FinalWin Prob.pScore
1821%90
121
479%100
113
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
118.610291.3
HOU logo HOU
109.710394.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENHOU
OT1 - 0:00.0DEN121
100%
113
0%
OT1 - 0:10.0HOUHead 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)121
99.9%
113
0.1%
OT1 - 0:16.0DENSmith 27' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Iverson 10 AST)121
99.9%
110
0.1%
OT1 - 0:36.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:17)118
99.8%
110
0.2%
OT1 - 0:38.0HOUMISS McGrady Layup118
99.5%
110
0.5%
OT1 - 0:44.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)118
98.9%
110
1.1%
OT1 - 0:44.0DENMISS Iverson Free Throw 2 of 2118
99.0%
110
1.0%
OT1 - 0:44.0DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (36 PTS)118
99.4%
110
0.6%
OT1 - 0:47.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:5 Def:16)117
98.8%
110
1.2%
OT1 - 0:49.0DENMISS Blake 17' Jump Shot117
97.9%
110
2.1%
OT1 - 1:07HOUBattier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T17)117
97.8%
110
2.2%
OT1 - 1:07DENBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)117
95.7%
110
4.3%
OT1 - 1:25DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:16)117
96.2%
110
3.8%
OT1 - 1:27HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot117
95.3%
110
4.7%
OT1 - 1:36DENBlake Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)117
91.7%
110
8.3%
OT1 - 1:50HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P4.T16)113
69.8%
110
30.2%
OT1 - 2:11HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)113
54.2%
110
45.8%
OT1 - 2:11DENMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 2113
56.4%
110
43.6%
OT1 - 2:11DENMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 2113
63.6%
110
36.4%
OT1 - 2:29HOUHoward Driving Dunk (21 PTS) (McGrady 10 AST)113
69.9%
110
30.1%
OT1 - 2:44DENCamby 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Iverson 8 AST)113
74.2%
108
25.8%
OT1 - 2:56DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)111
66.3%
108
33.7%
OT1 - 2:57HOUMISS Mutombo 13' Jump Shot111
62.3%
108
37.7%
OT1 - 3:20DENIverson 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (35 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)111
51.7%
108
48.3%
OT1 - 3:44DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)108
32.3%
108
67.7%
OT1 - 3:46HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot108
29.8%
108
70.2%
OT1 - 3:49HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)108
24.5%
108
75.5%
OT1 - 3:51HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot108
29.9%
108
70.1%
OT1 - 3:59HOUROCKETS Rebound108
24.5%
108
75.5%
OT1 - 3:59HOUMISS Head Layup108
30.0%
108
70.0%
OT1 - 4:04HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)108
24.5%
108
75.5%
OT1 - 4:06DENMISS Smith Driving Layup108
26.9%
108
73.1%
OT1 - 4:12DENBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)108
32.7%
108
67.3%
OT1 - 4:14HOUMISS Alston Layup108
30.1%
108
69.9%
OT1 - 4:15HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)108
24.5%
108
75.5%
OT1 - 4:17HOUMISS Head 6' Jump Shot108
30.1%
108
69.9%
OT1 - 4:36DENIverson Traveling Turnover (P3.T14)108
24.6%
108
75.4%
OT1 - 4:40HOUAlston Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)108
32.8%
108
67.2%
OT1 - 5:00HOUJump Ball Mutombo vs. Camby: Tip to Alston108
24.6%
108
75.4%
Q4 - 0:05.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)108
55.7%
108
44.3%
Q4 - 0:06.0HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot108
44.1%
108
55.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)108
22.6%
108
77.4%
Q4 - 0:29.0DENMISS Iverson Layup108
28.4%
108
71.6%
Q4 - 0:41.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:15)108
43.3%
108
56.7%
Q4 - 0:42.0HOUMISS Alston 16' Jump Shot108
37.1%
108
62.9%
Q4 - 1:02DENIverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (32 PTS)108
25.7%
108
74.3%
Q4 - 1:21DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)105
10.4%
108
89.6%
Q4 - 1:23HOUMISS McGrady Reverse Layup105
8.8%
108
91.2%
Q4 - 1:33HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)105
6.3%
108
93.7%
Q4 - 1:35DENMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot105
7.5%
108
92.5%
Q4 - 1:43DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)105
11.2%
108
88.8%
Q4 - 1:45HOUMISS Alston 7' Running Jump Shot105
9.7%
108
90.3%
Q4 - 2:03DENCamby Layup (10 PTS) (Blake 4 AST)105
6.7%
108
93.3%
Q4 - 2:23DENBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)103
5.2%
108
94.8%
Q4 - 2:25HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot103
4.2%
108
95.8%
Q4 - 2:37DENIverson Free Throw 3 of 3 (29 PTS)103
2.7%
108
97.3%
Q4 - 2:37DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 3 (28 PTS)102
2.5%
108
97.5%
Q4 - 2:37DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 3 (27 PTS)101
2.3%
108
97.7%
Q4 - 2:49HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Mutombo 1 AST)100
1.3%
108
98.7%
Q4 - 3:09DENBlake 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diawara 2 AST)100
3.4%
105
96.6%
Q4 - 3:19DENBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
1.7%
105
98.3%
Q4 - 3:21HOUMISS Alston 27' 3PT Jump Shot97
1.4%
105
98.6%
Q4 - 3:32HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
1.8%
105
98.2%
Q4 - 3:34DENMISS Camby 8' Jump Shot97
1.9%
105
98.1%
Q4 - 3:48HOUHead 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McGrady 9 AST)97
2.4%
105
97.6%
Q4 - 4:05DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)97
4.7%
102
95.3%
Q4 - 4:05DENMISS Camby Free Throw 1 of 296
4.3%
102
95.7%
Q4 - 4:14DENSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
4.8%
102
95.2%
Q4 - 4:16HOUMISS Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
4.3%
102
95.7%
Q4 - 4:18DENAlston STEAL (1 STL)96
3.3%
102
96.7%
Q4 - 4:23HOUAlston Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)96
4.8%
102
95.2%
Q4 - 4:37DENNajera Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)96
3.2%
102
96.8%
Q4 - 4:37DENMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 295
3.0%
102
97.0%
Q4 - 4:37DENNuggets Rebound95
3.3%
102
96.7%
Q4 - 4:39DENMISS Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
2.5%
102
97.5%
Q4 - 5:00HOUMcGrady 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS)95
3.3%
102
96.7%
Q4 - 5:21DENCamby REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)95
5.5%
100
94.5%
Q4 - 5:21DENCamby Tip Shot (7 PTS)95
5.5%
100
94.5%
Q4 - 5:22DENMISS Kleiza Layup93
3.2%
100
96.8%
Q4 - 5:43HOUMcGrady 16' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Alston 7 AST)93
4.0%
100
96.0%
Q4 - 5:56HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)93
5.5%
98
94.5%
Q4 - 5:56DENMISS Camby Free Throw 2 of 293
5.7%
98
94.3%
Q4 - 5:56DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)93
6.9%
98
93.1%
Q4 - 5:57DENCamby REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)92
5.5%
98
94.5%
Q4 - 5:57DENMISS Iverson 18' Jump Shot92
4.4%
98
95.6%
Q4 - 6:21HOUWells Layup (12 PTS)92
6.2%
98
93.8%
Q4 - 6:22HOUWells REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)92
7.9%
96
92.1%
Q4 - 6:23HOUMISS Alston 7' Running Jump Shot92
9.9%
96
90.1%
Q4 - 6:43DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)92
7.9%
96
92.1%
Q4 - 6:43DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)91
7.4%
96
92.6%
Q4 - 7:02HOUHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)90
6.9%
96
93.1%
Q4 - 7:06DENWells STEAL (1 STL)90
5.2%
96
94.8%
Q4 - 7:15DENNuggets Rebound90
6.9%
96
93.1%
Q4 - 7:15HOUMISS Wells Free Throw 2 of 290
6.6%
96
93.4%
Q4 - 7:15HOUMISS Wells Free Throw 1 of 290
5.7%
96
94.3%
Q4 - 7:35DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Blake 3 AST)90
5.1%
96
94.9%
Q4 - 7:48HOUWells Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)87
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 7:48HOUWells Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)87
3.3%
95
96.7%
Q4 - 7:58HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)87
3.9%
94
96.1%
Q4 - 8:00DENMISS Iverson Reverse Layup87
4.3%
94
95.7%
Q4 - 8:06HOUHead Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)87
5.9%
94
94.1%
Q4 - 8:15DENSmith Driving Dunk (18 PTS)87
4.6%
94
95.4%
Q4 - 8:18DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)85
3.6%
94
96.4%
Q4 - 8:20DENMISS Iverson Driving Layup85
3.1%
94
96.9%
Q4 - 8:35HOUWells 5' Hook Bank Shot (8 PTS)85
3.6%
94
96.4%
Q4 - 8:36HOUWells REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)85
4.6%
92
95.4%
Q4 - 8:39HOUMISS Head 18' Jump Shot85
5.5%
92
94.5%
Q4 - 9:01HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)85
5.0%
92
95.0%
Q4 - 9:01DENMISS Najera Free Throw 1 of 185
5.1%
92
94.9%
Q4 - 9:12DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)83
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q4 - 9:14HOUMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot83
3.7%
92
96.3%
Q4 - 9:29HOUHead REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
3.1%
92
96.9%
Q4 - 9:31DENMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 9:39HOUWells Layup (6 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)83
4.0%
92
96.0%
Q4 - 9:53DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Iverson 7 AST)83
5.0%
90
95.0%
Q4 - 9:57DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q4 - 9:59HOUMISS Head 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 10:17DENSmith 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Iverson 6 AST)80
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 10:30HOUHead Driving Layup (9 PTS)77
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 10:35HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)77
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 10:37DENMISS Iverson Driving Layup77
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q4 - 10:48HOUWells Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)77
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 10:58HOUWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
2.2%
88
97.8%
Q4 - 11:00DENMISS Nene 13' Jump Shot77
2.4%
88
97.6%
Q4 - 11:29HOUHoward 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)77
3.2%
88
96.8%
Q4 - 11:43HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)77
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 11:45DENMISS Nene Layup77
4.1%
86
95.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN77
4.8%
86
95.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUHead Layup (7 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)77
4.8%
86
95.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)77
6.2%
84
93.8%
Q3 - 0:09.0HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)77
7.5%
84
92.5%
Q3 - 0:09.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)77
6.2%
84
93.8%
Q3 - 0:10.0HOUMISS Wells 7' Jump Shot77
7.1%
84
92.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)77
6.2%
84
93.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0HOUMISS McGrady 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
7.1%
84
92.9%
Q3 - 0:52.0HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)77
6.2%
84
93.8%
Q3 - 0:53.0DENMISS Nene Layup77
6.6%
84
93.4%
Q3 - 1:07DENBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
7.8%
84
92.2%
Q3 - 1:09HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
7.4%
84
92.6%
Q3 - 1:26DENNene Layup (14 PTS)77
6.5%
84
93.5%
Q3 - 1:26DENNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q3 - 1:27DENMISS Iverson Driving Layup75
4.7%
84
95.3%
Q3 - 1:42HOUMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (17 PTS)75
5.4%
84
94.6%
Q3 - 2:04HOUHoward Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)75
6.6%
82
93.4%
Q3 - 2:04HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:6 Def:2)75
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q3 - 2:06DENMISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot75
8.4%
81
91.6%
Q3 - 2:18HOUMutombo Foul Turnover (P1.T9)75
9.5%
81
90.5%
Q3 - 2:24HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)75
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q3 - 2:26HOUMISS McGrady 12' Turnaround Jump Shot75
9.0%
81
91.0%
Q3 - 2:37DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)75
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q3 - 2:47HOUMcGrady 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)72
5.7%
81
94.3%
Q3 - 2:59DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)72
6.6%
79
93.4%
Q3 - 2:59DENMISS Iverson Free Throw 1 of 271
6.5%
79
93.5%
Q3 - 3:14HOUMcGrady Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P3.T8)71
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q3 - 3:21DENNene Foul Turnover (P3.T10)71
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q3 - 3:33HOUAlston 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)71
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q3 - 3:38HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q3 - 3:39DENMISS Iverson Driving Layup71
8.7%
77
91.3%
Q3 - 3:54HOUBattier 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)71
9.8%
77
90.2%
Q3 - 4:12DENNene Foul Turnover (P2.T9)71
13.1%
74
86.9%
Q3 - 4:27HOUMcGrady 16' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)71
15.5%
74
84.5%
Q3 - 4:54DENIverson Driving Layup (23 PTS)71
17.6%
72
82.4%
Q3 - 4:57HOUMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)69
15.6%
72
84.4%
Q3 - 5:12DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)69
13.3%
72
86.7%
Q3 - 5:12DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
12.9%
72
87.1%
Q3 - 5:34HOUMutombo Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)67
11.6%
72
88.4%
Q3 - 5:45DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)67
15.3%
69
84.7%
Q3 - 5:45DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)66
14.9%
69
85.1%
Q3 - 5:55HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)65
13.5%
69
86.5%
Q3 - 5:55HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
13.7%
68
86.3%
Q3 - 6:13DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)65
15.2%
67
84.8%
Q3 - 6:13DENMISS Iverson Free Throw 1 of 264
14.9%
67
85.1%
Q3 - 6:20DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)64
15.4%
67
84.6%
Q3 - 6:21HOUMISS Howard 18' Jump Shot64
14.7%
67
85.3%
Q3 - 6:36HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
13.3%
67
86.7%
Q3 - 6:38DENMISS Diawara 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
13.9%
67
86.1%
Q3 - 6:53HOUBattier 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)64
15.4%
67
84.6%
Q3 - 7:18HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
19.6%
64
80.4%
Q3 - 7:20DENEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
22.5%
64
77.5%
Q3 - 7:20DENMISS Evans Tip Shot64
20.5%
64
79.5%
Q3 - 7:21DENMISS Iverson Layup64
20.5%
64
79.5%
Q3 - 7:35HOUMutombo 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Battier 3 AST)64
22.5%
64
77.5%
Q3 - 7:54HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)64
25.0%
62
75.0%
Q3 - 7:55HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot64
27.3%
62
72.7%
Q3 - 8:07HOUROCKETS Rebound64
24.6%
62
75.4%
Q3 - 8:09DENMISS Iverson 8' Jump Shot64
25.6%
62
74.4%
Q3 - 8:21HOUMutombo Layup (6 PTS)64
28.0%
62
72.0%
Q3 - 8:22HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)64
30.7%
60
69.3%
Q3 - 8:24HOUMISS Howard 12' Jump Shot64
33.3%
60
66.7%
Q3 - 8:49DENDiawara 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)64
30.7%
60
69.3%
Q3 - 9:05HOUHoward 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Alston 6 AST)62
26.7%
60
73.3%
Q3 - 9:20DENDiawara 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)62
29.6%
58
70.4%
Q3 - 9:41DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)59
24.0%
58
76.0%
Q3 - 9:43HOUMISS Battier 18' Jump Shot59
23.2%
58
76.8%
Q3 - 9:54HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
21.4%
58
78.6%
Q3 - 9:56DENMISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot59
22.2%
58
77.8%
Q3 - 10:06HOUHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)59
23.3%
58
76.7%
Q3 - 10:09HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
20.6%
58
79.4%
Q3 - 10:11HOUMISS McGrady 22' Jump Shot59
22.5%
58
77.5%
Q3 - 10:20DENCamby Foul Turnover (P2.T8)59
20.6%
58
79.4%
Q3 - 10:30DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
23.3%
58
76.7%
Q3 - 10:32HOUMISS Alston Layup59
22.5%
58
77.5%
Q3 - 10:56DENKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)59
20.7%
58
79.3%
Q3 - 11:02DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
16.1%
58
83.9%
Q3 - 11:04HOUMISS Alston 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
15.5%
58
84.5%
Q3 - 11:26DENKleiza 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)56
14.3%
58
85.7%
Q3 - 11:39DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)53
11.3%
58
88.7%
Q3 - 11:41HOUMISS Battier 18' Jump Shot53
10.8%
58
89.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU53
9.9%
58
90.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
9.9%
58
90.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENMISS Kleiza 27' 3PT Jump Shot53
10.6%
58
89.4%
Q2 - 0:14.0HOUAlston Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
11.2%
58
88.8%
Q2 - 0:14.0HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)53
11.6%
57
88.4%
Q2 - 0:31.0DENIverson 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Blake 2 AST)53
13.1%
56
86.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0HOUMcGrady Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)51
11.2%
56
88.8%
Q2 - 0:41.0HOUMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)51
10.3%
56
89.7%
Q2 - 0:43.0HOUMISS Head 10' Running Jump Shot51
10.9%
56
89.1%
Q2 - 1:08DENSmith Reverse Layup (10 PTS)51
10.7%
56
89.3%
Q2 - 1:19HOUMcGrady Reverse Layup (11 PTS)49
9.0%
56
91.0%
Q2 - 1:34DENBlake Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)49
10.6%
54
89.4%
Q2 - 1:54HOUBattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)49
11.3%
54
88.7%
Q2 - 2:08DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)49
14.6%
51
85.4%
Q2 - 2:08DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)48
14.4%
51
85.6%
Q2 - 2:26DENBlake REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
13.0%
51
87.0%
Q2 - 2:28HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot47
12.6%
51
87.4%
Q2 - 2:40DENIverson Layup (16 PTS)47
11.8%
51
88.2%
Q2 - 2:55HOUMcGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Alston 5 AST)45
10.4%
51
89.6%
Q2 - 3:07HOUBattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
12.9%
48
87.1%
Q2 - 3:09DENMISS Camby 20' Jump Shot45
13.4%
48
86.6%
Q2 - 3:18DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)45
14.5%
48
85.5%
Q2 - 3:20HOUMISS McGrady 18' Jump Shot45
14.0%
48
86.0%
Q2 - 3:37DENNene Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)45
12.9%
48
87.1%
Q2 - 3:46DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
14.5%
48
85.5%
Q2 - 3:48HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)45
12.9%
48
87.1%
Q2 - 3:48HOUMISS Mutombo Layup45
14.0%
48
86.0%
Q2 - 3:51HOUMISS Alston Layup45
14.0%
48
86.0%
Q2 - 4:09DENIverson Driving Layup (14 PTS)45
12.9%
48
87.1%
Q2 - 4:12DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
11.6%
48
88.4%
Q2 - 4:15HOUMISS Head Layup43
11.3%
48
88.7%
Q2 - 4:31DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)43
10.5%
48
89.5%
Q2 - 4:51DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)40
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q2 - 4:53HOUMISS Head 3PT Jump Shot40
8.2%
48
91.8%
Q2 - 5:09HOUROCKETS Rebound40
7.6%
48
92.4%
Q2 - 5:09DENMISS Blake Layup40
7.9%
48
92.1%
Q2 - 5:15HOUBattier Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)40
8.6%
48
91.4%
Q2 - 5:24DENCamby Layup (2 PTS)40
7.7%
48
92.3%
Q2 - 5:26DENMISS Nene Layup38
6.4%
48
93.6%
Q2 - 5:26DENCamby REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)38
7.0%
48
93.0%
Q2 - 5:30DENNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
6.9%
48
93.1%
Q2 - 5:32DENMISS Camby Layup38
6.4%
48
93.6%
Q2 - 5:33DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
6.9%
48
93.1%
Q2 - 5:34HOUMISS Alston Layup38
6.7%
48
93.3%
Q2 - 6:00DENBlake Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)38
6.2%
48
93.8%
Q2 - 6:04DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)38
7.1%
48
92.9%
Q2 - 6:06HOUMISS Head 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
6.9%
48
93.1%
Q2 - 6:21DENIverson 16' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)38
6.3%
48
93.7%
Q2 - 6:33HOUMutombo Layup (4 PTS)36
5.8%
48
94.2%
Q2 - 6:34HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
6.3%
46
93.7%
Q2 - 6:35HOUMISS Wells 19' Jump Shot36
6.8%
46
93.2%
Q2 - 6:50HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)36
6.3%
46
93.7%
Q2 - 6:52DENMISS Nene 16' Jump Shot36
6.5%
46
93.5%
Q2 - 7:07DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)36
7.3%
46
92.7%
Q2 - 7:09HOUMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot36
7.1%
46
92.9%
Q2 - 7:25HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)36
6.6%
46
93.4%
Q2 - 7:25DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 136
6.7%
46
93.3%
Q2 - 7:34DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)34
6.0%
46
94.0%
Q2 - 7:36HOUMISS Howard 11' Turnaround Jump Shot34
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q2 - 7:53HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
5.4%
46
94.6%
Q2 - 7:53DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 234
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q2 - 7:53DENNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)34
5.8%
46
94.2%
Q2 - 8:09HOUWells Driving Layup (4 PTS)33
5.5%
46
94.5%
Q2 - 8:20HOUHoward Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)33
6.0%
44
94.0%
Q2 - 8:22HOUHayes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
6.6%
43
93.4%
Q2 - 8:24DENWells BLOCK (1 BLK)33
6.9%
43
93.1%
Q2 - 8:33HOUWells Driving Layup (2 PTS)33
7.4%
43
92.6%
Q2 - 8:34HOUWells REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
8.0%
41
92.0%
Q2 - 8:37HOUMISS Wells 10' Jump Shot33
8.7%
41
91.3%
Q2 - 8:58DENNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)33
8.0%
41
92.0%
Q2 - 8:59DENNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
6.7%
41
93.3%
Q2 - 9:02DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
6.3%
41
93.7%
Q2 - 9:16HOUAlston 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wells 1 AST)30
6.8%
41
93.2%
Q2 - 9:34DENDiawara Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)30
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 9:56HOUAlston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Head 1 AST)30
9.0%
38
91.0%
Q2 - 10:05HOUROCKETS Rebound30
10.8%
35
89.2%
Q2 - 10:08HOUMISS Wells Layup30
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 10:28DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Blake 1 AST)30
10.8%
35
89.2%
Q2 - 10:38DENNuggets Rebound27
9.1%
35
90.9%
Q2 - 10:39DENMISS Iverson 8' Fadeaway Jumper27
8.5%
35
91.5%
Q2 - 10:54HOUHead 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)27
9.1%
35
90.9%
Q2 - 11:10DENIverson Driving Layup (10 PTS)27
9.8%
33
90.2%
Q2 - 11:15HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)25
9.0%
33
91.0%
Q2 - 11:21HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
8.2%
33
91.8%
Q2 - 11:23DENMISS Smith 15' Jump Shot25
8.4%
33
91.6%
Q2 - 11:37HOUHoward 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Alston 4 AST)25
9.0%
33
91.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU25
9.8%
31
90.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound25
9.8%
31
90.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Alston 29' 3PT Jump Shot25
10.4%
31
89.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
9.9%
31
90.1%
Q1 - 0:04.0DENMISS Nene Free Throw 2 of 225
10.0%
31
90.0%
Q1 - 0:04.0DENMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 225
10.6%
31
89.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0DENNuggets Rebound25
10.6%
31
89.4%
Q1 - 0:04.0DENMISS Iverson 8' Jump Shot25
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q1 - 0:27.0HOUHead 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)25
10.6%
31
89.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0DENSmith 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)25
12.8%
28
87.2%
Q1 - 1:02DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)22
10.6%
28
89.4%
Q1 - 1:03HOUMISS Alston Layup22
10.4%
28
89.6%
Q1 - 1:15DENIverson Driving Layup (8 PTS)22
10.0%
28
90.0%
Q1 - 1:25HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
9.0%
28
91.0%
Q1 - 1:25HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
9.1%
27
90.9%
Q1 - 1:42DENSmith Driving Layup (2 PTS)20
10.0%
26
90.0%
Q1 - 1:51HOUHoward 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)18
9.0%
26
91.0%
Q1 - 2:03HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
9.9%
24
90.1%
Q1 - 2:05DENMISS Iverson 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
10.2%
24
89.8%
Q1 - 2:22HOUMutombo Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)18
10.7%
24
89.3%
Q1 - 2:34DENDiawara 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)18
11.7%
22
88.3%
Q1 - 2:51HOUAlston 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Battier 2 AST)15
9.9%
22
90.1%
Q1 - 2:57HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
11.7%
19
88.3%
Q1 - 2:59HOUMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot15
12.4%
19
87.6%
Q1 - 3:15DENDiawara 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Camby 1 AST)15
11.6%
19
88.4%
Q1 - 3:32HOUAlston Layup (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)13
10.8%
19
89.2%
Q1 - 3:55HOUROCKETS Rebound13
11.6%
17
88.4%
Q1 - 3:57DENMISS Iverson 21' Jump Shot13
11.9%
17
88.1%
Q1 - 4:12HOUBattier 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Alston 3 AST)13
12.5%
17
87.5%
Q1 - 4:27DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)13
13.3%
15
86.7%
Q1 - 4:27DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)12
13.2%
15
86.8%
Q1 - 4:31DENNuggets Rebound11
12.5%
15
87.5%
Q1 - 4:34DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
11.8%
15
88.2%
Q1 - 4:47DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)11
12.6%
15
87.4%
Q1 - 4:48HOUMISS Mutombo Layup11
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 4:49HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 4:51HOUMISS McGrady 21' Jump Shot11
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 5:07DENIverson 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
11.4%
15
88.6%
Q1 - 5:18HOUAlston Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)9
10.6%
15
89.4%
Q1 - 5:25HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
9.8%
15
90.2%
Q1 - 5:27DENMISS Najera 19' Jump Shot9
10.0%
15
90.0%
Q1 - 5:43HOUHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
10.6%
15
89.4%
Q1 - 5:54DENKleiza 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
9.8%
15
90.2%
Q1 - 6:08DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)7
9.2%
15
90.8%
Q1 - 6:10HOUMISS McGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
9.0%
15
91.0%
Q1 - 6:16HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
8.5%
15
91.5%
Q1 - 6:18DENMISS Kleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
8.7%
15
91.3%
Q1 - 6:25DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
9.2%
15
90.8%
Q1 - 6:27DENMISS Diawara 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
8.7%
15
91.3%
Q1 - 6:42DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
9.2%
15
90.8%
Q1 - 6:44DENMISS Iverson 18' Jump Shot7
8.7%
15
91.3%
Q1 - 6:51DENNuggets Rebound7
9.2%
15
90.8%
Q1 - 6:51DENMcGrady BLOCK (2 BLK)7
8.7%
15
91.3%
Q1 - 7:01HOUHoward Driving Dunk (7 PTS) (Alston 2 AST)7
9.4%
15
90.6%
Q1 - 7:05HOUAlston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
9.9%
13
90.1%
Q1 - 7:07DENMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)7
10.2%
13
89.8%
Q1 - 7:33HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)7
10.7%
13
89.3%
Q1 - 7:33HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 27
10.8%
12
89.2%
Q1 - 7:51HOUMutombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
10.6%
12
89.4%
Q1 - 7:53DENMISS Blake 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
10.9%
12
89.1%
Q1 - 8:06DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
11.3%
12
88.7%
Q1 - 8:08HOUMISS McGrady 14' Jump Shot7
11.1%
12
88.9%
Q1 - 8:18HOUROCKETS Rebound7
10.5%
12
89.5%
Q1 - 8:20DENMISS Iverson 19' Jump Shot7
10.7%
12
89.3%
Q1 - 8:30HOUMcGrady Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
11.3%
12
88.7%
Q1 - 8:30HOUMcGrady Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
11.5%
11
88.5%
Q1 - 8:35DENHoward STEAL (1 STL)7
12.0%
10
88.0%
Q1 - 8:46HOUMcGrady 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Alston 1 AST)7
12.9%
10
87.1%
Q1 - 8:56DENBlake 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)7
13.7%
8
86.3%
Q1 - 9:24HOUBattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)5
12.9%
8
87.1%
Q1 - 9:43DENIverson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
14.4%
5
85.6%
Q1 - 9:58HOUHoward 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)3
13.8%
5
86.2%
Q1 - 10:20DENBlake 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)3
14.4%
3
85.6%
Q1 - 10:24DENEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
12.8%
3
87.2%
Q1 - 10:26DENMISS Iverson 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
12.1%
3
87.9%
Q1 - 10:51HOUHoward 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)0
12.8%
3
87.2%
Q1 - 11:04HOUROCKETS Rebound0
13.6%
1
86.4%
Q1 - 11:06DENMISS Blake 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
13.8%
1
86.2%
Q1 - 11:23DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
14.4%
1
85.6%
Q1 - 11:23HOUMISS Alston Free Throw 2 of 20
14.3%
1
85.7%
Q1 - 11:23HOUAlston Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
13.7%
1
86.3%
Q1 - 11:27DENBattier STEAL (1 STL)0
14.5%
0
85.5%
Q1 - 11:36DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.3%
0
84.7%
Q1 - 11:38HOUMISS McGrady 17' Jump Shot0
15.0%
0
85.0%
Q1 - 11:43DENMutombo STEAL (1 STL)0
14.5%
0
85.5%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Mutombo vs. Camby: Tip to0
15.3%
0
84.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.13 56.5%
HOU
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
16
33
48%
HOU
14
26
54%
Midrange
DEN
10
27
37%
HOU
17
44
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
15
22.5
29
52%
78%
HOU
12
18.0
26
46%
69%
Free Throws
DEN
24
37
65%
HOU
15
19
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Iverson3651%18.0 / 35
J. Smith2480%12.0 / 15
Nene1458%7.0 / 12
M. Camby1255%6.0 / 11
S. Blake1267%6.0 / 9
L. Kleiza1260%6.0 / 10
Y. Diawara1071%5.0 / 7
E. Najera117%0.5 / 3
R. Evans0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. McGrady2444%12.0 / 27
J. Howard2170%10.5 / 15
R. Alston1640%8.0 / 20
L. Head1554%7.5 / 14
S. Battier1478%7.0 / 9
B. Wells1255%6.0 / 11
D. Mutombo1169%5.5 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
87
+18
-15
105
HOU
87
+19
-16
106
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
1.13 56.5%
HOU
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.9
105.6
DEN 118.6 +8.9
HOU 109.7
Pace
97.2
91.1
DEN 91.3
HOU 94.5 +3.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.8
DEN 15.8
HOU 15.2 +0.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.1%
49.9%
DEN 54.5% +3.5%
HOU 51.0%
TO %
16.5%
14.8%
DEN 12.5% +1.5%
HOU 14.0%
ORB %
28.9%
25.7%
DEN 27.3%
HOU 31.4% +4.1%
FTrt
36.0
29.2
DEN 41.6 +21.8
HOU 19.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.7%
58.6%
DEN 51.2%
HOU 62.8% +11.6%
STL %
8.5%
7.8%
DEN 7.8% +2.0%
HOU 5.8%
BLK %
7.9%
6.5%
DEN 12.9% +7.9%
HOU 5.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.06 and 2.06.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.6%
52.3%
DEN 56.5% +3.7%
HOU 52.8%
Rim FG%
60.6%
56.2%
DEN 48.5%
HOU 53.8% +5.3%
Mid FG%
39.1%
41.0%
DEN 37.0%
HOU 38.6% +1.6%
3P %
33.6%
37.2%
DEN 51.7% +5.5%
HOU 46.2%
FT %
74.6%
75.3%
DEN 64.9%
HOU 78.9% +14.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.9%
30.3%
DEN 37.1% +10.0%
HOU 27.1%
Mid Att. %
39.0%
40.7%
DEN 30.3% +15.5%
HOU 45.8%
3P Att. %
21.2%
29.0%
DEN 32.6% +5.5%
HOU 27.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENHOU
Possessions102103
Possession Minutes26.826.2
Points121113
Rebounds4748
Assists2127
Steals86
Blocks93
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (6)16 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)32 (5)
Field Goals41-8943-96
At-the-Rim FG16-3314-26
Midrange FG10-2717-44
2-Point FG26-6031-70
3-Point FG15-2912-26
Free Throws24-3715-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 165 · 32
50.3
36
51%
3
10
4
0
3
1
0
3
10-13
77%
10-26
38%
2-4
50%
C · 6'11" 240 · 33
44.0
12
55%
22
1
0
5
2
2
5
17
4-6
67%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 172 · 27
35.1
12
67%
5
4
3
1
3
1
0
5
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
F · 6'8" 234 · 22
23.3
12
60%
2
0
0
0
1
2
0
2
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 245 · 27
12.5
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 24
31.6
10
71%
3
2
0
0
1
4
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
2-4
50%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 21
31.4
24
80%
3
1
1
1
2
3
0
3
0-2
0%
3-5
60%
6-9
67%
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 24
18.9
14
58%
5
0
0
2
3
2
3
2
4-8
50%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 31
17.9
1
17%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 210 · 27
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 24
#6 · F · 6'9" 225 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
121
56%
47
21
8
9
15
0
12
35
24-37
65%
26-60
43%
15-29
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.