FinalWin Prob.pScore
261%97
99
1039%94
93
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
112.58885.4
MIA logo MIA
106.98789.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA99
100%
93
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
99.2%
93
0.8%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.1%
93
0.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)96
94.3%
93
5.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot96
95.5%
93
4.5%
Q4 - 0:32.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)96
96.2%
93
3.8%
Q4 - 0:33.0DALMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
92.7%
93
7.3%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIAWade Driving Layup (31 PTS)96
92.6%
93
7.4%
Q4 - 1:04MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
95.0%
91
5.0%
Q4 - 1:06DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot96
95.8%
91
4.2%
Q4 - 1:23DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)96
96.6%
91
3.4%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 296
96.3%
91
3.7%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 296
94.8%
91
5.2%
Q4 - 1:30MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
93.5%
91
6.5%
Q4 - 1:32DALMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)96
94.4%
91
5.6%
Q4 - 1:51MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)96
95.3%
91
4.7%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 296
95.6%
90
4.4%
Q4 - 2:09DALTerry 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)96
94.8%
90
5.2%
Q4 - 2:25MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)94
93.3%
90
6.7%
Q4 - 2:48DALHoward Driving Layup (25 PTS)94
87.5%
90
12.5%
Q4 - 2:52MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)92
81.6%
90
18.4%
Q4 - 3:16DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Terry 11 AST)92
71.7%
90
28.3%
Q4 - 3:28MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (29 PTS)90
66.7%
90
33.3%
Q4 - 3:44DALHoward Traveling Turnover (P4.T12)90
71.4%
88
28.6%
Q4 - 4:02MIAHaslem Layup (15 PTS)90
78.8%
88
21.2%
Q4 - 4:09MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
84.2%
86
15.8%
Q4 - 4:10DALMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot90
85.7%
86
14.3%
Q4 - 4:21MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)90
88.8%
86
11.2%
Q4 - 4:21MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)90
89.3%
85
10.7%
Q4 - 4:23MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)90
91.9%
84
8.1%
Q4 - 4:25DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot90
92.8%
84
7.2%
Q4 - 4:38DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)90
94.5%
84
5.5%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
93.8%
84
6.2%
Q4 - 4:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)90
92.0%
84
8.0%
Q4 - 4:52DALMISS Terry 14' Jump Shot90
92.9%
84
7.1%
Q4 - 5:09DALMavericks Rebound90
92.8%
84
7.2%
Q4 - 5:11MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot90
92.1%
84
7.9%
Q4 - 5:34DALStackhouse 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Terry 10 AST)90
90.3%
84
9.7%
Q4 - 5:45DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
87.1%
84
12.9%
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot88
85.8%
84
14.2%
Q4 - 6:08DALNowitzki 12' Jump Shot (20 PTS)88
81.0%
84
19.0%
Q4 - 6:21DALDampier REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)86
76.8%
84
23.2%
Q4 - 6:23DALMISS Nowitzki 22' Jump Shot86
72.2%
84
27.8%
Q4 - 6:51MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)86
76.8%
84
23.2%
Q4 - 7:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)86
80.2%
82
19.8%
Q4 - 7:09DALMISS Stackhouse 17' Jump Shot86
81.6%
82
18.4%
Q4 - 7:25MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)86
84.7%
82
15.3%
Q4 - 7:39MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
90.3%
79
9.7%
Q4 - 7:41DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
91.1%
79
8.9%
Q4 - 8:01MIAHaslem Dunk (13 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)86
91.3%
79
8.7%
Q4 - 8:16DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)86
93.2%
77
6.8%
Q4 - 8:16DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 285
92.8%
77
7.2%
Q4 - 8:21DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
93.2%
77
6.8%
Q4 - 8:23MIAMISS Walker Driving Layup85
92.7%
77
7.3%
Q4 - 8:44DALStackhouse 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS)85
91.4%
77
8.6%
Q4 - 9:07MIAWalker 10' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)83
88.4%
77
11.6%
Q4 - 9:27DALStackhouse 22' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Buckner 2 AST)83
90.6%
75
9.4%
Q4 - 9:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)81
88.4%
75
11.6%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 281
88.1%
75
11.9%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 281
86.2%
75
13.8%
Q4 - 10:00DALStackhouse 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)81
85.6%
75
14.4%
Q4 - 10:06DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)79
81.5%
75
18.5%
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot79
80.4%
75
19.6%
Q4 - 10:22DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)79
77.6%
75
22.4%
Q4 - 10:44MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (25 PTS)76
69.2%
75
30.8%
Q4 - 10:47MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
77.7%
72
22.3%
Q4 - 10:49DALMISS Dampier Layup76
78.9%
72
21.1%
Q4 - 11:07MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Kapono 3 AST)76
80.4%
72
19.6%
Q4 - 11:25DALStackhouse 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)76
86.3%
69
13.7%
Q4 - 11:46MIAWalker Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)74
83.7%
69
16.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA74
86.3%
67
13.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound74
86.3%
67
13.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade 67' 3PT Jump Shot74
87.4%
67
12.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
85.7%
67
14.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0DALMISS George 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
86.5%
67
13.5%
Q3 - 0:19.0DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)74
88.1%
67
11.9%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
87.4%
67
12.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0DALTerry Foul Turnover (P1.T11)74
85.8%
67
14.2%
Q3 - 0:39.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)74
88.1%
67
11.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot74
86.5%
67
13.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)74
88.1%
67
11.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Kapono 22' Jump Shot74
87.4%
67
12.6%
Q3 - 1:00DALNowitzki Driving Layup (18 PTS)74
85.8%
67
14.2%
Q3 - 1:26MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)72
82.5%
67
17.5%
Q3 - 1:35DALHaslem STEAL (3 STL)72
87.4%
64
12.6%
Q3 - 1:54MIAHaslem Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)72
89.5%
64
10.5%
Q3 - 2:10DALGeorge Layup (6 PTS) (Terry 9 AST)72
90.2%
62
9.8%
Q3 - 2:27MIAHaslem 5' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)70
88.6%
62
11.4%
Q3 - 2:39DALStackhouse Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)70
90.3%
60
9.7%
Q3 - 2:42MIAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)67
86.7%
60
13.3%
Q3 - 2:55DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Terry 8 AST)67
84.1%
60
15.9%
Q3 - 3:14MIAWalker Driving Layup (4 PTS)64
78.3%
60
21.7%
Q3 - 3:35MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
81.1%
58
18.9%
Q3 - 3:36DALMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
82.0%
58
18.0%
Q3 - 3:55MIAKapono 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)64
83.8%
58
16.2%
Q3 - 4:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)64
85.3%
56
14.7%
Q3 - 4:13DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 164
85.7%
56
14.3%
Q3 - 4:24DALDampier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)62
83.4%
56
16.6%
Q3 - 4:26DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot62
81.4%
56
18.6%
Q3 - 4:48DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
83.4%
56
16.6%
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup62
82.6%
56
17.4%
Q3 - 5:03MIAHEAT Rebound62
80.1%
56
19.9%
Q3 - 5:04DALMISS Howard 21' Jump Shot62
81.0%
56
19.0%
Q3 - 5:16MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)62
82.8%
56
17.2%
Q3 - 5:31MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)62
84.9%
54
15.1%
Q3 - 5:32DALHoward 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Terry 6 AST)62
86.9%
53
13.1%
Q3 - 5:54DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
85.1%
53
14.9%
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
84.4%
53
15.6%
Q3 - 6:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)60
82.1%
53
17.9%
Q3 - 6:04DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot60
82.8%
53
17.2%
Q3 - 6:07DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
84.5%
53
15.5%
Q3 - 6:09DALMISS George Layup60
82.9%
53
17.1%
Q3 - 6:33MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)60
84.5%
53
15.5%
Q3 - 6:41MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
88.2%
50
11.8%
Q3 - 6:43DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Turnaround Jump Shot60
88.7%
50
11.3%
Q3 - 6:50DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
89.8%
50
10.2%
Q3 - 6:52MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot60
89.4%
50
10.6%
Q3 - 7:18DALHoward 8' Running Jump Shot (17 PTS)60
87.4%
50
12.6%
Q3 - 7:37MIAHaslem Driving Layup (7 PTS)58
85.9%
50
14.1%
Q3 - 8:05DALGeorge 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)58
87.2%
48
12.8%
Q3 - 8:20DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
85.7%
48
14.3%
Q3 - 8:22MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot56
85.0%
48
15.0%
Q3 - 8:24MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)56
83.4%
48
16.6%
Q3 - 8:26MIAMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot56
85.0%
48
15.0%
Q3 - 8:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
83.4%
48
16.6%
Q3 - 8:41DALMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
84.1%
48
15.9%
Q3 - 8:59DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)56
85.7%
48
14.3%
Q3 - 9:01DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
83.7%
48
16.3%
Q3 - 9:27MIAHaslem Layup (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)56
85.1%
48
14.9%
Q3 - 9:56DALTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)56
86.9%
46
13.1%
Q3 - 10:11DALMavericks Rebound53
83.1%
46
16.9%
Q3 - 10:12DALMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot53
81.5%
46
18.5%
Q3 - 10:26MIAWilliams 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
83.1%
46
16.9%
Q3 - 10:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
84.8%
44
15.2%
Q3 - 10:32DALMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)53
85.4%
44
14.6%
Q3 - 10:44MIAMourning 5' Hook Shot (8 PTS)53
86.7%
44
13.3%
Q3 - 10:55DALWade STEAL (2 STL)53
88.1%
42
11.9%
Q3 - 11:06DALHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
89.4%
42
10.6%
Q3 - 11:08DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot53
88.4%
42
11.6%
Q3 - 11:27MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)53
89.4%
42
10.6%
Q3 - 11:45DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)53
90.6%
40
9.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA51
89.4%
40
10.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALTerry 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)51
88.0%
40
12.0%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)48
84.0%
40
16.0%
Q2 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 248
84.3%
39
15.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
84.5%
39
15.5%
Q2 - 0:33.0DALMISS Stackhouse 14' Jump Shot48
84.9%
39
15.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0DALStackhouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
85.7%
39
14.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
85.4%
39
14.6%
Q2 - 1:03DALHoward Layup (15 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)48
84.2%
39
15.8%
Q2 - 1:08MIAWalker 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS)46
81.5%
39
18.5%
Q2 - 1:11MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
84.2%
37
15.8%
Q2 - 1:13MIAMISS Haslem Slam Dunk46
84.8%
37
15.2%
Q2 - 1:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
84.2%
37
15.8%
Q2 - 1:21DALMISS Howard 3PT Jump Shot46
84.5%
37
15.5%
Q2 - 1:41MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)46
85.1%
37
14.9%
Q2 - 1:48MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
88.7%
34
11.3%
Q2 - 1:49DALMISS Howard 8' Jump Shot46
88.9%
34
11.1%
Q2 - 1:59DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)46
89.4%
34
10.6%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot46
89.2%
34
10.8%
Q2 - 2:21DALDampier Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)46
88.0%
34
12.0%
Q2 - 2:33MIAWilliams Driving Layup (8 PTS)44
86.5%
34
13.5%
Q2 - 2:49DALDampier Layup (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)44
88.0%
32
12.0%
Q2 - 3:00DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)42
86.5%
32
13.5%
Q2 - 3:02MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
85.6%
32
14.4%
Q2 - 3:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
84.4%
32
15.6%
Q2 - 3:10DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot42
84.9%
32
15.1%
Q2 - 3:36MIAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)42
86.1%
32
13.9%
Q2 - 3:41MIAHEAT Rebound42
87.3%
30
12.7%
Q2 - 3:42MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot42
88.3%
30
11.7%
Q2 - 3:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
87.3%
30
12.7%
Q2 - 3:50MIAMISS Walker Layup42
88.3%
30
11.7%
Q2 - 4:06DALKapono STEAL (2 STL)42
86.9%
30
13.1%
Q2 - 4:10MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)42
88.2%
30
11.8%
Q2 - 4:13MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
86.9%
30
13.1%
Q2 - 4:14DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
87.3%
30
12.7%
Q2 - 4:24DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
88.2%
30
11.8%
Q2 - 4:26MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
87.8%
30
12.2%
Q2 - 4:33DALWade STEAL (1 STL)42
86.9%
30
13.1%
Q2 - 4:59MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)42
88.2%
30
11.8%
Q2 - 5:15DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)42
89.1%
28
10.9%
Q2 - 5:22DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)40
88.0%
28
12.0%
Q2 - 5:24MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot40
87.6%
28
12.4%
Q2 - 5:43DALDampier Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)40
86.7%
28
13.3%
Q2 - 5:53DALMavericks Rebound38
85.4%
28
14.6%
Q2 - 5:54DALWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)38
84.3%
28
15.7%
Q2 - 5:58DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
85.4%
28
14.6%
Q2 - 6:00MIAMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot38
85.0%
28
15.0%
Q2 - 6:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
83.5%
28
16.5%
Q2 - 6:14DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot38
84.0%
28
16.0%
Q2 - 6:32MIAWilliams Layup (2 PTS)38
85.2%
28
14.8%
Q2 - 6:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
86.3%
26
13.7%
Q2 - 6:37DALMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)38
86.8%
26
13.2%
Q2 - 6:55DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
87.8%
26
12.2%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 238
87.6%
26
12.4%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
87.0%
26
13.0%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)38
87.6%
25
12.4%
Q2 - 6:58MIAMISS Haslem 9' Jump Shot38
88.5%
25
11.5%
Q2 - 7:14DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)38
87.1%
25
12.9%
Q2 - 7:15DALMavericks Rebound38
88.3%
25
11.7%
Q2 - 7:16DALMISS Johnson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot38
87.5%
25
12.5%
Q2 - 7:40DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
88.3%
25
11.7%
Q2 - 7:42MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot38
88.0%
25
12.0%
Q2 - 7:54MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
87.1%
25
12.9%
Q2 - 7:56DALMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot38
87.5%
25
12.5%
Q2 - 8:02DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
88.0%
25
12.0%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Mourning 14' Hook Shot38
87.6%
25
12.4%
Q2 - 8:33DALHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)38
86.7%
25
13.3%
Q2 - 8:53DALBuckner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
88.0%
25
12.0%
Q2 - 8:54MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot38
87.6%
25
12.4%
Q2 - 9:13DALHoward 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)38
86.4%
25
13.6%
Q2 - 9:34MIAPosey Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)36
85.3%
25
14.7%
Q2 - 9:40MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
83.8%
25
16.2%
Q2 - 9:42DALMISS Stackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
84.3%
25
15.7%
Q2 - 9:53DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
85.3%
25
14.7%
Q2 - 9:55MIAMISS Payton Driving Layup36
84.9%
25
15.1%
Q2 - 10:01DALHaslem STEAL (2 STL)36
83.4%
25
16.6%
Q2 - 10:08DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
84.9%
25
15.1%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot36
84.5%
25
15.5%
Q2 - 10:48DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)36
83.5%
25
16.5%
Q2 - 10:51MIAWright Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)33
80.7%
25
19.3%
Q2 - 11:05MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
78.8%
25
21.2%
Q2 - 11:07DALMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot33
79.3%
25
20.7%
Q2 - 11:26MIAPosey Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)33
80.4%
25
19.6%
Q2 - 11:44DALBuckner 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
81.9%
23
18.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA31
80.4%
23
19.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALStackhouse 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
78.8%
23
21.2%
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAWright Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)29
76.6%
23
23.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0DALNowitzki 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS)29
75.3%
23
24.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)27
73.0%
23
27.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0DALMISS George 8' Jump Shot27
72.0%
23
28.0%
Q1 - 0:55.0DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
73.0%
23
27.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper27
72.6%
23
27.4%
Q1 - 1:15DALGeorge 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Buckner 1 AST)27
71.6%
23
28.4%
Q1 - 1:21DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
69.2%
23
30.8%
Q1 - 1:23DALMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot25
68.1%
23
31.9%
Q1 - 1:39MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)25
69.1%
23
30.9%
Q1 - 1:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)25
69.5%
22
30.5%
Q1 - 1:47MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
71.6%
21
28.4%
Q1 - 1:48DALMISS Terry Free Throw 2 of 225
71.8%
21
28.2%
Q1 - 1:48DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)25
73.1%
21
26.9%
Q1 - 1:51DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
71.1%
21
28.9%
Q1 - 1:53MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
70.7%
21
29.3%
Q1 - 2:04DALDampier 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T3)24
69.7%
21
30.3%
Q1 - 2:21MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS)24
71.5%
21
28.5%
Q1 - 2:35DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)24
73.5%
19
26.5%
Q1 - 2:35DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)23
73.3%
19
26.7%
Q1 - 2:52DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)22
71.5%
19
28.5%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot22
70.9%
19
29.1%
Q1 - 3:08DALStackhouse 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)22
69.3%
19
30.7%
Q1 - 3:26MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)20
67.6%
19
32.4%
Q1 - 3:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
69.3%
17
30.7%
Q1 - 3:42DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
70.0%
17
30.0%
Q1 - 3:58MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
71.4%
17
28.6%
Q1 - 3:58MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
71.8%
16
28.2%
Q1 - 3:58MIAHEAT Rebound20
73.0%
15
27.0%
Q1 - 3:59DALMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
73.6%
15
26.4%
Q1 - 4:17MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)20
75.0%
15
25.0%
Q1 - 4:17MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)20
75.3%
14
24.7%
Q1 - 4:31DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)20
76.3%
13
23.7%
Q1 - 4:34DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
75.0%
13
25.0%
Q1 - 4:36DALMISS Howard 15' Jump Shot18
73.6%
13
26.4%
Q1 - 4:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
75.0%
13
25.0%
Q1 - 4:59MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot18
74.3%
13
25.7%
Q1 - 5:17DALDiop Dunk (2 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)18
72.8%
13
27.2%
Q1 - 5:33MIAWade 10' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
71.3%
13
28.7%
Q1 - 5:48DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Diop 1 AST)16
72.8%
11
27.2%
Q1 - 5:50DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)14
71.3%
11
28.7%
Q1 - 5:52DALMISS George 5' Jump Shot14
69.9%
11
30.1%
Q1 - 5:53DALGeorge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
71.3%
11
28.7%
Q1 - 5:55DALMISS Diop 3' Jump Shot14
69.9%
11
30.1%
Q1 - 5:57DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
71.3%
11
28.7%
Q1 - 6:00DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper14
69.9%
11
30.1%
Q1 - 6:22DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
70.9%
11
29.1%
Q1 - 6:23MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 214
70.7%
11
29.3%
Q1 - 6:23MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
69.8%
11
30.2%
Q1 - 6:36DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)14
70.8%
10
29.2%
Q1 - 6:36DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)13
70.5%
10
29.5%
Q1 - 6:48MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)12
69.2%
10
30.8%
Q1 - 7:03DALHaslem STEAL (1 STL)12
67.4%
10
32.6%
Q1 - 7:14MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
69.2%
10
30.8%
Q1 - 7:43DALHoward 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)12
70.6%
8
29.4%
Q1 - 7:53MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)9
67.5%
8
32.5%
Q1 - 8:10DALTerry 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
69.5%
6
30.5%
Q1 - 8:25MIAMourning 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)7
68.0%
6
32.0%
Q1 - 8:44MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
69.4%
4
30.6%
Q1 - 8:46DALMISS Terry 10' Jump Shot7
70.0%
4
30.0%
Q1 - 8:55DALMavericks Rebound7
71.2%
4
28.8%
Q1 - 8:56DALMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)7
70.0%
4
30.0%
Q1 - 9:09MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
71.2%
4
28.8%
Q1 - 9:09MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
71.7%
3
28.3%
Q1 - 9:30DALHoward 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
72.3%
2
27.7%
Q1 - 9:46MIAWade Driving Layup (2 PTS)5
71.2%
2
28.8%
Q1 - 10:08MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
72.3%
0
27.7%
Q1 - 10:09DALMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 25
72.6%
0
27.4%
Q1 - 10:09DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
73.5%
0
26.5%
Q1 - 10:29DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
72.5%
0
27.5%
Q1 - 10:31MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Bank Shot4
72.0%
0
28.0%
Q1 - 10:49DALNowitzki 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
70.8%
0
29.2%
Q1 - 10:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
69.5%
0
30.5%
Q1 - 10:59MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot2
68.9%
0
31.1%
Q1 - 11:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
67.8%
0
32.2%
Q1 - 11:07MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot2
68.8%
0
31.2%
Q1 - 11:20DALDampier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
67.8%
0
32.2%
Q1 - 11:20DALDampier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
67.2%
0
32.8%
Q1 - 11:21DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
66.0%
0
34.0%
Q1 - 11:22DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot0
65.0%
0
35.0%
Q1 - 11:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
66.0%
0
34.0%
Q1 - 11:26MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup0
65.6%
0
34.4%
Q1 - 11:33DALKapono STEAL (1 STL)0
64.5%
0
35.5%
Q1 - 11:35DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
66.0%
0
34.0%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Mourning 4' Hook Shot0
65.6%
0
34.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Dampier: Tip to Williams0
64.5%
0
35.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.04 52.1%
MIA
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
13
20
65%
MIA
17
25
68%
Midrange
DAL
24
52
46%
MIA
15
36
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
MIA
4
6.0
13
31%
46%
Free Throws
DAL
13
17
76%
MIA
17
25
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Howard2560%12.5 / 21
J. Stackhouse2372%11.5 / 16
D. Nowitzki2246%11.0 / 24
J. Terry1142%5.5 / 13
E. Dampier867%4.0 / 6
D. George638%3.0 / 8
G. Buckner2100%1.0 / 1
D. Diop250%1.0 / 2
D. Harris0-0.0 / 1
A. Johnson0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3162%15.5 / 25
J. Williams1761%8.5 / 14
U. Haslem1544%7.5 / 17
A. Walker1169%5.5 / 8
A. Mourning844%4.0 / 9
J. Kapono750%3.5 / 7
J. Posey2100%1.0 / 1
M. Doleac2100%1.0 / 1
G. Payton0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
77
+18
-11
95
MIA
80
+7
-7
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.04 52.1%
MIA
1.03 51.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.8
104.2
DAL 112.5 +5.6
MIA 106.9
Pace
90.0
90.1
DAL 85.4
MIA 89.7 +4.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.8
16.5
DAL 16.9
MIA 16.0 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.9%
50.6%
DAL 48.9%
MIA 51.4% +2.5%
TO %
14.5%
15.3%
DAL 11.2%
MIA 8.6% +2.6%
ORB %
28.8%
24.9%
DAL 31.8% +19.0%
MIA 12.8%
FTrt
31.7
32.1
DAL 19.3
MIA 33.8 +14.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.2%
57.6%
DAL 46.3% +10.2%
MIA 36.1%
STL %
7.6%
7.6%
DAL 5.7%
MIA 8.0% +2.3%
BLK %
7.9%
8.8%
DAL 3.3%
MIA 6.9% +3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.1%
52.4%
DAL 52.1% +0.4%
MIA 51.7%
Rim FG%
58.4%
61.8%
DAL 65.0%
MIA 68.0% +3.0%
Mid FG%
43.3%
40.5%
DAL 46.2% +4.5%
MIA 41.7%
3P %
38.1%
34.3%
DAL 25.0%
MIA 30.8% +5.8%
FT %
80.5%
69.0%
DAL 76.5% +8.5%
MIA 68.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.1%
34.9%
DAL 22.7%
MIA 33.8% +11.1%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
40.7%
DAL 59.1%
MIA 48.6% +10.4%
3P Att. %
21.8%
24.5%
DAL 18.2% +0.6%
MIA 17.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsDALMIA
Possessions8887
Possession Minutes24.723.3
Points9993
Rebounds4835
Assists1913
Steals57
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)7 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (4)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (1)30 (2)
Field Goals41-8836-74
At-the-Rim FG13-2017-25
Midrange FG24-5215-36
2-Point FG37-7232-61
3-Point FG4-164-13
Free Throws13-1717-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 210 · 27
41.9
25
60%
9
3
2
0
4
4
2
7
5-7
71%
7-13
54%
2-5
40%
F · 7'0" 245 · 29
41.3
22
46%
11
1
0
1
1
2
3
8
2-3
67%
10-22
45%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 29
37.6
11
42%
1
11
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
2-5
40%
C · 6'11" 265 · 32
33.7
8
67%
11
0
0
1
1
6
3
8
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 24
10.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 29
25.1
6
38%
7
0
0
0
1
1
3
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'6" 218 · 32
24.9
23
72%
3
0
2
0
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
10-13
77%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 30
12.6
2
100%
3
2
1
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 32
9.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 280 · 25
3.4
2
50%
2
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 32
C · 7'0" 255 · 26
#11 · G · 6'0" 185 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · F · 6'9" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · F-G · 6'5" 202 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
52%
48
19
5
2
11
0
14
34
13-17
76%
37-72
51%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.