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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 20, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Grizzlies31%9491
11Clippers69%101112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.9
40.7
39.6
13
51%
4
7
1
1
0
6
0
4
2-4
50%
4-5
4-8
80%
52%
1-6
17%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.5
38.0
39.3
27
75%
7
3
1
1
2
3
3
4
9-9
100%
9-14
8-15
64%
51%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.4
35.6
22.5
17
68%
5
3
1
1
1
2
1
4
1-1
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
44%
2-4
50%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.4
25.8
25.2
0
0%
1
5
2
1
0
6
0
1
0-1
0%
0-0
2-5
-
42%
0-6
0%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.9
19.2
15.4
4
69%
6
1
0
1
2
0
0
6
0-2
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
49%
0-0
-
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.3
22.4
17.3
8
41%
6
0
0
1
0
1
2
4
2-4
50%
3-8
2-4
38%
49%
0-0
-
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.4
22.2
20.8
10
63%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.1
11.9
12.7
2
26%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.5
10.2
15.0
10
102%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
4-4
2-5
100%
49%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.8
7.8
8.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.6
6.2
3.0
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.2
23.1
1
4-8
48%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.7
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.8
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 27.9
40.1
39.8
34
64%
4
5
0
1
0
3
2
2
8-8
100%
13-23
8-15
57%
55%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 37.2
35.3
33.3
21
62%
3
14
1
1
0
4
2
1
2-2
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
49%
1-2
50%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 25.7
31.8
27.3
8
44%
7
0
3
1
0
0
3
4
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
50%
0-0
-
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 31.4
27.8
34.4
11
53%
1
5
3
1
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 24.7
24.1
19.7
12
60%
9
0
0
0
2
2
3
6
0-0
-
6-10
3-6
60%
52%
0-0
-
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.2
31.8
35.2
11
40%
9
1
2
1
0
1
0
9
3-6
50%
4-11
6-12
36%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 22.5
16.0
1.9
2
25%
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-4
0-1
25%
52%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 29.9
14.5
21.7
5
56%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Daniel Ewing
G · 6'3" 185 · 23.8
12.7
8.8
6
104%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Alvin Williams
G · 6'5" 195 · 32.5
4.6
7.5
0
0%
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-1
0%
James Singleton
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
1.3
7.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 35.3
4.0
0
0-1
52%
Zeljko Rebraca
C · 7'0" 265 · 34.8
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 21.4
Yaroslav Korolev
F · 6'9" 203 · 19.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.