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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 27, 2007
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Trail Blazers33%95135
22Grizzlies67%100132
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
46.9
33.2
42
47%
12
2
2
1
0
4
4
8
9-11
82%
15-38
8-17
39%
47%
1-2
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
42.5
26.6
13
46%
3
5
2
1
0
0
0
3
6-7
86%
2-9
3-6
22%
50%
1-2
50%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 22.5
41.6
30.6
16
60%
4
6
3
1
0
4
1
3
1-1
100%
6-11
4-9
55%
47%
1-2
50%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.5
40.4
22.4
21
86%
7
4
3
1
0
0
2
5
3-5
60%
6-8
2-3
75%
49%
2-2
100%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 27.3
34.7
13.1
4
40%
11
0
0
0
1
1
4
7
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
54%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.7
21.4
18.1
10
83%
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
48%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 20.1
18.1
23.5
12
68%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
2-5
40%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 20.6
17.7
17.9
7
64%
1
7
3
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
48%
0-1
0%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 28.3
14.2
19.3
5
42%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
1-1
100%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 21.5
8.1
20.2
3
85%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-0
3-7
-
50%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 30.7
4.3
8.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 28.4
5.8
0
0-1
43%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.3
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 26.9
51.9
37.9
28
57%
8
3
0
1
0
0
2
6
4-6
67%
3-10
4-7
30%
53%
6-12
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.6
49.9
39.0
24
54%
14
2
0
1
6
9
4
10
2-5
40%
11-20
8-14
55%
53%
0-0
-
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 35.3
29.2
22.7
13
87%
8
1
2
1
0
0
0
8
1-1
100%
3-3
1-3
100%
47%
2-4
50%
Lawrence Roberts
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.3
24.6
20.9
6
41%
5
0
1
1
0
3
1
4
2-3
67%
2-6
2-5
33%
51%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 33.4
19.7
15.7
3
34%
2
10
2
0
0
3
1
1
0-1
0%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Chucky Atkins
G · 5'11" 185 · 32.5
38.2
30.5
23
75%
1
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
9-10
90%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
2-5
40%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 24.6
27.6
25.9
20
67%
6
0
0
1
2
3
2
4
6-9
67%
7-10
4-8
70%
53%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.1
25.1
19.1
9
67%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
3-4
75%
3-5
2-5
60%
48%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.0
10.4
14.1
4
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
53%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 20.4
9.8
16.1
2
100%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jake Tsakalidis
C · 7'2" 290 · 27.6
3.5
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Tarence Kinsey
G · 6'6" 189 · 22.9
0.2
3.4
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.7
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 27.2
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 20.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.