FinalWin Prob.pScore
2431%96
83
969%102
101
ORTG#PossPace
NYK logo NYK
100.08392.3
MIA logo MIA
121.78375.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNYKMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA83
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0NYKQuinn STEAL (1 STL)83
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIABarron 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)83
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0NYKCurry 5' Hook Shot (26 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)83
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)81
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07NYKMISS Lee 4' Hook Shot81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22NYKRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47NYKPayton STEAL (1 STL)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57NYKLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37NYKCurry Layup (24 PTS) (Crawford 9 AST)81
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58MIAHaslem Layup (19 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)79
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:20NYKMISS Robinson 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:26NYKRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:28MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41NYKCrawford Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)79
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 3:55MIAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)79
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 4:13MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 4:14NYKMISS Robinson Layup79
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 4:15NYKRobinson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)79
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 4:16NYKMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 4:35MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)79
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 4:53NYKLee Layup (9 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)79
1.5%
88
98.5%
Q4 - 5:14MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Payton 13 AST)77
1.6%
88
98.4%
Q4 - 5:37NYKCrawford Driving Finger Roll (23 PTS)77
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q4 - 5:46NYKLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)75
2.2%
85
97.8%
Q4 - 5:48MIAMISS Payton 20' Jump Shot75
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 6:10MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
2.1%
85
97.9%
Q4 - 6:12MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot75
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 6:19NYKWalker STEAL (1 STL)75
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 6:36MIAWalker Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)75
2.8%
85
97.2%
Q4 - 6:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
3.6%
83
96.4%
Q4 - 6:52NYKMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 175
3.8%
83
96.2%
Q4 - 7:14MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)73
3.6%
83
96.4%
Q4 - 7:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q4 - 7:30NYKMISS Richardson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot73
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q4 - 7:53MIAPosey 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 4 AST)73
6.0%
81
94.0%
Q4 - 8:10NYKCurry Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)73
8.7%
79
91.3%
Q4 - 8:25MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P4.T13)70
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q4 - 8:39MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q4 - 8:41NYKMourning BLOCK (4 BLK)70
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q4 - 8:55NYKRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
5.4%
79
94.6%
Q4 - 8:56MIAMISS Posey 3PT Jump Shot70
5.0%
79
95.0%
Q4 - 9:12NYKCrawford 8' Jump Shot (21 PTS)70
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q4 - 9:16NYKCrawford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
3.8%
79
96.2%
Q4 - 9:18NYKMISS Crawford Free Throw 2 of 268
3.1%
79
96.9%
Q4 - 9:18NYKCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)68
3.6%
79
96.4%
Q4 - 9:24MIAWilliams Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T12)67
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q4 - 9:43NYKCrawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)67
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q4 - 9:59MIAMourning Slam Dunk (10 PTS)64
1.5%
79
98.5%
Q4 - 10:01MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)64
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 10:03MIAMISS Posey 9' Hook Shot64
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q4 - 10:17NYKFrye Foul Turnover (P1.T12)64
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 10:17MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)64
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 10:38MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 10:40NYKMISS Frye 19' Jump Shot64
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q4 - 10:52NYKRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
2.8%
77
97.2%
Q4 - 10:54MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q4 - 11:00MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)64
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q4 - 11:02MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q4 - 11:24NYKRobinson Foul Turnover (P2.T11)64
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q4 - 11:45MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)64
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0NYK64
2.5%
77
97.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NYKKnicks Rebound64
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0NYKMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
2.7%
77
97.3%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIADoleac Foul Turnover (P1.T9)64
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q3 - 0:33.0NYKBalkman Driving Layup (2 PTS)64
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 0:48.0NYKKnicks Rebound62
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q3 - 0:50.0NYKPayton BLOCK (1 BLK)62
2.1%
77
97.9%
Q3 - 0:54.0MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)62
2.4%
77
97.6%
Q3 - 1:10NYKCrawford 21' Jump Shot (15 PTS)62
2.2%
77
97.8%
Q3 - 1:29NYKRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Payton Driving Layup60
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 1:48NYKCurry 7' Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Crawford 7 AST)60
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q3 - 2:01NYKFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
1.5%
77
98.5%
Q3 - 2:02MIAMISS Kapono 28' 3PT Jump Shot58
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 2:08MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 158
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 2:29MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
1.7%
75
98.3%
Q3 - 2:31NYKMISS Frye 17' Jump Shot58
1.8%
75
98.2%
Q3 - 2:46MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Payton 12 AST)58
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 2:59NYKCrawford Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)58
2.5%
73
97.5%
Q3 - 3:06NYKCrawford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
2.0%
73
98.0%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Payton 16' Jump Shot55
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 3:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)55
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q3 - 3:22NYKMISS Robinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
1.7%
73
98.3%
Q3 - 3:40MIAPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)55
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 3:58NYKRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Crawford 6 AST)55
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q3 - 4:04NYKRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)52
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q3 - 4:06NYKMISS Curry 5' Jump Shot52
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 4:26NYKLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)52
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 252
1.3%
73
98.7%
Q3 - 4:27MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)52
1.1%
73
98.9%
Q3 - 4:30NYKWilliams STEAL (3 STL)52
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 4:43MIAHaslem Layup (14 PTS)52
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 4:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
1.8%
70
98.2%
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS Williams 7' Running Hook Shot52
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 5:11NYKRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Crawford 5 AST)52
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 5:23NYKLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)49
1.5%
70
98.5%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 249
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 5:25MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)49
1.3%
70
98.7%
Q3 - 5:40MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 5:42NYKMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
1.5%
69
98.5%
Q3 - 6:03MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)49
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 6:19NYKKapono STEAL (1 STL)49
1.6%
69
98.4%
Q3 - 6:35MIAKapono 15' Jump Shot (20 PTS)49
1.9%
69
98.1%
Q3 - 6:53NYKCrawford 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
2.2%
67
97.8%
Q3 - 7:09NYKLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)47
2.1%
67
97.9%
Q3 - 7:11MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot47
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 7:24MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)47
1.7%
67
98.3%
Q3 - 7:25MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
2.0%
67
98.0%
Q3 - 7:42MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
1.7%
67
98.3%
Q3 - 7:44NYKMISS Curry 7' Hook Shot47
1.8%
67
98.2%
Q3 - 7:56MIAMourning 7' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 11 AST)47
2.1%
67
97.9%
Q3 - 8:14MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
2.5%
65
97.5%
Q3 - 8:16NYKMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
2.7%
65
97.3%
Q3 - 8:38MIAPayton Layup (8 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)47
3.0%
65
97.0%
Q3 - 8:43NYKHaslem STEAL (1 STL)47
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q3 - 9:02MIAPayton 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q3 - 9:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q3 - 9:14NYKMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
5.0%
61
95.0%
Q3 - 9:29MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)47
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q3 - 9:51NYKLee Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Crawford 4 AST)47
7.2%
58
92.8%
Q3 - 10:06MIAKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)45
6.5%
58
93.5%
Q3 - 10:24MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
5.6%
58
94.4%
Q3 - 10:26NYKMourning BLOCK (3 BLK)45
5.9%
58
94.1%
Q3 - 10:40MIAMourning 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)45
6.5%
58
93.5%
Q3 - 10:54NYKCrawford 12' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)45
5.6%
58
94.4%
Q3 - 11:03NYKRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)43
5.2%
58
94.8%
Q3 - 11:05NYKMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot43
4.7%
58
95.3%
Q3 - 11:18MIAMourning 4' Hook Shot (5 PTS)43
5.2%
58
94.8%
Q3 - 11:20MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)43
5.8%
56
94.2%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Mourning 5' Hook Shot43
6.4%
56
93.6%
Q3 - 11:46NYKCrawford 13' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
5.8%
56
94.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
5.1%
56
94.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound41
4.5%
56
95.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Williams 44' 3PT Jump Shot41
4.9%
56
95.1%
Q2 - 0:05.0NYKCurry Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Crawford 3 AST)41
5.0%
56
95.0%
Q2 - 0:08.0NYKLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)39
4.2%
56
95.8%
Q2 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Haslem 7' Hook Shot39
4.1%
56
95.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0NYKCrawford Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)39
3.8%
56
96.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0NYKCrawford Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)38
3.8%
56
96.2%
Q2 - 0:44.0MIAKapono Layup (15 PTS)37
3.3%
56
96.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
3.8%
54
96.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot37
4.1%
54
95.9%
Q2 - 1:12NYKRobinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Crawford 2 AST)37
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q2 - 1:20NYKLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)34
3.1%
54
96.9%
Q2 - 1:22MIAMISS Payton Driving Layup34
3.0%
54
97.0%
Q2 - 1:38NYKRobinson 17' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)34
2.9%
54
97.1%
Q2 - 1:52MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Payton 10 AST)32
2.4%
54
97.6%
Q2 - 2:17NYKCurry 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS)32
3.4%
51
96.6%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 230
2.7%
51
97.3%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)30
3.0%
51
97.0%
Q2 - 2:59NYKRobinson Foul Turnover (P1.T7)30
3.0%
50
97.0%
Q2 - 3:20MIAWilliams Driving Layup (11 PTS)30
3.7%
50
96.3%
Q2 - 3:33NYKCurry Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)30
4.1%
48
95.9%
Q2 - 3:42NYKLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)30
4.6%
48
95.4%
Q2 - 3:44MIAMISS Walker Layup30
4.5%
48
95.5%
Q2 - 3:46MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
4.1%
48
95.9%
Q2 - 3:48MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
4.5%
48
95.5%
Q2 - 4:06NYKCurry 5' Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Crawford 1 AST)30
4.4%
48
95.6%
Q2 - 4:13NYKLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)28
3.9%
48
96.1%
Q2 - 4:14MIAMISS Wright 12' Hook Shot28
3.8%
48
96.2%
Q2 - 4:35NYKLee Dunk (5 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)28
3.5%
48
96.5%
Q2 - 4:51MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T3)26
3.1%
48
96.9%
Q2 - 5:05MIAHEAT Rebound26
2.9%
48
97.1%
Q2 - 5:07NYKMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
3.0%
48
97.0%
Q2 - 5:17NYKLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)26
3.3%
48
96.7%
Q2 - 5:21MIAMISS Walker 7' Jump Bank Shot26
3.2%
48
96.8%
Q2 - 5:39NYKWright STEAL (1 STL)26
2.9%
48
97.1%
Q2 - 5:56MIAWright Dunk (2 PTS) (Payton 9 AST)26
3.3%
48
96.7%
Q2 - 6:18MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
3.8%
46
96.2%
Q2 - 6:20NYKMISS Curry Layup26
4.0%
46
96.0%
Q2 - 6:32NYKLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
4.3%
46
95.7%
Q2 - 6:33MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot26
4.1%
46
95.9%
Q2 - 6:55NYKLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
3.8%
46
96.2%
Q2 - 6:55NYKLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)25
3.7%
46
96.3%
Q2 - 7:15NYKLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)24
3.8%
46
96.2%
Q2 - 7:17MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
3.7%
46
96.3%
Q2 - 7:33MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
3.4%
46
96.6%
Q2 - 7:35NYKMISS Crawford 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
3.5%
46
96.5%
Q2 - 7:57MIADoleac 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)24
3.8%
46
96.2%
Q2 - 8:19NYKMarbury Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)24
4.3%
44
95.7%
Q2 - 8:24MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
3.6%
44
96.4%
Q2 - 8:42MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
3.2%
44
96.8%
Q2 - 8:44NYKMISS Curry 4' Jump Shot21
3.3%
44
96.7%
Q2 - 8:46NYKCurry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
3.6%
44
96.4%
Q2 - 8:47NYKMISS Curry Layup21
3.3%
44
96.7%
Q2 - 9:01NYKLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
3.7%
44
96.3%
Q2 - 9:03MIAMISS Doleac 19' Jump Shot21
3.6%
44
96.4%
Q2 - 9:24NYKMarbury 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)21
3.3%
44
96.7%
Q2 - 9:41MIAWalker Layup (2 PTS)18
2.8%
44
97.2%
Q2 - 9:44MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
3.0%
42
97.0%
Q2 - 9:46MIAMISS Payton 8' Running Hook Shot18
3.3%
42
96.7%
Q2 - 10:05NYKCrawford 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
3.2%
42
96.8%
Q2 - 10:20MIAWilliams 6' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)16
2.9%
42
97.1%
Q2 - 10:35NYKCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)16
3.1%
40
96.9%
Q2 - 10:35NYKCurry Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)15
3.1%
40
96.9%
Q2 - 10:50NYKRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
2.9%
40
97.1%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
2.8%
40
97.2%
Q2 - 10:56MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
2.6%
40
97.4%
Q2 - 10:58NYKMISS Curry Layup14
2.7%
40
97.3%
Q2 - 11:14NYKRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
3.0%
40
97.0%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS Payton 16' Turnaround Jump Shot14
2.9%
40
97.1%
Q2 - 11:45NYKCurry Slam Dunk (7 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)14
2.7%
40
97.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0NYK12
2.5%
40
97.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 8 AST)12
2.6%
40
97.4%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
3.2%
37
96.8%
Q1 - 0:14.0NYKMISS Lee 6' Hook Shot12
3.2%
37
96.8%
Q1 - 0:18.0NYKKnicks Rebound12
3.4%
37
96.6%
Q1 - 0:19.0NYKPosey BLOCK (1 BLK)12
3.2%
37
96.8%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Payton 7 AST)12
3.4%
37
96.6%
Q1 - 0:57.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
3.8%
35
96.2%
Q1 - 0:58.0NYKMISS Curry Free Throw 2 of 212
3.8%
35
96.2%
Q1 - 0:58.0NYKMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 212
4.0%
35
96.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0NYKCurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
4.1%
35
95.9%
Q1 - 1:01NYKMISS Lee 19' Jump Shot12
3.9%
35
96.1%
Q1 - 1:10NYKCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
4.1%
35
95.9%
Q1 - 1:12MIAMISS Kapono 18' Jump Shot12
4.0%
35
96.0%
Q1 - 1:29NYKRichardson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Rose 1 AST)12
3.8%
35
96.2%
Q1 - 1:48MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)9
3.1%
35
96.9%
Q1 - 1:56NYKCurry Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)9
3.5%
33
96.5%
Q1 - 2:15MIAPayton Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)6
2.9%
33
97.1%
Q1 - 2:33MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
3.2%
31
96.8%
Q1 - 2:34NYKMISS Lee Free Throw 2 of 26
3.3%
31
96.7%
Q1 - 2:34NYKLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
3.5%
31
96.5%
Q1 - 2:34NYKLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
3.2%
31
96.8%
Q1 - 2:35NYKMISS Rose Layup5
3.0%
31
97.0%
Q1 - 2:50MIADoleac Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
3.2%
31
96.8%
Q1 - 2:50MIADoleac Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
3.3%
30
96.7%
Q1 - 3:05NYKCurry Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Marbury 2 AST)5
3.8%
29
96.2%
Q1 - 3:26MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Payton 6 AST)3
3.5%
29
96.5%
Q1 - 3:36MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
3.8%
27
96.2%
Q1 - 3:38NYKMISS Rose 10' Turnaround Jump Shot3
3.9%
27
96.1%
Q1 - 4:01MIAWilliams Driving Layup (4 PTS)3
4.3%
27
95.7%
Q1 - 4:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)3
4.6%
25
95.4%
Q1 - 4:08NYKMISS Crawford 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
4.7%
25
95.3%
Q1 - 4:23MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Payton 5 AST)3
5.1%
25
94.9%
Q1 - 4:27MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
5.4%
23
94.6%
Q1 - 4:29NYKMISS Robinson 4' Jump Shot3
5.6%
23
94.4%
Q1 - 4:49MIAHaslem Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)3
6.0%
23
94.0%
Q1 - 4:55MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
6.4%
21
93.6%
Q1 - 4:57NYKMISS Richardson 3PT Jump Shot3
6.6%
21
93.4%
Q1 - 5:12MIAKapono Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)3
7.4%
21
92.6%
Q1 - 5:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
6.8%
21
93.2%
Q1 - 5:28NYKMISS Robinson 20' Jump Shot3
7.0%
21
93.0%
Q1 - 5:54MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)3
7.4%
21
92.6%
Q1 - 6:13NYKWilliams STEAL (2 STL)3
8.9%
18
91.1%
Q1 - 6:37MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)3
9.6%
18
90.4%
Q1 - 6:51MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
11.1%
15
88.9%
Q1 - 6:53NYKMourning BLOCK (2 BLK)3
11.3%
15
88.7%
Q1 - 6:55NYKLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
11.9%
15
88.1%
Q1 - 6:57NYKMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)3
11.3%
15
88.7%
Q1 - 7:20MIAWilliams Driving Finger Roll (2 PTS)3
12.4%
15
87.6%
Q1 - 7:31MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
13.2%
13
86.8%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Payton 4' Running Hook Shot3
13.9%
13
86.1%
Q1 - 7:39MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)3
13.2%
13
86.8%
Q1 - 7:40NYKMISS Marbury Layup3
13.5%
13
86.5%
Q1 - 7:57NYKFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
14.2%
13
85.8%
Q1 - 7:59MIAMISS Mourning 5' Jump Shot3
13.8%
13
86.2%
Q1 - 8:17NYKCurry Foul Turnover (P2.T3)3
13.2%
13
86.8%
Q1 - 8:33MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)3
14.2%
13
85.8%
Q1 - 8:52MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
15.0%
11
85.0%
Q1 - 8:54NYKMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
15.3%
11
84.7%
Q1 - 9:15MIAKapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)3
16.1%
11
83.9%
Q1 - 9:18MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
17.9%
8
82.1%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot3
18.9%
8
81.1%
Q1 - 9:24NYKWilliams STEAL (1 STL)3
17.9%
8
82.1%
Q1 - 9:35NYKRichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
19.4%
8
80.6%
Q1 - 9:37MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
18.9%
8
81.1%
Q1 - 9:55MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)3
17.9%
8
82.1%
Q1 - 9:57MIAMISS Kapono 22' Jump Shot3
18.9%
8
81.1%
Q1 - 10:09NYKCurry 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T1)3
18.0%
8
82.0%
Q1 - 10:20MIAKapono 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)3
19.3%
8
80.7%
Q1 - 10:27MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
20.3%
6
79.7%
Q1 - 10:28MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 13
21.5%
6
78.5%
Q1 - 10:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
22.8%
4
77.2%
Q1 - 10:40NYKMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot3
23.3%
4
76.7%
Q1 - 11:00MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)3
24.4%
4
75.6%
Q1 - 11:19NYKRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marbury 1 AST)3
25.6%
2
74.4%
Q1 - 11:34MIAPayton 8' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
22.8%
2
77.2%
Q1 - 11:41MIAHEAT Rebound0
24.2%
0
75.8%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMISS Mourning 6' Hook Shot0
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Curry: Tip to Payton0
24.2%
0
75.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.06 53.2%
MIA
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NYK
16
31
52%
MIA
17
23
74%
Midrange
NYK
9
19
47%
MIA
16
35
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NYK
7
10.5
20
35%
53%
MIA
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
Free Throws
NYK
12
17
71%
MIA
5
10
50%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Curry2665%13.0 / 20
J. Crawford2368%11.5 / 17
N. Robinson1155%5.5 / 10
D. Lee941%4.5 / 11
Q. Richardson633%3.0 / 9
S. Marbury6100%3.0 / 3
R. Balkman2100%1.0 / 1
C. Frye0-0.0 / 2
J. Jeffries0-0.0 / 0
M. Rose0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Kapono2279%11.0 / 14
J. Williams2063%10.0 / 16
U. Haslem1968%9.5 / 14
G. Payton1042%5.0 / 12
A. Mourning1050%5.0 / 10
A. Walker1071%5.0 / 7
M. Doleac467%2.0 / 3
J. Posey217%1.0 / 6
D. Wright250%1.0 / 2
E. Barron2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NYK
67
+11
-16
78
MIA
70
+17
-13
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.06 53.2%
MIA
1.16 58.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.5
104.2
NYK 100.0
MIA 121.7 +21.7
Pace
91.0
90.1
NYK 92.3 +16.8
MIA 75.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
16.5
NYK 15.6 +3.5
MIA 19.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.4%
50.6%
NYK 50.7%
MIA 59.3% +8.6%
TO %
17.6%
15.3%
NYK 17.1%
MIA 13.2% +3.9%
ORB %
31.0%
24.9%
NYK 21.1%
MIA 37.5% +16.4%
FTrt
37.7
32.1
NYK 24.3 +12.0
MIA 12.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.8%
57.6%
NYK 59.4%
MIA 65.1% +5.7%
STL %
7.2%
7.6%
NYK 7.2%
MIA 10.8% +3.6%
BLK %
5.2%
8.8%
NYK 3.4%
MIA 12.0% +8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.5%
52.4%
NYK 53.2%
MIA 58.0% +4.8%
Rim FG%
58.0%
61.8%
NYK 51.6%
MIA 73.9% +22.3%
Mid FG%
36.8%
40.5%
NYK 47.4% +1.7%
MIA 45.7%
3P %
34.6%
34.3%
NYK 35.0%
MIA 43.5% +8.5%
FT %
71.5%
69.0%
NYK 70.6% +20.6%
MIA 50.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
44.2%
34.9%
NYK 44.3% +15.9%
MIA 28.4%
Mid Att. %
34.3%
40.7%
NYK 27.1% +16.1%
MIA 43.2%
3P Att. %
21.6%
24.5%
NYK 28.6% +0.2%
MIA 28.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.
Game TotalsNYKMIA
Possessions8383
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points83101
Rebounds3345
Assists1928
Steals69
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)15 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (0)30 (1)
Field Goals32-7043-81
At-the-Rim FG16-3117-23
Midrange FG9-1916-35
2-Point FG25-5033-58
3-Point FG7-2010-23
Free Throws12-175-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 228 · 27
44.7
6
33%
7
4
2
0
2
3
0
7
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-8
25%
C · 7'0" 295 · 24
39.0
26
65%
3
0
0
1
3
3
2
1
4-7
57%
11-18
61%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 205 · 30
16.0
6
100%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
F · 6'11" 255 · 24
13.9
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 240 · 25
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 27
42.7
23
68%
2
9
0
0
6
3
1
1
4-5
80%
8-9
89%
1-6
17%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24
40.6
9
41%
15
2
1
0
1
0
2
13
3-4
75%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 5'9" 180 · 23
30.9
11
55%
4
1
2
0
2
4
3
1
0-0
-
1-5
20%
3-5
60%
F · 6'7" 255 · 32
6.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 23
1.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 285 · 31
G · 6'6" 220 · 22
#1 · G · 6'3" 210 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#26 · C · 6'11" 275 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
53%
33
19
6
2
16
0
8
25
12-17
71%
25-50
50%
7-20
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.