.4% |
| Q2 - 4:37 | SAS | Elson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6) | 25 1.5% | 44 98.5% |
| Q2 - 4:40 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 25 1.3% | 44 98.7% |
| Q2 - 4:42 | NOK | MISS Brown 2' Layup | 25 1.4% | 44 98.6% |
| Q2 - 4:46 | NOK | Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 25 1.5% | 44 98.5% |
| Q2 - 4:49 | SAS | MISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot | 25 1.4% | 44 98.6% |
| Q2 - 5:11 | NOK | Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST) | 25 1.3% | 44 98.7% |
| Q2 - 5:23 | NOK | Mason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 22 1.1% | 44 98.9% |
| Q2 - 5:25 | NOK | MISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot | 22 1.0% | 44 99.0% |
| Q2 - 5:49 | SAS | Elson 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST) | 22 1.1% | 44 98.9% |
| Q2 - 6:08 | NOK | Mason 2' Layup (3 PTS) | 22 1.3% | 42 98.7% |
| Q2 - 6:21 | SAS | Udrih Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5) | 20 1.2% | 42 98.8% |
| Q2 - 6:36 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 20 1.0% | 42 99.0% |
| Q2 - 6:38 | NOK | MISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 20 1.0% | 42 99.0% |
| Q2 - 6:47 | NOK | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 20 1.1% | 42 98.9% |
| Q2 - 6:49 | SAS | MISS Parker 20' Jump Shot | 20 1.1% | 42 98.9% |
| Q2 - 7:02 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 20 1.1% | 42 98.9% |
| Q2 - 7:04 | NOK | MISS Pargo 18' Jump Shot | 20 1.2% | 42 98.8% |
| Q2 - 7:14 | NOK | West REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3) | 20 1.2% | 42 98.8% |
| Q2 - 7:16 | SAS | MISS Finley 20' Jump Shot | 20 1.2% | 42 98.8% |
| Q2 - 7:30 | NOK | West Foul Turnover (P1.T10) | 20 1.1% | 42 98.9% |
| Q2 - 7:46 | SAS | Oberto 2' Layup (2 PTS) | 20 1.2% | 42 98.8% |
| Q2 - 7:47 | SAS | Oberto REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 20 1.4% | 40 98.6% |
| Q2 - 7:49 | SAS | MISS Finley 19' Jump Shot | 20 1.5% | 40 98.5% |
| Q2 - 8:02 | NOK | West REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2) | 20 1.4% | 40 98.6% |
| Q2 - 8:02 | NOK | West 2' Tip Shot (8 PTS) | 20 1.4% | 40 98.6% |
| Q2 - 8:03 | NOK | West REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2) | 18 1.3% | 40 98.7% |
| Q2 - 8:03 | NOK | MISS West 3' Layup | 18 1.2% | 40 98.8% |
| Q2 - 8:05 | NOK | Elson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 18 1.2% | 40 98.8% |
| Q2 - 8:23 | SAS | Finley 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Elson 1 AST) | 18 1.3% | 40 98.7% |
| Q2 - 8:33 | SAS | Elson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 1.4% | 38 98.6% |
| Q2 - 8:35 | NOK | MISS Jackson 3' Layup | 18 1.5% | 38 98.5% |
| Q2 - 8:57 | SAS | Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST) | 18 1.6% | 38 98.4% |
| Q2 - 9:03 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 18 2.0% | 35 98.0% |
| Q2 - 9:05 | NOK | MISS West 15' Jump Shot | 18 2.0% | 35 98.0% |
| Q2 - 9:18 | SAS | Elson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 3 AST) | 18 2.2% | 35 97.8% |
| Q2 - 9:36 | NOK | West 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST) | 18 2.4% | 33 97.6% |
| Q2 - 9:49 | SAS | Finley 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Udrih 2 AST) | 16 2.2% | 33 97.8% |
| Q2 - 10:04 | NOK | West 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST) | 16 2.5% | 31 97.5% |
| Q2 - 10:17 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 14 2.3% | 31 97.7% |
| Q2 - 10:17 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 14 2.3% | 30 97.7% |
| Q2 - 10:28 | NOK | Jackson Foul Turnover (P1.T9) | 14 2.5% | 29 97.5% |
| Q2 - 10:35 | NOK | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 2.8% | 29 97.2% |
| Q2 - 10:37 | SAS | MISS Udrih 15' Jump Shot | 14 2.7% | 29 97.3% |
| Q2 - 10:48 | SAS | Oberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 14 2.5% | 29 97.5% |
| Q2 - 10:51 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 2' Layup | 14 2.7% | 29 97.3% |
| Q2 - 11:06 | NOK | Jackson 1' Layup (2 PTS) | 14 2.5% | 29 97.5% |
| Q2 - 11:20 | SAS | Udrih 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barry 1 AST) | 12 2.3% | 29 97.7% |
| Q2 - 11:34 | NOK | Hornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8) | 12 2.7% | 26 97.3% |
| Q2 - 11:34 | NOK | Hornets Rebound | 12 3.0% | 26 97.0% |
| Q2 - 11:34 | NOK | MISS Butler 16' Jump Shot | 12 2.8% | 26 97.2% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | SAS | 12 3.0% | 26 97.0% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | SAS | SPURS Rebound | 12 2.7% | 26 97.3% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | SAS | MISS Barry 48' 3PT Jump Shot | 12 2.9% | 26 97.1% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | SAS | Barry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 12 2.8% | 26 97.2% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | NOK | MISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot | 12 2.9% | 26 97.1% |
| Q1 - 0:20.0 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 12 3.0% | 26 97.0% |
| Q1 - 0:20.0 | SAS | Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 12 3.1% | 25 96.9% |
| Q1 - 0:21.0 | SAS | Barry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 12 3.4% | 24 96.6% |
| Q1 - 0:24.0 | NOK | Horry BLOCK (2 BLK) | 12 3.5% | 24 96.5% |
| Q1 - 0:33.0 | NOK | Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 3.6% | 24 96.4% |
| Q1 - 0:36.0 | SAS | MISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot | 12 3.5% | 24 96.5% |
| Q1 - 0:40.0 | SAS | Barry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 3.4% | 24 96.6% |
| Q1 - 0:42.0 | NOK | MISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 12 3.5% | 24 96.5% |
| Q1 - 1:00 | SAS | Barry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 12 3.6% | 24 96.4% |
| Q1 - 1:00 | SAS | Barry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 12 3.7% | 23 96.3% |
| Q1 - 1:08 | SAS | Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 4.1% | 22 95.9% |
| Q1 - 1:10 | NOK | MISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot | 12 4.2% | 22 95.8% |
| Q1 - 1:30 | SAS | Ginobili 1' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Udrih 1 AST) | 12 4.4% | 22 95.6% |
| Q1 - 1:51 | NOK | Oberto STEAL (1 STL) | 12 4.9% | 20 95.1% |
| Q1 - 1:56 | NOK | Chandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 12 5.2% | 20 94.8% |
| Q1 - 1:58 | SAS | MISS Barry 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 12 5.1% | 20 94.9% |
| Q1 - 2:19 | NOK | Duncan STEAL (1 STL) | 12 4.8% | 20 95.2% |
| Q1 - 2:37 | SAS | Parker 2' Layup (11 PTS) | 12 5.3% | 20 94.7% |
| Q1 - 2:41 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 12 5.8% | 18 94.2% |
| Q1 - 2:43 | SAS | MISS Parker 17' Jump Shot | 12 6.1% | 18 93.9% |
| Q1 - 2:59 | NOK | Barry STEAL (2 STL) | 12 5.8% | 18 94.2% |
| Q1 - 3:05 | SAS | Barry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 12 6.3% | 18 93.7% |
| Q1 - 3:10 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 12 5.8% | 18 94.2% |
| Q1 - 3:12 | NOK | MISS Pargo 17' Jump Shot | 12 5.9% | 18 94.1% |
| Q1 - 3:32 | SAS | Parker 2' Layup (9 PTS) | 12 6.3% | 18 93.7% |
| Q1 - 3:53 | NOK | Chandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 12 6.8% | 16 93.2% |
| Q1 - 3:53 | NOK | Chandler 1' Layup (6 PTS) | 12 6.8% | 16 93.2% |
| Q1 - 3:54 | NOK | MISS Mason 2' Layup | 10 5.9% | 16 94.1% |
| Q1 - 4:04 | NOK | Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 10 6.2% | 16 93.8% |
| Q1 - 4:07 | SAS | MISS Bowen 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 10 6.0% | 16 94.0% |
| Q1 - 4:17 | NOK | Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 10 5.6% | 16 94.4% |
| Q1 - 4:33 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 10 6.2% | 16 93.8% |
| Q1 - 4:33 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 10 6.3% | 15 93.7% |
| Q1 - 4:36 | NOK | Barry STEAL (1 STL) | 10 6.6% | 14 93.4% |
| Q1 - 4:42 | NOK | West REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 10 7.3% | 14 92.7% |
| Q1 - 4:44 | SAS | MISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot | 10 7.1% | 14 92.9% |
| Q1 - 4:56 | SAS | MISS Barry Free Throw Technical | 10 6.6% | 14 93.4% |
| Q1 - 5:06 | NOK | Chandler 4' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) | 10 6.5% | 14 93.5% |
| Q1 - 5:20 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS) | 8 6.1% | 14 93.9% |
| Q1 - 5:23 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 8 7.1% | 11 92.9% |
| Q1 - 5:25 | NOK | MISS Brown 19' Jump Shot | 8 7.3% | 11 92.7% |
| Q1 - 5:43 | SAS | Bowen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST) | 8 7.7% | 11 92.3% |
| Q1 - 5:46 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 8 8.3% | 9 91.7% |
| Q1 - 5:48 | NOK | Mason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 8 9.0% | 9 91.0% |
| Q1 - 5:48 | NOK | Duncan BLOCK (2 BLK) | 8 8.5% | 9 91.5% |
| Q1 - 5:51 | NOK | Horry BLOCK (1 BLK) | 8 8.5% | 9 91.5% |
| Q1 - 6:09 | NOK | Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 8 8.9% | 9 91.1% |
| Q1 - 6:11 | SAS | MISS Barry 3PT Jump Shot | 8 8.6% | 9 91.4% |
| Q1 - 6:21 | NOK | MISS Brown Free Throw Technical | 8 8.2% | 9 91.8% |
| Q1 - 6:21 | NOK | Brown Free Throw Technical (1 PTS) | 8 8.2% | 9 91.8% |
| Q1 - 6:29 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 7 7.6% | 9 92.4% |
| Q1 - 6:30 | NOK | MISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 1 | 7 7.7% | 9 92.3% |
| Q1 - 6:40 | NOK | MISS West Free Throw Technical | 5 7.1% | 9 92.9% |
| Q1 - 6:49 | NOK | West REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1) | 5 7.1% | 9 92.9% |
| Q1 - 6:51 | SAS | MISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot | 5 6.9% | 9 93.1% |
| Q1 - 7:01 | SAS | Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 6.5% | 9 93.5% |
| Q1 - 7:03 | NOK | MISS West 16' Jump Shot | 5 6.6% | 9 93.4% |
| Q1 - 7:14 | NOK | Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 5 7.0% | 9 93.0% |
| Q1 - 7:15 | SAS | MISS Ginobili 15' Jump Shot | 5 6.9% | 9 93.1% |
| Q1 - 7:24 | NOK | Chandler Foul Turnover (P2.T2) | 5 6.5% | 9 93.5% |
| Q1 - 7:28 | SAS | Oberto Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 5 7.0% | 9 93.0% |
| Q1 - 7:38 | SAS | Oberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 5 6.5% | 9 93.5% |
| Q1 - 7:40 | NOK | MISS Mason 12' Jump Shot | 5 6.7% | 9 93.3% |
| Q1 - 7:53 | NOK | Butler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 7.0% | 9 93.0% |
| Q1 - 7:55 | SAS | MISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 5 6.9% | 9 93.1% |
| Q1 - 8:05 | SAS | Oberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 5 6.3% | 9 93.7% |
| Q1 - 8:06 | NOK | Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 5 6.8% | 9 93.2% |
| Q1 - 8:06 | NOK | MISS Chandler 3' Layup | 5 6.5% | 9 93.5% |
| Q1 - 8:08 | NOK | MISS Brown 3' Layup | 5 6.5% | 9 93.5% |
| Q1 - 8:22 | SAS | Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 1 AST) | 5 6.9% | 9 93.1% |
| Q1 - 8:38 | SAS | Oberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 5 7.8% | 6 92.2% |
| Q1 - 8:40 | NOK | MISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 2 | 5 7.9% | 6 92.1% |
| Q1 - 8:40 | NOK | Mason Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 5 8.3% | 6 91.7% |
| Q1 - 8:57 | SAS | Ginobili 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 4 7.9% | 6 92.1% |
| Q1 - 9:11 | NOK | Chandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1) | 4 8.3% | 4 91.7% |
| Q1 - 9:17 | NOK | Mason REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 4 9.0% | 4 91.0% |
| Q1 - 9:19 | SAS | MISS Duncan 1' Layup | 4 8.8% | 4 91.2% |
| Q1 - 9:37 | NOK | Butler 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST) | 4 8.3% | 4 91.7% |
| Q1 - 9:53 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 2 7.8% | 4 92.2% |
| Q1 - 9:53 | SAS | Parker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 2 8.0% | 3 92.0% |
| Q1 - 9:55 | SAS | Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 8.3% | 2 91.7% |
| Q1 - 9:58 | NOK | Duncan BLOCK (1 BLK) | 2 8.5% | 2 91.5% |
| Q1 - 10:19 | SAS | Bowen Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2) | 2 8.9% | 2 91.1% |
| Q1 - 10:24 | SAS | Oberto REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 8.2% | 2 91.8% |
| Q1 - 10:27 | NOK | MISS West 16' Jump Shot | 2 8.4% | 2 91.6% |
| Q1 - 10:37 | NOK | MISS Brown Free Throw Technical | 2 8.9% | 2 91.1% |
| Q1 - 11:00 | SAS | Ginobili 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 2 8.9% | 2 91.1% |
| Q1 - 11:17 | NOK | West REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0) | 2 9.4% | 0 90.6% |
| Q1 - 11:17 | NOK | West 1' Layup (2 PTS) | 2 9.4% | 0 90.6% |
| Q1 - 11:20 | NOK | West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 8.8% | 0 91.2% |
| Q1 - 11:20 | NOK | MISS West 2' Layup | 0 8.4% | 0 91.6% |
| Q1 - 11:22 | NOK | MISS Butler 12' Jump Shot | 0 8.4% | 0 91.6% |
| Q1 - 11:44 | SAS | Duncan Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 0 8.8% | 0 91.2% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | SAS | Jump Ball Duncan vs. Chandler: Tip to Parker | 0 8.2% | 0 91.8% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
NOK
0.96 47.8%
SAS
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOK
15
35
43%
SAS
18
28
64%
Midrange
NOK
14
37
38%
SAS
10
23
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOK
5
7.5
11
45%
68%
SAS
7
10.5
26
27%
40%
Free Throws
NOK
13
20
65%
SAS
22
29
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Hornets
| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. West | 19 | 50% | 9.5 / 19 | |
| B. Jackson | 14 | 50% | 7.0 / 14 | |
| D. Brown | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| D. Mason | 11 | 34% | 5.5 / 16 | |
| J. Pargo | 11 | 50% | 5.5 / 11 | |
| T. Chandler | 10 | 63% | 5.0 / 8 | |
| R. Butler | 9 | 50% | 4.5 / 9 | |
| L. Johnson | 0 | - | 0.0 / 2 | |
| M. Jackson | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Spurs| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Parker | 23 | 61% | 11.5 / 19 | |
| M. Ginobili | 19 | 63% | 9.5 / 15 | |
| M. Finley | 14 | 58% | 7.0 / 12 | |
| T. Duncan | 12 | 50% | 6.0 / 12 | |
| B. Bowen | 7 | 44% | 3.5 / 8 | |
| B. Barry | 7 | 50% | 3.5 / 7 | |
| B. Udrih | 6 | 60% | 3.0 / 5 | |
| F. Oberto | 4 | 67% | 2.0 / 3 | |
| F. Elson | 4 | 100% | 2.0 / 2 | |
| R. Horry | 3 | 38% | 1.5 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
NOK
75
+13
-14
88
SAS
76
+14
-16
90
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
NOK
0.96 47.8%
SAS
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 104.6 109.2 | NOK 96.6 +11.0 SAS 107.6 |
| Pace | 90.4 89.8 | NOK 98.2 +13.7 SAS 84.5 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.1 16.5 | NOK 14.7 +2.4 SAS 17.0 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 47.9% 52.1% | NOK 44.0% SAS 50.0% +6.0% |
| TO % | 14.9% 14.7% | NOK 14.0% +1.1% SAS 15.1% |
| ORB % | 29.2% 24.5% | NOK 22.2% SAS 29.3% +7.1% |
| FTrt | 29.1 31.3 | NOK 24.1 SAS 37.7 +13.6 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 51.7% 60.5% | NOK 41.2% SAS 60.0% +18.8% |
| STL % | 7.0% 8.0% | NOK 6.7% SAS 7.6% +0.9% |
| BLK % | 6.9% 7.8% | NOK 5.9% SAS 12.5% +6.6% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 50.7% 54.7% | NOK 47.8% SAS 54.4% +6.6% |
| Rim FG% | 56.2% 62.1% | NOK 42.9% SAS 64.3% +21.4% |
| Mid FG% | 38.2% 40.4% | NOK 37.8% SAS 43.5% +5.7% |
| 3P % | 36.2% 38.1% | NOK 45.5% +18.6% SAS 26.9% |
| FT % | 74.0% 75.1% | NOK 65.0% SAS 75.9% +10.9% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 37.2% 34.9% | NOK 42.2% +5.8% SAS 36.4% |
| Mid Att. % | 44.0% 40.5% | NOK 44.6% SAS 29.9% +14.7% |
| 3P Att. % | 18.8% 24.7% | NOK 13.3% SAS 33.8% +20.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | NOK | SAS |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 89 | 92 |
| Possession Minutes | 21.8 | 26.1 |
| Points | 86 | 99 |
| Rebounds | 39 | 47 |
| Assists | 14 | 21 |
| Steals | 6 | 7 |
| Blocks | 3 | 9 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 14 (1) | 16 (0) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 10 (3) | 12 (2) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 29 (2) | 35 (4) |
| Field Goals | 34-83 | 35-77 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 15-35 | 18-28 |
| Midrange FG | 14-37 | 10-23 |
| 2-Point FG | 29-72 | 28-51 |
| 3-Point FG | 5-11 | 7-26 |
| Free Throws | 13-20 | 22-29 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.