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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 24, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Heat45%9494
16Pacers55%9596
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 25.0
46.5
29.0
32
63%
5
8
5
1
3
4
1
4
7-8
88%
11-19
7-13
58%
50%
1-3
33%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.0
39.2
28.3
18
90%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
45%
4-5
80%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.6
36.0
36.8
14
47%
15
0
1
1
1
1
1
14
0-0
-
7-15
5-10
47%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 31.2
32.4
34.7
6
55%
3
9
1
1
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
49%
1-4
25%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.0
31.7
20.2
14
47%
4
0
1
0
5
1
2
2
2-4
50%
6-13
3-5
46%
55%
0-0
-
Gary Payton
G · 6'4" 190 · 38.5
27.0
22.5
0
0%
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-3
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.5
17.9
22.6
3
21%
4
0
2
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
1-6
17%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 34.9
14.1
27.6
5
36%
5
0
0
0
1
2
2
3
1-2
50%
2-6
6-10
33%
56%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 30.0
14.0
22.3
2
35%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 29.6
6.2
12.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21.1
10.7
0
1-3
48%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.3
1.4
0
0-0
40%
Wayne Simien
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.9
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25.4
Robert Hite
G · 6'2" 184 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 23.8
45.9
34.7
16
65%
5
3
2
1
1
1
1
4
3-3
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
53%
3-7
43%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 28.3
43.4
38.0
10
23%
13
0
1
1
4
4
4
9
2-3
67%
4-20
8-17
20%
48%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 26.7
32.3
23.1
17
71%
12
2
0
1
0
0
3
9
0-0
-
7-10
2-4
70%
46%
1-2
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 26.4
29.5
28.2
9
47%
5
3
1
1
0
3
1
4
6-6
100%
0-4
3-7
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.9
25.7
33.5
14
59%
1
5
0
2
0
5
1
0
2-2
100%
6-10
4-10
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 38.6
28.7
20.0
9
43%
4
4
2
1
0
3
1
3
0-1
0%
3-3
1-2
100%
46%
1-7
14%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 26.0
27.5
23.5
11
40%
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
5-13
3-7
38%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30.0
19.1
19.4
2
57%
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
2-4
50%
0-0
2-3
-
53%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 23.4
11.3
5.5
8
59%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
4-4
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
51%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 20.9
1.7
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Orien Greene
G · 6'4" 208 · 25.0
6.8
0
1-1
44%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 30.7
2.5
0
0-0
55%
Rawle Marshall
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 24.9
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 24.4
Keith McLeod
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.