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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 20, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Cavaliers47%100106
20Warriors53%101104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F · 6'9" 250 · 22.1
45.9
40.3
32
66%
7
5
4
2
0
9
0
7
2-5
40%
12-15
9-18
80%
51%
2-7
29%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.7
38.6
24.3
12
68%
1
11
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
42%
0-0
-
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 28.0
31.3
32.0
15
44%
4
1
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-2
0%
6-10
4-9
60%
43%
1-6
17%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 31.6
25.2
27.3
14
46%
11
3
1
1
2
4
3
8
4-7
57%
5-12
5-11
42%
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 25.3
14.6
25.9
2
26%
4
1
0
1
1
3
1
3
0-2
0%
1-3
5-9
33%
50%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
32.5
25.9
12
59%
12
2
2
1
1
2
6
6
4-5
80%
4-8
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 23.2
28.4
8.2
13
69%
6
1
0
0
1
1
1
5
1-1
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
43%
2-4
50%
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 33.7
16.1
15.0
1
10%
3
0
1
0
2
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
0-2
0%
David Wesley
G · 6'1" 203 · 36.2
15.2
2.3
5
51%
6
2
2
0
0
2
1
5
0-2
0%
1-1
0-0
100%
41%
1-3
33%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 30.4
14.5
19.9
0
0%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 20.9
2.7
19.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-1
0%
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 32.0
2.0
0
0-0
43%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 31.9
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 21.1
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 28.8
48.7
28.3
29
52%
7
5
5
1
0
6
2
5
4-6
67%
5-15
3-7
33%
44%
5-10
50%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 24.9
38.0
11.9
7
44%
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
52%
1-3
33%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.9
37.8
34.0
14
31%
12
3
3
1
0
4
6
6
4-4
100%
2-16
4-9
13%
46%
2-5
40%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.2
36.5
39.2
16
48%
2
8
2
1
1
2
0
2
3-4
75%
5-13
6-13
38%
51%
1-2
50%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.8
26.4
33.3
8
67%
9
0
0
1
1
1
1
8
0-0
-
4-6
5-8
67%
61%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 26.9
33.5
34.9
12
51%
7
5
2
1
0
3
0
7
0-2
0%
3-6
4-7
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Sarunas Jasikevicius
· 6'4" 197 · 30.9
20.8
16.2
10
63%
1
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
1-3
33%
Adonal Foyle
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.9
12.8
3.3
4
100%
2
2
0
0
3
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.1
10.4
30.7
4
46%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-3
3-6
33%
44%
0-0
-
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 27.8
36.3
2
6-12
46%
Renaldo Major
F · 6'7" 190 · 24.7
16.9
1
2-5
45%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.0
3.3
0
0-1
44%
Zarko Cabarkapa
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.7
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 26.0
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.