FinalWin Prob.pScore
1332%90
97
968%96
100
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
104.39389.5
CHI logo CHI
108.79295.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BullsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHI
Q4 - 0:00.0CHI97
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)94
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)94
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIAWade Running Layup (24 PTS)94
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)92
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 2 of 292
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)92
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 0:15.0CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 292
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)92
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 0:20.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)91
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)91
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 0:20.0CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)91
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
1.5%
95
98.5%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAHeat Rebound91
3.7%
95
96.3%
Q4 - 0:28.0CHIMISS Brown 13' Jump Shot91
2.7%
95
97.3%
Q4 - 0:50.0CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot91
4.2%
95
95.8%
Q4 - 1:09CHIHinrich 12' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS) (Gordon 7 AST)91
7.5%
95
92.5%
Q4 - 1:28MIAKapono 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)91
13.0%
93
87.0%
Q4 - 1:34CHIBrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)89
9.2%
93
90.8%
Q4 - 1:34CHIBrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)89
9.9%
92
90.1%
Q4 - 1:45CHIBULLS Rebound89
14.5%
91
85.5%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
16.6%
91
83.4%
Q4 - 1:58CHIGordon 20' Jump Shot (32 PTS)89
22.4%
91
77.6%
Q4 - 2:12MIAWalker 8' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)89
29.4%
89
70.6%
Q4 - 2:26MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
24.3%
89
75.7%
Q4 - 2:28CHIMISS Gordon Layup87
20.6%
89
79.4%
Q4 - 2:43CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)87
13.8%
89
86.2%
Q4 - 2:44MIAMISS Wade Layup87
16.5%
89
83.5%
Q4 - 2:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)87
24.6%
89
75.4%
Q4 - 2:53CHIMISS Hinrich 15' Jump Shot87
21.4%
89
78.6%
Q4 - 3:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)87
15.2%
89
84.8%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 286
14.3%
89
85.7%
Q4 - 3:25CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)86
17.7%
89
82.3%
Q4 - 3:25CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 286
18.5%
88
81.5%
Q4 - 3:31CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
18.4%
88
81.6%
Q4 - 3:31MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot86
20.2%
88
79.8%
Q4 - 3:51CHINocioni 21' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Hinrich 5 AST)86
24.5%
88
75.5%
Q4 - 4:11CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)86
31.6%
86
68.4%
Q4 - 4:13MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot86
34.3%
86
65.7%
Q4 - 4:32CHINocioni 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T14)86
40.9%
86
59.1%
Q4 - 4:47MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (20 PTS)86
31.6%
86
68.4%
Q4 - 5:01CHIHinrich Foul Turnover (P4.T13)84
24.7%
86
75.3%
Q4 - 5:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)84
18.8%
86
81.2%
Q4 - 5:13MIAHaslem Layup (12 PTS)84
18.8%
86
81.2%
Q4 - 5:15MIAMISS Walker Layup82
11.7%
86
88.3%
Q4 - 5:45CHIGordon 20' Jump Shot (29 PTS)82
14.4%
86
85.6%
Q4 - 5:51CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
18.8%
84
81.2%
Q4 - 5:55MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot82
20.5%
84
79.5%
Q4 - 6:09MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)82
25.1%
84
74.9%
Q4 - 6:10CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 282
24.2%
84
75.8%
Q4 - 6:10CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 282
22.3%
84
77.7%
Q4 - 6:27MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)82
19.1%
84
80.9%
Q4 - 6:44MIAHeat Rebound79
11.8%
84
88.2%
Q4 - 6:44CHIMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot79
10.8%
84
89.2%
Q4 - 7:09CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)79
9.9%
84
90.1%
Q4 - 7:11MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
10.7%
84
89.3%
Q4 - 7:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
13.0%
84
87.0%
Q4 - 7:16CHIMISS Wallace Layup79
11.9%
84
88.1%
Q4 - 7:19MIAWallace STEAL (2 STL)79
9.8%
84
90.2%
Q4 - 7:21MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)79
13.0%
84
87.0%
Q4 - 7:23CHIMISS Nocioni Layup79
11.9%
84
88.1%
Q4 - 7:37CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)79
9.8%
84
90.2%
Q4 - 7:40MIANocioni BLOCK (1 BLK)79
10.7%
84
89.3%
Q4 - 7:59MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
12.9%
84
87.1%
Q4 - 8:00CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 279
12.4%
84
87.6%
Q4 - 8:00CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)79
10.4%
84
89.6%
Q4 - 8:10MIAKapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)79
13.8%
83
86.2%
Q4 - 8:26MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
8.8%
83
91.2%
Q4 - 8:28CHIMISS Nocioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
8.1%
83
91.9%
Q4 - 8:45MIAWalker Layup (6 PTS)76
6.9%
83
93.1%
Q4 - 8:46MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)74
5.4%
83
94.6%
Q4 - 8:48MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot74
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q4 - 9:09CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)74
6.1%
83
93.9%
Q4 - 9:09CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)74
6.4%
82
93.6%
Q4 - 9:18CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
7.5%
81
92.5%
Q4 - 9:20MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
8.0%
81
92.0%
Q4 - 9:38CHIHinrich Driving Layup (21 PTS)74
9.4%
81
90.6%
Q4 - 9:48CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)74
11.6%
79
88.4%
Q4 - 9:50CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
13.5%
79
86.5%
Q4 - 9:54CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)74
11.6%
79
88.4%
Q4 - 9:56CHIMISS Nocioni 18' Jump Shot74
13.5%
79
86.5%
Q4 - 10:10CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)74
12.2%
79
87.8%
Q4 - 10:12CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
14.2%
79
85.8%
Q4 - 10:25MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)74
12.2%
79
87.8%
Q4 - 10:44CHIDeng Foul Turnover (P2.T12)71
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q4 - 10:53MIAWade Layup (18 PTS)71
6.5%
79
93.5%
Q4 - 11:17CHIHinrich Layup (19 PTS)69
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q4 - 11:32MIAWalker Layup (4 PTS)69
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q4 - 11:33MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q4 - 11:34MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot67
5.1%
77
94.9%
Q4 - 11:47MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q4 - 11:48CHIMISS Wallace Dunk67
5.5%
77
94.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA67
4.7%
77
95.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound67
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot67
5.1%
77
94.9%
Q3 - 0:14.0CHIWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)67
6.4%
77
93.6%
Q3 - 0:14.0CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 267
7.1%
76
92.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIAKapono 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)67
6.4%
76
93.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0CHINocioni Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)65
5.3%
76
94.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0CHIBULLS Rebound65
4.3%
76
95.7%
Q3 - 1:01MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q3 - 1:27CHIHinrich 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS)65
5.8%
76
94.2%
Q3 - 1:47MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)65
6.9%
74
93.1%
Q3 - 1:47MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)64
6.7%
74
93.3%
Q3 - 1:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
5.8%
74
94.2%
Q3 - 1:48MIAMISS Wade Layup63
5.0%
74
95.0%
Q3 - 1:56MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q3 - 1:58CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
5.4%
74
94.6%
Q3 - 2:19MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)63
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q3 - 2:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
4.3%
74
95.7%
Q3 - 2:41MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
3.8%
74
96.2%
Q3 - 2:52MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
4.3%
74
95.7%
Q3 - 2:54CHIMISS Nocioni 3PT Jump Shot61
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 3:00CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
3.6%
74
96.4%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMISS Haslem Layup61
4.2%
74
95.8%
Q3 - 3:23CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q3 - 3:23CHIMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 261
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 3:43MIAWalker 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)61
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 4:01CHINocioni 15' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Gordon 6 AST)59
4.3%
73
95.7%
Q3 - 4:07CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)59
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 4:08MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot59
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 4:32CHIDeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q3 - 4:32CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)59
6.1%
70
93.9%
Q3 - 4:37CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)59
6.8%
69
93.2%
Q3 - 4:39MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot59
7.2%
69
92.8%
Q3 - 4:58CHIDeng Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Gordon 5 AST)59
8.1%
69
91.9%
Q3 - 5:01MIAHinrich STEAL (2 STL)59
9.8%
67
90.2%
Q3 - 5:14CHIBULLS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)59
11.5%
67
88.5%
Q3 - 5:14CHIBULLS Rebound59
9.8%
67
90.2%
Q3 - 5:14CHIMISS Gordon 21' Jump Shot59
10.9%
67
89.1%
Q3 - 5:16CHIBULLS Rebound59
9.8%
67
90.2%
Q3 - 5:16CHIMISS Sweetney 9' Jump Shot59
10.9%
67
89.1%
Q3 - 5:38CHISweetney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
9.8%
67
90.2%
Q3 - 5:39MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot59
10.3%
67
89.7%
Q3 - 6:03CHIGordon 21' Jump Shot (26 PTS)59
11.8%
67
88.2%
Q3 - 6:13MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (14 PTS)59
13.4%
65
86.6%
Q3 - 6:34CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)57
11.8%
65
88.2%
Q3 - 6:34CHIMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 257
12.0%
64
88.0%
Q3 - 6:54CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)57
11.7%
64
88.3%
Q3 - 6:56MIAMISS Wade 22' Jump Shot57
12.2%
64
87.8%
Q3 - 7:16CHIDeng Dunk (5 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST)57
13.9%
64
86.1%
Q3 - 7:20CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
15.5%
62
84.5%
Q3 - 7:22MIAMISS Kapono 3PT Jump Shot57
16.2%
62
83.8%
Q3 - 7:36MIADoleac REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
18.0%
62
82.0%
Q3 - 7:38CHIMISS Gordon 21' Jump Shot57
17.2%
62
82.8%
Q3 - 7:50MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)57
15.5%
62
84.5%
Q3 - 7:51MIAHeat Rebound57
18.0%
62
82.0%
Q3 - 7:51MIADeng BLOCK (1 BLK)57
16.2%
62
83.8%
Q3 - 7:51MIAKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
18.0%
62
82.0%
Q3 - 7:52MIAWallace BLOCK (4 BLK)57
16.2%
62
83.8%
Q3 - 8:17CHIGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)57
18.1%
62
81.9%
Q3 - 8:31MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)57
22.7%
59
77.3%
Q3 - 8:37CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)54
18.1%
59
81.9%
Q3 - 8:46MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)54
15.7%
59
84.3%
Q3 - 8:46MIAHeat Rebound54
18.1%
59
81.9%
Q3 - 8:48MIAMISS Mourning 19' Jump Shot54
16.4%
59
83.6%
Q3 - 9:09MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)54
17.9%
59
82.1%
Q3 - 9:10CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot54
17.3%
59
82.7%
Q3 - 9:25MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)54
15.8%
59
84.2%
Q3 - 9:42CHIHinrich Reverse Layup (15 PTS)52
14.0%
59
86.0%
Q3 - 9:51CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
15.8%
57
84.2%
Q3 - 9:53MIAMISS Mourning 11' Hook Shot52
16.4%
57
83.6%
Q3 - 10:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
18.0%
57
82.0%
Q3 - 10:04CHIMISS Hinrich 21' Jump Shot52
17.3%
57
82.7%
Q3 - 10:17CHIGordon Free Throw Technical (20 PTS)52
15.8%
57
84.2%
Q3 - 10:19MIAWade Driving Dunk (9 PTS)52
17.8%
56
82.2%
Q3 - 10:36CHIGordon 6' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)50
16.0%
56
84.0%
Q3 - 10:45CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)50
17.8%
54
82.2%
Q3 - 10:47MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot50
18.5%
54
81.5%
Q3 - 11:05MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
20.0%
54
80.0%
Q3 - 11:07CHIMISS Hinrich 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
19.4%
54
80.6%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMourning Dunk (9 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)50
17.8%
54
82.2%
Q3 - 11:31CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)48
16.0%
54
84.0%
Q3 - 11:44MIAHaslem Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)48
14.1%
54
85.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHI46
12.6%
54
87.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIBULLS Rebound46
11.1%
54
88.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Hinrich 29' 3PT Jump Shot46
12.1%
54
87.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)46
11.9%
54
88.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 245
11.6%
54
88.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0CHIHinrich Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)45
11.4%
54
88.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0CHIMISS Hinrich Free Throw 1 of 245
11.6%
53
88.4%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAPosey 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)45
11.8%
53
88.2%
Q2 - 0:35.0CHINocioni 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T7)42
9.0%
53
91.0%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)42
8.2%
53
91.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)41
8.0%
53
92.0%
Q2 - 1:03CHIHinrich 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS)40
7.3%
53
92.7%
Q2 - 1:18MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
8.7%
51
91.3%
Q2 - 1:30MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)38
7.3%
51
92.7%
Q2 - 1:32CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 2 of 238
7.2%
51
92.8%
Q2 - 1:32CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)38
6.6%
51
93.4%
Q2 - 1:34CHIBULLS Rebound38
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q2 - 1:36CHIMISS Deng 21' Jump Shot38
8.0%
50
92.0%
Q2 - 1:40CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)38
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q2 - 1:42CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 2 of 238
8.1%
50
91.9%
Q2 - 1:42CHIMISS Wallace Free Throw 1 of 238
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q2 - 1:42CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)38
7.7%
50
92.3%
Q2 - 1:43CHIMISS Hinrich 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
8.0%
50
92.0%
Q2 - 2:03MIAKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)38
7.8%
50
92.2%
Q2 - 2:08CHIHinrich Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)35
6.2%
50
93.8%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMourning Dunk (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)35
5.5%
50
94.5%
Q2 - 2:36MIAHeat Rebound33
4.8%
50
95.2%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q2 - 2:51CHIDeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)33
4.8%
50
95.2%
Q2 - 2:54CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)33
6.2%
47
93.8%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
6.4%
47
93.6%
Q2 - 3:11CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)33
7.4%
47
92.6%
Q2 - 3:20CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)33
9.1%
44
90.9%
Q2 - 3:22CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
9.9%
44
90.1%
Q2 - 3:31CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)33
9.1%
44
90.9%
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot33
9.4%
44
90.6%
Q2 - 3:49CHINocioni 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Hinrich 3 AST)33
10.2%
44
89.8%
Q2 - 4:04MIAWade 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
11.6%
42
88.4%
Q2 - 4:26CHINocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)31
10.4%
42
89.6%
Q2 - 4:32CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)31
12.8%
39
87.2%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Kapono 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
13.2%
39
86.8%
Q2 - 4:46MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
14.1%
39
85.9%
Q2 - 4:47CHIMISS Deng 7' Jump Shot31
13.7%
39
86.3%
Q2 - 5:03CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)31
12.8%
39
87.2%
Q2 - 5:04MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)31
14.3%
39
85.7%
Q2 - 5:04MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot31
13.3%
39
86.7%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
14.3%
39
85.7%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS Mourning Tip Shot31
13.3%
39
86.7%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Mourning Layup31
13.3%
39
86.7%
Q2 - 5:28CHIDeng 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)31
14.3%
39
85.7%
Q2 - 5:45MIAPosey Dunk (8 PTS)31
12.8%
39
87.2%
Q2 - 5:49CHIDuhon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)29
11.7%
39
88.3%
Q2 - 6:12MIAKapono Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)29
10.7%
39
89.3%
Q2 - 6:12MIAKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)28
10.6%
39
89.4%
Q2 - 6:24CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)27
9.9%
39
90.1%
Q2 - 6:24CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)27
10.0%
38
90.0%
Q2 - 6:28CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
10.7%
37
89.3%
Q2 - 6:30MIAMISS Posey 20' Jump Shot27
11.1%
37
88.9%
Q2 - 6:49CHIGordon Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T3)27
12.0%
37
88.0%
Q2 - 6:52CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)27
10.7%
37
89.3%
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot27
11.1%
37
88.9%
Q2 - 7:11CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)27
12.4%
37
87.6%
Q2 - 7:11CHIMISS Nocioni Free Throw 1 of 227
12.6%
36
87.4%
Q2 - 7:30MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)27
12.3%
36
87.7%
Q2 - 7:49CHINocioni Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)25
11.3%
36
88.7%
Q2 - 7:49CHINocioni Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)25
11.4%
35
88.6%
Q2 - 7:54CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
12.3%
34
87.7%
Q2 - 7:56MIAMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
12.7%
34
87.3%
Q2 - 8:05MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
13.7%
34
86.3%
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Posey 14' Jump Shot25
12.8%
34
87.2%
Q2 - 8:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
13.7%
34
86.3%
Q2 - 8:09CHIMISS Nocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
13.3%
34
86.7%
Q2 - 8:34MIAWright 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
12.4%
34
87.6%
Q2 - 8:36MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
11.4%
34
88.6%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Walker Layup23
10.7%
34
89.3%
Q2 - 8:54MIAPosey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
11.4%
34
88.6%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 223
10.5%
34
89.5%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 223
10.9%
34
89.1%
Q2 - 8:57MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
11.4%
34
88.6%
Q2 - 8:59MIAMISS Walker 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
10.7%
34
89.3%
Q2 - 9:11MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
11.6%
34
88.4%
Q2 - 9:12CHIMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot23
11.3%
34
88.7%
Q2 - 9:25MIAWright Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)23
10.5%
34
89.5%
Q2 - 9:38CHIGordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)21
9.7%
34
90.3%
Q2 - 9:49MIAWright Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T6)21
11.5%
31
88.5%
Q2 - 10:05MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
12.9%
31
87.1%
Q2 - 10:07CHIMISS Thomas 9' Jump Shot21
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q2 - 10:13CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)21
11.7%
31
88.3%
Q2 - 10:15CHIMISS Nocioni 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q2 - 10:30MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)21
11.7%
31
88.3%
Q2 - 10:51CHIThomas 11' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)19
10.8%
31
89.2%
Q2 - 11:06MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)19
11.8%
29
88.2%
Q2 - 11:18CHIThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
9.9%
29
90.1%
Q2 - 11:18CHIThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
10.2%
28
89.8%
Q2 - 11:20CHIThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
10.8%
27
89.2%
Q2 - 11:22CHIMISS Brown Layup16
11.5%
27
88.5%
Q2 - 11:25CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
10.8%
27
89.2%
Q2 - 11:27CHIMISS Gordon 20' Jump Shot16
11.5%
27
88.5%
Q2 - 11:42MIAPosey 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)16
10.8%
27
89.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI13
9.1%
27
90.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)13
8.3%
27
91.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot13
8.5%
27
91.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
9.1%
27
90.9%
Q1 - 0:06.0CHIMISS Nocioni 20' Jump Shot13
9.0%
27
91.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)13
8.6%
27
91.5%
Q1 - 0:57.0CHINocioni Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)13
9.1%
27
90.9%
Q1 - 1:02CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)13
8.6%
27
91.4%
Q1 - 1:04CHIMISS Wallace Layup13
9.0%
27
91.0%
Q1 - 1:18CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)13
8.6%
27
91.4%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
8.8%
27
91.2%
Q1 - 1:32MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
9.2%
27
90.8%
Q1 - 1:34MIAMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
8.8%
27
91.2%
Q1 - 1:50MIAHeat Rebound13
9.2%
27
90.8%
Q1 - 1:50CHIMISS Deng 11' Jump Shot13
9.0%
27
91.0%
Q1 - 1:56MIAMourning 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)13
8.6%
27
91.4%
Q1 - 2:09MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
7.9%
27
92.1%
Q1 - 2:11CHIMISS Nocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
7.7%
27
92.3%
Q1 - 2:17CHIHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
7.3%
27
92.7%
Q1 - 2:20MIASefolosha BLOCK (1 BLK)11
7.5%
27
92.5%
Q1 - 2:30CHIHinrich Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)11
7.9%
27
92.1%
Q1 - 2:35MIAGordon STEAL (1 STL)11
9.4%
24
90.6%
Q1 - 2:47CHIGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)11
10.2%
24
89.8%
Q1 - 2:47CHIGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)11
10.3%
23
89.7%
Q1 - 2:53MIAPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
11.2%
22
88.8%
Q1 - 3:09CHINocioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)8
9.8%
22
90.2%
Q1 - 3:18CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)8
11.4%
19
88.6%
Q1 - 3:20MIAWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)8
11.7%
19
88.3%
Q1 - 3:37CHIHinrich Layup (7 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)8
12.4%
19
87.6%
Q1 - 3:40CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
13.3%
17
86.7%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot8
13.7%
17
86.3%
Q1 - 4:06CHIWallace Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
14.6%
17
85.4%
Q1 - 4:18CHINocioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
13.3%
17
86.7%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Wright Layup8
13.7%
17
86.3%
Q1 - 4:33MIAHeat Rebound8
14.6%
17
85.4%
Q1 - 4:34MIAMISS Kapono Layup8
13.7%
17
86.3%
Q1 - 4:41MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
14.6%
17
85.4%
Q1 - 4:43MIAMISS Wade Layup8
13.7%
17
86.3%
Q1 - 4:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
14.6%
17
85.4%
Q1 - 4:50CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
13.3%
17
86.7%
Q1 - 4:50CHIMISS Brown Tip Shot8
14.2%
17
85.8%
Q1 - 4:53CHIMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
14.2%
17
85.8%
Q1 - 5:13MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T3)8
13.6%
17
86.4%
Q1 - 5:31CHIGordon Layup (10 PTS) (Wallace 3 AST)8
14.7%
17
85.3%
Q1 - 5:34MIAWallace STEAL (1 STL)8
15.7%
15
84.3%
Q1 - 5:52CHIHinrich 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)8
16.9%
15
83.1%
Q1 - 5:59CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)8
18.0%
13
82.0%
Q1 - 6:01CHIMISS Deng Layup8
19.1%
13
80.9%
Q1 - 6:17CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
18.2%
13
81.8%
Q1 - 6:19MIAWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)8
18.6%
13
81.4%
Q1 - 6:51CHIGordon 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wallace 2 AST)8
19.5%
13
80.5%
Q1 - 7:09MIAKapono 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
20.7%
11
79.3%
Q1 - 7:32CHIHinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wallace 1 AST)6
19.7%
11
80.3%
Q1 - 7:44CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
22.0%
8
78.0%
Q1 - 7:45CHIMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot6
23.1%
8
76.9%
Q1 - 7:51CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
22.0%
8
78.0%
Q1 - 7:53MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot6
22.5%
8
77.5%
Q1 - 7:59MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.5%
8
76.5%
Q1 - 8:01CHIMISS Brown 13' Jump Shot6
23.0%
8
77.0%
Q1 - 8:18MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
21.9%
8
78.1%
Q1 - 8:43CHIGordon Driving Layup (6 PTS)4
20.8%
8
79.2%
Q1 - 8:57CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
21.9%
6
78.1%
Q1 - 8:59MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot4
22.4%
6
77.6%
Q1 - 9:18CHIGordon 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
23.4%
6
76.6%
Q1 - 9:33MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
24.4%
4
75.6%
Q1 - 9:50MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
23.4%
4
76.6%
Q1 - 9:50CHIMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
22.8%
4
77.2%
Q1 - 9:55CHIBrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
21.7%
4
78.3%
Q1 - 9:58MIAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
22.2%
4
77.8%
Q1 - 10:13CHIBrown Layup (2 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)2
23.2%
4
76.8%
Q1 - 10:19MIAHinrich STEAL (1 STL)2
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 10:21MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.0%
2
74.0%
Q1 - 10:22CHIMISS Gordon 21' Jump Shot2
25.5%
2
74.5%
Q1 - 10:41MIAKapono Running Layup (2 PTS)2
24.4%
2
75.6%
Q1 - 10:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.2%
2
76.8%
Q1 - 10:49CHIMISS Hinrich 18' Jump Shot0
22.7%
2
77.3%
Q1 - 10:53CHIGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
21.7%
2
78.3%
Q1 - 10:55MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot0
22.2%
2
77.8%
Q1 - 11:10CHIGordon 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)0
23.0%
2
77.0%
Q1 - 11:14CHIDeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.5%
0
75.5%
Q1 - 11:16MIAWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)0
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 11:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 11:30CHIMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot0
25.3%
0
74.7%
Q1 - 11:40CHIWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
24.5%
0
75.5%
Q1 - 11:42CHIMISS Brown 18' Jump Shot0
25.3%
0
74.7%
Q1 - 12:00CHIJump Ball Wallace vs. Mourning: Tip to Gordon0
24.5%
0
75.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 45.8%
CHI
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
29
48%
CHI
12
20
60%
Midrange
MIA
17
41
41%
CHI
15
36
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
CHI
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
11
16
69%
CHI
31
44
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2441%12.0 / 29
J. Posey1765%8.5 / 13
J. Kapono1657%8.0 / 14
U. Haslem1260%6.0 / 10
A. Walker1139%5.5 / 14
A. Mourning941%4.5 / 11
D. Wright643%3.0 / 7
J. Williams225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Gordon3474%17.0 / 23
K. Hinrich2654%13.0 / 24
A. Nocioni1953%9.5 / 18
L. Deng1246%6.0 / 13
P. Brown429%2.0 / 7
T. Thomas450%2.0 / 4
B. Wallace18%0.5 / 6
M. Sweetney0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
86
+19
-7
105
CHI
79
+18
-13
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.92 45.8%
CHI
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
104.8
MIA 104.3
CHI 108.7 +4.4
Pace
90.1
93.8
MIA 89.5
CHI 95.7 +6.2
Avg. Poss. Time
16.5
14.9
MIA 16.1
CHI 15.0 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
49.3%
MIA 45.3%
CHI 45.4% +0.1%
TO %
15.3%
16.3%
MIA 8.9% +3.9%
CHI 12.8%
ORB %
24.9%
28.7%
MIA 27.5%
CHI 33.3% +5.8%
FTrt
32.1
31.3
MIA 16.8
CHI 57.9 +41.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.6%
60.1%
MIA 51.3%
CHI 56.3% +5.0%
STL %
7.6%
8.3%
MIA 4.3%
CHI 5.4% +1.1%
BLK %
8.8%
8.8%
MIA 7.1%
CHI 10.0% +2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.4%
51.9%
MIA 45.8%
CHI 50.0% +4.2%
Rim FG%
61.8%
55.2%
MIA 48.3%
CHI 60.0% +11.7%
Mid FG%
40.5%
42.1%
MIA 41.5%
CHI 41.7% +0.2%
3P %
34.3%
38.8%
MIA 32.0% +7.0%
CHI 25.0%
FT %
69.0%
73.4%
MIA 68.8%
CHI 70.5% +1.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.9%
32.3%
MIA 30.5% +4.2%
CHI 26.3%
Mid Att. %
40.7%
49.1%
MIA 43.2% +4.2%
CHI 47.4%
3P Att. %
24.5%
18.6%
MIA 26.3%
CHI 26.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsMIACHI
Possessions9392
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points97100
Rebounds4251
Assists2018
Steals45
Blocks47
Turnovers (Team)7 (3)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (5)14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (3)37 (2)
Field Goals39-9532-76
At-the-Rim FG14-2912-20
Midrange FG17-4115-36
2-Point FG31-7027-56
3-Point FG8-255-20
Free Throws11-1631-44
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 25
41.4
24
41%
8
8
3
1
2
2
2
6
8-11
73%
8-23
35%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 26
31.1
16
57%
1
1
0
0
0
5
1
0
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
2-5
40%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
29.9
12
60%
5
0
0
1
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
6-10
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 31
28.1
2
25%
1
5
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
C · 6'10" 261 · 37
27.2
9
41%
8
0
0
1
1
2
3
5
1-1
100%
4-11
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 217 · 30
31.6
17
65%
8
2
1
0
0
6
2
6
0-0
-
1-3
33%
5-10
50%
F · 6'9" 245 · 30
27.2
11
39%
9
2
0
0
0
3
3
6
0-2
0%
4-7
57%
1-6
17%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 21
11.4
6
43%
1
0
0
0
1
4
1
0
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 262 · 30
7.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 23
4.4
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 190 · 39
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 25
#25 · F · 6'9" 250 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · G · 6'2" 184 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
46%
42
20
4
4
7
0
14
28
11-16
69%
31-70
44%
8-25
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.