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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 20, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Jazz33%9495
5Bulls67%10085
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 32.4
42.9
27.7
14
47%
3
4
1
1
0
3
2
1
8-9
89%
3-10
3-6
30%
40%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 25.2
37.7
35.4
19
55%
14
4
0
1
0
2
2
12
5-10
50%
7-13
8-16
54%
52%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 22.6
33.1
38.4
12
50%
0
7
2
1
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
6-11
5-11
55%
46%
0-1
0%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 27.7
32.7
35.7
21
52%
11
0
0
0
0
0
1
10
4-5
80%
4-9
4-9
44%
48%
3-9
33%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
30.8
32.3
10
53%
6
7
3
1
2
2
2
4
6-8
75%
2-4
3-5
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 30.6
20.6
21.9
11
56%
2
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
3-4
75%
4-8
3-7
50%
47%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 29.6
16.5
15.8
2
25%
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
43%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 21.9
13.9
14.8
4
40%
4
1
0
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 28.1
11.7
6.7
2
50%
3
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 21.8
6.1
0
1-2
46%
Rafael Araujo
C · 6'11" 270 · 26.4
3.1
0
0-1
38%
Dee Brown
G · 6'0" 185 · 22.4
2.2
0
0-0
37%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 19.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.0
42.3
37.7
22
54%
5
4
2
1
0
3
0
5
9-12
75%
5-10
4-9
50%
46%
1-5
20%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 23.8
39.9
34.9
23
46%
4
6
1
1
1
4
1
3
9-11
82%
7-16
5-12
44%
47%
0-4
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 32.4
39.4
25.5
10
58%
9
2
2
1
6
2
3
6
4-6
67%
3-6
2-4
50%
49%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.8
35.0
33.6
12
40%
7
0
3
1
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
5-14
6-12
36%
52%
0-0
-
P.J. Brown
F-C · 6'11" 239 · 37.3
28.8
16.8
4
29%
9
0
0
0
0
1
4
5
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 27.1
22.3
26.7
8
54%
6
1
0
1
0
3
0
6
0-1
0%
4-4
4-7
100%
52%
0-3
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 20.4
11.2
15.6
4
42%
5
0
0
1
3
1
2
3
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 24.4
9.9
19.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Michael Sweetney
F · 6'8" 270 · 24.2
7.4
8.4
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 22.7
3.9
9.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 32.5
10.8
1
1-2
49%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 28.6
6.6
0
1-3
47%
Martynas Andriuskevicius
C · 7'2" 240 · 20.9
Andre Barrett
G · 5'10" 173 · 24.9
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.