FinalWin Prob.pScore
1145%94
94
1655%95
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
92.210290.3
IND logo IND
95.010193.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA94
0%
96
100%
OT1 - 0:00.0INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T20)94
3.5%
96
96.5%
OT1 - 0:00.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
0.4%
96
99.6%
OT1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Kapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.7%
96
99.3%
OT1 - 0:11.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)94
17.6%
96
82.4%
OT1 - 0:12.0INDMISS Daniels 12' Jump Shot94
13.5%
96
86.5%
OT1 - 0:34.0MIAKapono 11' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS)94
9.0%
96
91.0%
OT1 - 0:42.0INDMurphy 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)92
7.3%
96
92.7%
OT1 - 1:03MIAHaslem 7' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)92
15.4%
94
84.6%
OT1 - 1:17INDDaniels 9' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)90
11.2%
94
88.8%
OT1 - 1:33INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)90
18.8%
92
81.2%
OT1 - 1:33MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 290
20.0%
92
80.0%
OT1 - 1:33MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)90
24.7%
92
75.3%
OT1 - 1:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)89
21.0%
92
79.0%
OT1 - 1:52INDMISS Tinsley 19' Jump Shot89
18.5%
92
81.5%
OT1 - 1:59INDPACERS Rebound89
13.4%
92
86.6%
OT1 - 1:59INDMISS O'Neal 1' Layup89
18.3%
92
81.7%
OT1 - 2:10INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)89
13.5%
92
86.5%
OT1 - 2:12MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot89
16.0%
92
84.0%
OT1 - 2:27INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)89
23.7%
92
76.3%
OT1 - 2:42INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)89
13.3%
92
86.7%
OT1 - 2:44INDMISS Daniels 3' Jump Shot89
20.1%
92
79.9%
OT1 - 2:49MIAGranger STEAL (2 STL)89
13.3%
92
86.7%
OT1 - 2:53MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
24.3%
92
75.7%
OT1 - 2:55MIAMISS Mourning 4' Jump Shot89
17.6%
92
82.4%
OT1 - 3:00MIAHeat Rebound89
24.4%
92
75.6%
OT1 - 3:02MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot89
17.5%
92
82.5%
OT1 - 3:29INDMurphy 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)89
24.8%
92
75.2%
OT1 - 3:42INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)89
32.9%
90
67.1%
OT1 - 3:44MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot89
35.5%
90
64.5%
OT1 - 3:56INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)89
41.8%
90
58.2%
OT1 - 3:56INDPACERS Rebound89
32.6%
90
67.4%
OT1 - 3:56INDMISS Daniels 22' Jump Shot89
38.9%
90
61.1%
OT1 - 4:22MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (32 PTS)89
32.4%
90
67.6%
OT1 - 4:39INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)87
25.1%
90
74.9%
OT1 - 4:39INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
41.2%
87
58.8%
OT1 - 4:40INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot87
48.1%
87
51.9%
OT1 - 5:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Mourning: Tip to Tinsley87
41.1%
87
58.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0INDArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)87
56.0%
87
44.0%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)87
34.3%
87
65.7%
Q4 - 0:27.0INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)84
10.5%
87
89.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0INDPACERS Rebound84
4.1%
87
95.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0INDMISS Armstrong 30' 3PT Jump Shot84
7.9%
87
92.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
8.2%
87
91.8%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup84
10.1%
87
89.9%
Q4 - 1:00INDArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)84
16.2%
87
83.8%
Q4 - 1:17MIAKapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)84
10.3%
87
89.7%
Q4 - 1:19MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
4.1%
87
95.9%
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 1:32INDArmstrong 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)81
5.0%
87
95.0%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMourning 3' Layup (13 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)81
9.0%
85
91.0%
Q4 - 2:08INDO'Neal 2' Layup (10 PTS)79
7.0%
85
93.0%
Q4 - 2:09INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)79
8.9%
83
91.1%
Q4 - 2:11INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
13.4%
83
86.6%
Q4 - 2:25INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
8.8%
83
91.2%
Q4 - 2:28INDMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
13.6%
83
86.4%
Q4 - 2:42INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)79
8.8%
83
91.2%
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS Doleac 17' Jump Shot79
10.7%
83
89.3%
Q4 - 3:03INDArmstrong 7' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)79
17.4%
83
82.6%
Q4 - 3:26INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
21.1%
81
78.9%
Q4 - 3:28MIAMISS Payton 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
24.5%
81
75.5%
Q4 - 3:50MIAPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
33.2%
81
66.8%
Q4 - 3:52INDMISS Daniels 13' Jump Shot79
30.5%
81
69.5%
Q4 - 4:08MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)79
24.9%
81
75.1%
Q4 - 4:34INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)79
32.9%
81
67.1%
Q4 - 4:57MIAKapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)79
50.6%
78
49.4%
Q4 - 5:23INDDaniels 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)76
34.0%
78
66.0%
Q4 - 5:41MIAWade 10' Jump Bank Shot (27 PTS)76
41.5%
76
58.5%
Q4 - 6:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)74
35.2%
76
64.8%
Q4 - 6:04INDMISS Foster Free Throw 2 of 274
34.1%
76
65.9%
Q4 - 6:04INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)74
30.5%
76
69.5%
Q4 - 6:06INDPACERS Rebound74
34.1%
75
65.9%
Q4 - 6:07INDMISS Diogu 2' Layup74
39.8%
75
60.2%
Q4 - 6:20INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
34.1%
75
65.9%
Q4 - 6:22MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot74
36.5%
75
63.5%
Q4 - 6:46INDDaniels 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Armstrong 4 AST)74
42.3%
75
57.7%
Q4 - 6:52INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
48.8%
73
51.2%
Q4 - 6:54MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
51.4%
73
48.6%
Q4 - 7:21INDDiogu 1' Reverse Layup (8 PTS)74
56.4%
73
43.6%
Q4 - 7:22INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
62.2%
71
37.8%
Q4 - 7:23INDMISS Diogu 2' Layup74
67.2%
71
32.8%
Q4 - 7:41MIAMourning 1' Dunk (11 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)74
62.3%
71
37.7%
Q4 - 7:58MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
56.5%
71
43.5%
Q4 - 7:58INDMISS Daniels Free Throw 2 of 272
55.5%
71
44.5%
Q4 - 7:58INDDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
51.1%
71
48.9%
Q4 - 8:03MIAArmstrong STEAL (2 STL)72
55.0%
70
45.0%
Q4 - 8:22MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)72
61.4%
70
38.6%
Q4 - 8:24INDMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
59.5%
70
40.5%
Q4 - 8:42MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)72
55.1%
70
44.9%
Q4 - 9:06MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
60.5%
70
39.5%
Q4 - 9:07INDMISS Armstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
58.6%
70
41.4%
Q4 - 9:12INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
54.3%
70
45.7%
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
56.2%
70
43.8%
Q4 - 9:34INDGranger 3' Slam Dunk (10 PTS) (Armstrong 3 AST)72
60.5%
70
39.5%
Q4 - 9:39MIAArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)72
65.8%
68
34.2%
Q4 - 9:50INDDiogu Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)72
71.3%
68
28.7%
Q4 - 9:50INDDiogu Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
72.1%
67
27.9%
Q4 - 10:05MIAWade 11' Jump Bank Shot (25 PTS)72
74.0%
66
26.0%
Q4 - 10:29INDGranger 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)70
69.9%
66
30.1%
Q4 - 10:36MIADaniels STEAL (2 STL)70
78.3%
63
21.7%
Q4 - 11:01INDArmstrong 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)70
80.7%
63
19.3%
Q4 - 11:21INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
86.5%
60
13.5%
Q4 - 11:23MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot70
87.3%
60
12.7%
Q4 - 11:45INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)70
89.0%
60
11.0%
Q4 - 11:48INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
92.5%
57
7.5%
Q4 - 11:50INDMISS Daniels 12' Jump Shot70
93.5%
57
6.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
92.5%
57
7.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound70
94.0%
57
6.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Walker 44' 3PT Jump Shot70
93.0%
57
7.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDDiogu 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)70
92.9%
57
7.1%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIAKapono 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)70
94.2%
55
5.8%
Q3 - 0:36.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)67
91.5%
55
8.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)67
91.8%
54
8.2%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P2.T11)67
93.0%
53
7.0%
Q3 - 0:53.0INDDaniels 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)67
94.2%
53
5.8%
Q3 - 1:07INDPACERS Rebound67
94.4%
51
5.6%
Q3 - 1:08INDMISS O'Neal 3' Layup67
95.1%
51
4.9%
Q3 - 1:09INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)67
94.4%
51
5.6%
Q3 - 1:11INDMISS O'Neal 1' Layup67
95.1%
51
4.9%
Q3 - 1:32MIAO'Neal 1' Layup (5 PTS)67
94.4%
51
5.6%
Q3 - 1:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
93.4%
51
6.6%
Q3 - 1:35MIAMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot65
92.4%
51
7.6%
Q3 - 1:56INDDaniels 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)65
93.4%
51
6.6%
Q3 - 2:02INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
93.4%
49
6.6%
Q3 - 2:04MIAMISS Kapono 16' Jump Shot65
93.8%
49
6.2%
Q3 - 2:14INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)65
94.6%
49
5.4%
Q3 - 2:14INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)65
94.8%
48
5.2%
Q3 - 2:20INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
95.4%
47
4.6%
Q3 - 2:22MIAMISS Walker 28' 3PT Jump Shot65
95.7%
47
4.3%
Q3 - 2:47INDArmstrong Foul Turnover (P1.T14)65
96.2%
47
3.8%
Q3 - 2:53MIAO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)65
95.4%
47
4.6%
Q3 - 3:14INDTinsley 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)65
95.7%
47
4.3%
Q3 - 3:34INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
96.4%
45
3.6%
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 265
96.5%
45
3.5%
Q3 - 3:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)65
96.9%
45
3.1%
Q3 - 3:39INDTinsley Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)64
96.4%
45
3.6%
Q3 - 3:51MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)64
95.7%
45
4.3%
Q3 - 4:07INDO'Neal 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)62
94.3%
45
5.7%
Q3 - 4:17MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T9)62
95.1%
43
4.9%
Q3 - 4:29MIAHeat Rebound62
95.9%
43
4.1%
Q3 - 4:30INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
95.7%
43
4.3%
Q3 - 4:42MIAO'Neal 6' Jump Shot (3 PTS)62
95.1%
43
4.9%
Q3 - 4:43MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
94.4%
43
5.6%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot60
93.6%
43
6.4%
Q3 - 5:04INDTinsley 2' Layup (12 PTS)60
93.7%
43
6.3%
Q3 - 5:05INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)60
94.5%
41
5.5%
Q3 - 5:06INDMISS Tinsley 13' Jump Shot60
95.1%
41
4.9%
Q3 - 5:12INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
94.5%
41
5.5%
Q3 - 5:13MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot60
94.8%
41
5.2%
Q3 - 5:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)60
95.4%
41
4.6%
Q3 - 5:31INDMISS Granger 16' Jump Shot60
95.2%
41
4.8%
Q3 - 5:50MIAHaslem 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Kapono 2 AST)60
94.6%
41
5.4%
Q3 - 6:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)58
92.9%
41
7.1%
Q3 - 6:06INDMISS O'Neal 10' Jump Shot58
92.5%
41
7.5%
Q3 - 6:20MIAHaslem 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)58
91.7%
41
8.3%
Q3 - 6:29INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
90.5%
41
9.5%
Q3 - 6:29INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
90.9%
40
9.1%
Q3 - 6:36INDPACERS Rebound56
91.7%
39
8.3%
Q3 - 6:39MIAMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot56
92.1%
39
7.9%
Q3 - 6:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)56
93.0%
39
7.0%
Q3 - 6:45INDMISS Tinsley 9' Jump Shot56
92.6%
39
7.4%
Q3 - 6:55INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)56
91.8%
39
8.2%
Q3 - 6:56MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot56
92.2%
39
7.8%
Q3 - 7:13INDMurphy 15' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)56
92.2%
39
7.8%
Q3 - 7:21INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)56
93.1%
37
6.9%
Q3 - 7:23MIAO'Neal BLOCK (4 BLK)56
93.5%
37
6.5%
Q3 - 7:38MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)56
94.2%
37
5.8%
Q3 - 7:40INDMISS Murphy 2' Dunk56
93.9%
37
6.1%
Q3 - 8:04MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)56
92.7%
37
7.3%
Q3 - 8:21INDO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)54
91.8%
37
8.2%
Q3 - 8:34MIAKapono 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)54
90.4%
37
9.6%
Q3 - 9:01INDDunleavy 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)52
88.2%
37
11.8%
Q3 - 9:12INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
90.9%
34
9.1%
Q3 - 9:14MIAMISS Mourning 7' Jump Shot52
91.3%
34
8.7%
Q3 - 9:26MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
92.1%
34
7.9%
Q3 - 9:27INDMISS Tinsley 14' Jump Shot52
91.8%
34
8.2%
Q3 - 9:46MIAKapono 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)52
91.0%
34
9.0%
Q3 - 9:52INDDunleavy Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)49
88.3%
34
11.7%
Q3 - 9:58INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
86.7%
34
13.3%
Q3 - 10:00INDMISS Dunleavy 18' Jump Shot49
87.9%
34
12.1%
Q3 - 10:18MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)49
85.8%
34
14.2%
Q3 - 10:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
84.2%
34
15.8%
Q3 - 10:36INDMISS O'Neal 8' Jump Shot47
83.5%
34
16.5%
Q3 - 10:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
82.0%
34
18.0%
Q3 - 10:55MIAWade 2' Tip Shot (20 PTS)47
82.0%
34
18.0%
Q3 - 10:56MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup45
78.2%
34
21.8%
Q3 - 11:03INDDunleavy Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)45
79.1%
34
20.9%
Q3 - 11:17MIAWade 12' Jump Bank Shot (18 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)45
76.7%
34
23.3%
Q3 - 11:21MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
74.2%
34
25.8%
Q3 - 11:23INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
73.4%
34
26.6%
Q3 - 11:39MIAHaslem 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
71.4%
34
28.6%
Q3 - 11:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
68.7%
34
31.3%
Q3 - 11:43MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup41
66.4%
34
33.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
68.7%
34
31.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
67.2%
34
32.8%
Q2 - 0:06.0INDMISS O'Neal 14' Jump Shot41
66.6%
34
33.4%
Q2 - 0:27.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
65.2%
34
34.8%
Q2 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot41
65.9%
34
34.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
67.4%
34
32.6%
Q2 - 0:46.0INDMISS O'Neal 6' Jump Shot41
66.7%
34
33.3%
Q2 - 0:56.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
65.2%
34
34.8%
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAMISS Doleac 16' Jump Shot41
65.9%
34
34.1%
Q2 - 1:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
66.4%
34
33.6%
Q2 - 1:12INDMISS Armstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
66.0%
34
34.0%
Q2 - 1:25MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)41
64.9%
34
35.1%
Q2 - 1:25MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)40
64.4%
34
35.6%
Q2 - 1:44INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
60.5%
34
39.5%
Q2 - 1:44INDMurphy 3' Follow Up Dunk (11 PTS)39
60.5%
34
39.5%
Q2 - 1:45INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
66.0%
32
34.0%
Q2 - 2:16INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)39
63.7%
32
36.3%
Q2 - 2:17MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot39
64.5%
32
35.5%
Q2 - 2:30MIAHeat Rebound39
66.3%
32
33.7%
Q2 - 2:33INDMISS Armstrong 3PT Jump Shot39
65.5%
32
34.5%
Q2 - 2:48MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll (14 PTS)39
63.8%
32
36.2%
Q2 - 3:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)37
59.9%
32
40.1%
Q2 - 3:06INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
59.0%
32
41.0%
Q2 - 3:24INDPACERS Rebound37
56.7%
32
43.3%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMISS Mourning 2' Layup37
57.7%
32
42.3%
Q2 - 3:30MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
60.0%
32
40.0%
Q2 - 3:31INDMISS Murphy 19' Jump Shot37
59.0%
32
41.0%
Q2 - 3:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)37
56.8%
32
43.2%
Q2 - 3:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)36
56.2%
32
43.8%
Q2 - 3:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
54.2%
32
45.8%
Q2 - 3:57INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot35
53.1%
32
46.9%
Q2 - 4:12INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)35
50.6%
32
49.4%
Q2 - 4:13MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot35
51.4%
32
48.6%
Q2 - 4:19MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
53.4%
32
46.6%
Q2 - 4:20INDMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot35
52.6%
32
47.4%
Q2 - 4:32MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T8)35
50.6%
32
49.4%
Q2 - 4:36MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
53.5%
32
46.5%
Q2 - 4:38INDMISS O'Neal 3' Jump Shot35
52.6%
32
47.4%
Q2 - 4:49MIAMourning 5' Jump Hook Shot (9 PTS)35
50.6%
32
49.4%
Q2 - 4:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)33
47.7%
32
52.3%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Mourning 5' Jump Shot33
45.7%
32
54.3%
Q2 - 5:07MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
47.7%
32
52.3%
Q2 - 5:08INDMISS Dunleavy 20' Jump Shot33
46.8%
32
53.2%
Q2 - 5:17MIAGranger STEAL (1 STL)33
44.6%
32
55.4%
Q2 - 5:38INDMurphy 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)33
47.7%
32
52.3%
Q2 - 5:56INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
53.1%
29
46.9%
Q2 - 5:57MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
54.0%
29
46.0%
Q2 - 6:12INDO'Neal Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)33
56.0%
29
44.0%
Q2 - 6:13INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
52.7%
29
47.3%
Q2 - 6:15INDMISS Granger 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
55.0%
29
45.0%
Q2 - 6:27MIAPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
52.7%
29
47.3%
Q2 - 6:27MIAPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
52.3%
29
47.7%
Q2 - 6:33INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)31
50.5%
29
49.5%
Q2 - 6:38INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
47.2%
29
52.8%
Q2 - 6:39MIAMISS Walker 2' Layup31
48.2%
29
51.8%
Q2 - 6:50MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)31
50.5%
29
49.5%
Q2 - 6:55MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
47.8%
29
52.2%
Q2 - 6:56INDMISS O'Neal 1' Layup30
46.8%
29
53.2%
Q2 - 6:57INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
44.5%
29
55.5%
Q2 - 6:58INDMISS O'Neal 2' Layup30
46.8%
29
53.2%
Q2 - 7:03MIAPosey Foul Turnover (P2.T6)30
44.7%
29
55.3%
Q2 - 7:23INDTinsley 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)30
47.5%
29
52.5%
Q2 - 7:28INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
49.9%
27
50.1%
Q2 - 7:30MIAO'Neal BLOCK (3 BLK)30
50.8%
27
49.2%
Q2 - 7:42MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
52.8%
27
47.2%
Q2 - 7:43MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
50.8%
27
49.2%
Q2 - 8:02INDMurphy 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)30
52.5%
27
47.5%
Q2 - 8:23MIAMourning 10' Running Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)30
54.7%
25
45.3%
Q2 - 8:43INDTinsley 12' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)28
52.5%
25
47.5%
Q2 - 8:50MIADaniels STEAL (1 STL)28
54.8%
23
45.2%
Q2 - 8:51MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
57.6%
23
42.4%
Q2 - 8:52INDMISS O'Neal 3' Layup28
56.7%
23
43.3%
Q2 - 8:59INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
54.8%
23
45.2%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
55.6%
23
44.4%
Q2 - 9:07MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
57.1%
23
42.9%
Q2 - 9:08INDMISS Daniels 6' Jump Shot28
56.2%
23
43.8%
Q2 - 9:19INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
54.3%
23
45.7%
Q2 - 9:21MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot28
55.2%
23
44.8%
Q2 - 9:33MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
57.1%
23
42.9%
Q2 - 9:34INDMISS O'Neal 9' Jump Shot28
56.3%
23
43.7%
Q2 - 9:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)28
54.3%
23
45.7%
Q2 - 9:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
53.9%
23
46.1%
Q2 - 10:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
51.9%
23
48.1%
Q2 - 10:09INDMISS Tinsley 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
51.1%
23
48.9%
Q2 - 10:27INDPACERS Rebound26
49.1%
23
50.9%
Q2 - 10:30MIAMISS Payton 3PT Jump Shot26
50.0%
23
50.0%
Q2 - 10:44INDDiogu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
51.9%
23
48.1%
Q2 - 10:44INDDiogu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
52.3%
22
47.7%
Q2 - 10:59INDDiogu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
54.1%
21
45.9%
Q2 - 11:00MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
54.9%
21
45.1%
Q2 - 11:07MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
56.1%
21
43.9%
Q2 - 11:09INDMISS Daniels 20' Jump Shot26
55.4%
21
44.6%
Q2 - 11:19INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
53.7%
21
46.3%
Q2 - 11:21MIAGranger BLOCK (1 BLK)26
54.5%
21
45.5%
Q2 - 11:25INDDaniels Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)26
56.1%
21
43.9%
Q2 - 11:39MIAO'Neal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)26
53.7%
21
46.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND26
56.2%
21
43.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T3)26
53.8%
21
46.2%
Q1 - 0:19.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
55.4%
21
44.6%
Q1 - 0:20.0INDMISS Diogu 2' Layup26
54.9%
21
45.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
53.6%
21
46.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 226
53.8%
21
46.2%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
54.8%
21
45.2%
Q1 - 0:54.0INDDaniels Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)25
53.1%
21
46.9%
Q1 - 1:05INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw Technical25
51.2%
21
48.8%
Q1 - 1:35MIAWade 1' Running Finger Roll (8 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)25
51.2%
21
48.8%
Q1 - 1:39MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
48.3%
21
51.7%
Q1 - 1:40INDMISS Daniels 9' Jump Shot23
47.7%
21
52.3%
Q1 - 1:47INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
46.5%
21
53.5%
Q1 - 1:48MIAO'Neal BLOCK (2 BLK)23
47.0%
21
53.0%
Q1 - 1:52MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
48.3%
21
51.7%
Q1 - 1:53INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot23
47.7%
21
52.3%
Q1 - 2:05INDMISS Armstrong Free Throw Technical23
46.4%
21
53.6%
Q1 - 2:19MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)23
46.4%
21
53.6%
Q1 - 2:30INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
43.9%
21
56.1%
Q1 - 2:30INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
44.5%
20
55.5%
Q1 - 2:41INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
46.4%
19
53.6%
Q1 - 2:43INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot21
47.9%
19
52.1%
Q1 - 2:54INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
46.4%
19
53.6%
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS O'Neal 7' Jump Shot21
47.1%
19
52.9%
Q1 - 3:11INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)21
48.4%
19
51.6%
Q1 - 3:11INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 221
49.1%
18
50.9%
Q1 - 3:19INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
48.1%
18
51.9%
Q1 - 3:20MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot21
48.9%
18
51.1%
Q1 - 3:36MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
50.7%
18
49.3%
Q1 - 3:37INDMISS Dunleavy 18' Jump Shot21
49.9%
18
50.1%
Q1 - 3:57MIAWade 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)21
48.2%
18
51.8%
Q1 - 4:14INDArmstrong 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)19
46.1%
18
53.9%
Q1 - 4:19INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
47.8%
16
52.2%
Q1 - 4:21MIAO'Neal BLOCK (1 BLK)19
48.6%
16
51.4%
Q1 - 4:33MIAO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
50.5%
16
49.5%
Q1 - 4:35INDMISS Dunleavy 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
49.7%
16
50.3%
Q1 - 4:44MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)19
47.8%
16
52.2%
Q1 - 5:04INDO'Neal 7' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)17
45.6%
16
54.4%
Q1 - 5:20INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
47.5%
14
52.5%
Q1 - 5:20MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 217
47.8%
14
52.2%
Q1 - 5:20MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
48.9%
14
51.1%
Q1 - 5:33INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
47.7%
14
52.3%
Q1 - 5:33INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
48.1%
13
51.9%
Q1 - 5:52INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
49.6%
12
50.4%
Q1 - 5:53MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot16
50.4%
12
49.6%
Q1 - 6:15INDMurphy 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)16
51.3%
12
48.7%
Q1 - 6:28MIAMourning 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)16
53.2%
10
46.8%
Q1 - 6:52INDO'Neal 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)14
51.3%
10
48.7%
Q1 - 7:05INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
48.6%
10
51.4%
Q1 - 7:06INDMISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot14
50.1%
10
49.9%
Q1 - 7:19MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)14
48.6%
10
51.4%
Q1 - 7:31INDDunleavy Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)11
45.1%
10
54.9%
Q1 - 7:49MIAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)11
43.0%
10
57.0%
Q1 - 8:05INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
39.7%
10
60.3%
Q1 - 8:05INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
40.0%
9
60.0%
Q1 - 8:11MIADunleavy STEAL (1 STL)8
41.3%
8
58.7%
Q1 - 8:23INDTinsley 9' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)8
43.3%
8
56.7%
Q1 - 8:34INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
45.0%
6
55.0%
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS Haslem 10' Jump Shot8
45.6%
6
54.4%
Q1 - 8:55INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
47.1%
6
52.9%
Q1 - 9:12MIAWilliams 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
44.6%
6
55.4%
Q1 - 9:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
43.3%
6
56.7%
Q1 - 9:16INDMISS O'Neal 1' Layup6
42.6%
6
57.4%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMourning 2' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)6
41.0%
6
59.0%
Q1 - 9:46INDO'Neal Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
39.6%
6
60.4%
Q1 - 9:48MIAO'Neal STEAL (1 STL)4
37.4%
6
62.6%
Q1 - 10:03INDO'Neal 5' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)4
39.4%
6
60.6%
Q1 - 10:16MIAHaslem 6' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
41.0%
4
59.0%
Q1 - 10:29INDMurphy 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)2
39.5%
4
60.5%
Q1 - 10:41MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 10:55INDGranger Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 11:13INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 11:14MIAMISS Mourning 5' Jump Shot0
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 11:37INDTinsley 11' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)0
39.3%
2
60.7%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball O'Neal vs. Mourning: Tip to Murphy0
41.2%
0
58.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.5%
IND
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
25
48%
IND
12
25
48%
Midrange
MIA
18
38
47%
IND
17
44
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
IND
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
Free Throws
MIA
13
17
76%
IND
20
25
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3262%16.0 / 26
J. Kapono1890%9.0 / 10
U. Haslem1447%7.0 / 15
A. Mourning1447%7.0 / 15
J. Williams660%3.0 / 5
S. O'Neal536%2.5 / 7
A. Walker321%1.5 / 7
J. Posey233%1.0 / 3
G. Payton0-0.0 / 3
M. Doleac0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Murphy1771%8.5 / 12
D. Granger1667%8.0 / 12
J. Tinsley1458%7.0 / 12
M. Daniels1139%5.5 / 14
J. O'Neal1024%5.0 / 21
M. Dunleavy945%4.5 / 10
D. Armstrong945%4.5 / 10
I. Diogu857%4.0 / 7
J. Foster250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
87
+11
-15
98
IND
83
+19
-18
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.5%
IND
0.93 46.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
103.0
MIA 92.2
IND 95.0 +2.9
Pace
90.1
92.4
MIA 90.3
IND 93.9 +3.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
15.7
MIA 15.9
IND 15.3 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
47.4%
MIA 47.6% +4.9%
IND 42.7%
TO %
15.3%
17.1%
MIA 15.5% +1.2%
IND 16.7%
ORB %
24.9%
28.4%
MIA 17.4%
IND 28.6% +11.2%
FTrt
32.1
32.4
MIA 20.0
IND 28.1 +8.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
58.5%
MIA 56.8%
IND 57.1% +0.3%
STL %
7.6%
7.9%
MIA 11.8% +3.9%
IND 7.9%
BLK %
8.8%
8.5%
MIA 14.5% +6.6%
IND 7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
51.0%
MIA 47.5% +0.9%
IND 46.6%
Rim FG%
61.8%
56.1%
MIA 48.0%
IND 48.0%
Mid FG%
40.5%
39.0%
MIA 47.4% +8.8%
IND 38.6%
3P %
34.3%
34.6%
MIA 31.8% +1.8%
IND 30.0%
FT %
69.0%
76.0%
MIA 76.5%
IND 80.0% +3.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
33.3%
MIA 29.4% +1.3%
IND 28.1%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
45.5%
MIA 44.7% +4.7%
IND 49.4%
3P Att. %
24.5%
21.2%
MIA 25.9% +3.4%
IND 22.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions102101
Possession Minutes27.125.8
Points9496
Rebounds4352
Assists2120
Steals128
Blocks105
Turnovers (Team)15 (2)18 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (2)38 (3)
Field Goals37-8535-89
At-the-Rim FG12-2512-25
Midrange FG18-3817-44
2-Point FG30-6329-69
3-Point FG7-226-20
Free Throws13-1720-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
46.5
32
62%
5
8
5
3
4
4
1
4
7-8
88%
11-19
58%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
39.2
18
90%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
4-5
80%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
36.0
14
47%
15
0
1
1
1
5
1
14
0-0
-
7-15
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
32.4
6
60%
3
9
1
0
2
0
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
31.7
14
47%
4
0
1
5
1
5
2
2
2-4
50%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 39
27.0
0
0%
2
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
17.9
3
21%
4
0
2
0
3
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-6
17%
C · 7'1" 325 · 35
14.1
5
36%
5
0
0
1
2
3
2
3
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
14.0
2
33%
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
6.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'2" 184 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
94
48%
43
21
12
10
15
0
8
35
13-17
76%
30-63
48%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.