FinalWin Prob.pScore
1527%89
87
573%97
95
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
103.68492.2
DET logo DET
111.88578.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET87
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:08.0DETPISTONS Rebound87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)87
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)87
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0INDO'Neal Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)87
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETWebber Tip Shot (17 PTS)87
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETWebber REBOUND (Off:7 Def:6)87
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 0:16.0DETMISS Billups Layup87
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 0:37.0INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)87
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 0:43.0INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)84
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 0:45.0DETMISS Hamilton 15' Jump Shot84
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 1:04INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)84
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 1:04INDMISS Tinsley Free Throw 1 of 283
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 1:09INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
0.7%
91
99.3%
Q4 - 1:12DETMISS Wallace 8' Hook Shot83
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 1:33INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)83
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 1:33INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)82
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 1:39DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)81
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 1:39DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)81
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 1:56INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)81
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 1:56INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)80
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 2:09DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)79
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 2:09DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)79
0.7%
88
99.3%
Q4 - 2:11INDWallace STEAL (3 STL)79
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q4 - 2:21DETWallace 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Billups 6 AST)79
1.6%
87
98.4%
Q4 - 2:39INDTinsley Double Dribble Turnover (P3.T12)79
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 2:45DETPrince Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)79
4.1%
85
95.9%
Q4 - 3:05DETBillups REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
2.7%
85
97.3%
Q4 - 3:08DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q4 - 3:30DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
2.6%
85
97.4%
Q4 - 3:32INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
4.8%
85
95.2%
Q4 - 3:54DETWebber Layup (15 PTS)79
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q4 - 3:56DETWebber REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)79
8.1%
83
91.9%
Q4 - 3:58DETMISS Hamilton 3PT Jump Shot79
10.4%
83
89.6%
Q4 - 4:18DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
8.0%
83
92.0%
Q4 - 4:20INDMISS Murphy Tip Shot79
8.9%
83
91.1%
Q4 - 4:23INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)79
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q4 - 4:25INDMISS Granger 8' Jump Shot79
8.9%
83
91.1%
Q4 - 4:47DETHamilton 19' Jump Shot (19 PTS)79
11.4%
83
88.6%
Q4 - 5:02DETBillups REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
16.3%
81
83.7%
Q4 - 5:04INDWebber BLOCK (3 BLK)79
17.8%
81
82.2%
Q4 - 5:17INDPacers Rebound79
21.6%
81
78.4%
Q4 - 5:18INDMISS Granger 20' Jump Shot79
17.8%
81
82.2%
Q4 - 5:33INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
21.7%
81
78.3%
Q4 - 5:35DETMISS Webber Free Throw 1 of 179
20.9%
81
79.1%
Q4 - 5:56INDArmstrong 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)79
27.6%
79
72.4%
Q4 - 6:10INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)76
17.1%
79
82.9%
Q4 - 6:11DETMISS Billups 17' Jump Shot76
15.6%
79
84.4%
Q4 - 6:21DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)76
12.7%
79
87.3%
Q4 - 6:23INDMISS O'Neal 15' Jump Shot76
13.9%
79
86.1%
Q4 - 6:35DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)76
17.0%
79
83.0%
Q4 - 6:35DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)76
17.4%
78
82.6%
Q4 - 6:47INDO'Neal 14' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)76
21.0%
77
79.0%
Q4 - 6:52INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
17.0%
77
83.0%
Q4 - 6:55DETMISS McDyess 12' Jump Shot74
15.6%
77
84.4%
Q4 - 7:09DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)74
13.5%
77
86.5%
Q4 - 7:11INDMISS Foster Tip Shot74
14.7%
77
85.3%
Q4 - 7:12INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)74
17.6%
77
82.4%
Q4 - 7:13INDMISS Marshall Layup74
14.7%
77
85.3%
Q4 - 7:28INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)74
17.6%
77
82.4%
Q4 - 7:28DETMISS McDyess Free Throw 2 of 274
17.0%
77
83.0%
Q4 - 7:28DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)74
15.0%
77
85.0%
Q4 - 7:28DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)74
17.1%
76
82.9%
Q4 - 7:28DETMISS Wallace 22' Jump Shot74
20.4%
76
79.6%
Q4 - 7:56INDDunleavy 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)74
17.0%
76
83.0%
Q4 - 8:16DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)71
11.7%
76
88.3%
Q4 - 8:31INDO'Neal 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)71
9.2%
76
90.8%
Q4 - 8:43INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q4 - 8:45DETMISS McDyess 16' Jump Shot69
6.8%
76
93.2%
Q4 - 9:11INDO'Neal Driving Layup (18 PTS)69
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q4 - 9:27DETPrince 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)67
5.0%
76
95.0%
Q4 - 10:00INDO'Neal Layup (16 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)67
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q4 - 10:12INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
5.5%
74
94.5%
Q4 - 10:14DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot65
5.2%
74
94.8%
Q4 - 10:26DETPISTONS Rebound65
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q4 - 10:27INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot65
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q4 - 10:41INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
5.5%
74
94.5%
Q4 - 10:42DETMISS McDyess Layup65
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q4 - 10:44DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)65
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q4 - 10:47DETMISS Maxiell Layup65
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q4 - 11:00INDFoster 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T11)65
4.3%
74
95.7%
Q4 - 11:11INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q4 - 11:14DETMISS McDyess 13' Fadeaway Jumper65
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q4 - 11:21DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)65
4.9%
74
95.1%
Q4 - 11:23DETMISS Maxiell 21' Jump Shot65
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q4 - 11:44INDMarshall Foul Turnover (P1.T10)65
4.9%
74
95.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND65
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound65
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDMISS Granger 79' 3PT Jump Shot65
5.2%
74
94.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETBillups Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)65
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q3 - 0:14.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)65
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q3 - 0:14.0INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 264
5.1%
74
94.9%
Q3 - 0:29.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)64
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q3 - 0:29.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)64
5.4%
73
94.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0INDMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)64
6.4%
72
93.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0INDMISS Marshall Free Throw 1 of 263
6.2%
72
93.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
6.4%
72
93.6%
Q3 - 0:48.0DETMISS Davis Tip Shot63
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q3 - 0:50.0DETDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
5.3%
72
94.7%
Q3 - 0:53.0DETMISS Billups 15' Turnaround Jump Shot63
6.1%
72
93.9%
Q3 - 1:09INDTinsley 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)63
5.7%
72
94.3%
Q3 - 1:13INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q3 - 1:16DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot61
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q3 - 1:42INDMarshall 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Tinsley 7 AST)61
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 1:59DETDelfino Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)59
3.2%
72
96.8%
Q3 - 2:11DETPISTONS Rebound59
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 2:11DETMISS Davis Layup59
3.3%
72
96.7%
Q3 - 2:26INDO'Neal 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)59
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 2:41DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)57
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 2:41DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)57
2.5%
71
97.5%
Q3 - 3:00INDTinsley 11' Running Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
2.9%
70
97.1%
Q3 - 3:08INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 3:09DETMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 255
2.7%
70
97.3%
Q3 - 3:09DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)55
2.3%
70
97.7%
Q3 - 3:26INDGranger 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Tinsley 6 AST)55
2.7%
69
97.3%
Q3 - 3:38DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)53
2.3%
69
97.7%
Q3 - 3:38DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)53
2.4%
68
97.6%
Q3 - 3:52INDGranger Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)53
2.7%
67
97.3%
Q3 - 4:03DETWallace 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (14 PTS)53
3.4%
67
96.6%
Q3 - 4:17DETBillups Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)53
4.0%
65
96.0%
Q3 - 4:29DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)53
4.7%
64
95.3%
Q3 - 4:30INDMISS O'Neal Layup53
4.9%
64
95.1%
Q3 - 4:39INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q3 - 4:42DETMISS Prince 8' Hook Shot53
5.3%
64
94.7%
Q3 - 4:59INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)53
4.7%
64
95.3%
Q3 - 4:59INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)52
4.5%
64
95.5%
Q3 - 5:03INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
4.3%
64
95.7%
Q3 - 5:05DETMISS McDyess 9' Jump Shot51
4.1%
64
95.9%
Q3 - 5:17DETPISTONS Rebound51
3.6%
64
96.4%
Q3 - 5:18DETMISS Wallace 18' Jump Shot51
4.1%
64
95.9%
Q3 - 5:36INDMurphy Tip Shot (7 PTS)51
3.6%
64
96.4%
Q3 - 5:37INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)49
3.1%
64
96.9%
Q3 - 5:40INDMISS Granger 8' Running Jump Shot49
2.8%
64
97.2%
Q3 - 6:01DETWallace 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Hamilton 2 AST)49
3.4%
64
96.6%
Q3 - 6:08DETWallace REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)49
4.5%
61
95.5%
Q3 - 6:10DETMISS Prince 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q3 - 6:24DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)49
4.5%
61
95.5%
Q3 - 6:25INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 2 of 249
4.6%
61
95.4%
Q3 - 6:25INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 249
5.1%
61
94.9%
Q3 - 6:27INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)49
5.3%
61
94.7%
Q3 - 6:28INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
4.8%
61
95.2%
Q3 - 6:41DETHamilton 14' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Billups 4 AST)49
5.3%
61
94.7%
Q3 - 7:05DETBillups Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)49
6.3%
59
93.7%
Q3 - 7:06INDTinsley 6' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)49
7.3%
58
92.7%
Q3 - 7:24DETWebber 10' Hook Shot (11 PTS)47
6.5%
58
93.5%
Q3 - 7:42DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
7.3%
56
92.7%
Q3 - 7:43INDMISS Tinsley 6' Hook Shot47
7.7%
56
92.3%
Q3 - 8:02DETWallace Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)47
8.8%
56
91.2%
Q3 - 8:02DETWallace Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)47
9.1%
55
90.9%
Q3 - 8:02DETWallace Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)47
9.5%
54
90.5%
Q3 - 8:25INDO'Neal Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Tinsley 5 AST)47
11.3%
53
88.7%
Q3 - 8:35DETBillups Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)45
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q3 - 8:51INDWallace STEAL (2 STL)45
8.6%
53
91.4%
Q3 - 8:59INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
10.1%
53
89.9%
Q3 - 9:02DETMISS Wallace 13' Jump Shot45
9.6%
53
90.4%
Q3 - 9:19INDTinsley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)45
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q3 - 9:22INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)45
10.0%
53
90.0%
Q3 - 9:25INDWallace BLOCK (5 BLK)45
9.1%
53
90.9%
Q3 - 9:37DETWallace Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)45
10.0%
53
90.0%
Q3 - 10:01INDMurphy Dunk (5 PTS) (Tinsley 4 AST)45
8.8%
53
91.2%
Q3 - 10:24DETWallace 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)43
7.8%
53
92.2%
Q3 - 10:41DETWebber REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)43
8.8%
51
91.2%
Q3 - 10:44INDMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot43
9.2%
51
90.8%
Q3 - 11:00DETWebber Tip Shot (9 PTS)43
10.1%
51
89.9%
Q3 - 11:02DETWebber REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)43
11.4%
49
88.6%
Q3 - 11:05DETMISS Wallace 9' Jump Shot43
12.4%
49
87.6%
Q3 - 11:23DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
11.4%
49
88.6%
Q3 - 11:25INDMISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot43
11.8%
49
88.2%
Q3 - 11:42DETWallace 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
12.9%
49
87.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND43
14.5%
47
85.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMaxiell Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)43
16.4%
47
83.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 243
17.1%
46
82.9%
Q2 - 0:13.0INDMarshall 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q2 - 0:16.0INDMarshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q2 - 0:19.0INDMISS Tinsley 3PT Jump Shot41
13.8%
46
86.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0DETBillups Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)41
14.6%
46
85.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0DETBillups Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)41
14.7%
45
85.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)41
16.8%
44
83.2%
Q2 - 0:51.0INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 1 of 240
16.4%
44
83.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
16.3%
44
83.7%
Q2 - 0:57.0DETMISS Webber Layup40
15.9%
44
84.1%
Q2 - 0:58.0DETWebber REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)40
15.0%
44
85.0%
Q2 - 1:00DETMISS Hamilton 8' Jump Shot40
15.9%
44
84.1%
Q2 - 1:16INDMarshall 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Tinsley 3 AST)40
15.4%
44
84.6%
Q2 - 1:27INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
13.1%
44
86.9%
Q2 - 1:30DETMISS Webber 7' Running Hook Shot38
12.9%
44
87.1%
Q2 - 1:49INDTinsley Driving Layup (8 PTS)38
12.4%
44
87.6%
Q2 - 1:59DETWebber Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)36
10.4%
44
89.6%
Q2 - 1:59DETMISS Webber Free Throw 1 of 236
10.7%
43
89.3%
Q2 - 2:16INDMurphy 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Tinsley 2 AST)36
11.0%
43
89.0%
Q2 - 2:30DETHamilton 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Webber 3 AST)33
8.7%
43
91.3%
Q2 - 2:45DETPISTONS Rebound33
9.8%
41
90.2%
Q2 - 2:46INDMISS Murphy Tip Shot33
10.1%
41
89.9%
Q2 - 2:46INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
10.9%
41
89.1%
Q2 - 2:47INDMISS Marshall 16' Jump Shot33
10.1%
41
89.9%
Q2 - 2:59INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)33
10.9%
41
89.1%
Q2 - 3:02DETMISS Hamilton 11' Jump Shot33
10.8%
41
89.2%
Q2 - 3:24INDTinsley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)33
10.0%
41
90.0%
Q2 - 3:24INDTinsley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
9.7%
41
90.3%
Q2 - 3:35DETWebber Layup (6 PTS)31
9.0%
41
91.0%
Q2 - 3:37DETWebber REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)31
9.9%
39
90.1%
Q2 - 3:40DETMISS Billups 22' Jump Shot31
10.8%
39
89.2%
Q2 - 3:44INDWallace STEAL (1 STL)31
9.9%
39
90.1%
Q2 - 3:58INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
11.2%
39
88.8%
Q2 - 4:00DETMISS Wallace 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
10.8%
39
89.2%
Q2 - 4:18DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)31
10.2%
39
89.8%
Q2 - 4:20INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 231
10.3%
39
89.7%
Q2 - 4:20INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)31
11.0%
39
89.0%
Q2 - 4:31DETHamilton 11' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Billups 3 AST)30
10.1%
39
89.9%
Q2 - 4:41INDO'Neal Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
11.3%
37
88.7%
Q2 - 4:41INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)29
11.0%
37
89.0%
Q2 - 4:56INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)28
10.1%
37
89.9%
Q2 - 4:59DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot28
9.8%
37
90.2%
Q2 - 5:06DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
9.2%
37
90.8%
Q2 - 5:08INDMISS Marshall Layup28
9.5%
37
90.5%
Q2 - 5:15INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
10.3%
37
89.7%
Q2 - 5:18INDWallace BLOCK (4 BLK)28
9.5%
37
90.5%
Q2 - 5:24DETDavis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)28
10.3%
37
89.7%
Q2 - 5:45DETHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
9.2%
37
90.8%
Q2 - 5:47INDMISS O'Neal 17' Jump Shot28
9.5%
37
90.5%
Q2 - 5:58DETWallace Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)28
10.3%
37
89.7%
Q2 - 6:05INDGranger Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)28
9.3%
37
90.7%
Q2 - 6:11INDTinsley 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)27
8.4%
37
91.6%
Q2 - 6:18INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
7.8%
37
92.2%
Q2 - 6:19DETMISS Wallace Layup25
7.5%
37
92.5%
Q2 - 6:37INDTinsley 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
6.9%
37
93.1%
Q2 - 6:53DETBillups 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)23
6.3%
37
93.7%
Q2 - 7:09INDFoster Tip Shot (2 PTS)23
7.3%
35
92.7%
Q2 - 7:11INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
6.6%
35
93.4%
Q2 - 7:12INDMISS Tinsley Layup21
6.2%
35
93.8%
Q2 - 7:19INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
6.6%
35
93.4%
Q2 - 7:21DETMISS Hunter 13' Jump Shot21
6.4%
35
93.6%
Q2 - 7:35DETPISTONS Rebound21
6.0%
35
94.0%
Q2 - 7:36INDMISS O'Neal Free Throw 2 of 221
6.1%
35
93.9%
Q2 - 7:36INDO'Neal Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
6.4%
35
93.6%
Q2 - 8:05DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)20
6.1%
35
93.9%
Q2 - 8:05DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)20
6.3%
34
93.7%
Q2 - 8:07DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)20
6.7%
33
93.3%
Q2 - 8:09DETMISS Hunter Layup20
7.2%
33
92.8%
Q2 - 8:12DETHunter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
6.7%
33
93.3%
Q2 - 8:15INDMcDyess BLOCK (1 BLK)20
6.9%
33
93.1%
Q2 - 8:39DETMcDyess 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Maxiell 1 AST)20
7.4%
33
92.6%
Q2 - 8:54INDGranger 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 2 AST)20
8.1%
31
91.9%
Q2 - 9:05INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q2 - 9:09DETMISS Maxiell Alley Oop Dunk17
6.7%
31
93.3%
Q2 - 9:15INDMaxiell STEAL (1 STL)17
6.2%
31
93.8%
Q2 - 9:30DETMcDyess Tip Shot (8 PTS)17
6.9%
31
93.1%
Q2 - 9:31DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)17
7.5%
29
92.5%
Q2 - 9:33DETMISS Hamilton 17' Jump Shot17
8.1%
29
91.9%
Q2 - 9:48INDGranger 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)17
7.5%
29
92.5%
Q2 - 10:08DETMcDyess Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
7.1%
29
92.9%
Q2 - 10:08DETMcDyess Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)15
7.3%
28
92.7%
Q2 - 10:09DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
7.7%
27
92.3%
Q2 - 10:10DETMISS McDyess Layup15
8.2%
27
91.8%
Q2 - 10:16DETMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
7.7%
27
92.3%
Q2 - 10:18INDMISS Armstrong 18' Jump Shot15
7.9%
27
92.1%
Q2 - 10:36INDArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
8.5%
27
91.5%
Q2 - 10:38DETMISS Hamilton 18' Jump Shot15
8.2%
27
91.8%
Q2 - 11:09INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 1 AST)15
7.7%
27
92.3%
Q2 - 11:35INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
6.5%
27
93.5%
Q2 - 11:37DETMISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot12
6.3%
27
93.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND12
5.9%
27
94.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound12
6.5%
27
93.5%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDMISS Armstrong 39' 3PT Jump Shot12
6.2%
27
93.8%
Q1 - 0:03.0DETHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)12
6.5%
27
93.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0DETHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)12
6.6%
26
93.4%
Q1 - 0:18.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)12
7.3%
25
92.7%
Q1 - 0:21.0INDWebber BLOCK (2 BLK)12
7.4%
25
92.6%
Q1 - 0:29.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
7.8%
25
92.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0DETMISS McDyess 13' Jump Shot12
7.6%
25
92.4%
Q1 - 0:34.0DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
7.3%
25
92.7%
Q1 - 0:35.0DETMISS Hamilton Layup12
7.6%
25
92.4%
Q1 - 0:53.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
7.3%
25
92.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
7.1%
25
92.9%
Q1 - 1:05DETWebber 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)10
6.6%
25
93.4%
Q1 - 1:23INDShaw. Williams Tip Shot (2 PTS)10
7.3%
23
92.7%
Q1 - 1:26INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
6.6%
23
93.4%
Q1 - 1:28INDMISS Armstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
6.3%
23
93.7%
Q1 - 1:37INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
6.6%
23
93.4%
Q1 - 1:40DETMISS Hamilton 7' Jump Shot8
6.4%
23
93.6%
Q1 - 1:46INDMcDyess STEAL (1 STL)8
6.1%
23
93.9%
Q1 - 2:11DETMcDyess 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
6.7%
23
93.3%
Q1 - 2:27DETMcDyess REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
7.3%
21
92.7%
Q1 - 2:29INDMISS Shaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
7.5%
21
92.5%
Q1 - 2:47DETHamilton 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Webber 2 AST)8
8.0%
21
92.0%
Q1 - 3:00INDShaw. Williams Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)8
8.7%
19
91.3%
Q1 - 3:33DETBillups 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)8
9.7%
19
90.3%
Q1 - 3:57INDO'Neal Dunk (2 PTS) (Tinsley 1 AST)8
11.3%
16
88.7%
Q1 - 4:06DETMcDyess 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Webber 1 AST)6
10.5%
16
89.5%
Q1 - 4:23DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)6
11.2%
14
88.8%
Q1 - 4:25INDMISS Tinsley 17' Jump Shot6
11.6%
14
88.4%
Q1 - 4:31INDTinsley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
12.3%
14
87.7%
Q1 - 4:32DETMISS Prince Layup6
12.0%
14
88.0%
Q1 - 4:36DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)6
11.2%
14
88.8%
Q1 - 4:38INDMISS O'Neal 10' Turnaround Jump Shot6
11.6%
14
88.4%
Q1 - 4:55INDPacers Rebound6
12.3%
14
87.7%
Q1 - 4:56INDMISS O'Neal 9' Turnaround Jump Shot6
11.6%
14
88.4%
Q1 - 5:16DETHamilton 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McDyess 1 AST)6
12.4%
14
87.6%
Q1 - 5:24DETPISTONS Rebound6
13.2%
12
86.8%
Q1 - 5:25DETMISS Webber 7' Hook Shot6
14.0%
12
86.0%
Q1 - 5:38DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)6
13.2%
12
86.8%
Q1 - 6:03DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)6
14.3%
11
85.7%
Q1 - 6:06INDMISS Dunleavy Tip Shot6
14.6%
11
85.4%
Q1 - 6:08INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
15.4%
11
84.6%
Q1 - 6:11INDMISS O'Neal 13' Turnaround Jump Shot6
14.6%
11
85.4%
Q1 - 6:24INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
15.4%
11
84.6%
Q1 - 6:25INDWebber BLOCK (1 BLK)6
14.6%
11
85.4%
Q1 - 6:27INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
15.4%
11
84.6%
Q1 - 6:29INDMISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot6
14.6%
11
85.4%
Q1 - 6:53INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
15.4%
11
84.6%
Q1 - 6:56DETMISS Prince Reverse Layup6
15.0%
11
85.0%
Q1 - 7:14INDGranger Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)6
14.4%
11
85.6%
Q1 - 7:23DETWallace Layup (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)6
15.5%
11
84.5%
Q1 - 7:43INDDunleavy 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)6
16.4%
9
83.6%
Q1 - 8:01DETWebber Tip Shot (2 PTS)4
15.3%
9
84.7%
Q1 - 8:02DETWebber REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)4
16.2%
7
83.8%
Q1 - 8:03DETMISS Hamilton Layup4
17.1%
7
82.9%
Q1 - 8:12DETHamilton Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)4
16.2%
7
83.8%
Q1 - 8:25DETWebber REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
17.3%
6
82.7%
Q1 - 8:27DETMISS Wallace 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
18.2%
6
81.8%
Q1 - 8:34DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
17.3%
6
82.7%
Q1 - 8:36INDWallace BLOCK (3 BLK)4
17.7%
6
82.3%
Q1 - 8:48DETPrince Dunk (4 PTS) (Billups 2 AST)4
18.6%
6
81.4%
Q1 - 8:57DETPISTONS Rebound4
19.6%
4
80.4%
Q1 - 8:58INDWallace BLOCK (2 BLK)4
20.0%
4
80.0%
Q1 - 9:01INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
20.9%
4
79.1%
Q1 - 9:04DETMISS Wallace Layup4
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 9:25INDGranger 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)4
19.3%
4
80.7%
Q1 - 9:31INDMISS Granger Free Throw Technical2
18.5%
4
81.5%
Q1 - 9:34INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
18.5%
4
81.5%
Q1 - 9:37DETMISS Webber 5' Hook Shot2
18.1%
4
81.9%
Q1 - 9:52INDO'Neal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)2
17.1%
4
82.9%
Q1 - 10:04DETPrince 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Billups 1 AST)2
18.3%
4
81.7%
Q1 - 10:15DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
19.3%
2
80.7%
Q1 - 10:17INDMISS O'Neal 16' Jump Shot2
19.7%
2
80.3%
Q1 - 10:26INDO'Neal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
20.7%
2
79.3%
Q1 - 10:29DETMISS Webber 6' Hook Shot2
20.3%
2
79.7%
Q1 - 10:52DETWebber REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.3%
2
80.7%
Q1 - 10:54INDWallace BLOCK (1 BLK)2
19.7%
2
80.3%
Q1 - 11:18DETBillups 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
20.5%
2
79.5%
Q1 - 11:26DETWallace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
21.8%
0
78.2%
Q1 - 11:28DETMISS Webber 17' Jump Shot2
22.6%
0
77.4%
Q1 - 11:46INDDunleavy Driving Dunk (2 PTS)2
21.8%
0
78.2%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Wallace vs. O'Neal: Tip to Murphy0
20.5%
0
79.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.98 48.9%
DET
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
11
23
48%
DET
9
25
36%
Midrange
IND
15
37
41%
DET
19
49
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
5
7.5
13
38%
58%
DET
2
3.0
7
29%
43%
Free Throws
IND
20
29
69%
DET
33
38
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. O'Neal2652%13.0 / 25
J. Tinsley1860%9.0 / 15
D. Granger1350%6.5 / 13
M. Dunleavy964%4.5 / 7
T. Murphy744%3.5 / 8
R. Marshall744%3.5 / 8
D. Armstrong338%1.5 / 4
J. Foster233%1.0 / 3
S. Williams250%1.0 / 2
I. Diogu0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Hamilton2146%10.5 / 23
R. Wallace2053%10.0 / 19
C. Billups1777%8.5 / 11
C. Webber1757%8.5 / 15
A. McDyess1346%6.5 / 14
T. Prince643%3.0 / 7
J. Maxiell113%0.5 / 4
L. Hunter0-0.0 / 2
D. Davis0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
70
+17
-14
87
DET
77
+21
-8
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.98 48.9%
DET
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.0
108.1
IND 103.6
DET 111.8 +8.2
Pace
92.4
88.0
IND 92.2 +14.1
DET 78.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
17.0
IND 15.6 +2.8
DET 18.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.4%
48.8%
IND 45.9% +7.6%
DET 38.3%
TO %
17.1%
13.2%
IND 14.0%
DET 7.6% +6.4%
ORB %
28.4%
28.3%
IND 36.1% +0.8%
DET 35.3%
FTrt
32.4
30.7
IND 39.7
DET 46.9 +7.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
60.1%
IND 51.6%
DET 53.3% +1.7%
STL %
7.9%
8.0%
IND 7.1% +1.2%
DET 5.9%
BLK %
8.5%
9.2%
IND 9.5%
DET 15.0% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.0%
52.2%
IND 48.9% +0.4%
DET 48.5%
Rim FG%
56.1%
58.3%
IND 47.8% +11.8%
DET 36.0%
Mid FG%
39.0%
41.7%
IND 40.5% +1.7%
DET 38.8%
3P %
34.6%
34.4%
IND 38.5% +9.9%
DET 28.6%
FT %
76.0%
77.4%
IND 69.0%
DET 86.8% +17.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
31.1%
IND 31.5% +0.6%
DET 30.9%
Mid Att. %
45.5%
48.8%
IND 50.7% +9.8%
DET 60.5%
3P Att. %
21.2%
20.1%
IND 17.8% +9.2%
DET 8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDDET
Possessions8485
Possession Minutes21.926.1
Points8795
Rebounds4641
Assists1616
Steals65
Blocks79
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)18 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)23 (5)
Field Goals31-7330-81
At-the-Rim FG11-239-25
Midrange FG15-3719-49
2-Point FG26-6028-74
3-Point FG5-132-7
Free Throws20-2933-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 222 · 24
41.8
13
50%
5
1
1
0
2
3
0
5
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
2-5
40%
F · 6'11" 255 · 28
41.5
26
52%
12
0
1
5
2
5
2
10
12-16
75%
7-17
41%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 188 · 29
34.0
18
60%
3
7
4
0
4
3
1
2
4-5
80%
7-12
58%
0-1
0%
G · 6'9" 230 · 26
27.7
9
64%
1
1
0
1
0
4
1
0
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 245 · 27
26.5
7
44%
10
2
0
0
1
5
5
5
0-2
0%
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30
23.3
2
33%
9
0
0
0
1
2
2
7
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 190 · 25
18.1
7
44%
1
1
0
1
1
3
1
0
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 180 · 39
15.7
3
38%
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 230 · 21
7.0
2
50%
3
2
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 250 · 23
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 208 · 25
F · 6'10" 230 · 31
#6 · F · 6'6" 200 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'2" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · C · 7'0" 280 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
87
49%
46
16
6
7
14
0
13
33
20-29
69%
26-60
43%
5-13
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.