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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 19, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Cavaliers49%9799
19Nuggets51%98110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.1
43.9
38.5
30
51%
10
10
2
1
0
3
2
8
12-14
86%
9-22
8-17
41%
51%
0-1
0%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.0
28.7
34.1
13
53%
3
4
0
2
1
1
0
3
2-5
40%
4-8
4-10
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.6
24.0
29.3
10
83%
4
0
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
5-6
6-12
83%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.7
22.5
25.3
4
50%
0
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
42%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
22.4
28.0
5
24%
9
0
1
1
0
3
3
6
3-6
50%
1-8
5-10
13%
50%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
27.4
24.9
11
56%
8
0
4
1
0
1
4
4
3-4
75%
4-8
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.9
25.8
15.4
6
43%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
2-5
40%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.4
22.4
18.2
6
38%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
2-6
33%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.7
22.2
10.1
14
78%
6
2
0
0
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
4-8
50%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.2
0.8
12.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.2
3.1
0
0-0
42%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.0
2.0
0
0-0
43%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.9
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.1
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Allen Iverson
G · 6'0" 165 · 31.6
42.9
40.8
25
58%
3
9
1
2
0
6
0
3
9-10
90%
8-16
8-17
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 26.9
35.8
31.2
6
43%
2
5
3
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
43%
2-4
50%
Marcus Camby
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 32.8
34.0
35.1
26
65%
17
2
1
1
2
1
2
15
2-2
100%
12-19
5-11
63%
47%
0-0
-
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 26.7
22.1
18.9
8
54%
7
2
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-1
0%
4-7
2-3
57%
50%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.0
21.6
23.3
12
76%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
2-3
67%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21.4
26.3
24.2
14
53%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
1-5
20%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24.4
21.9
19.3
9
52%
5
1
0
1
2
3
0
5
5-6
83%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.5
19.5
16.9
5
73%
7
1
1
1
1
0
4
3
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-0
-
Yakhouba Diawara
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24.4
16.0
21.8
5
83%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
1-2
50%
DerMarr Johnson
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 26.7
5.6
0
0-1
54%
Jamal Sampson
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.7
2.6
0
0-0
49%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.