FinalWin Prob.pScore
1858%94
83
2842%91
93
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
95.48792.5
ATL logo ATL
104.58984.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL83
0%
93
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLMISS Redick Layup83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)83
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 283
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0ORLNelson Layup (16 PTS)83
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)81
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)81
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)81
0.2%
90
99.8%
Q4 - 0:47.0ORLMISS Redick 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)81
0.5%
90
99.5%
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 281
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 0:58.0ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (9 PTS)81
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 1:07ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T22)79
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 1:25ORLRedick 20' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)79
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 1:36ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T21)77
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 1:36ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 1:36ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 1:36ORLMagic Rebound75
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot75
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:04ORLNelson Layup (12 PTS)75
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:07ATLIvey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T20)73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12ORLBogans Layup (3 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)73
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:17ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38ORLHoward Layup (15 PTS)71
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)69
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 2 of 269
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 3:32ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 269
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 3:40ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)69
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 3:40ATLHAWKS Rebound69
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 3:40ATLMISS Lue 33' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 4:05ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 4:06ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot69
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 4:27ATLSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T18)69
0.3%
86
99.7%
Q4 - 4:45ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)69
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 4:47ORLMISS Nelson Layup69
0.2%
86
99.8%
Q4 - 5:01ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (28 PTS)69
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q4 - 5:19ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 5:21ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot69
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q4 - 5:39ATLJohnson 21' Jump Shot (26 PTS)69
1.1%
84
98.9%
Q4 - 5:59ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
1.4%
82
98.6%
Q4 - 6:00ORLMISS Milicic 11' Jump Shot69
1.6%
82
98.4%
Q4 - 6:13ORLMagic Rebound69
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q4 - 6:13ATLMISS Wright Layup69
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 6:33ORLHill Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T16)69
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 6:36ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup69
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 6:37ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
3.1%
82
96.9%
Q4 - 6:38ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
2.4%
82
97.6%
Q4 - 6:54ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)69
3.0%
82
97.0%
Q4 - 6:54ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)69
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q4 - 7:08ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)69
5.5%
80
94.5%
Q4 - 7:08ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)68
5.3%
80
94.7%
Q4 - 7:28ATLJohnson 6' Running Jump Shot (24 PTS)67
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q4 - 7:47ORLArroyo 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS)67
5.4%
78
94.6%
Q4 - 8:03ATLJohnson 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)65
5.5%
78
94.5%
Q4 - 8:22ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)65
6.9%
76
93.1%
Q4 - 8:49ATLChildress Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Lue 7 AST)65
8.7%
76
91.3%
Q4 - 9:03ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
12.7%
74
87.3%
Q4 - 9:04ORLMISS Milicic 6' Hook Shot65
13.5%
74
86.5%
Q4 - 9:23ATLLue 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)65
15.6%
74
84.4%
Q4 - 9:47ORLHill Layup (19 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)65
22.8%
71
77.2%
Q4 - 9:53ATLWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)63
19.0%
71
81.0%
Q4 - 10:17ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)63
16.8%
71
83.2%
Q4 - 10:17ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)62
16.3%
71
83.7%
Q4 - 10:19ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)61
14.1%
71
85.9%
Q4 - 10:20ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
11.4%
71
88.6%
Q4 - 10:22ATLMISS Smith 10' Jump Shot61
13.2%
71
86.8%
Q4 - 10:45ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)61
11.3%
71
88.7%
Q4 - 10:53ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
7.6%
71
92.4%
Q4 - 10:55ATLMISS Childress 20' Jump Shot58
7.1%
71
92.9%
Q4 - 11:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q4 - 11:16ORLMISS Turkoglu 18' Jump Shot58
7.3%
71
92.7%
Q4 - 11:39ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
8.4%
71
91.6%
Q4 - 11:40ATLMISS Shel. Williams Layup58
7.9%
71
92.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL58
6.8%
71
93.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound58
6.8%
71
93.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 47' 3PT Jump Shot58
7.9%
71
92.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
8.2%
71
91.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0ORLWilliams BLOCK (2 BLK)58
8.6%
71
91.4%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
9.7%
71
90.3%
Q3 - 0:22.0ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot58
9.2%
71
90.8%
Q3 - 0:44.0ORLPachulia STEAL (1 STL)58
8.0%
71
92.0%
Q3 - 1:01ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q3 - 1:02ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
10.5%
71
89.5%
Q3 - 1:18ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
9.2%
71
90.8%
Q3 - 1:18ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q3 - 1:35ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)58
11.0%
71
89.0%
Q3 - 1:42ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
15.4%
68
84.6%
Q3 - 1:43ORLMISS Bogans 20' Jump Shot58
16.2%
68
83.8%
Q3 - 2:04ATLPachulia 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)58
19.6%
68
80.4%
Q3 - 2:28ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)58
22.3%
66
77.7%
Q3 - 2:28ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)57
21.3%
66
78.7%
Q3 - 2:40ORLMagic Rebound56
19.5%
66
80.5%
Q3 - 2:42ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot56
17.3%
66
82.7%
Q3 - 3:01ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)56
20.7%
66
79.3%
Q3 - 3:21ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)56
23.6%
64
76.4%
Q3 - 3:21ORLMilicic Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)55
22.4%
64
77.6%
Q3 - 3:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
20.6%
64
79.4%
Q3 - 3:33ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot54
19.7%
64
80.3%
Q3 - 3:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)54
17.7%
64
82.3%
Q3 - 3:45ATLMISS Williams Layup54
19.7%
64
80.3%
Q3 - 3:50ORLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)54
17.6%
64
82.4%
Q3 - 4:09ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Childress 3 AST)54
21.9%
64
78.1%
Q3 - 4:22ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
27.8%
61
72.2%
Q3 - 4:22ORLHoward Dunk (11 PTS)54
27.8%
61
72.2%
Q3 - 4:25ORLMISS Nelson 6' Jump Shot52
22.5%
61
77.5%
Q3 - 4:32ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)52
25.0%
61
75.0%
Q3 - 4:34ATLMISS Childress 19' Jump Shot52
23.8%
61
76.2%
Q3 - 4:50ORLMilicic Dunk (7 PTS)52
21.4%
61
78.6%
Q3 - 4:53ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
19.0%
61
81.0%
Q3 - 4:54ORLMISS Nelson Layup50
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 4:59ORLMagic Rebound50
19.0%
61
81.0%
Q3 - 5:00ORLSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)50
17.0%
61
83.0%
Q3 - 5:04ATLLue Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)50
20.1%
61
79.9%
Q3 - 5:23ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)50
17.3%
61
82.7%
Q3 - 5:37ATLJohnson 12' Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lue 6 AST)47
13.2%
61
86.8%
Q3 - 5:58ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)47
15.0%
59
85.0%
Q3 - 5:58ORLHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
17.5%
59
82.5%
Q3 - 6:00ORLMISS Hill Layup47
15.7%
59
84.3%
Q3 - 6:30ATLWilliams 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)47
18.7%
59
81.3%
Q3 - 6:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
21.0%
57
79.0%
Q3 - 6:51ORLMISS Battie Layup47
21.9%
57
78.1%
Q3 - 6:53ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
24.0%
57
76.0%
Q3 - 6:55ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot47
21.9%
57
78.1%
Q3 - 7:13ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)47
24.8%
57
75.2%
Q3 - 7:27ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)47
27.3%
55
72.7%
Q3 - 7:29ATLMISS Lue 17' Jump Shot47
29.8%
55
70.2%
Q3 - 7:47ORLLue STEAL (2 STL)47
27.3%
55
72.7%
Q3 - 8:08ATLSmith 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)47
31.9%
55
68.1%
Q3 - 8:22ORLBattie Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)47
34.8%
53
65.2%
Q3 - 8:37ATLLue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)47
38.7%
53
61.3%
Q3 - 9:00ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)47
45.5%
50
54.5%
Q3 - 9:06ATLLue 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)47
50.1%
50
49.9%
Q3 - 9:30ORLTurkoglu Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)47
53.6%
48
46.4%
Q3 - 9:42ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
50.1%
48
49.9%
Q3 - 9:44ATLMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot45
48.9%
48
51.1%
Q3 - 10:08ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
47.0%
48
53.0%
Q3 - 10:13ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)43
43.9%
48
56.1%
Q3 - 10:16ORLMISS Howard 10' Jump Shot43
41.1%
48
58.9%
Q3 - 10:30ATLLue Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)43
43.8%
48
56.2%
Q3 - 10:45ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)43
39.9%
48
60.1%
Q3 - 10:45ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)42
39.3%
48
60.7%
Q3 - 11:06ORLMagic Rebound41
37.9%
48
62.1%
Q3 - 11:07ATLMISS Lue 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
36.9%
48
63.1%
Q3 - 11:19ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
34.6%
48
65.4%
Q3 - 11:22ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
36.9%
48
63.1%
Q3 - 11:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
34.5%
48
65.5%
Q3 - 11:45ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup41
35.5%
48
64.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL41
37.9%
48
62.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLLue Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)41
37.9%
48
62.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLLue Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)41
35.1%
48
64.9%
Q2 - 0:09.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)41
42.6%
46
57.4%
Q2 - 0:09.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)40
41.9%
46
58.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
38.4%
46
61.6%
Q2 - 0:23.0ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 239
38.1%
46
61.9%
Q2 - 0:23.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
36.0%
46
64.0%
Q2 - 0:40.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
39.3%
45
60.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
40.0%
45
60.0%
Q2 - 0:50.0ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lue 5 AST)39
41.6%
45
58.4%
Q2 - 1:11ATLWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
46.5%
43
53.5%
Q2 - 1:12ORLMISS Howard Hook Shot39
47.0%
43
53.0%
Q2 - 1:32ATLShel. Williams Foul Turnover (P2.T13)39
48.2%
43
51.8%
Q2 - 1:49ORLNelson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)39
46.5%
43
53.5%
Q2 - 1:54ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
41.8%
43
58.2%
Q2 - 1:56ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot37
41.3%
43
58.7%
Q2 - 2:24ORLMilicic Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)37
40.2%
43
59.8%
Q2 - 2:38ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)35
37.0%
43
63.0%
Q2 - 2:38ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 235
37.6%
42
62.4%
Q2 - 2:41ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
37.3%
42
62.7%
Q2 - 2:42ORLMISS Hill Layup35
38.1%
42
61.9%
Q2 - 2:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
39.9%
42
60.1%
Q2 - 2:54ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot35
39.1%
42
60.9%
Q2 - 3:14ATLHAWKS Rebound35
38.1%
42
61.9%
Q2 - 3:15ATLMISS Shel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 235
40.9%
42
59.1%
Q2 - 3:15ATLMISS Shel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 235
38.9%
42
61.1%
Q2 - 3:18ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
38.1%
42
61.9%
Q2 - 3:20ORLMISS Battie Layup35
39.1%
42
60.9%
Q2 - 3:32ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P3.T12)35
41.3%
42
58.7%
Q2 - 3:36ORLSmith STEAL (2 STL)35
38.1%
42
61.9%
Q2 - 3:54ATLJohnson 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lue 4 AST)35
41.3%
42
58.7%
Q2 - 4:17ORLNelson 8' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)35
44.8%
40
55.2%
Q2 - 4:37ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)33
41.9%
40
58.1%
Q2 - 4:41ORLSmith STEAL (1 STL)33
39.2%
40
60.8%
Q2 - 4:50ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
41.9%
40
58.1%
Q2 - 4:52ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot33
41.1%
40
58.9%
Q2 - 5:16ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T6)33
39.6%
40
60.4%
Q2 - 5:28ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)33
42.6%
40
57.4%
Q2 - 5:28ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)33
43.3%
39
56.7%
Q2 - 5:49ORLBattie Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
45.1%
38
54.9%
Q2 - 5:49ORLBattie Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
44.4%
38
55.6%
Q2 - 6:07ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)31
43.5%
38
56.5%
Q2 - 6:24ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)31
48.4%
35
51.6%
Q2 - 6:24ORLMISS Bogans Free Throw 1 of 230
47.7%
35
52.3%
Q2 - 6:28ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)30
48.9%
35
51.1%
Q2 - 6:38ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
45.6%
35
54.4%
Q2 - 6:39ORLMISS Milicic 19' Jump Shot30
46.6%
35
53.4%
Q2 - 7:00ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
48.9%
35
51.1%
Q2 - 7:00ATLSmith Tip Shot (7 PTS)30
48.9%
35
51.1%
Q2 - 7:03ATLMISS Johnson Layup30
53.8%
33
46.2%
Q2 - 7:19ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
51.9%
33
48.1%
Q2 - 7:19ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
51.4%
33
48.6%
Q2 - 7:29ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
49.4%
33
50.6%
Q2 - 7:31ATLMISS Childress 19' Jump Shot28
48.5%
33
51.5%
Q2 - 7:44ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)28
46.6%
33
53.4%
Q2 - 7:45ORLMISS Milicic 7' Hook Shot28
47.4%
33
52.6%
Q2 - 8:02ATLWright 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)28
49.5%
33
50.5%
Q2 - 8:11ATLHAWKS Rebound28
51.7%
31
48.3%
Q2 - 8:14ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
53.8%
31
46.2%
Q2 - 8:22ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
51.8%
31
48.2%
Q2 - 8:23ORLMISS Bogans Layup28
52.7%
31
47.3%
Q2 - 8:27ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
54.7%
31
45.3%
Q2 - 8:29ATLMISS Wright 3' Layup28
53.8%
31
46.2%
Q2 - 8:55ORLMilicic Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)28
51.8%
31
48.2%
Q2 - 8:55ORLMISS Milicic Free Throw 1 of 227
50.9%
31
49.1%
Q2 - 9:08ORLMagic Rebound27
52.4%
31
47.6%
Q2 - 9:09ORLShel. Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)27
50.4%
31
49.6%
Q2 - 9:13ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
52.4%
31
47.6%
Q2 - 9:15ATLMISS Childress Layup27
51.5%
31
48.5%
Q2 - 9:16ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)27
49.6%
31
50.4%
Q2 - 9:18ATLMISS Pachulia Layup27
51.5%
31
48.5%
Q2 - 9:36ORLArroyo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
49.5%
31
50.5%
Q2 - 9:51ATLWilliams Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)25
47.3%
31
52.7%
Q2 - 10:08ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
44.6%
31
55.4%
Q2 - 10:10ORLMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 125
44.9%
31
55.1%
Q2 - 10:13ATLPachulia Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)23
42.4%
31
57.6%
Q2 - 10:19ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
39.7%
31
60.3%
Q2 - 10:20ORLMISS Hill Layup23
40.5%
31
59.5%
Q2 - 10:40ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
42.4%
31
57.6%
Q2 - 10:42ATLMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot23
41.6%
31
58.4%
Q2 - 10:58ORLArroyo Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)23
39.7%
31
60.3%
Q2 - 11:16ATLShel. Williams 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)23
42.7%
31
57.3%
Q2 - 11:42ORLHill 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
45.1%
29
54.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL21
42.7%
29
57.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)21
42.7%
29
57.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLIvey 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Shel. Williams 1 AST)21
45.1%
28
54.9%
Q1 - 0:20.0ORLMilicic Dunk (2 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)21
47.9%
26
52.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0ATLJohnson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)19
45.0%
26
55.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)19
43.2%
26
56.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0ORLHoward 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)19
45.5%
25
54.5%
Q1 - 1:08ATLShel. Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T6)17
42.9%
25
57.1%
Q1 - 1:12ATLShel. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
41.1%
25
58.9%
Q1 - 1:14ORLMISS Milicic 20' Jump Shot17
41.6%
25
58.4%
Q1 - 1:29ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
42.9%
25
57.1%
Q1 - 1:29ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
43.2%
24
56.8%
Q1 - 1:29ATLHAWKS Rebound17
45.7%
23
54.3%
Q1 - 1:29ATLMISS Pachulia Layup17
47.0%
23
53.0%
Q1 - 1:31ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
45.7%
23
54.3%
Q1 - 1:33ATLMISS Ivey 9' Jump Shot17
47.0%
23
53.0%
Q1 - 1:39ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
45.7%
23
54.3%
Q1 - 1:41ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
46.3%
23
53.7%
Q1 - 1:57ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)17
47.5%
23
52.5%
Q1 - 1:57ATLShel. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
47.9%
22
52.1%
Q1 - 2:16ORLMilicic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
50.6%
21
49.4%
Q1 - 2:16ORLHoward Tip Shot (7 PTS)17
50.6%
21
49.4%
Q1 - 2:18ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup15
46.6%
21
53.4%
Q1 - 2:32ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)15
48.1%
21
51.9%
Q1 - 2:56ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)15
45.9%
21
54.1%
Q1 - 3:15ORLMagic Rebound15
48.8%
21
51.2%
Q1 - 3:16ATLMISS Smith Layup15
48.0%
21
52.0%
Q1 - 3:20ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
46.3%
21
53.7%
Q1 - 3:22ORLSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)15
47.1%
21
52.9%
Q1 - 3:37ATLJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)15
48.8%
21
51.2%
Q1 - 3:57ORLHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)15
46.3%
21
53.7%
Q1 - 3:57ORLHill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)14
45.9%
21
54.1%
Q1 - 4:01ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)13
44.9%
21
55.1%
Q1 - 4:19ORLHill 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)13
42.3%
21
57.7%
Q1 - 4:40ATLWilliams 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)11
40.6%
21
59.4%
Q1 - 5:00ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)11
42.3%
19
57.7%
Q1 - 5:18ATLSmith 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)11
45.7%
19
54.3%
Q1 - 5:22ATLHAWKS Rebound11
47.5%
17
52.5%
Q1 - 5:23ATLMISS Johnson Layup11
49.1%
17
50.9%
Q1 - 5:44ORLHoward Dunk (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)11
47.5%
17
52.5%
Q1 - 6:02ATLJohnson Layup (7 PTS)9
46.1%
17
53.9%
Q1 - 6:06ORLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)9
48.1%
15
51.9%
Q1 - 6:17ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
50.2%
15
49.8%
Q1 - 6:18ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 29
49.9%
15
50.1%
Q1 - 6:18ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
48.7%
15
51.3%
Q1 - 6:22ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
50.1%
14
49.9%
Q1 - 6:23ORLMISS Battie 8' Jump Shot9
50.7%
14
49.3%
Q1 - 6:48ATLWilliams 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lue 3 AST)9
52.2%
14
47.8%
Q1 - 7:08ORLTurkoglu 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)9
54.6%
12
45.4%
Q1 - 7:10ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
53.0%
12
47.0%
Q1 - 7:12ORLWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)7
51.5%
12
48.5%
Q1 - 7:18ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
52.9%
12
47.1%
Q1 - 7:20ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot7
52.3%
12
47.7%
Q1 - 7:23ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
50.8%
12
49.2%
Q1 - 7:25ATLMISS Lue 17' Jump Shot7
52.3%
12
47.7%
Q1 - 7:38ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
50.8%
12
49.2%
Q1 - 7:39ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot7
51.4%
12
48.6%
Q1 - 7:51ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)7
52.9%
12
47.1%
Q1 - 7:51ATLHAWKS Rebound7
50.8%
12
49.2%
Q1 - 7:51ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot7
52.2%
12
47.8%
Q1 - 8:17ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
51.4%
12
48.6%
Q1 - 8:17ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)6
50.8%
12
49.2%
Q1 - 8:19ORLMagic Rebound5
49.7%
12
50.3%
Q1 - 8:19ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot5
48.2%
12
51.8%
Q1 - 8:27ORLHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
49.7%
12
50.3%
Q1 - 8:29ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot5
49.0%
12
51.0%
Q1 - 8:48ORLHill Layup (2 PTS)5
47.6%
12
52.4%
Q1 - 8:55ATLWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
45.9%
12
54.1%
Q1 - 9:15ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
43.5%
12
56.5%
Q1 - 9:16ORLMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot3
44.2%
12
55.8%
Q1 - 9:35ATLLue 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)3
45.9%
12
54.1%
Q1 - 9:53ORLNelson 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)3
49.2%
9
50.8%
Q1 - 10:10ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lue 2 AST)1
47.8%
9
52.2%
Q1 - 10:18ORLLue STEAL (1 STL)1
51.3%
6
48.7%
Q1 - 10:29ATLWilliams 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)1
53.4%
6
46.6%
Q1 - 10:46ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
55.0%
4
45.0%
Q1 - 10:47ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 21
55.2%
4
44.8%
Q1 - 10:47ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
56.2%
4
43.8%
Q1 - 11:02ATLSmith 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)0
55.2%
4
44.8%
Q1 - 11:09ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
57.1%
2
42.9%
Q1 - 11:11ORLMISS Hill 15' Jump Shot0
57.7%
2
42.3%
Q1 - 11:24ORLBattie REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
58.8%
2
41.2%
Q1 - 11:25ORLMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot0
57.6%
2
42.4%
Q1 - 11:44ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)0
58.8%
2
41.2%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Howard: Tip to Johnson0
60.7%
0
39.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.91 45.6%
ATL
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
16
34
47%
ATL
3
13
23%
Midrange
ORL
11
28
39%
ATL
23
41
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
1
1.5
9
11%
17%
ATL
7
10.5
14
50%
75%
Free Throws
ORL
26
32
81%
ATL
20
27
74%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Hill2175%10.5 / 14
J. Nelson1642%8.0 / 19
D. Howard1554%7.5 / 14
H. Turkoglu941%4.5 / 11
D. Milicic945%4.5 / 10
C. Arroyo675%3.0 / 4
K. Bogans330%1.5 / 5
T. Battie225%1.0 / 4
J. Redick225%1.0 / 4
B. Outlaw0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson3463%17.0 / 27
J. Smith1963%9.5 / 15
T. Lue1381%6.5 / 8
M. Williams1267%6.0 / 9
S. Williams660%3.0 / 5
Z. Pachulia330%1.5 / 5
L. Wright233%1.0 / 3
J. Childress220%1.0 / 5
R. Ivey250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
73
+14
-14
87
ATL
70
+15
-19
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
0.91 45.6%
ATL
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
102.9
ORL 95.4 +9.1
ATL 104.5
Pace
89.8
90.2
ORL 92.5 +8.5
ATL 84.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.2
16.2
ORL 15.6 +1.6
ATL 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
47.1%
ORL 40.1%
ATL 53.7% +13.6%
TO %
18.0%
16.7%
ORL 15.8% +6.6%
ATL 22.4%
ORB %
29.3%
29.3%
ORL 24.4%
ATL 29.6% +5.2%
FTrt
39.3
34.6
ORL 45.1 +5.4
ATL 39.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
53.0%
55.6%
ORL 46.4%
ATL 75.8% +29.4%
STL %
7.6%
8.2%
ORL 11.5% +3.6%
ATL 7.9%
BLK %
8.5%
8.7%
ORL 5.6%
ATL 8.1% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
50.8%
ORL 45.6%
ATL 54.7% +9.1%
Rim FG%
61.6%
55.2%
ORL 47.1% +24.0%
ATL 23.1%
Mid FG%
38.3%
39.3%
ORL 39.3%
ATL 56.1% +16.8%
3P %
35.6%
32.9%
ORL 11.1%
ATL 50.0% +38.9%
FT %
70.2%
76.1%
ORL 81.3% +7.2%
ATL 74.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.1%
38.8%
ORL 47.9% +28.8%
ATL 19.1%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
44.9%
ORL 39.4% +20.9%
ATL 60.3%
3P Att. %
15.8%
16.3%
ORL 12.7%
ATL 20.6% +7.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLATL
Possessions8789
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points8393
Rebounds2939
Assists1325
Steals107
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)19 (4)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (4)8 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)19 (4)31 (0)
Field Goals28-7133-68
At-the-Rim FG16-343-13
Midrange FG11-2823-41
2-Point FG27-6226-54
3-Point FG1-97-14
Free Throws26-3220-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
36.5
15
54%
7
1
0
1
3
1
1
6
5-6
83%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 28
35.7
9
41%
1
3
4
0
3
6
1
0
0-2
0%
3-8
38%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 190 · 25
33.2
16
42%
3
5
0
0
2
4
2
1
4-4
100%
6-13
46%
0-4
0%
G · 6'8" 225 · 34
30.9
21
75%
6
0
2
0
1
2
2
4
9-10
90%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 240 · 31
17.0
2
25%
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 275 · 22
25.9
9
45%
8
0
1
2
1
1
2
6
3-4
75%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'5" 215 · 27
23.5
3
30%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 23
17.2
2
25%
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 200 · 28
14.9
6
75%
1
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 220 · 36
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 25
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 238 · 30
#1 · F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · G · 6'3" 195 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#40 · F · 6'10" 235 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
83
46%
29
13
10
3
14
0
10
19
26-32
81%
27-62
44%
1-9
11%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.